Текст
                    ACTEX
STUDY MANUAL
SOA Exam FM
CAS Exam 2
Probability
Pension
Finance
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1,11
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2009 Edition
Matthew J. Hassett, Ph.D., ASA
Michael I. Ratliff, Ph.D., ASA
Toni Coombs Garcia
Amy C. Steeby, MBA
ACTEX Publications
Actuarial & Financial Risk
Resource Materials
Since 1972


Copyright © 2009, by ACTEX Publications, Inc. No portion of this ACTEX Study Manual may be reproduced or transmitted in any part or by any means without the permission of the publisher. Printed in the United States of America. ISBN 13: 978-1-56698-680-9
SOA Exam FM and CAS Exam 2 have changed. For the past few years these exams tested only the traditional material on interest theory. For Spring 2007, entirely new material on financial mathematics was added. In this guide, the traditional interest theory is covered in Modules 1-7 and the new material in financial mathematics is covered in Modules 8-15. Modules 8-15 contain lecture notes on the required chapters of the financial mathematics textbook Derivatives Markets and solutions to odd-numbered homework problems in that text. (Answers to even-numbered problems are available in the student solution manual which you can purchase with the text.) Contents of this guide: Module 1 Module 2 Module 3 Module 4 Module 5 Module 6 Module 7 Module 8 Module 9 Module 10 Module 11 Module 12 Module 13 Module 14 Module 15 Practice Exams Interest Rates and Time Value of Money Annuities Loan Repayment Bonds Yield Rate of an Investment Term Structure of Interest Rates Asset Liability Management, Duration and Immunization Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 1 Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 2 Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 3 Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 4 Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 5 Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 7 Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 8 Supplemental Material on Currency Forward Contracts Seven Practice Exams A note about Errors: If you find a possible error in this manual, please let us know at the "Customer Feedback" link on the ACTEX homepage (www.actexmadriver.com). We will review all comments and respond to you with an answer. Any confirmed errata will be posted on the ACTEX website under the "Errata & Updates" link. October, 2008 Matt Hassett, ASA, PhD Toni Garcia, MS Amy Steeby, MBA ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Study Tips 1) Come up with a schedule to complete your studying in time for the exam. Divide your schedule into time for each section and time at the end to review and to do final practice problems. This may vary depending on how much time you have before the exam. A reasonable amount may be one chapter per week. 2) If possible, join a study g$>up of peers studying for thySf same exam. 3) For each chapter: a) Read the chapter in the FM manual. b) Make sure that you can compute the examples in the text correctly as you're reading through them. c) Recite or summarize each concept learned in the margins or in a notebook. d) Understand the main idea of each concept and be able to summarize in your own words. Imagine that you are trying to teach somebody else this concept. e) While reading, create flash cards for formulas to start memorization. f) Learn the calculator skills and know all of your calculator functions. g) Do a review of the corresponding chapter in the recommended text, h) Do the Basic Review Problems and review your solutions. i) Do the Sample Exam Problems and review your solutions. i) If you have been stuck on a problem for more than 20 minutes, it is OK if you need to refer to the solutions. Just make sure that when you are finished with the problem, you can recite the concept that you missed and summarize it in your own words. If you get stuck on a problem, think about what principles were used in this question and see if you could rewrite a different problem with similar structure, as if you were the exam writer. ii) Mark each sample exam problem as an Easy, Medium, or Hard problem. 4) After learning each chapter, it is a good idea to go back to previous chapters and do a quick half-hour to hour review, so that information isn't forgotten. 5) Go back and redo the sample exam problems that you have marked as Medium or Hard when you looked through them the first time. 6) After learning each chapter and reviewing past chapters, go to the practice exams. a) Attempt the first three practice exams in a non-timed environment b) Attempt the last four practice exams in a timed environment similar to the timing structure of the formal administered exam. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
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Table of Contents PageTOC- 1 Contents h Module Topic Module 1 Time Value of Money Compound Interest Simple Interest Present Value Future Value Accumulation Functions Effective Interest Rate Nominal Interest Rate Periodic Interest Rate Convertible Interest Discount Rate Nominal Discount Rate Conversion of Nominal Interest rate to Discount Rate Accumulation Functions, Continuous Interest Force of Interest Constant Force of Interest Relating Interest Rate and Force of Interest Equation of Value Module 2 Annuities Annuity Immediate Annuity Due Unit Annuity Timelines Geometric Series Future Value of Annuities Perpetuities Annuities with Level Payments Continuous Annuities Annuities with Varying Payments Increasing Annuities Decreasing Annuities Annuities with Arithmetic Progression Annuities with Geometric Progression Deferred Annuities Variable Annuities Reinvestment Problems Inflation Page Ml-l MM Ml-l Ml-2 Ml-2 Ml-4 Ml-6 Ml-7 Mi-8 Ml-8 Ml-10 Ml-12 Ml-13 Ml-15 Ml-15 Ml-15 Ml-18 Ml-19 M2-1 M2-3 M2-8 " M2-1 M2-2 M2-2 M2-4 M2-6 M2-7 M2-11 M2-15 M2-16 M2-18 M2-19 M2-20 M2-24 M2-26 M2-31 M2-32 ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Page TOC-2 Table of Contents Module 3 Amortization M3-1 Amortization Table M3-2 Amortization with Variable Payments M3-4 Amortization with Level Payments M3-6 Prospective Method M3-7 Retrospective Method M3-8 Amortization with Arithmetic Payments M3-10 Amortization with Geometric Payments M3-9 Amortization with Monthly Payments M3-11 Installment Loan M3-14 Sinking Fund M3-15 Netlnterest M3-16 Sinking Fund Deposit M3 16 Sinking Fund Balance M3-17 Capitalization of Interest M3-19 Negative Amortization M3-19 Module 4 Bonds M4-1 Face Value M4-1 Par Value M4-1 Coupon Rate M4-1 Redemption Value M4-1 Premium Bond M4-2 Discount Bond M4-2 Bond Price M4-4 Premium-Discount Formula for Bonds M4-5 Makeham's Formula M4-5 Amortization of Premium M4-6 Amortization of Discount M4-6 Amount for Accumulation of Discount M4-7 Negative Amortization of Discount M4-8 Callable Bond M4-9 Call Provisions M4-9 Pricing Bonds between Payment Dates M4-11 Price-Plus Accrued M4-11 Flat Price \ ][ _/ ~ '[.'.]. ,[..[[ ..'/.['.[[. .'.'. ...,M4:11 Settlement Date M4-11 Market Price M4-12 Accrued Interest M4-12 True Price M4-12 Module S Internal Rate of Return M5-1 Cash Flows M5-1 Modified Internal Rate of Return M5-5 Uniqueness of Internal Rate of Return M5-5 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Table of Contents PageTOC- 3 Borrowing Projects M5-6 Time Weighted Rate M5-7 Dollar Weighted Rate M5-7 Investment Year Method M5-11 Portfolio Method M5-11 New Money Rate M5-12 Net Present Value M5-13 Module 6 Term Structure of Interest Rates M6-1 Zero Coupon Bond M6-1 Risk-Free Rates M6-1 Spot Rate M6-2 Yield Curve M6-2 Treasury STRIP bond M6-? Inverted Yield Curve M6-3 Flat Yield Curve M6-3 Law of One Price M6-4 Forward Rate M6-5 Implied Forward Rate M6-5 Module 7 Assets M7-1 Liabilities M7-1 Liability Management M7-1 Matching Assets and Liabilities „M7"1 Duration M7-4 Interest Rate Risk \\ "\ *,..*'.. M7-4 Weighted Average M7-4 Macaulay Duration M7-4 Modified Duration M7-6 Volatility M7-6 Macaulay Duration of Coupon Bond M7-8 Taylor Series M7-10 Price Function, P(i) M7-10 Convexity M7-12 Change in Price M7-13 Duration of Portfolio M7-14 Parallel Shift in Yield Curve M7-15 Immunization M7-16 Present Value Matching M7-18 Duration Matching M7-18 Greater Convexity for Assets M7-18 Fully Immunized M7-19 Stocks M7-20 Dividends M7-20 Price of Stock M7-20 Mutual Funds M7-21 Certificate of Deposit M7-22 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page TOC-4 Table of Contents Money Market Funds M7-22 Mortgage-Backed Securities M7-22 Module 8 Derivative Security M8-1 Hedging M8-2 Bid-ask spread M8-3 Short Sale of Stock M8-3 Long Position in Stock M8-3 Module 9 Forward Contract M9-1 Spot price M9-1 Stock index M9-1 Cash settlement M9-2 Long forward M9-2 Short Forward M9-2 Payoff for Forward M9-3 Profit for forward M9-3 Zero Coupon Bond Profit M9-7 Call Option M9-9 European Option M9-9 American Option M9-9 Bermudan Option M9-9 Premium M9-9 Written Call Option M9-12 PutOption [\ .....[„ ^ '_ [ ' ] ]tr ' '[M9-14. Written PutOption ]'„[]["*""]] ".[]'.'.. ". ['." **.V. [[[,[ '. ... y//.^" M9-"l6 ' In the Money Option M9-17 At the Money Option M9-17 Out of the Money Option M9-17 Insurance, Options s M9-18 Equity Linked CD M9-19 Module 10 Floor Strategy M10-2 Cap Strategy M10-3 Covered Call M10-4 Covered Put M10-5 Parity, Put-Call M10-6 Synthetic Forward M10-6 Spread M10-9 Bull Spread MlO-10 Bear Spread M10-11 Box Spread M10-12 Collar M10-13 Collar, Hedging with M10-14 Zero Cost Collar M10-15 Straddle M10-16 ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Table of Contents PageTOC- 5 Strangle M10-18 Equity Linked Note, Marshall & Isley M10-21 Module 11 Hedging, Producer-Seller Ml 1-2 Hedging, Buyer Mll-5 Hedging, Reasons for Ml 1-7 Hedging with a Collar Mll:9 Paylater Strategy Mll-11 Module 12 Prepaid Forward Price M12-3 Arbitrage Pricing M12-3 Forward Contract on Stock, Pricing M12-7 Forward Premium M12-8 Synthetic Stock ' M1J2:9_ Hedging with a Synthetic Stock M12-10 Cash and Carry Hedge M12-11 Quasi Arbitrage M12-15 Cost of Carry M12-17 Lease Rate M12-17 Futures Contracts M12-18 Clearing House M12-18 Open Outcry M12-18 Mark to Market M12-19 S&P 500 Futures Contract M12:19 Margin M12-19 Forward and Futures Prices Compared M12-22 Quanto Index Contracts M12-24 Module 13 Spot Rate M13-2 Forward Interest Rate M13-2 Zero-coupon Bonds M13-3 Implied Forward Rate M13-3 FRA (Forward Rate Agreement) M13-4 Eurodollars M13-6 Module 14 Swap, Oil M14-2 Swap Payment M14-3 Dealer as Swap Counterparty M14-4 Swap, Market Value M14-5 Interest Rate Swap M14-7 Swap Rate R M14-8 Swap Curve M14-10 Accreting Swap M14-11 Amortizing Swap M14-11 Swap rate, general formula M14-13 ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Module 1 - Interest Rates and the Time Value of Money Page Ml- 1 Interest Rates and Time Value of Money Section 1.1 Time Value of Money Interest theory deals with the time value of money. For example, a dollar invested at 6% per year is worth $1.06 one year from today. What happens after the first year depends on whether you are earning compound interest or simple interest. We illustrate this with an example. Suppose you invest 100 at 6% interest for two years. a) Compound interest. You earn interest on the total amount in your account at the beginning of each year. The amounts in your account at the end of year 1 and year 2 are: Year 1: 100 + 0.06(100) = 100(1.06) = 106 Year 2: 106 + 0.06(106) = 106(1.06) = 100(1.06)2 = 112.36 b) Simple interest. You earn interest only on the original 100 each year. The amounts in your account at the end of year 1 and year 2 are: Yearl: 100+ 0.06(100) = 100(1.06) = 106 Year 2: 106 + 0.06(100) = 100*(1 + 2(0.06)) = 112 Compound interest is the most widely used method, especially for multi-period investments. Simple interest is more commonly used for shorter term investments. There are other ways to calculate interest, and we will see some of these later. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page Ml-2 Module 1 - Interest Rates and the Time Value of Money Section 1.2 Present Value and Future Value with Compound Interest We will start with a look at compound interest, since it is so widely used, The value today is the present value [PV] and the value n periods from today is the future value [FV]. If funds are invested at a periodic compound interest rate i for n periods, the basic relationships are: (1.1) FV = PV(l + i)n PV = - FV d + O" Example (1.2) Let n = 10 and i = a) UPV = b) IfFV = = 0.06. = 1,000, then FV -- ■-1,000, then PV = = 1,000(1.06)10 = 1,790.85 1.000 _«8,9 O06F PV FV N| pmt| i/yJ The BA II Plus calculator has five time value of money keys. Present value Future value Number of periods Periodic payment Periodic interest rate In this module we will not look at any problems that involve periodic payments. The JPMTJ key will be used starting in Module 2. The other four keys can be used to solve compound interest problems like Example (1.2), as we illustrate next. To begin any new problem, it is wise to clear the time value of money [TVM] registers to erase any numbers left over from prior problems. Note that the legend CLR TVM appears above the [FV 1 key on the BA II Plus calculator. To clear the TVM registers use the keystrokes 12ND 1CLR TVM. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 1 - Interest Rates and the Time Value of Money Page Ml- 3 Before we do the actual calculation, we must point out an important BA II Plus convention for signs on answers: money that you receive is positive, but money that you pay out is negative. Thus, if you put 1000 into an account now, you should enter it into the calculator as -1000 to indicate that it is out of pocket. You can make an e&itry negative using the 1+7-1 key. Now, let's rework Example (1.2) using the calculator: To find the future value of 1000 in 10 years at 6% compound interest per year, use the keystrokes 10000 [PV| 6 jj/Y| 10 §[CPl3 [FV] You will see the display FV = 1790.85. Note that the answer is positive since this is money that is paid back to you. To find the present value at 6% compound interest of 1000 paid 10 years in the future use the keystrokes 1000 |fv| 6 jj/Y| 10 §|CPl3 |jv| . You will see the display PV = -558.39. Note that the answer is negative for money that you put into the account. Exercise (1.3) Using an interest rate of 5% compounded annually, find a) the present value of 20,000 payable in 15 years and b) the future value of 5,000 in 6 years. Answer a) -9620.34 b) 6700.48 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page Ml-4 Module 1 - Interest Rates and the Time Value of Money Section 1.3 Functions of Investment Growth Notation A long-term investor might wish to plot growth of an invested amount over time. There are two functions of interest: a(t), which is the amount an initial investment of 1 grows to by time £, - and- A(t), the amount an initial investment of A(0) grows to by time t. For compound interest applied on a per year basis, amounts change only at year end when interest is paid. For positive integer values of n, (1.4) a(n) = (l + i)n A(n) = A(Q)(l + i)n For i = 0.06 compound interest per year paid at year end, the first four values of a(n) are: N a(n) 0 1 1 1.060 2 1.1236 3 1.1910 The graph of a(n) is a step function: a(n) 1.1910 —h 1.1236 1.0600 —|- 1.0000 Interest may also be paid on a continuous basis, which is an advantage for the investor who wishes to get his money before year-end. The accumulated amount under continuous compound interest at time t is: (1.5) a(t) = (l + i)t=etln(1+0 A(t) = A(0)(l + i)' ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Module 1 - Interest Rates and the Time Value of Money Page Ml- 5 In this case, the graph of a(t) is a smooth, continuous function. For i = 0.06: We will look at continuous interest in more detail later. For simple interest the accumulation functions are (1.6) a(t) = (1 + it) A(t) = A(0) (1 + it) For i = 0.06 simple interest per year paid at year end, the first four values of a(n) are: N a(n) 0 1 1 1.06 2 1.12 3 1.18 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page Ml-6 Module 1 - Interest Rates and the Time Value of Money Section 1.4 Effective Rate of Interest for a Specified Period We can use the accumulation functions to find an effective rate of interest for any time period. For the time period [t,t +1], the beginning amount is A(t), and the amount earned over the interval is A{t +1) - A(t). The effective rate of interest over this period is (1.7) . amount earned _A(t + l)-A(t) a(t + l)-a(t) beginning amount A(t) a(t) Example (1.8) Let the interest rate be 6% and the time interval be [1,2]. For compound interest a(2)-q(l) .0636 12 = a(l) =T06"=°6 For simple interest a(2)-q(l)sJ06_ a(l) 1.06 Exercise (1.9) Let the interest rate be 6% and the time interval be [2,3]. Find i3 for a) compound interest and b) simple interest. Answer a) .06 b) .0536 Note that over multi-year periods compound interest gives a constant effective rate of 6% over each year, while simple interest leads to declining effective rates over time. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 1 - Interest Rates and the Time Value of Money Page Ml- 7 Section 1.5 Nominal Rates of Interest In many instances where payments are made for a period less than a year (e.g., monthly, quarterly, or semi-annually), the period interest rate is stated as a nominal annual rate, which is the interest rate per period multiplied by the number of periods per year. For example, if you are to earn interest at 2% compounded quarterly, you could multiply 2% by 4 and refer to a nominal rate of 8%, converted quarterly. This gives a simple way of referring to the quarterly rate on an annual scale, but it is not the rate you actually earn. In the example of a 2% rate compounded quarterly, one actually earns more than 8%. One dollar actually accumulates to (1.02)4 = 1.0824, so that the nominal rate of 8% actually leads to a true annual earning rate of 8.24%. This true annual earning rate is referred to as the effective rate. Many students find this confusing, so we will go over again for reinforcement: 1. The given rate is your starting point Example: 2% per quarter. 2. Calculate the annual nominal rate. Nominal Rate (Rate/period)(Number of periods per year) Example 2%x 4 = 8% 3. The effective rate is what you really earn with compound interest Example. Compound accumulation is (1.02)4 = 1.0824 Effective rate is 8.24%. The nominal rate is an artificial rate that gives you a way of talking about a periodic rate (such as a quarterly or monthly) in familiar annual terms. The effective rate is not artificial. It tells you what you really earn with compounding in a year. Exercise (1.10) Suppose you are earning 1% interest compounded monthly. a) What is your annual nominal rate? b) What is your annual effective rate? __ a) Nominal 12% b) Effective 12.6825% ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page Ml-8 Module 1 - Interest Rates and the Time Value of Money In the general case for which there are m payment periods per year, we denote i(m) the nominal rate by i(m). The periodic interest rate is , and the effective rate m is: (1.11) This has the important consequence that (1.12) You will often see the terminology the interest is credited or convertible m times per year. Example (1.13) Suppose interest is credited monthly and the nominal rate is i(12) = 0.09 . Then, the effective rate is: fl + M^I -1 = 1.007512 -1 = 0.0938. I 12 This process can easily be reversed to find the nominal rate given the effective rate Example (1.14) Interest is paid semi-annually and results in an effective rate of 10.25%. Find the nominal annual rate. Solution: m = 2, so we need to find i(2). By (1.11), ( jW\2 1 + — v 2y ( 7(2) A 1 + — v 2y :-2, -1 = 0.1025 1.1025 = Vl.l025=1.05 Thus, i(2)= 10%, and the periodic interest rate is 5% per semi-annual period. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 1 - Interest Rates and the Time Value of Money Page Ml- 9 Note that you can derive a formula that solves for i(m) given iand m. It is (l + i)m-l i{m)=m We did not use this formula above. Formula (1.11) is intuitive and easy to remember, and we can always substitute given values into it to solve for i(m) given iand m. This approach is what we used in Example (1.14), and leaves us with one less formula to memorize. The BA II Plus calculator has an interest conversion worksheet that can be used to solve these problems. The legend above the § key is ICONV, which stands for interest conversion. You can get into the worksheet using the keystrokes. [2ND| ICONV. The worksheet has three variables: NOM for nominal rate EFF for effective rate C/Y for number of conversion periods per year. You can scroll between these variables using the t and I keys. In (1.13) we found the effective rate corresponding to a nominal rate of 9% credited monthly. To do this on the BA II Plus calculator, enter the ICONV worksheet and scroll to the line for NOM. Key in 9 and hit the [Enter] key. Then scroll t to the line for C/Y and key in 12 and hit the [Enterl key. Then scroll t to the line for EFF and use the ICPTJ key to compute the effective rate. The rate displayed is EFF = 9.38 (to two decimal places). In (1.14) we found the nominal rate corresponding to an effective rate of 10.25% convertible semiannually. To do this on the BA II Plus calculator, enter the ICONV worksheet and scroll to the line for EFF. Key in 10.25 and hit the [Enterl key. Then scroll I to the line for C/Y and key in 2 and hit the [Enterl key. Then scroll I to the line for NOM and use the JCPTJ key to compute the effective rate. The rate displayed is NOM = 10.00. To exit the ICONV worksheet, press the |C/E| key. This will also allow you to exit any other BAH Plus worksheet. Exercise (1.15) a) Given i(12) = 6%, find the effective rate i. b) Given an effective rate of i = 5%, find i(12). Answers: a) 6.168% b) 4.889% ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Page Ml-10 Module 1 - Interest Rates and the Time Value of Money Section 1.6 Interest Rate v. Discount Rate Investments can be structured in many ways. Consider an investor who would like to earn 6% for one year. Two common approaches are: a) Invest a given sum at the beginning of the year. If you invest $1,000 at the beginning of the year at 6% per year, you would require a payment of $1,060 at year end. b) Require a given sum at the end of the year, but take a discount on the amount invested. Suppose that you require $1,000 at year end. The present value of $1,000 at 6% is ^1,00° = $943.40. You would invest $943.40 and be repaid $1,000. The difference of $56.60 is referred to as a discount. This is really only a present value problem, but the discount is quoted instead of the present value. United States Treasury bills are quoted on a discount basis. The rate of discount, d, is used extensively in interest theory and actuarial mathematics. We can easily derive an expression for d in terms of i. If you wish to obtain a future value of 1, the present value to invest is: 1 PV = (1 + 0 Thus, the discount d is: (1.16) d = l 1 (1 + 0 (1 + 0 This yields the key relationship: (1.17) d = (1 + 0 Example (1.18) For i = 0.06, d = — = 0.0566 1.06 Exercise (1.19) Given i = .10, find d. Answer : 0.0909 ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Module 1 - Interest Rates and the Time Value of Money Page Ml-11 Section 1.7 Essential Interest Theory Notation A critical notation for actuarial interest problems is (1.20) v = - 1 + i From the definition of d in (1.17), we see: (1.21) 1 d = iv Note also that l-v=l--—- = _-L- = d. Thus 1 + i 1+i (1.22) d = l-v and l-d = v The difference i - d simplifies nicely: i-d=i- (1 + 0 (1 + 0 = id (1.23) i-d = id The preceding relationships are often used in actuarial examination solutions. Example (1.24) Given d = 0.07, find v and i. Solution. v = l-d = 0.93. Then 1 + i = - = 1.0753 . It follows that i = 0.0753. v Exercise (1.25) Given d = 0.05, find v and i. Answer v = 0.95, i = 0.0526: Note that we can now write FV PV= =vnFV (1 + 0" The use of the v notation is common in actuarial texts and essential for the actuarial exams. Many other financial professionals do not use it. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page Ml-12 Module 1 - Interest Rates and the Time Value of Money Section 1.8 Nominal Rates of Discount You can also quote a discount rate per period as a nominal annual rate. If you were using a discount rate of 2% per quarter, you could refer to this as a nominal discount rate of 8% convertible quarterly. The effective annual rate of discount would not be 8%, as we shall see below. The nominal discount rate convertible m-thly is denoted by d(m). For example, a nominal discount rate convertible quarterly would be denoted d(4). It is related to the effective annual discount rate d by the equation (1.26) l-d = 1- d(m) \ m y v for a mth-ly period raised to mth power This equation can be remembered by noting that the left side represents v and the right side represents the v for an m-thly period raised to the m-th power. Example (1.27) Find the effective annual discount rate for a nominal rate of 8% \ convertible quarterly. Solution. »--(,J!rJ = (0.98)4 = 0.9224 d = 0.0776 Example (1.28) Find the nominal discount rate convertible semiannually corresponding to an annual effective discount rate of 6%. Solution. ( 1-0.06 = 0.94 = 1- V094= 0.9695 = d(2)= 0.0609 1- 2 J d<2>A ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 1 - Interest Rates and the Time Value of Money Page Ml- 13 If you use the ICONV worksheet with either EFF or NOM entered as a negative number, the BA II Plus will interpret the negative number as a discount rate and solve for the other discount rate as a negative. For example, in (1.27) we found the effective rate discount rate corresponding to a nominal discount rate of 8% credited quarterly. To do this on the BA II Plus calculator, enter the ICONV worksheet and scroll to the line for NOM. Key in 8 0] and hit the [Enter! key. Then scroll t to the line for C/Y and key in 4 and hit the [Enter] key. Then scroll t to the line for EFF and use the |CPT| key to compute the effective rate. The rate displayed is EFF = -7.76 (to two decimal places). That is the correct discount rate for (1.27). You can clear out the computed values in the worksheet by keying in 2ND CLR WORK (above the CE/C key.) The value of C/Y will remain but will be changed as soon as you enter a new value for it. Exercise (1.29) Find a) The effective discount rate for a nominal rate of 7.5% convertible every 4 months (ra=3), and b) the nominal discount rate convertible monthly corresponding to an annual effective discount rate of 6%. Answer a) 7.31% b) 6.17% Occasional problems require conversion of a nominal interest rate convertible m times per year to an equivalent nominal discount rate convertible p times per year. The equation for this problem is 1 + - ;(m) m (1-^'p -=l+i In this equation the left hand side represents 1 + i and the right hand side represents — = 1 + i, v ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page Ml-14 Module 1 - Interest Rates and the Time Value of Money Example (1.30) Find the rate of discount convertible semi-annually that is equivalent to a nominal rate of interest of 8% convertible monthly. Solution. 1 + 0.08 12 = 1.083= 1- VT083 =1.0407= 1- 2 sn1 V2 d(2) =0.0782 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 1 - Interest Rates and the Time Value of Money Page Ml- 15 Section 1.9 Continuous Interest and Force of Interest We have already noted that interest may also be paid on a continuous basis. The accumulated amount under continuous compound interest at time t is: (1.3D a(t) = (l + i)t=etln(1+0 A(t) = A(0)(l + i) For example, if interest is paid continuously at 6%, we have a(t) = (1.06)'=etln(106) There is an important distinction here. Under continuous interest at 6% at time 2, a(2) = 1.062, which is the same amount you would have under annual interest. However, there is difference at fractional times like t = 1.5. For continuous interest, you would have 1.0615 at t = 1.5, but for annual interest, you still only have 1.06 at t = 1.5, because interest is not compounded until t = 2. The accumulation function above implies continuous growth at a continuously compounded rate of ln(1.06) = 0.0583. The constant continuous growth rate is denoted by S. In general, for the compound growth model a (t) = (1 + i)f, we can write (1.32) a(t) = e5t S = ln(l + i) The next two formulas are very important variations of (1.32) (1.33) (l + i)n=en (1.34) vn=(l + i)-n=e- In actuarial textbooks, S is referred to as a constant force of interest. Continuous interest has been applied in practice - some banks paid continuous interest in the 1980's. We can define the instantaneous force of interest for any accumulation function a(t) at time t by (1.35) S(t) = am a(t) ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page Ml-16 Module 1 - Interest Rates and the Time Value of Money This has a natural interpretation. The percentage rate at which you are earning at time t is the rate of change of a(t) expressed as a percentage of a(t). For the constant force model, a(t) = e5^, this definition yields: fipst Thus definition (1.35) is consistent with our original reference to 8 as the constant force of interest. The force of interest does not have to be constant as the following example shows: Example (1.36) Let a(t) = (t + l)2. (Note: This is an unrealistic accumulation function, but easy to compute.) /x 2(t + l) 2 Then S(t)=-± t = -±t- w (t + 1)2 t + 1 Note that as n, the number of compounding periods per year becomes large, the resulting interest paid approximates continuous interest with a constant force of interest equal to the nominal rate. For example, if we have a constant force of interest, S = 8%, we have an effective annual rate of (e°08 -1) = 8.32871%. The table below shows the effective rate for a nominal rate of 8% with increasing numbers of compounding periods per year. Nominal Rate: 8% Conversion Semi-annual Quarterly Monthly Daily Hourly Per Minute n 2 4 12 365 8,760 525,600 Effective Rate 8.16000% 8.24322% 8.29995% 8.32776% 8.32867% 8.32871% Note the result of compounding every minute matches the continuous effective rate to five decimal places. ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Module 1 - Interest Rates and the Time Value of Money Page Ml- 17 This approximation is based on the useful identity (1.37) below, which you should memorize. The next few lines give a derivation which you may skip, if you like. (1.37) lim|l + -N There is another useful relationship which enables us to find a(t) if only S(t) is given. Note that A lnteO] = ^v = *(*)• dt a(t) v ' Thus, £ S(t)dt = ln[a(t)f0 = ln[a(fc)] - ln(l) = ln[a(fc)] This implies that: (1.38) ik = a(t) Example (1.39) Given 8{t) = Solution. To find ait), 2 Finri n(f) (t+i) v*" we first need to integrate S(t): (s(u)du= f 2 du = 21n(u + l)r=21n(t Jo *(u + l) lo Thus, a(t) = Note: e21n(t+l)=(eln(t+l))2=(t + 1)2 \ If your calculus is rusty, you may need to review + D. to do these problems. \ Exercise (1.40) Given fi(f} - FinH n(f} 1 v" (2t + l)" v*" Answer: 3ln(2t + l e = (2t + l)' ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page Ml-18 Module 1 - Interest Rates and the Time Value of Money Section 1.10 Relating Discount, Force of Interest and Interest Rate A very important relationship is: (1.41) d<d{m) <5<i{m) <i, i>0,m>l This relationship is good to know for plausibility checking of results. It is not hard to see that d<8<i, since for i > 0 7 < ln(l + i)<i 1 + i For a concrete example, let i = 0.05 and m = 4. Then S = 1n (1.05) = 0.0488 d = — = 0.0476 v } 1.05 i(4) = 0.049089 d(4) = 0.048494 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 1 - Interest Rates and the Time Value of Money Page Ml-19 Section 1.11 Solving for PV, FV, n, and / with Compound Interest Time value of money calculations can be done easily with the BAII Plus. This section will show you how to solve for PV, FV, n, and i,. First, we will solve the problems without the calculator to establish the logic, and then show you how to use the calculator's time value of money [TVM] keys to save time. Example (1.42) You want to have 80,000 in a college fund in 18 years, should you deposit now into an account earning 6%? Solution. You need to have FV = 80,000. Thus PV = 80,000 v18 = -^^ = 28,027.50 1.0618 For the BA II Plus the keystrokes are 80000 [FV| 6 |l/Yl 18 M£PT| |PV| How much The equation used in the last example is called an equation of value. It equates the unknown PV with a mathematical expression for it. In each of the next problems we will refer to the appropriate equation of value in order to solve. Exercise (1.43) How much should you deposit in the fund described in (1.42) if you wanted 100,000 in 16 years? Answer 39,364.63 Example (1.44) You deposit 1,000 in an account earning 5.75%. have in 5 years? Solution. The equation of value is FV = 1000(1.0575)5 = For the BA II Plus the keystrokes are 1 1000 1+H |PV| 5.75 |l/Yl 5 MlCPTl |FV| = 1,322.52 How much will you ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page Ml-20 Module 1 - Interest Rates and the Time Value of Money Exercise (1.45) How much will be in the account in the last problem in 10 years? Answer 1,749.06 Example (1.46) You deposit 1000 in an account earning 6% compounded continuously. How long will it take to double your money? Solution. Doubling your money gives FV 2000 = lOOOe06t It follows that 2 = e06t ln(2) = 0.06t t = 11.5525 = 2000. The equation of value is Exercise (1.47) For the account in Example (1.46) how long would it take to triple your money? Answer 18.3102 Now, let's look at a variation on the preceding example that requires careful thinking: Example (1.48) You deposit 1000 in an account earning 6% compounded annually. How long will it take to have at least 2000 dollars? Solution. In this case interest is only paid at year end. Since 2000 would be reached exactly with continuous interest in 11.8957 years, you will have less than 2000 at the end of 11 years and more at the end of the 12th year. The answer here is 12 years. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 1 - Interest Rates and the Time Value of Money Page Ml- 21 Example (1.49) 1 You make in 5 years. Solution. an investment where you pay 1000 What interest rate did you earn? The equation of value is Thus 1000 (1 + i)5 =1500 (1 + i)5 =1.5 51n(l + i) = ln(1.5) ln(l + i) = .0811 1 + i = e0811 =1.0845 -► i = .0845 For the BA II Plus the keystrokes are loooyj lEYl 1500 |fv|5[n] icpti 1 The calculator saves a bit of time here. now and get 1500 back 1 ll/Yl Exercise (1.50) You make an investment where you pay 1000 now and get 2000 back in 12 years. What interest rate did you earn? Answer 5.9463 The problems can be made more complex, as you will see when you move to the exam problems at the end of this module. One way to make a problem a bit more complex is to state it using a nominal interest rate. Example (1.51) You deposit 1,000 in an account earning 5.75% convertible semiannually. How much will you have in 5 years? Solution. Now we have a interest rate of — = 0.02875 per semiannual 2 period for 2x5 = 10 periods. The equation of value is FV = 1000 (1.02875)10 = 1327.70 The BA II Plus keystrokes are 1000 |+i] |>V| 2.875 g/Y| 10 §^Pg |fv| The BA II Plus also has an option under which you can set the number of payments per year to 2 using the P/Y option. We advise against this since it is more complicated to use and it is easy to forget to reset the number of payments per year which can cause trouble on later problems. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page Ml-22 Module 1 - Interest Rates and the Time Value of Money Example (1.52) You make an investment where you pay 1000 now and get 1500 back in 5 years. What nominal interest convertible quarterly did you earn? Solution. Here we will give only the calculator solution. The interest is paid over 20 quarters. To find the quarterly interest rate, the BAII Plus the keystrokes are 10001+0 gvj 1500 |FV| 20 |n] [CPTJ |/Y| The quarterly rate is 2.048%. The required nominal rate is 4 x 2.048% = 8.192% convertible quarterly. Other problems may have a few different future amounts or an unknown amount at some point. We see this in the next two examples. Example (1.53) How much should you deposit now in a bank account earning 5% annually to be able to withdraw 1000 in 2 years and 2000 in 4 years? Solution. The equation of value is PV = lOOOv2 + 2000v4 = -^- + -^ = 2552.43 1.052 1.054 Example (1.54) You deposit 1000 in an account now and an amount X in one year. The account pays 6% annually. What amount X is required to have 2000 in the account at the end of two years? Solution. The equation of value is 1000(1.06)2+X(1.06) = 2000 -> X = 826.79 Another type of problem that requires more thought is one in which the interest rates change over time. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 1 - Interest Rates and the Time Value of Money Page Ml- 23 Example (1.55) You deposit 5000 to an account that earns 5% compounded annually for two years and 7% in all subsequent years. What has the account grown to in 5 years? Solution. FV = 5000Q.05)2 (1.07)3 = 6753.05 You could easily do the problem on the BA II Plus in two steps. Amount in 2 years 5000 @ [PVJ S^2§ |CPT| |FV| (Answer 5512.50) Amount in 5 years 5512.5 0 |PV| 7 |/Y| 3 InUcFII [fv| (Answer 6753.05) Example (1.56) What constant rate of interest is equivalent to the 5 year return above? Solution. The BA II Plus can be used to get this quickly. We accumulated FV = 6753.05 in 5 years from an initial investment of 5000. Solve for the interest rate using 5000 0 |PV| 6753.05 |fv| 5 0 |CPg g/Y] (Answer 6.20%) To solve mathematically, denote the unknown interest rate by i. (l + i)5=1.052(l.073) = 1.3506 51n(l + i) = ln(1.3506) ln(l + i) = .0601 l + i = e-0601= 1.062 -> i = .062 ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Page Ml-24 Module 1 - Interest Rates and the Time Value of Money Example (1.57) You deposit 5000 to an account that earns 5% compounded annually 2 for two years and continuous interest with S(t) = in (t + 1) subsequent years. What has the account grown to in 5 years? Solution. At the end of two years the account contains 5512.50. [See (1.55), above]. Note that the force of interest must be applied from time 2 through time 5. The equation of value for the final amount in 5 years is 5512.50 Note the limits on the integral. A common mistake is to integrate from 0 to 3. We now calculate 2 r^ = 21n(t + l)|25=2[ln(6)--ln(3)] ^T^ = e21n(6)-21n(3) = 4 The final answer is 5512.50 f f5 2 6 ^\ = 5512.50 (4) = 22,050 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 1 - Interest Rates and the Time Value of Money Page Ml- 25 Section 1.12 Formula Sheet FV = PV(l + i)n (1 + 0 i-d = id PV = FV a+o" v = - 1 + i v = l-d d = iv d = l-v a(t): the amount an initial investment of 1 grows to by time t A(t): the amount an initial investment of A(0) grows to by time t a(t) = (l + i)t=etln(1+i) <5 = ln(l + i) a'(t) S(t) a(t) A{t) = A(0) (1 + i)' = A(0)etln(1+i) a(t) = est vn=(X + i)'n=e'nS e'>)du=a(t) Effective interest rate with nominal rate i(m) convertible m-thly. ( \w\ 1 + — m -1 Effective discount rate d with nominal rate d(m) convertible m-thly. l-d f sMY1 1-- m Nominal rate equivalence f jW 1 + m 1- d« Note the negative exponent, -p, above. ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Page Ml-26 Module 1 - Interest Rates and the Time Value of Money Section 1.13 Basic Review Problems 1. Let the annual interest rate be 5% and the time interval be [3,4]. Find i4 for (a) annual compound interest and (b) simple interest. 2. (a) Given i(2) = 5%, find the effective rate i. (b) Given an effective rate of i = 5.26%, find i(6). 3. Given d = 0.056, find v and i. 4. Given i(4) = 0.07. Find d(2). 5. Find the effective annual discount rate for a nominal discount rate of 9% convertible monthly. 6. Find the rate of interest convertible quarterly that is equivalent to a nominal rate of interest of 6% convertible semiannually. 7. Let a (t) = (t +1)3. Find S (t). 4 8. Given S(t) = . Find a(t). it + 3) 9. You deposit 1800 in an account earning 5% compounded continuously. How long will it take to accumulate 2,700? 10. You make an investment where you pay 10,500 now and get 12,500 back in 3 years. What nominal interest convertible monthly did you earn? 11. You deposit 1,500 to an account that earns a nominal 6% convertible monthly for one year and a nominal 8% convertible quarterly for the next two years, a) How much is in the account in 3 years? b) Find an equivalent level nominal rate convertible semiannually for this account. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 1 - Interest Rates and the Time Value of Money Page Ml- 27 Section 1.14 Basic Review Problem Solutions Calculator solutions will be given whenever possible. 1. (a) a(t) = 1.05*. U = a (4)-a (3) l.Q54-1.053 = 0.05. a (3) 1.053 Note that for compound interest the periodic rate is the always the effective rate. (b) a(t)-l + 0.0». U-a(4)7.?(3) = 120-.115 =0-0435 a (3) 1.15 2. Calculator solutions using the ICONV feature: (a) Set NOM = 5 and C/Y = 2. CPT EFF = 5.0625 (b) Set EFF = 5.26 and C/Y = 6. CPT NOM = 5.1483 3. v = l-d = 0.944, - = l + i = 1.0593->i = 0.0593 v 4. 1 + 0.07^ = 1.07186 = 1- d<2n / 0.9659 = 1- d<2> d{2) = 0.0682 5. We are trying to solve l-d = 1- 0.09 12 but we think it is easier to use the calculator's ICONV feature. Set NOM = -9 and C/Y = 12. CPT EFF = -8.6379. Answer 8.6379%. 6. We want to solve (i+0= ( i(4)V 4 1 + 0.06 You can do this by hand, but we think it is easier to use the calculator in steps: First find the annual effective rate using the given nominal semiannual rate. Set NOM = 6, C/Y = 2 and CPT EFF = 6.09. Then use this effective rate to find the quarterly nominal rate. You already have EFF = 6.09. Set C/Y = 4 and CPT NOM = 5.9557. Answer 5.9557%. 7. 5(f)- a\t) 3(t + l)2 ait) (t + iy t + 1 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page Ml-28 Module 1 - Interest Rates and the Time Value of Money 4 „ ., . „j' ., ft + 3} 8. [5{u)du=l—-—du = 41n(u + 3)f = * * (u + 3) lo 4 In a(t) = e41n((t+3)/3) = rt+3 9. A(t) = 1800e05t. We need 2700 = 1800eost -> eost = 1.5 -> .05t = ln(1.5), thus ln(1.5) t = - 0.05 = 8.1093 10. First, we need to get the annual effective rate, then we can use this to solve for the nominal rate. Formulaic version: (i+0 = i(m) \m 1 + - m Using the calculator: 10500 tt!d EY) 12500 [FVj3 N |CPT| H/Y| Answer 5.984 Now use ICONV to get the nominal rate convertible monthly. Set EFF = 5.984 , C/Y = 12 and CPT NOM = 5.826. U. (a) (b) 1500 1 + 0.06 ^2' 12 1 + 0.08 \«(2) = 1,865.89 We are trying to find i(2). 1 + 0.06 1 + 0.08 \0(2) 12 , 1.24391/6= 1.037 i(2) = 0.074 l+l— 2 = 1.2439 = (2) A 1+^ 2 \6 ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Module 1 - Interest Rates and the Time Value of Money Page Ml- 29 Section 1.15 Sample Exam Problems 1. (2005 Exam FM Sample Questions #1) Bruce deposits 100 into a bank account. His account is credited interest at a nominal rate of interest of 4% convertible semiannually. At the same time, Peter deposits 100 into a separate account. Peter's account is credited interest at a force of interest of 5. After 7.25 years, the value of each account is the same. Calculate 8. (A) 0.0388 (B) 0.0392 (C) 0.0396 (D) 0.0404 (E) 0.0414 2. (2005 Exam FM Sample Questions #3) Eric deposits 100 into a savings account at time 0, which pays interest at a nominal rate of i, compounded semiannually. Mike deposits 200 into a different savings account at time 0, which pays simple interest at an annual rate of i. Eric and Mike earn the same amount of interest during the last 6 months of the 8th year. Calculate i. (A) 9.06% (B) 9.26% (C) 9.46% (D) 9.66% (E) 9.86% 3. (2005 Exam FM Sample Questions #12) Jeff deposits 10 into a fund today and 20 fifteen years later. Interest is credited at a nominal discount rate of d compounded quarterly for the first 10 years, and at a nominal interest rate of 6% compounded semiannually thereafter. The accumulated balance in the fund at the end of 30 years is 100. Calculate d. (A) 4.33% (B) 4.43% (C) 4.53% (D) 4.63% (E) 4.73% ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page Ml-30 Module 1 - Interest Rates and the Time Value of Money 4. (2005 Exam FM Sample Questions #13) Ernie makes deposits of 100 at time 0, and X at time 3. The fund grows at a force of interest The amount of interest earned from time 3 to time 6 is also X. Calculate X. (A) 385 (B) 485 (C) 585 (D) 685 (E) 785 5. (2005 Exam FM Sample Questions #20) David can receive one of the following two payment streams: (i) 100 at time 0, 200 at time n, and 300 at time In (ii) 600 at time 10 At an annual effective interest rate of i, the present values of the two streams are equal. Given vn = 076, determine i. (A) 3.5% (B) 4.0% (C) 4.5% (D) 5.0% (E) 5.5% 6. (2005 Exam FM Sample Questions #27) Bruce and Robbie each open up new bank accounts at time 0. Bruce deposits 100 into his bank account, and Robbie deposits 50 into his. Each account earns the same annual effective interest rate. The amount of interest earned in Bruce's account during the 11th year is equal to X. The amount of interest earned in Robbie's account during the 17th year is also equal to X. Calculate X. (A) 28.0 (B) 31.3 (C) 34.6 (D) 36.7 (E) 38.9 7. (May 05, #13) At a nominal interest rate of i convertible semi-annually, an investment of 1000 immediately and 1500 at the end of the first year will accumulate to 2600 at the end of the second year. Calculate i. (A) 2.75% (B) 2.77% (C) 2.79% (D) 2.81% (E) 2.83% ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 1 - Interest Rates and the Time Value of Money Page Ml- 31 8. (May OS, #18) A store is running a promotion during which customers have two options for payment. Option one is to pay 90% of the purchase price two months after the date of sale. Option two is to deduct X% off the purchase price and pay cash on the date of sale. A customer wishes to determine X such that he is indifferent between the two options when valuing them using an effective annual interest rate of 8%. Which of the following equations of value would the customer need to solve? UOOA 6 ) { 100A 6 J C)f^1(1.08)"'-.90 D)pUr^Wo E) (l-^)(1.08)1/6=.90 9. (May 05, #19) Calculate the nominal rate of discount convertible monthly that is equivalent to a nominal rate of interest of 18.9% per year convertible monthly. (A) 18.0% (B) 18.3% (C) 18.6% (D) 18.9% (E) 19.2% 10. (Nov 05, #7) A bank offers the following choices for certificates of deposit: Term (in years) 1 3 C/l Nominal annual interest rate convertible quarterly 4.00% 5.00% 5.65% The certificates mature at the end of the term. The bank does NOT permit early withdrawals. During the next 6 years the bank will continue to offer certificates of deposit with the same terms and interest rates. An investor initially deposits 10,000 in the bank and withdraws both principal and interest at the end of 6 years. Calculate the maximum annual effective rate of interest the investor can earn over the 6-year period. (A) 5.09% (B) 5.22% (C) 5.35% (D) 5.48% (E) 5.61% ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page Ml-32 Module 1 - Interest Rates and the Time Value of Money 11. (Nov OS, #25) The parents of three children, ages 1, 3, and 6, wish to set up a trust fund that will pay X to each child upon attainment of age 18, and Y to each child upon attainment of age 21. They will establish the trust fund with a single investment of Z. Which of the following is the correct equation of value for Z ? (A) "17—^ IT+ 20 Ts Is" (B)3[Xv18+Yv21l v17+v15+v v +v +v L J (C) 3Xv3+Y[v20+v18+vls] (D) (X + Y) (E) X[v17+v15+v12] + Y[v20+v18+vls] v20+v18+vls V3 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 1 - Interest Rates and the Time Value of Money Page Ml- 33 Section 1.16 Sample Exam Solutions We look at the future value in 7.25 years for each person. Bruce. He is credited interest for 29 quarters. We are given that his interest rate per semiannual period is 2%. Thus his interest rate per quarter is VL02 -1, and his future value is FV = (VL02)29100 = 133.26 Peter. He earns continuous interest at a rate of 5 for 7.25 years. His future value is FV = 100e725s. To finish the problem we equate the two future values and solve. 133.26 = 100e7 25' 1.3326 = e725s ln(1.3326) = 7.25£ ._ In (1.3326) _ 7^25 S = - = .0396 Answer C 2. The last 6 months of the eighth year are in the time interval from time 7.5 to time 8. For each of the two savers we will find the find the half year interest on that interval. Eric. At time 7.5 he has a balance of 100 1 + \15 His interest on this balance over the next half year is 100 ( 7 ^5 1 + - 2y Mike . Since Mike only earns simple interest on the original amount, his interest earned in any half year is 200 - . Since these interest amounts are equal 100 1 + - v 15m = 200 as 1 + - v = 2 i = .0473 i = .0946. Answer C ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page Ml-34 Module 1 - Interest Rates and the Time Value of Money First we will deal with the initial 10 years during which a discount rate d was quoted. For each of these 10 years the relevant values of v and i are v=l-d= (1_d^_ and l + i = — = v 1- d<4n Thus after 10 years the initial deposit of 10 grows to 10(l + i)10=10 V^° The accumulated balance on this 10 after 20 more years (or 40 semiannual periods) at 3% per semiannual period is 10 1- d(4> s-*0 (1.03) = 32.62 (. d(4) v-M 1- 4 The second deposit of 20 accumulates after 30 semiannual periods at a rate of 3% to a value of 20(1.03) =48.55 The total accumulated balance is d<4> / 100 = 32.62 1-- Thus v " 4 = 1.577- + 48.55 v " 4y = .634- 1- d«' = .98867^ d(4)=.0453 Answer C ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Module 1 - Interest Rates and the Time Value of Money Page Ml- 35 4. The amount of interest earned from time 3 to time 6 is the difference between the ending amount at time 6 and the starting amount in the account at time 3. We will start by looking at the original deposit of 100. At time 3 it has grown to j.3 i>3 t2 d 27 100eJo ' x = 100eJo 10° = lOOe300 «109.42. At time 3 deposit of X is made, so that the beginning amount at time 3 is A (3) = 109.42 + X At time 6 the account grows to A(6) = (109.42 + X)e]*Stdt =(109.42 + X)eh™> * =. (109.42 + X)1.8776 = 205.45 + 1.8776X The interest earned between time 3 and time 6 is A(6) - A(3) = 96.03 + .8776X. This interest must equal X, so that X = 96.03 + .8776X -> X = 784.56 Answer E ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page Ml-36 Module 1 - Interest Rates and the Time Value of Money S. Present value of stream (i): 100 + 200vn + 300v2n = 100 + 200 (76) + 300 (762) = 425.28 Present value of stream (i): 600v10 Since the present values are equal 600v10 =425.28 — v = .9662 -> 1 + i = 1.035 Answer A 6. The interest earned during a year equals (Balance at the start of the year)x(Interest Rate) Let i denote unknown interest rate. For Bruce the interest during year 11 is X = il00(l + i) For Robbie the interest during year 17 is X = i50(l + i) It follows that i50(l + i)16=il00(l + i)10 -» 50 (1 + i)16 =100 (1 + i)10 (1 + i)6 =2 -» (l + i) = 1.12246 X = il00(l + i)10 = .12246 (100) (1.12246)10 = 38.88 Answer E ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 1 - Interest Rates and the Time Value of Money Page Ml- 37 The equation of value is 1000 1 + i(2)l ;(202 + 1500 1 + — = 2600 This is a problem that can be reduced to a quadratic -a common exam trick. Set L i(2) H1+T Then the above equation becomes lOOOx2 + 1500x = 2600 or x2 + 1.5x - 2.6 = 0 The positive root of the quadratic (quadratic formula) is x = 1.0283 = 1 + i. Thus (2) \2 1 + — = 1.0283 = 1.0141 ->i(2) =.0281 Answer D 8. The customer has two options. Let P be the purchase price. Pay cash on the date of the sale with X% taken off the price. The amount paid is r X \ 1 immediately. 100 J Pay 90% of the purchase price in two months. The amount paid in two months (1/6 of a year) is .90P . The present value on the date of sale is .90P 1.08 1/6 * The equation of value is P X .90P 100 J 1.081'6 This is equivalent to ^iw .90. Answer E ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page Ml-38 Module 1 - Interest Rates and the Time Value of Money 1 + Answer C 0.189 12 j r.i. 2063= 1- 12 -> 0.9845 = 1- d<12> 12 d(12)= 0.186 10. Since the one year rate of 4% is the lowest, we can immediately eliminate the possibility of investing in six consecutive one year CDs or three consecutive one year CDs coupled with a three year CD. The two possible choices for maximum yield are A) two consecutive 3 year CDs or B) a 5 year CD coupled with a one year CD. Note that our CDs will earn at quarterly rates. Term 1 3 C/l Nominal Annual Rate 4.00% 5.00% 5.65% Quarterly Rate 1.0000% 1.1250% 1.4125% The total accumulation factors under the two options are: Option A) Two consecutive 3 year CDs for n=12 quarters each. (1.0125)24 = 1.34735 Option B) A 5 year CD coupled with a one year CD. (1.014125)20 (1.01)4 = 1.377575 Option B) is better. It gives a total accumulation of 1.377575 over 24 quarters (which is six years). Therefore, the maximum annual effective rate an investor can earn over the six-year period is 1.3775751/6-l = .0548 Answer D 11. Below we tabulate the years remaining to ages 18 and 21 for each child. Age now Years to age 18 (X) Years to age 21 (Y) 17 20 15 18 12 15 The present value of the age 18 payments is X(v17 + v15 + v12) The present value of the age 21 payments is Y(v20 + v18 + v15) The present value of the total fund required is Z = X(v17 + v15 + v12) + Y(v20 + v18 + v15) Answer E ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 1 - Interest Rates and the Time Value of Money Page Ml- 39 Section 1.17 Supplemental Exercises 1. Given d(4) = 0.05, find i(6), v and 8. 2. Money accumulates at a simple interest rate of 6.5% per year. For the interval [4, 5], find i5. 3. If a(t) = (2t + l)4, find 8(t). 4. A deposit is made into a fund. For the first 5 years interest is credited at an annual nominal rate of 6% convertible quarterly. For the next 5 years interest is credited at an annual discount rate of 7% convertible semiannually. What is the equivalent constant force of interest for 10 year period? 5. A man deposits 500 into an account. At the end of 5 years the account has grown to 650. Find the annual nominal rate of interest convertible quarterly for this account. 6. Tom and Jerry deposit money into accounts at the same time. Tom's account earns at an annual effective rate of r. Jerry's account earns at a simple rate of r. For year 8, Tom's effective rate of interest is 1.5 times Jerry's effective rate for year 8. Find r. 7. An amount X is deposited into an account that pays 8% simple interest. At the same time — is deposited into an account that accumulates at a constant force of interest 8. The total interest earned in each account after 10 years is the same. Find 8. 8. A bank pays an annual effective interest rate of i. A man deposits 1000 today and 1500 in one year. At the end of two years his account is at 2800. Find i. 9. A woman makes deposits into an account of 100 today and 300 12 years later. For the first 12 years interest is credited at an annual nominal rate of 6% convertible quarterly. For the next 8 years the account earns at a force of interest of 8. At the end of 20 years the accumulated amount is 802. Find 8. 10. Elmer deposits 1000 into a bank account. The bank credits interest at an annual nominal rate of i convertible quarterly for the first 8 years and an annual nominal rate of 1.5i convertible bimonthly thereafter. The amount in his account at the then end of 5 years is 1516. What is the amount in his account at the end of 10 years? ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page Ml-40 Module 1 - Interest Rates and the Time Value of Money Section 1.18 Supplemental Exercise Solutions 1. We have the following equivalences: (1 - d»V4)-* = (1 + i(6)/6)6 = 1 + i = v"1 = es The common value is (1 - 0.05/4)"4 = 1.05160. i<« = 6(1.05161/6 - 1) = 0.0505. v = 1/1.0516 = 0.9509 £=ln(1.0516) = 0.0503 2. is = [a(5) - a(4)]/a(4) aft) = 1 + 0.065t a(4) = 1.260 a(5) = 1.325. is = (1.325 - 1.26)/1.26 = 0.0516 3. S(t) = d(t)la{t) = 4(2r + l)3(2)/(2t + l)4 = 8/(2t + 1) 4. The accumulation factor a(10) for the 10-year period is (1.015)20(1 - 0.035)10 = 1.9233 = ewS 5 = (l/10)ln(1.9233) = 0.0654 5. 500(1 + i(4)/4)20 =650 i(4> = 4[(650/500)1'20 - 1] = 0.0528 6. Tom's effective rate of interest for year 8 is r. Jerry's effective rate of interest for year 8 is (1 + 8r -1 - 7r)/(l + 7r) = r/(l + 7r). Therefore r = 1.5r/(l + 7r) => 1 + Ir = 1.5 => r = 0.5/7 = 0.0714 7. The total interest earned on the first account is (0.08)(10)X = 0.8X.The total interest earned on the second account is (X/2)(ewS-1) 0.8X = (X/2)(e10*-1) => 1.6 = eloS-1 10«5=ln(2.6) => S =0.0956 8. The accumulated amount in the account is 1000(1 + i)2 + 1500(1 + i) = 2800. Let x = 1 + i. This yields the quadratic equation 10x2 + 15jc - 28 = 0. The positive root of the equation is x = 1 + i = 1.084. => i = 0.084 9. The accumulated amount is [100Q.015)48 + 300]e8,s = 802. Thus 504.35e8,s= 802 => 8£=ln(1.59) => £=0.058 10. At the end of 5 years the accumulation is 1000(1 + i/4)20 = 1516. At the end of 10 years the accumulation is 1000(1 + i/4)32(l + 1.5i/6)12 = 1000(1 + i/4)44 (i/4 = l.Si/6) (1 + i/4)44 = 1.516*"20 = 2.49769 Accumulation is 2497.69 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 2-Annuities Annuities Section 2.1 Introduction Many financial obligations require a regular series of periodic payments. Mortgage and car payments are made at the end of every month. My pension plan pays me a set amount at the start of every month, and deducts another set amount for health insurance. Series of regular payments such as these are called annuities. Annuities are so widely used that calculators for business professionals are programmed to do annuity calculations. A deeper understanding requires knowledge of the mathematics behind the calculator automation. A unit annuity is one for which each regular payment is 1. As we saw above, annuity payments can be made at the beginning or the end of the time period. An annuity is immediate if payments are made at the end of the period, and due if the payments are made at the beginning. Below are diagrams for unit annuities with four payments. Annuity Immediate payments 1111 I 1 1 1 1 — time t 0 1 2 3 4 / First payment / made at the end of the first year (t=l) Annuity Due i i i 12 3 4 PageM2- 1 payments 1 time t *0 First payment made at the beginning of the first year (t=0) ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M2-2 Module 2 - Annuities The preceding diagrams are called timelines. You will find them to be a very important tool in solving many future problems. Geometric Series To find the present value or future value of an annuity, we will need to use the formula for the sum of a geometric series. Geometric series are very important for Exam FM. (2.1) 1 _ rn+1 1 + r + r +... + r = ,r *1 1-r Note that if \r\<l, the infinite geometric series converges: (2.2) 1 + r + r +...: 1-r ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Module 2-Annuities PageM2- 3 Section 2.2 Annuity Immediate Calculations The present value of an immediate annuity with n payments of 1 and interest rate i is denoted by a^i9 or a^ if the value of the interest rate is clear and does not need to be specified . The basic formula for a^ t is so important that we will derive it here: The present value of the unit annuity immediate is the sum of the individual present values of the payments of 1. payments time t 0 At t=0, the first payment is worth v. At t=0, the second payment is worth v At t=0, the n-th payment is worth v Present value =a^ = v + v +... + v = v(l + v + ... + vn_1) (l-vn) (l-vn) = V- - = V- 1-v d (1-y-) = v IV l-vn i Thus, we obtain the important formula: (2.3) l-vn ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M2-4 Module 2 - Annuities Example 1 Ifi (2.4) = 0.05 and n = i-m10 _ u.05j 0.05 10, = 7.7217 Not surprisingly, a financial calculator can be used for the above problem. The PMT key is used for the periodic payment of 1. On the BAII Plus Professional, the following entries give the result PV = - 7.7217: 0 1 5 10 |CPT} FV| pmt| vy\ n| pv) Note the sign convention. Positive amounts represent money paid to you, and negative amounts represent cash that you must pay out. If the applicable interest rate is 5%, you would need to pay out - 7.7217 to receive ten subsequent payments of+1. On exams most students use the calculator instead of the formula whenever possible to save time. You must still know the formula, since some questions are designed so that the calculator cannot be used directly and formula knowledge is required for solution. Exercise (2.5) Find the a2oi.05 using the formula and then check it using the calculator. Answer -12.4622 The future value of the unit annuity immediate with n payments is denoted by s^. It is the sum of the future values of the individual payments of 1. Sfl = (1 + i)n_1 + (1 + i)n~2 +.... + (1 + i) +1 Note that since the immediate annuity has year end payments the first payment earns interest for only n-1 periods and the last payment of 1 earns no interest. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 2-Annuities PageM2- 5 payments time t ° 2 • • • n At t=ny the n-th payment is worth 1. At t=n, the second payment is worth (l + i) At t=n, the first payment is worth (l + i)" . We could use geometric series summation to find s-%, but we can also find it quickly by multiplying a^ by (l + i)n: (2.6) s^=(l + i)na^ = (1 + 0" -1 This approach helps to avoid excessive memorization. If you know a^ you can easily get s^. Example (2.7) If i = 5% and n = 10, sja = (L05)10 (7.7217) = i^l = 12.5779 This could be done on the financial calculator as above. Set PMT =1, N=10,1/Y = 5 and CPT FV. Exercise (2.8) If n = 15 and i = 6%, find a^ and s^. Answers: «£1 = 9712 > siil = 23-276 To get another very helpful relationship, divide both sides of (2.6) by (1 + i)n: (2-9) laa-v-sa The relationships between a^ and s^ in (2.6) and (2.9) are intuitive. ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Page M2-6 Module 2 - Annuities Section 2.3 Perpetuities A perpetuity is an annuity in which payments are promised forever. The British government once sold securities called consols which would pay interest in perpetuity. The present value of a perpetuity immediate that pays 1 per period is denoted by a^. (2.10) 2 3 1 a-i = v + v^ +v +... = - -' i Note: If we write a^ as a limit, we obtain (2.11) a3=limas=hm l-vn 1 n->ro i I Example (2.12) If i = 5% , aa=-i- = 20 "' 0.05 Exercise (2.13) Find the present value of a unit perpetuity immediate with i = 8%. Answer: 12.5 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 2-Annuities Page M2- 7 Section 2.4 Annuities with Level Payments Other Than 1 Note that the present or future value of any immediate annuity can be found using a^\ and s^. If an immediate annuity has payment P, its present and future value are given by PV = Pc^ FV = Ps^ Example (2.14) Find the present value of an annuity of n = 10 payments of P = 100 if i = 5%: 100 am = 100(7.7217) = 772.17 Before the electronic computing age, mathematicians compiled tables of values of a^ for ranges of n and i. Present values of annuities were calculated by multiplying tabular values of a^ by the relevant P, as above. At present, the problem in Example (2.14) is more likely to be solved using a financial calculator and computing PV with |PMT| = 100, |/Y] = 5, |FV| = 0 and |n] = 10. Exercise (2.15) Find the present value of an i = 8% annuity of n = = 30 payments of P = Answer: = 500 if 5,628.89 | ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M2-8 Module 2 - Annuities Section 2.5 Annuity Due Calculations The present value of an n-period unit annuity due is denoted by a^. payments 1 1 • • • 1 I 1 1 1 1 time t 0 1 "• n-1 0 1 At t=0, the first payment is worth 1. At t=0, the second payment is worth v. At t=0, the n -th payment is worth v Notice the n-th payment occurs at t=n-l. Since payments are made at the beginning of the period , n_x l-vn l-vn 1-v Thus, (2.16) <*H1 1-v" This is easy to remember, since it is obtained by taking the equation for a^ and replacing the i in the denominator by d. This pattern persists in the future value and perpetuity formulas and is most helpful in keeping memorization to a minimum. (2.17) s^ _(i+jT-i (2.18) a^=- Another way to look at this relationship is to say that we could get a^ by multiplying a~} by —. Since — = 1 + i, we have a d ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 2-Annuities PageM2- 9 (2.19) (2.20) (2.21) aa: = 1^ =(i +0as s'sM i = (!■ ^)s^ a=i = -ia* = (1 +0a^ This was useful in the days of tables, since it meant that it was not necessary to show a^i in the tables. Calculator technology has replaced the old table methods for interest theory in most disciplines, but actuarial mathematics is still table-based. You need to understand how to use the tables to tackle actuarial mathematics. Example(2.22) Given i = 5% and n = 10, find a^ directly and check it using (2.19). Solution. 1- 1 ,10 1.05 Q^~"f0.05 U-05. Check: From Example(2.4), am = 7.7217 = 8.1078 aiol (0.05) ro.05^ U.05J (7.7217) = 1.05(7.7217) = 8.1078 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M2-10 Module 2 - Annuities Calculator Note Annuity due calculations are done with the calculator reset to the BGN (begin) mode for payment made at the beginning of the payment period. Note that the letters BGN appear above the PMT key. If you key in 2ND BGN you will see either BGN or END. You can change to another mode by keying 2ND SET and ENTER. Remember that you can leave this menu by pressing the CE/C key. It is most important on actuarial exams to be aware of your present mode. The majority of problems require END mode. If you do a BGN mode problem and do not set your mode back to END, you will have trouble on subsequent problems. Exercise (2.23) If n = 15 and i = 6%, find a^ and s^. Answers: a^\ = 10.295 , s^\ = 24.673 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 2-Annuities PageM2-ll Section 2.6 Continuous Annuities A continuous unit annuity pays a total of 1 per year, but spreads the payment out continuously by paying ldt in each small time interval of length dt. The present value of a continuous unit annuity paying from time 0 to time n is denoted by a^. The present value of a continuous annuity is found by integration: -f ■f eto(v)tdt -e -St -e-5n+l 8 1-v" In the above, we use the important identity 8 = ln(l + i) [from (1.32)] and the fact that ln(v) = In — ~to(l + <)~* The final result is: (2.24) _ l-vn i Note that this shows a pattern similar to that observed for d^. We can find a^\ by replacing i by S in the denominator of a^. This is equivalent to multiplying an\ by —. Similarly, 0 (2.25) ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Page M2-12 Module 2 - Annuities (2.26) Example (2.27) _ 1 i For i = 5%, n = 10, and S = In (1.05) = 0.0488, find a^. Solution. 1- a = ,105/ =79132 161 ln(1.05) This can be checked approximately using the — relationship and S the fact that am = 7.7217: . _ (0.05) (0.0488) (7.7217) = 7.9116 The slight discrepancy above is due to rounding. If the above calculation is done by storing am and ln(1.05)in the calculator memory directly, more significant figures are used and we see that ajoj is 7.9132. This leads to a useful principle, below. ssNf Calculator Note It is best to store needed numbers in calculator memory with full calculator precision. Writing down a three or four place approximation is a useful record of your work, but re-entering the approximation in the calculator in place of the original number takes time and loses accuracy. Exercise (2.28) If n = 15 and i = 6%, find a^ and s^. Answers: , a"^ = 10.0008, s^] = 23.9675 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 2-Annuities Section 2.7 Basic Annuity Problems for Calculator Practice Note that we can solve for each of the variables PV, FV, PMT, N and I/Y using the BA II Plus. In this section we give an example of each. Example (2.29) I PMT problem A loan for 20,000 must be repaid with 5 year end payments at an annual rate of 12%. What is the annual payment? Solution. Set PV = 20000, N=5, I/Y = 12 and CPT PMT = -5,548.19. | Your annual payment is $5,548.19 Exercise (2.30) A loan for 20,000 must be repaid with 5 year end payments at an annual rate of 10%. What is the annual payment? | Answer: $5,275.95 Example (2.31) PV problem You wish to make a deposit now in an account earning 5% annually I so that that you can get a payment of 1000 at the end of each of the next 15 years. How much should you deposit today? Solution. Set PMT=1000, N=15, I/Y = 5 and CPT PV = -10,379.66. You should deposit $10,379.66. Exercise (2.32) What would the required deposit be in (2.31) if you wanted 20 years of payments instead of 15? Answer: $12,462.21 Example (2.33) FV problem You want to accumulate 20,000 in an account earning 4.5% per year by making a level deposit at the beginning of each of the next 12 years. Find the required level payment. Solution. The calculator needs to be put in BGN mode. Once this is done set FV=20,000, N=12, I/Y = 4.5 and CPT PMT = -1,237.63 The level payment is $1,237.63. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M2-14 Module 2 - Annuities Exercise (2.34) What would the required level deposit be in (2.33) if the interest rate were 6%? I Answer: $1,118.43 At this point, be sure to reset the calculator to END mode for the next problem. Example (2.35) I/Y problem You have borrowed 15,000 and agreed to repay the loan with 5 level payments of 4000, with the first payment occurring one year from today. What interest rate are you paying? Solution. Set PV=15,000, N=5, PMT = -4000 and CPT I/Y = 10.42 You are paying 10A2% interest per year. Note that the PV is positive since it represents cash given to you and the PMT is negative because it is cash that you must pay. If you forget the minus sign the BA II Plus will give an error message 1 when you hit CPT. Exercise (2.36) What would the interest rate be in (2.35) if the payment were 4300? Answer: 13.34% Note: Usually, it is not possible to solve for the exact interest rate, so the calculator uses a numerical approximation method to find it. Example (2.37) N problem You want to accumulate at least 20,000 in an account paying 4.5% annually by making a level deposit of 1000 at the beginning of the year for as long as necessary. Find the required number of deposits. Solution. The calculator needs to be put in BGN mode. Once this is done set FV=20,000, I/Y = 4.5, PMT = -1000 and CPT N = 14.11. This means that 14 payments are not enough, and you must make a 15th I payment to have at least 20,000 Exercise (2.38) How many payments would be needed in (2.37) if the interest rate were 6%? Answer: 13 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 2-Annuities PageM2-15 Section 2.8 Annuities with Varying Payments Not all series of payments are level. In practice, it's quite possible to encounter varying series of payments such as those below: Series of Payments: 500, 0, 200, 300 1,2,3,4 4, 3, 2,1 1,1.05, 1.1025= (1.05)2 Payments Made: At end of period At end of period At end of period Beginning of period Type of Annuity Sequence: — Arithmetic increasing Arithmetic decreasing Geometric annuity In interest theory, there are complicated formulas for the last three sequences presented here. But your calculator will do any of them, and do them faster than using formulas if there are only four or five terms to input. If i = 0.05, you could use the BAII Plus to find the present value of the increasing annuity {1,2,3,4} using the CF and NPV keys: Hit the |CF] key to activate the cash flow menu. You will see a prompt for the value of CF0, the cash flow at time 0. In this case there is no payment until time 1. Use your arrow keys to scroll down and you will see a prompt for C01, the cash flow at time 1. Enter the number 1. Scroll down again, and there will be a new prompt - "F01=" . This is a request for the number of times (frequency) that this value is repeated. The default value is 1, and if you scroll past, the value of 1 will be assumed with no entry. Scroll down again, and you will be prompted for the value of C02. Enter 2. Repeat this process until all values are entered. Then calculate the NPV with the keystrokes. ENTER NEV§ CPT The display will show the answer 8.6488. Another example: if i = 0.05, we can use the BAII Plus to find the present value of the first series {500, 0, 200, 300} using the NPV function with 1=5 and the cash flows provided. The present value (NPV) is 895.77. Note that CF0=0y because CF0 is the initial payment at the beginning time t=0y and the payment of 500 is at the end of the period (t=l). Thus, we have CF0=0> CF 1=500, and CF2=0. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M2-16 Module 2 - Annuities Section 2.9 Increasing Annuities with Terms in Arithmetic Progression Calculator knowledge will help on some problems, but to prepare for Exam FM we must review the specialized interest theory formulas for increasing and decreasing annuities. The use of these formulas is often required on exam problems. An annuity whose n payments are 1, 2,..., n is called a unit increasing immediate annuity. If payments are made at the end of each period, the annuity is immediate and is denoted by (Ia)^. Clearly, (Ia)^ =v + 2v2+3v3 +... + nvn. payments ► h time t ► 0 It can be shown that (2.39) ('").= _flfl-w Example (2.40) Let i = 5% and n = 4. Then the annuity payments are 1, 2, 3, 4 and (la) -^-4y4= 8.6488 v ^ 0.05 This can be checked on the BAII Plus Professional by using the NPVfunction on the cashflow sequence 1, 2, 3, 4 (where CF1=1 and 1=5). Exercise (2.41) Find (la)^ for i = 0.06. Answer: 10.295 - 6.259 (Ia)^\ = = 67.2668 0.06 ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Module 2-Annuities PageM2-17 As with level annuities, the formulas for the increasing unit annuity due can be obtained by multiplying by -- = 1 + i. a (2.42) (^h4(lah=(1+i)(Iah=^T- Example (2.43) Let i = 5% and n = 4. Then, (Id)^ = 1.05(8.6488) = 9.0812 Exercise (2.44) Find (la)^ for i = 0.06. Answer: (7a)^i = 71.3028 The future value of an increasing unit annuity immediate is denoted by (Is)^. One can avoid excessive memorization by using the relationship (Is)^ = (1 + i)n (Ia)^. Below, we show the commonly used expressions for (Is)^. (2.45) (Js)a=(l + i)"(Jfl)a = _Sfl-rc i (2.46) (ls),=(l + ir(la),=^ = l(ls). The number of formulas here appears overwhelming, but the situation is quite simple. If you can calculate (la)^ all of the other values discussed can be obtained by multiplication by (1 + i)n and — = 1 + i d Extensive memorization is not required! ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Page M2-18 Module 2 - Annuities Section 2.10 Decreasing Annuities with Terms in Arithmetic Progression The unit decreasing immediate annuity has n payments: n, n-1, . . . , 1. Its present value is denoted by (Da)^. payments time t n-1 As before, you really need to know only one formula. It can be shown that (2.48) n-fla (Da),=^ = (l + i)(Da), (2.49) (2.50) (D8)a=a + 0"(Da)a (Ds)a=(l + i)-(Da)a Each of the last three values can easily be obtained from (2.47) Example (2.51) Given i = 5% and n = 4, 41 0.05 0.05 This can be checked on the BAII Plus Professional using the NPV function on the sequence 4, 3, 2,1 with 1=5. Exercise (2.52) Find (Da)^ for i = 0.06. 15 - 9.7122 Answer: (Da)^\ = = 88.1292 0.06 ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Module 2-Annuities PageM2-19 Section 2.11 A Single Formula for Annuities with Terms in Arithmetic Progression Suppose the first payment in an annuity immediate is P > 0 and the subsequent payments change by Q per period, where Q can be either positive or negative. If the annuity has n payments, the sequence of payments is P,P + Q,P + 2Q,...,P + (n - 1)Q. It can be shown that the present value of this annuity is (2.S3) P*a + Q 'a^-nvn Note that (Ia)^ is the special case where P=l and Q=l and (Da)^ is the special case where P = n and Q = -1. Note that multiplication of (2.S3) by (1 + i)n shows that the future value of the annuity at time n is Ps^\ + ——. -. Some students prefer to memorize only this single more general PQ formula. Our own recommendation is to know it in addition to (Da) and (la), since each formula has time saving features in different problems. Note that the limit of the above expression as n becomes infinite gives the present value of an increasing perpetuity immediate of the form P,P + Q,P + 2Q,...,P + nQ,... as (2.S4) ?♦* This has been used in past exam problems. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M2-20 Module 2 - Annuities Section 2.12 Annuities with Terms in Geometric Progression Consider the sequence of payments 1, 1.05, 1.1025 = (1.05)2, made at the end of the period. payments time t 1.05 (1.05)2 Suppose that we wish to find the present value of this series at the rate i = 10%. From first principles, 1.10 (1.10)2 (1.10)3 110 , 1.05 fl.05 1 + + 1.10 11.10 This is a geometric series with n=2andr=H5 1.10 1.10 1- 1.05 1.10 1- 1.05 1.10 = 2.6052 Payments increased geometrically with a rate of growth of g= 0.05. In general, we can consider a geometrically increasing sequence with a rate of growth g and n terms: l^l + ^^l + g)2,...^^^-1 Suppose that these payments are made at the end of the period. If we wish to find the present value at some interest rate i, we have (i+t) (l+o (i+i) •\3 + ...+ 1 + i i+ii±iyi+s l + i ■\2 l + i + ...+ (1 + g)" 1+g l + i n-l The quantity in parentheses is a geometric series with ratio r = (Hi) (l + i)" ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 2-Annuities PageM2-21 Thus: (2.SS) Some students memorize this, but they have to be careful to adjust for modifications such as payments at the beginning of the period instead of the end. Others feel that problems are best attacked by simply recognizing the pattern and applying geometric series formulas. Example (2.56) Given i = 10%, find the present value of the sequence of payments 1.05,(1.05)2,...,(1.05)10 Payments are made at the beginning of the period. Payments 1.05 (l.05)2 (l.05)3 (l.05)4 (l.05)S I 1 1 1 1— Time, t =0 1 2 3 4 4- (1.05)9 (1.05)" + 8 10 Solution. Note that this series starts with 1.05, not 1, and that the payments are made at the beginning of the period. (2.S7) does not directly apply. We will need to factor to get a geometric series since a geometric series must begin with 1: 10 PV = 1.05 + ± L" + 77T7T2"f' •• +777^9 = L05 factor -1.05 (1.10)' 1 1.05 (1.05 1 + + i.io U-io +...+ (1.10)" 1.05 1.10 geometric series—begins with 1 ,10' 1.05V l.ioj 1.05 1.10 = 8.59 The perpetuity version of (2.55) is easier to remember: If g is the rate of growth, i is the interest rate, and g<i, the present value is (2.S7) i-g If g > i the present value of the perpetuity is infinite. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M2-22 Module 2 - Annuities Note that (2.S7) applies to end-of-period payments and must be adjusted for beginning-of-period problems. This will be illustrated in the next example. Example (2.58) Given i = 10%, find the present value of the perpetuity 1.05,(1.05)2,...,(1.05)\... if a) payments are made at the end of the period, and b) payments are made at the beginning of the period. Solution. a) END PVEND= — = 21 0.10-0.05 b) BEGIN PVBEGIN = I.IPVend = 1.1(21) = 23.1 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 2-Annuities PageM2-23 Section 2.13 Equations of Value and Loan Payments We already looked at the problem of finding the payment on a loan using a financial calculator. Now we will discuss how this is handled using unit annuity notation. Suppose that you borrow $10,000 at an interest rate of i = 8% with level payments at the end of each year for 10 years. How do you find the payment P? The principle that is used to find P is that the present value of payments must equal the value of the loan: 10,000 = Pam. Thus, P = 10,000 10,000 fliol 6.7101 = 1490.29. The computation is simple, but the key point here is the principle involved: the two present values must be the same. Also note: the payment above could easily be calculated from a financial calculator with inputs [|v| =10,000, | = 8 and |nJ = 10 for a calculation of |PMT|, Example (2.59) You will deposit 10,000 in a bank at the beginning of this year and the following two years. At the end of two years, you will retire and want to withdraw a level payment P starting at the beginning of year 4 and continuing for five years. The bank pays interest at a rate of i = 8%. What is P? Solution. The diagram below illustrates the problem. Deposit 10,000 10,000 10,000 Time, t =0 Withdrawals 3 P 4 P 5 P 6 P 7 P We will use the value equation for t = 3: [value of account at t = 3] = [PV of withdrawals t=3] 10,000(s^)= Pd^. Thus, P = 10,000 lfisl. = 10,000 3.5061 4.3121 = 8,130.82 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M2-24 Module 2 - Annuities Section 2.14 Deferred Annuities and a Useful Annuity Identity There are cases in which you may want an annuity to begin in some future period. For example, you might plan to retire in 5 years and want to purchase an annuity immediate that pays 10,000 per year for ten years starting 5 years from now. The present value of this annuity would be v5 (10,000)a^. An annuity like this is called a deferred annuity. In general the present value of an n-year unit annuity immediate deferred for k years is vka^. There is a nice identity that breaks down the present value of an annuity immediate into the sum of a shorter term annuity and a deferred annuity. We will illustrate this by looking at an example with n = 5. The present value of a five-period immediate annuity is da = v + v2 + v3 + v4 + v5 = v + v2 + v3 + v3(v + v2) = (Z3J + v3a^\ Payment 11111 I 1 1 1 1 1 Time, t =0 1 2 3 4 5 V _ SK w J V V Three payment annuity; jwo payment annuity; PV = aj\ at t=3. PV = (Z31 at t=0 To obtain py t=ot you must discount 3 three periods: PV [at t=0]= V a^. PV@t=0: ^3l+V3a2i Thus the present value of a five-period immediate unit annuity can be broken down into the present value of a three period annuity and the present value of a two period annuity to start in three periods. This reasoning works in general. The present value of an annuity for n+k periods is the sum of the present value of an n-period annuity starting immediately and a fc-period annuity deferred for n periods. We can rewrite this identity as ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 2-Annuities PageM2-25 It is typical for actuarial examination questions to give pieces of this identity when you really need other pieces: Example (2.60) Given a% = 3.5460 and v4 = 0.8227. Find a^. Solution. <*8l = <*3i + v4aa = 3.5460 + .8227(3.5460) = 6.463 This is a pre-calculator era interest theory problem. Using the BA II Plus calculator, one could set N=4, PMT = 1 and PV = -3.5460 and solve for the interest rate -it is 5%. Then change N to 8 and solve for I PV. This gives the answer 6.463. | ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M2-26 Module 2 - Annuities Section 2.15 Variable Annuities We pointed out previously that the financial calculator NPV function could be used to evaluate increasing and decreasing annuities. In some problems, the calculator approach may require steps, as we shall see in the next problem where the interest rate is not given directly. Example (2.61) An annuity pays 1 at the end of each of the next four years and 2 at the end of each of the four following years. Given a^ = 3.5460 and v4 = 0.8227, find the present value of the annuity. Solution. We can break this annuity into two pieces: an 8 year unit annuity and a second 4 year deferred annuity. 8-Year 11111111 4-Year 00001111 Total Received 11112222 I 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Time, t =0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 We have already used the given information to find a^ = 6.463. Thus a$ + v4a^ = 6.4630 + (0.8227)(3.5460) = 9.380 Exercise (2.62) An annuity pays 100 at the end of each of the next 10 years and 200 at the end of each of the five following years. If i = .08, find the present value of the annuity. J Answer: 1,040.89 The variability of an annuity can take many different forms, which you will see as you look at the examination problems at the end of this module. The next two examples illustrate this. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 2-Annuities PageM2-27 Example (2.63) An annuity immediate has a first payment of 100 and increases by 100 each year until payments reach 500. There are 10 further payments of ^OH TTinH thf* nrpspnt v^Iiia at f\ 53k 500. Find the present value at 6.5% Solution. The equation of value is PV = 100 (la)^ + v5 500a^ = 100 (11.9445) + 0.7299 (500) (7.1888) = 3817.95 100 (la)^ 500 a^ ^ ^ ^ A r ^^ ^ Payments 100 200 ••• 400 500 ••• 500 500 I 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Time, t =0 1 2 ••• 4 5 •■■ 14 15 Example (2.64) An annuity immediate has 5 initial payments of 100 followed by a perpetuity of 200 starting in the 6th year. Find the present value at 8%. Solution. There are a number of ways to attack this problem. Perhaps the simplest is to think of this annuity as a perpetuity immediate of 100 starting now augmented by a second perpetuity immediate of 100 starting in 5 years. Payments: PV 100/0.08 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 PV vs(l00/0.08) o 0 0 0 0 100 100 h 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Time, t=0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 ' The present value of a single perpetuity of 100 is = 1250 Thus the total present value is 1250 + v51250 = 2100.73 Exercise (2.65) An annuity immediate has a first payment of 100 and increases by 100 each year until payments reach 500. The remaining payments are a perpetuity immediate of 500 beginning in year 6. Find the present value at 6.5%. Answer: 6,808.92 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M2-28 Module 2 - Annuities Section 2.16 Annuity Problems with Interest Rate Variations We saw in Module 1 that interest rates may be specified in many different ways through use of nominal rates, discount rates, continuous rates and rate equivalents. In this section we will look at a number of variations that you may see on the exams. Use of nominol rotes The first and most useful to know in practice is the direct use of nominal rates, since this is the way mortgage rates are quoted in the United States. If a lender tells you that he can give you a mortgage rate of 6%, he probably means a nominal rate of 6% convertible monthly, or 6% -5-12 = 0.5% per month. Example (2.66) Find the monthly level payment for a 6% thirty year mortgage loan of 300,000. Solution. The calculator solution is direct. Note that mortgage payments are made at the end of the month, so that you should be in END mode. The loan is for 360 months at 0.5% per month. Set N=360, PV=300000,1/Y=.5 and CPT PMT = -1,798.65. Exercise (2.67) Find the monthly payment for the loan above if it is made for 15 years. I Answer: 2,531.57 Any of the problem types we have seen so far can be re-stated in terms of a nominal rate. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 2-Annuities PageM2-29 Example (2.68) An annuity immediate has twenty initial quarterly payments of 25 followed by a perpetuity of quarterly payments of 50 starting in the sixth year. Find the present value at 8% convertible quarterly. Solution. We can think of this annuity as a quarterly perpetuity immediate of 25 starting now augmented by a second quarterly perpetuity immediate of 25 starting in 5 years. Payments: PV PV 25/0.02 v20 (50/0.02) 1 25 0 1 25 T° 25 0 1 T° 25 -ho 25 25 1 25 25 1 1 Quarters t =0 1 2 3 ••• 19 20 21 The quarterly interest rate is 2%. 25 The present value of a single perpetuity of 25 is — = 1250 Thus the total present value is 1250 + 1 5,n = 2091.21 1.0220 There is an actuarial notation that was used in conjunction with compound interest tables in the past to solve problems. The notation a^ was used for the present value of an annuity which paid 1/m at the end of each m-th of a year. Thus a^2) stood for the present value of an annuity which paid 1/12 at the end of each month for 30 years. It can be shown that n\ j(m) n| This notation was helpful when problems had to be solved using compound interest tables. We will only mention it in passing here, since it is now less widely used and we can solve practical problems without it. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M2-30 Module 2 - Annuities Section 2.17 Rates where Interest is Convertible More or Less Frequently than Paid The next cases involve instances where interest is convertible either more or less frequently than it is paid. We will illustrate what to do with examples, since the basic approach is intuitively obvious. Example (2.69) An annuity immediate has semiannual payments of 100 for 10 years at a rate of 6% convertible monthly. Find its present value. Solution. There are 20 semiannual payments of 100. We are given a monthly rate of 6% -s-12 = 0.5%, but we need a semiannual rate. Compound the monthly rate 6 times to get the semiannual rate. i = (1.005)6-l = .0304. Now we have a calculator problem. Set N=20, PMT=100,1/Y=3.04 and CPT PV = -1,482.57 Exercise (2.70) An annuity immediate has quarterly payments of 200 for 15 years at a rate of 9% convertible monthly. Find its present value. Answer: 6,523.84 Example (2.71) An annuity immediate has monthly payments of 100 for 10 years at a rate of 6% convertible semiannually. Find its present value. Solution. There are 120 monthly payments of 100. We are given a semiannual rate of 6% + 2 = 3%, but we need a monthly rate. Take the 6th root of the semiannual interest factor 1.03 to obtain a monthly rate. i = (1.03)1/6-l = .004939. Now we have a calculator problem. Set N=120, PMT=100,1/Y=0.4939 and CPT PV = -9,037.42 Exercise (2.72) An annuity immediate has quarterly payments of 200 for 15 years at a rate of 9% convertible semiannually. Find its present value. Answer: 6,588.05 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 2-Annuities Page M2-31 Section 2.18 Reinvestment Problems In some cases where payments are made to you, you might reinvest the payments. The next examples illustrate first a basic reinvestment problem and then a more complex problem of a type that has appeared on exams. Example (2.73) You lend a relative 1000 and he agrees to pay you 6% interest on the original $1,000 at the end of every year for 10 years and then return the 1000. You can reinvest the interest payments at 5%. How much will you have in total in 10 years? What is your overall interest earnings rate? Solution. At the end of ten years you will have: a) The return of the original 1000. b) The future value of 10 payments of 60 (the interest at 6% on $1000). Set PMT=-60,1/Y=5, N=10 and CPT FV = 754.67 The total is 1000+754.67 = 1754.67. To find the overall interest rate earned note that you invested 1000 and had a total of 1754.67 in 10 years. Set PV = -1000, FV = 1754.67, N=10 and CPT I/Y = 5.78. It makes sense that your rate is between the two interest | rates of 5% and 6%. Exercise (2.74) How much would you have in (2.73) if your reinvestment rate was 4%? Answer: 1,720.37 Example (2.75) You invest payments of 1,000 per year at the beginning of each year for 5 years. The original payments earn 10% interest, but the interest received on the payments must be reinvested at 8%. How much will you have at the end of 5 years? Solution. The table below shows the relevant payments. I Time 1 Payment invested 1 Total payments to date 1 Interest on payments at 10% 0 1,000 1,000 0 l 1,000 2,000 100 2 1,000 3,000 200 3 1,000 4,000 300 4 1,000 5,000 400 5 1 0 5,000 500 | Note that the numbers in last row are the deposits to the 8% reinvestment account, and these are an arithmetically increasing annuity. At the end of 5 years you will have 5000 in payments to date plus the amount in the reinvestment account. 5000 +100 (Is)^ 08 = 5000 +100 (16.6991) = 6669.91 Note that the answer pattern in this type of problem is (# of payments)(payment)+(payment)(interest rate on payments) (7s)^, where (Js)^ is the reinvestment rate. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M2-32 Module 2 - Annuities Section 2.19 Inflation Price inflation is a constant topic in our daily news. Everyone is worried about increases in the price of gas and food. Inflation also affects the interest rates that lenders charge -if a lender expects high inflation she will raise the interest rate charged to borrowers. We will start our discussion of inflation with a simple example of the effect of inflation on purchasing power. Suppose that you like to have wine with dinner, and buy an annual supply of 52 liters of wine (one per week) each January. If the price today is $10 per liter, you will spend $520 this January. If you want to put money aside for next year's purchase, you might decide to invest another $520 to provide for a wine purchase next year. If the current interest rate is 5%, in one year you will have. $520(1.05) = $546 Hopefully this investment will enable you to buy more wine next year than this year, but inflation has to be considered. Suppose that next January the price of wine has inflated by 3% to $10.30 per liter. Then the number of liters you can buy next January is 546 ,53.01 10.30 This certainly gives you more wine, but not 5% more. Your increase in wine consumption is ^1-1*0.0194 52 Thus your 5% investment gives only a 1.94% real increase in purchasing power. We will denote the 5% rate at which you can lend by i. This is called the nominal rate. We will denote the inflation rate by r. The rate at which you can really increase purchasing power is referred to as the real rate, and will be denoted by j. In general (l + i) = (l + j)(l + r)«r (1 + J) = j^ In practice, you will generally know i and r and will solve for the real rate of return j using the second equation above. The first equation gives us the relation; -i-r -jr. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 2-Annuities Page M2-33 It is common to omit the jr term and approximate the real rate of return by i-r. In our first example an analyst might say that the real rate of return is 5% - 3% = 2%, but the real rate is truly 1.94%. This is a small difference, but the approximation can work badly in countries which are experiencing hyperinflation and high interest rates. For example if i = 0.50 and r = 0.30, then i-r = 0.20 andj = — -1*0.154. 1.3 Economists provide a number of different indices to measure inflation. The most commonly quoted index is the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which covers the average price of a typical market basket of goods and services needed for daily life. The details of CPI calculation are not tested on exam FM/2. Inflation estimates are used in two different ways: 1. The first is use of the historical inflation index to see what has already happened. In the wine buying example, we found that with a nominal earnings rate of 5% and actual past inflation of 3% we had a real increase in purchasing power of 1.94%. 2. The second way is to use a projected inflation rate to make a decision about the future. Suppose that you are a lender who wants to earn a real year rate of 3% over the next year and believes that inflation will be 2%. Then you will want to lend at the nominal rate i defined by 1 + i = 1.03(1.02) = 1.0506 or i = 5.06%. In one year you can look back at actual inflation and see if you actually did earn at the required real rate. You can buy bonds which are designed to adjust over time so as to protect you against inflation risk. The United States government sells Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) and I-Bonds for this purpose. The details of TIPS and I-Bond calculation are not tested on exam FM/2. A bond issuer can create a bond that is made more attractive by having payments adjusted to account for anticipated inflation. This is a source of possible test problems that look like growing annuity problems. The next example illustrates this type of problem. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M2-34 Module 2 - Annuities Example (2.76) A corporation issues a ten year bond that is designed to compensate for expected inflation of 3% per year. Instead of using a coupon of 5% on a face value of $1000, the company offers a coupon series starting at 50(1.03) = 51.50 and increasing each year by 3%. The payment at maturity will be adjusted to 1000 (1.03)10 = 1343.92. If investors are willing to buy this bond at a nominal yield of 5%, the price of the bond is the present value 50(1.03) 50(1.03)2 50(1.03)10 1000(1.03) 10 1.05 1.052 = 50 1.03 1.05 1.0510 ' 1.0510 50 50 ^ , (1.03) (1.03)2 (1.03)9 1 + - - + - t- + ... + ■ 1.05 1.052 1.05* 1000(1.03) 1.051 10 50 U-05 1.03 1.05 10 A 1- 1.03 1.05 ,100("1:°3''°, 450.50, 825.05 = 1275.55 1.05 10 Note that since the real rate 1 + j is given by ——, this present value is equal to SOa^j + 1000 (i+i) 10 ' Thus we can evaluate this present value at the real rate on the BAII Plus calculator using the key strokes: 1.05 01.03 = - 1 = x 100= I/Y 50PMT ION 1000 FV CPTPV In court awards for personal injury the final award may be an annuity intended to replace the income of a disabled person. The payments can be indexed so that they increase with anticipated inflation, just as the person's earnings would have increased with inflation. The next example illustrates such a payment scheme. ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Module 2-Annuities Page M2-35 Example (2.77) A court award is intended to replace an individual's current annual salary of $50,000. Inflation is anticipated to be 3%. The award will consist of a series of 25 end-of-year payments starting at 50,000(1.03) and increasing at 3% per year until the final payment. At a nominal rate of 6%, the present value of this award is 50000(1.03) 50000(1.03)2 50000(1.03) 25 1.06 1.06l = 50000 f—, [1.06J 50 (1.03) (1.03)2 1.06 1.062 1.0625 50 N (1.03)24 1.06 24 = 50000 ri.03 U-06J V /1_ri.o3^ 2S\ 1.06J 1- 1.03 1.06 = 879,195.31 Note that since the real rate factor 1+j is given by value is equal to SOjOOOa^j. 1.06 1.03 ,this present Thus we can evaluate this present value at the real rate on the BA II Plus calculator using the key strokes: 1.06 S 1.03 = - 1 = x loo = I/Y 50000 PMT 25 N 0FV CPTPV ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M2-36 Module 2 - Annuities Section 2.20 Formula Sheet Geometric Series l-rn+1 1 1 + r + r2 +... + rn = ,r*l 1 + r + r2 +... = , Irkl 1-r 1-r Annuities Immediate a^=—7— ss=(l + i) as=^ j a^=vns^ Due a^=——- ss=(l + i) a^ = aia=vnsia Perpetuities a^ = v + v2 + v3 +... = - a-^ = — i a Relation 1 = 1 + i-> a^=±a^ = (l + i)a^ s^ =lsa =(l + i)sa Continuous as = —— = -aa sa = i j = -sn Increasing Payments are 1, 2,..., n ('«), -^ («)a ->), -<i+0(H. -^ (JS)a = (1 +1)" (la), = S!fi (S)a = (1 + 0" (M)a = ^ = i(JS)a Decreasing Payments are n, n-1,...,2,1 Present value of the annuity with terms PyP + QyP + 2Q,...,P + (n - 1)Q Finite n Pa^ + QI a^~ny Perpetuity — + ^» \ l J l l A useful identity ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 2-Annuities Section 2.21 Basic Review Problems 1. Find a25i>06 ,S25i.06 , aMo6, a^ and a^06 2. A loan for 8,000 must be repaid with 6 year end payments at an annual rate of 11%. What is the annual payment? 3. You wish to make a deposit now in an account earning 6% annually so that you can get a payment of 250 at the end of each of the next 8 years. How much should you deposit today? 4. You want to accumulate 12,000 in a 5% account by making a level deposit at the beginning of each of the next 9 years. Find the required level payment. 5. You have borrowed 10,000 and agreed to repay the loan with 5 level payments of 2500. What interest rate are you paying? 6. For i = 0.06 find (la)^ (Is)^ and (Da)^. 7. Given i = 8%, find the present value of the perpetuity 1.04,(1.04)2,...,(1.04)n,... for a) the immediate case, and b) due case. 8. An annuity pays 100 at the end of each of the next 5 years and 300 at the end of each of the five following years. If i = .06, find the present value of the annuity. 9. An annuity immediate has a first payment of 200 and increases by 100 each year until payments reach 600. There are 5 further payments of 600. Find the present value at 5.5%. 10. An annuity immediate has 40 initial quarterly payments of 20 followed by a perpetuity of quarterly payments of 25 starting in the eleventh year. Find the present value at 4% convertible quarterly 11. An annuity immediate has semiannual payments of 1000 for 25 years at a rate of 6% convertible quarterly. Find its present value. 12. An annuity immediate has quarterly payments of 500 for 6 years at a rate of 4% convertible semiannually. Find its present value. 13. You lend 10,000 and the borrower agrees to pay you 8% interest at the end of every year for 5 years and then return the 10,000. You can reinvest the interest payments at 6%. How much will you have in total in 5 years? 14. You invest payments of 2000 per year at the beginning of each year for 8 years. The original payments earn 8% interest, but the interest received on the payments must be reinvested at 5%. How much will you have at the end of 8 years. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M2-38 Module 2 - Annuities Section 2.22 Basic Review Problem Solutions Calculator solutions will be given whenever possible. For problems 1-7, the calculator was used; keystrokes can be found in similar problems in the text. 1. 12.78, 54.86,12.16,11.81,16.67 2. 1,891.01 3. 1552.45 4. 1036.46 5. 7.93% 6. 67.2668,161.2088, 88.1292 7. a) Payments made at the end of the period (immediate): PF»°=ra=26 b) Payments made at the beginning of the period (due): PVbegin = 1.08PVEnd = 1.08(26) = 28.08 8. We can break this annuity into two parts -a ten year annuity with payment of 100 and a 5 year deferred annuity with payment of 200. 5-year annuity with payment of $200; PV = 200asi at t=5- To obtain PV t=0y you must discount 5 periods: PV[att=0]= V5(200)a5i. 5-year deferred: 10-year annuity: r A 100 —h- 100 —h- 200 100 Time, t =0 26c 100 H 10 10 year annuity with payment of $100; PV = lOOa^ at t=0 pv@t=0: I00a^+v5(200)a^ The present value is lOOa^ + v5 (200)^ = 736.01 + (0.7473)(842.47) = 1,365.59 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 2-Annuities PageM2-39 9. Consider the payment streams as three separate annuities: 1 Total payment: Which equals: lOOdsi 100(la)j, v5(600)aJ{ l 1 | Time, t =0 200 100 100 1 1 1 300 100 200 i l 2 600 100 500 i l 5 600 600 i I 6 600 600 i l 7 600 600 i I 10 | The equation of value is PV = lOOaji +100 (la)^ + v5600a^ = 100 (4.270) + 100 (12.3542) + 0.7651 (600) (4.270) = 3622.61 10. We can think of this annuity as a quarterly perpetuity immediate of 20 starting now augmented by a second quarterly perpetuity immediate of 5 starting in year 11. The quarterly interest rate is 1%. 20 The present value of a single perpetuity of 20 is = 2000. 0.01 The present value of a single perpetuity of 5 is = 500. Thus the total present value is 2000 + ^ = 2,335.83. (1.01)40 11. There are 50 semiannual payments of 1000. We are given a quarterly rate of 6% + 4 = 1.5%, but we need a semiannual rate. Compound the quarterly rate twice to get the semiannual rate. i = (1.015)2-l = .0302. Years alf-years Quarters 0 0 0 V 1 1 2 J Two quarterly compounding periods in one semi-annual compounding period: i = (1.015)2-l = .0302 Now we have a calculator problem. Set N=50, PMT=1000,1/Y=3.02 and CPT PV = -25,620.20. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M2-40 Module 2 - Annuities 12. There are 24 quarterly payments of 500. We are given a semiannual rate of 4% + 2 = 2%, but we need a quarterly rate. Take the square root of the semiannual interest factor 1.02 to obtain a quarterly rate. i = (1.02)1/2-l = . 00995. Years 0 1 Half-years 0 12 Quarters 0 12 3 4 One half of a semi-annual compounding period in one quarterly compounding period: i = (1.02)1/2-1 = 0.00995 Now we have a calculator problem. Set N=24, PMT=500,1/Y=0.995 and CPT PV = -10,627.96 13. At the end of five years you will have: • The return of the original 10,000. • The future value of payments of 800 (the interest at 8% on 10,000). Set PMT=-800,1/Y=6, N=5 and CPT FV = 4,509.67 The total is 10,000+4509.67 = 14,509.67. 14. 1 Time 1 Payment invested 1 Total payments to date 1 Interest on 1 payments at 8% 0 2000 2000 1 2000 4000 160 2 2000 6000 160(2) 3 2000 8000 160(3) 4 2000 10,000 160(4) 5 2000 12,000 160(5) 6 2000 14,000 160(6) 7 2000 16,000 160(7) 8 1 16,000 160(8) 8 (2000) +160 (Is)q 05 = 16,000 + 160 (40.5313) = 22,485.01 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 2-Annuities Section 2.23 Sample Exam Problems 1. (2005 Exam FM Sample Questions #2) Kathryn deposits 100 into an account at the beginning of each 4-year period for 40 years. The account credits interest at an annual effective interest rate of i. The accumulated amount in the account at the end of 40 years is X, which is 5 times the accumulated amount in the account at the end of 20 years. Calculate X. (A) 4695 (B) 5070 (C) 5445 (D) 5820 (E) 6195 2. (2005 Exam FM Sample Questions #6) A perpetuity costs 77.1 and makes annual payments at the end of the year. The perpetuity pays 1 at the end of year 2, 2 at the end of year 3,...., n at the end of year (n+1). After year (n+1), the payments remain constant at n. The annual effective interest rate is 10.5%. Calculate n. (A) 17 (B) 18 (C) 19 (D) 20 (E) 21 3. (2005 Exam FM Sample Questions #7) 1000 is deposited into Fund X, which earns an annual effective rate of 6%. At the end of each year, the interest earned plus an additional 100 is withdrawn from the fund. At the end of the tenth year, the fund is depleted. The annual withdrawals of interest and principal are deposited into Fund Y, which earns an annual effective rate of 9%. Determine the accumulated value of Fund Y at the end of year 10. (A) 1519 (B) 1819 (C) 2085 (D) 2273 (E) 2431 4. (2005 Exam FM Sample Questions #11) A perpetuity-immediate pays 100 per year. Immediately after the fifth payment, the perpetuity is exchanged for a 25-year annuity-immediate that will pay X at the end of the first year. Each subsequent annual payment will be 8% greater than the preceding payment. The annual effective rate of interest is 8%. Calculate X. (A) 54 (B) 64 (C) 74 (D) 84 (E) 94 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M2-42 Module 2 - Annuities 5. (2005 Exam FM Sample Questions #14) Mike buys a perpetuity-immediate with varying annual payments. During the first 5 years, the payment is constant and equal to 10. Beginning in year 6, the payments start to increase. For year 6 and all future years, the current year's payment is K% larger than the previous year's payment. At an annual effective interest rate of 9.2%, the perpetuity has a present value of 167.50. Calculate K, given K < 9.2. (A) 4.0 (B) 4.2 (C) 4.4 (D) 4.6 (E) 4.8 6. (2005 Exam FM Sample Questions #17) To accumulate 8000 at the end of 3n years, deposits of 98 are made at the end of each of the first n years and 196 at the end of each of the next 2n years. The annual effective rate of interest is i. You are given (1 + i)n = 2 Determine i. (A) 11.25% (B) 11.75% (C) 12.25% (D) 12.75% (E) 13.25% 7. (2005 Exam FM Sample Questions #18) Olga buys a 5-year increasing annuity for X. Olga will receive 2 at the end of the first month, 4 at the end of the second month, and for each month thereafter the payment increases by 2. The nominal interest rate is 9% convertible quarterly. Calculate X. (A) 2680 (B) 2730 (C) 2780 D) 2830 (E) 2880 8. (2005 Exam FM Sample Questions #21) Payments are made to an account at a continuous rate of (8k + tk)y where 0 < t < 10. Interest is credited at a force of interest 8t = . After 10 8 + t years, the account is worth 20,000. Calculate Jc. (A) 111 (B) 116 (C) 121 (D) 126 (E) 131 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 2 - Annuities Page M2-43 9. (2005 Exam FM Sample Questions #25) A perpetuity-immediate pays X per year. Brian receives the first n payments, Colleen receives the next n payments, and Jeff receives the remaining payments. Brian's share of the present value of the original perpetuity is 40%, and Jeffs share is K. Calculate K. (A) 24% (B) 28% (C) 32% (D) 36% (E) 40% 10. (2005 Exam FM Sample Questions #29) At an annual effective interest rate of i, i > 0%, the present value of a perpetuity paying 10 at the end of each 3-year period, with the first payment at the end of year 3, is 32. At the same annual effective rate of i, the present value of a perpetuity paying 1 at the end of each 4-month period, with first payment at the end of 4 months, is X. Calculate X. (A) 31.6 (B) 32.6 (C) 33.6 (D) 34.6 (E) 35.6 11. (2005 Exam FM Sample Questions #31) An insurance company has an obligation to pay the medical costs for a claimant. Average annual claims costs today are $5,000, and medical inflation is expected to be 7% per year. The claimant is expected to live an additional 20 years. Claim payments are made at yearly intervals, with the first claim payment to be made one year from today. Find the present value of the obligation if the annual interest rate is 5%. (A) 87,932 (B) 102,514 (C) 114,611 (D) 122,634 (E) Cannot be determined 12. (2005 Exam FM Sample Questions #48) A man turns 40 today and wishes to provide supplemental retirement income of 3000 at the beginning of each month starting on his 65th birthday. Starting today, he makes monthly contributions of X to a fund for 25 years. The fund earns a nominal rate of 8% compounded monthly. On his 65th birthday, each 1000 of the fund will provide 9.65 of income at the beginning of each month starting immediately and continuing as long as he survives. Calculate X. (A) 324.73 (B) 326.89 (C) 328.12 (D) 355.45 (E) 450.65 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M2-44 Module 2 - Annuities 13. (2005 Exam FM Sample Questions #49) Happy and financially astute parents decide at the birth of their daughter that they will need to provide 50,000 at each of their daughter's 18th, 19th, 20th and 21st birthdays to fund her college education. They plan to contribute X at each of their daughter's 1st through 17th birthdays to fund the four 50,000 withdrawals. If they anticipate earning a constant 5% annual effective rate on their contributions, which the following equations of value can be used to determine X, assuming compound interest? (A) xfvJs + v2os +... + vZ] = 50,000^05 +... + vJs] (B) x[(1.05)16+(1.05)ls+... + 1.051] = 50,000[l + ... + v30s] (C) x[(1.05)17+(1.05)16+... + l] = 50,000[l + ... + v30S] (D) x[(1.05)17 + (1.05)16 +... + (1.05)1] = 50,000[l +... + v305] (E) x[vj» + v2os +... + v&] = 50,000[vS +... + vS] 14. (May 05 #1) Which of the following expressions does NOT represent a definition for (A) vn (i+O"-i (B) ^—— (C) v + v2+... + v" (D) v 1-v" 1-v (E) ssi (1-M)-1 15. (May 05 #4) An estate provides a perpetuity with payments of X at the end of each year. Seth, Susan, and Lori share the perpetuity such that Seth receives the payments of X for the first n years and Susan receives the payments of X for the next m years, after which Lori receives all the remaining payments of X. Which of the following represents the difference between the present value of Seth's and Susan's payments using a constant rate of interest? (A) X[a^-vna^] (B) x[dj-v"d^] (C) x[aa -V+1a^] (D) xfaa-v-1^] (E) X[va^-vn+1a^] ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 2-Annuities PageM2-45 16. (May 05 #9) The present value of a series of 50 payments starting at 100 at the end of the first year and increasing by 1 each year thereafter is equal to X. The annual effective rate of interest is 9%. Calculate X. (A) 1165 (B) 1180 (C) 1195 (D) 1210 (E) 1225 17. (May 05 #12) Which of the following are characteristics of all perpetuities? I. The present value is equal to the first payment divided by the annual effective interest rate. II. Payments continue forever. III. Each payment is equal to the interest earned on the principal. (A) I only (B) II only (C) III only (D) I, II, and III (E) The correct answer is not given by (A), (B), (C), or (D). 18. (May 05 #14) An annuity-immediate pays 20 per year for 10 years, then decreases by 1 per year for 19 years. At an annual effective interest rate of 6%, the present value is equal to X. Calculate X. (A) 200 (B) 205 (C) 210 (D) 215 (E) 220 19. (May 05 #17) At an annual effective interest rate of i, the present value of a perpetuity- immediate starting with a payment of 200 in the first year and increasing by 50 each year thereafter is 46,530. Calculate i. (A) 3.25% (B) 3.50% (C) 3.75% (D) 4.00% (E) 4.25% 20. (May 05 #20) An investor wishes to accumulate 10,000 at the end of 10 years by making level deposits at the beginning of each year. The deposits earn a 12% annual effective rate of interest paid at the end of each year. The interest is immediately reinvested at an annual effective interest rate of 8%. Calculate the level deposit. (A) 541 (B) 572 (C) 598 (D) 615 (E) 621 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M2-46 Module 2 - Annuities 21. (May 05 #21) A discount electronics store advertises the following financing arrangement: "We don't offer you confusing interest rates. We'll just divide your total cost by 10 and you can pay us that amount each month for a year." The first payment is due on the date of sale and the remaining eleven payments at monthly intervals thereafter. Calculate the effective annual interest rate the store's customers are paying on their loans. (A) 35.1% (B) 41.3% 22. (May 05 #24) (C) 42.0% (D) 51.2% (E) 54.9% An annuity pays 1 at the end of each year for n years. Using an annual effective interest rate of i, the accumulated value of the annuity at time (n +1) is 13.776 . It is also known that (1 + i)n = 2.476. Calculate n. (A) 4 23. (Nov 05 #3) (B) 5 (C) 6 (D) 7 (E) 8 An investor accumulates a fund by making payments at the beginning of each month for 6 years. Her monthly payment is 50 for the first 2 years, 100 for the next 2 years, and 150 for the last 2 years. At the end of the 7th year the fund is worth 10,000. The annual effective interest rate is i, and the monthly effective interest rate is j. Which of the following formulas represents the equation of value for this fund accumulation? (A) S2it(l + i)[(l + i)4+2(l + i)2+3] = 200 (B) S24t(l + j)[(l-fj)4+2(l-fj)2+3] = 200 (C) s^.(l + i)[(l + i)4+2(l + i)2+3] = 200 (D) s^(l + i)[(l + i)4 + 2(l + i)2+3] = 200 (E) s^ (1 + i) [(1 + j)4 + 2 (1 + j)2 + 3] = 200 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 2 - Annuities PageM2-47 24. (Nov OS #8) Matthew makes a series of payments at the beginning of each year for 20 years. The first payment is 100. Each subsequent payment through the tenth year increases by 5% from the previous payment. After the tenth payment, each payment decreases by 5% from the previous payment. Calculate the present value of these payments at the time the first payment is made using an annual effective rate of 7%. (A) 1375 (B) 1385 (C) 1395 (D) 1405 (E) 1415 25. (Nov 05 #9) A company deposits 1000 at the beginning of the first year and 150 at the beginning of each subsequent year into perpetuity. In return the company receives payments at the end of each year forever. The first payment is 100. Each subsequent payment increases by 5%. Calculate the company's yield rate for this transaction. (A) 4.7% (B) 5.7% (C) 6.7% (D) 7.7% (E) 8.7% 26. (Nov 05 #12) Megan purchases a perpetuity-immediate for 3250 with annual payments of 130. At the same price and interest rate, Chris purchases an annuity- immediate with 20 annual payments that begin at amount P and increase by 15 each year thereafter. Calculate P. (A) 90 (B) 116 (C) 131 (D) 176 (E) 239 27. (Nov 05 #13) For 10,000, Kelly purchases an annuity-immediate that pays 400 quarterly for the next 10 years. Calculate the annual nominal interest rate convertible monthly earned by Kelly's investment. (A) 10.0% (B) 10.3% (C) 10.5% (D) 10.7% (E) 11.0% 28. (Nov 05 #14) Payments of X are made at the beginning of each year for 20 years. These payments earn interest at the end of each year at an annual effective rate of 8%. The interest is immediately reinvested at an annual effective rate of 6%. At the end of 20 years, the accumulated value of the 20 payments and the reinvested interest is 5600. Calculate X. (A) 121.67 (B) 123.56 (C) 125.72 (D) 127.18 (E) 128.50 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M2-48 Module 2 - Annuities 29. (Nov 05 #23) The present value of a 25-year annuity-immediate with a first payment of 2500 and decreasing by 100 each year thereafter is X. Assuming an annual effective interest rate of 10%, calculate X. (A) 11,346 (B) 13,615 (C) 15,923 (D) 17,396 (E) 18,112 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 2-Annuities Page M2-49 Section 2.24 Sample Exam Solutions We solve this problem by putting things in terms of 4-year periods. For each 4- year period the interest rate j is given in terms of the annual rate by the equation (1 + i)4 = (1 + j). We can think of 40 years as 10 4-year periods. Thus the accumulated value at the end of 40 years is FV40 = s'i^IOO = X. X Similarly the accumulated value at the end of 20 years is FV2o = S^-lOO = —. We can solve the problem easily if we know what j is. To find j we use the fact the accumulated value at time 40 is 5 times the accumulated value at time 20. 51 — 1 = 55151,100 —> Ss^=sm Now we use the definition of s^ to create an equation which can be solved for j. •\S (i+Jy-i (i + ;) -i 5[(l + ;)s-l] = (l + ;)10-l (l + j)10-5(l + j)5+4 = 0 The standard trick here is to reduce this to a quadratic by making the substitution x = (1 + j)5. Then we have the quadratic x2 - 5x + 4 = 0 with roots x = l,4. The root of 1 would give j = 0, which is not a valid solution. Thus we have x = (l + j)5=4 -* j = .31951. Using the financial calculator with a rate of 31.951% and PMT = 1 to find s^, we have X = ^100 = 6,194.72. Answer E ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M2-50 Module 2 - Annuities We will start by looking at a timeline for the perpetuity. payment Time, t =0 n -H— n+1 n —I— n+2 n+3 The perpetuity is the sum of an arithmetic increasing annuity immediate deferred to time 1 and a perpetuity immediate of n starting at time n+1. Thus its present value (which is its cost) is: Increasing annuity ' wJfT^ deferred one period gffES* *a-™> + V n+i n _ va^ _ a^ i i of n dollars deferred n+1 years We are given the cost is 77.1 and i = 0.105. Thus -^Li2L = 77.1 _> a = 8.0955 . 0.105 We can solve for N on the BA II Plus calculator by using: PV = -8.0955,1/Y = 10.5, and PMT = 1. The computed solution is N = 19. Answer C 3. First we will diagram the cash flow pattern. 1 Time 1 Principal withdrawn 1 Interest withdrawn | Balance 0 - - 1000 1 100 .06(1000)=60 900 2 100 .06(900)=54 800 9 100 .06(200)=12 100 10 100 .06(100)=6 0 The principle and interest payments are both deposited in Fund Y at 9%. The principle payments are a level annuity and the interest payments are a decreasing annuity. The accumulated value is lOOs^ +6(Ds)m. Using the financial calculator, s^ = 15.1929 and (Ds)m = 1.09"(Da)m=1.09 10 10-do' .09 -94.23 Thus the accumulated value is 100(15.1929)+6(94.23) = 2084.67. Answer C ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 2-Annuities PageM2-51 4. The annuity exchange is made at time 5, immediately after the 5th payment on the original perpetuity. At the point the value of the original perpetuity is = 1250. The new 25 year annuity has geometrically increasing payments. .08 Its present value is X 1 1.08 1.08 - + —- + ...+ > 24 1.08 1.082 1.08 X 25 1.08 For an exchange to be made, the present values must be equal. X = 54. 2S X^- = 1250 1.08 Answer A The first 5 payments are a level annuity of 10. The present value lOa^ can be found on the financial calculator by entering PMT = 10, N = 5 and I/Y = 9.2 and computing the PV of 38.70. The first increased payment occurs at time 6. The present value of the entire perpetuity is then 38,7,i°(i+f>tio(i+y,io<i+y+,„ 1.0926 1.0927 1.0928 = 38.7 + 10(1 + K) 1.0926 1 + 1 + K 1.092 1 + K 1.092 1 + K 1.092 + ... The trick here was to rearrange the final terms involving K into an infinite geometric series with ratio r = 1 + K 1.092 1- .092-K 1.092 and sum 1.092 J 1-r 1.092 .092-K In terms of K that sum is This simplifies the present value to 38.7+'"l1^ 1.0926 1.092 .092-K = 38.7 + - 10 1.0925 1 + K .092-K = 38.7 + 6.44 1 + K .092-K Since we are given that this present value is 167.50, we have 1 + K 167.50 = 38.7 + 6.44 1 + K .092-K Answer A = 20 ..092-K K = .04 ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Page M2-52 Module 2 - Annuities We can look at each payment in the last In years as the sum of 2 payments of 98. Then the total annuity is the sum of two level payment annuities -the first starting at time 1 and continuing to time 3n and the second starting at time n+1 and continuing to time 3n. Time, t =0 98 -f- 98 98 98 n+1 98 98 + 3n Then, the accumulated value of 8000 is 98s^ + 98s^ = 8000. In order to get an equation in i we use the annuity formulas: 98 (1 + i) -1 + 98 (1 + if-l = 8000. Now we can use the given value of (1 + i)n = 2 ~(2f-l 98 980 (2)-l i = 8000 + 98 = 8000 U0.1225 Answer C Olga has an increasing annuity extending over 60 months. The nominal interest rate convertible quarterly is 9%, giving a rate of 2.25% per quarter. We first solve for the implied monthly rate i. Exponent is 3 because there are three ' months to a quarter year. An easy mistake is to put 4 instead. (1 + i)3 = 1.0225 1 + i = 1.007444 Thus the rate per month is 0.7444%. The present value of the increasing annuity is 2(la) 601.007444 = 2 Q6o1-60v .007444 60 = 2 48.61-38.45 .007444 : 2729.71 Answer B ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 2-Annuities Page M2-53 8. We will look at the accumulation of the amount deposited in a small interval of length dt starting at time t, and then we will integrate to sum the accumulations of all amounts contributed from t=0 to t=10. Amount deposited at time t: (8k + tk) dt = k (8 +1) dt Accumulation factor for growth on [£,10] of amount deposited at t: eCMu = jX^)dU = eln(18)-ln(8+t) = 18 8 + t 18 Amount deposited at time t accumulates to: k (8 +1) dt = 18kdt 8 +1 Total of all accumulations: (°18kdt = 180k Since we are given that the account is worth 20,000 in 10 years 180k = 20,000 k = 111.11 Answer A 9. I 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Time, t =0 1 • • • n ■ ■ ■ 2n V v 'v v " v ' Brian Colleen Jeff Brian has an immediate annuity of X for n periods. His present value is B = Xa^. The total perpetuity has a present value of —. Thus Brian's share of = l-vn the total is y—^ = ia^ = i V l J I Since Brian's share is 40%, we have 0.4 = 1 - vn vn = 0.6. Colleen has an immediate annuity of X for n periods, but it is deferred for n periods. Her present value is C = vnXa^ = .6Xa^ = .6B Since Brian's share is 40%, Colleen's share is .6(40%) = 24%. Thus Jeff's share is 100% - (40% + 24%) = 36% Answer D ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M2-54 Module 2 - Annuities 10. Let j denote the effective rate per three year period for the perpetuity that pays 10 at the end of each three year period. Using the basic formula for the present value of a perpetuity immediate we see that Present value = 32 = — j = 0.3125 A four month period is one ninth of a three year period. Thus the effective rate for a four month period is (1 + j)9 -1 = (1.3125)9 -1 = 0.030676 The present value of a perpetuity immediate with payments of 1 at this rate is 1 .030676 Answer B = 32.6 11. The present value is calculated here under the assumption that the claimant survives for exactly the expected 20 years. His payments will be 5000(1.07), 5000(1.07)2... 5000(1.07)20 payments time t 5000(1.07) 5000 (1.07)2 5000 (l.07) 2 20 The present value of these payments at 5% is 5000 1.07 1.072 1.0720 + Z- + ...+ 1.05 1.052 1.05' _ 5000(1.07) 1.05 ' 1.07 1.0719 1+ + ...+ 7T- 1.05 1.0519 The final term in square brackets is a geometric series with ratio r = 1.07 1.05' ml_ L , . 5000(1.07) Thus the present value is - - 1.05 H 1- 1.07N 1.05, '1.07 ,1-05 20" ) = 122,634 Answer D ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 2-Annuities Page M2-55 12. Let k be the number of 1000s of dollars in the fund at the 65th birthday. Each 1000 of the fund will provide 9.65 of income, so the total income of the fund will be 9.65k. The desired income is 3000 so 9.65fc = 3000 k = 310.88083. Thus the value of the fund at the 65th birthday must be 1000k = 310,880.83. The man must accumulate an FV = 310,880.83 with unknown beginning of month payments PMT for n = 12(25) = 300 months at a rate of i = 8 +12 per month. Using a financial calculator set to BEGIN mode for the unknown payment, we find that PMT = -324.725. Answer A 13. The correct answer is D, which is based on equating current values on the daughter's 18th birthday. At that point in time the present value of the 4 future payments of 50,000 is 50000[l + v + v2 + v3] = 50000[l + ... + v.o53]. The accumulated value of the 17 end-of-year payments of X is X[l.0517+1.0516+... + 1.05]. Unfortunately, one must review all of the choices to see if they are correct -and this can be a bit time consuming. 14. E is not a correct expression for a^ . If the denominator were (1 + i)n it would be correct, since a^ is the present value of s^. Note that C is the definition of a^|, B is the computational formula most of us memorize for a^ and A is clearly equivalent of B. Thus the only real thinking here involves D and E. 15. Since Seth gets the first n payments, he has an n period annuity immediate of X. His present value is Xa^. Since Lori gets the next m payments after the first n years, she has a deferred annuity of X. Her present value is vnXa^. The difference is Xa^ - vnXa^ = X[a^ - vna^l Answer A ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M2-56 Module 2 - Annuities 16. We can think of this annuity as the sum of a level annuity of 99 and an increasing annuity which starts at 1 and increases by one. The equation of value is PV = 99am + (Ia)Mo9 = 99 (10.962) +125.287=1210.525 Answer D 17. I. Definition of level perpetuity—but perpetuities do not have to be level. II. True for all perpetuities. III. True for level perpetuities because principal = *—¥-. > payment = (principal^ i Answer B Again, perpetuities may not be level. 18. Here we have a level annuity of 20 for 10 years. Then payments drop to 19 in year 11 and by one each year thereafter -so that we have a deferred decreasing annuity for 19 years. 20 20 ••• 20 19 18 ••• 1 I 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Time, t=0 1 2 -■• 10 11 12 •■• 29 V _ J K ^ ^ J v v Level annuity of 20 Deferred decreasing for 10 years annuity for 19 years The equation of value is X = 20a^ + v10 (Da)^ = 147.20 + 0.5584 (130.6981) = 220.18 Answer E 19. In this problem we will use the fact that the present value of the increasing perpetuity immediate with firs payment P and periodic increase Q is ?4 i r In this problem P=200 and Q=50, but the interest rate is unknown and we must find it. The present value of the perpetuity is 46,530 so the equation of value is 200 50 A. „n -^- + — = 46,530 i r This gives us the quadratic equation 46,530i2 - 200i - 50 = 0. The quadratic formula give us the roots i = .035 and i = -.0307. The correct answer is the positive root i = .035. Answer B ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 2-Annuities Page M2-57 20. We will first create a table to illustrate the pattern of payments. 1 Time 1 Payment invested 1 Total payments to date 1 Interest on payments I at 12% 0 D D 1 D 2D 0.12D 2 D 3D 0.12(2D) • • • ... 9 D 10D 0.12(9D) 10 10D 0.12(10D) Note that the numbers in last row are the deposits to the 8% reinvestment account, and these are an arithmetically increasing annuity. At the end of 10 years the reinvestment account plus total deposits will reach 10,000, so the equation of value is 10,000= 10D +0A2D(Is)m Total deposits Increasing annuity of 0.12D for 10 years = 10D + 0.12D (70.5686) = 18.4682D D = 541.47 Answer A 21. For each dollar of cost, the consumer makes 12 monthly payments of 0.10 starting immediately. This is an annuity due with unknown interest rate. The monthly interest rate can be found directly on the BA II Plus in BGN mode. Set PV = 1, N= 12, PMT = -0.10 and CPTI/Y = 3.5032. In actuarial notation, we j(12) have found = 0.035032 12 In this question we are asked for the effective rate i, which is given by (i+0 = 1+ — 12 = (1.035032)12 = 1.5116 -> i = .5116 Answer D ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M2-58 Module 2 - Annuities 22. Here we have unknown n and i, which indicates that we cannot find the answer directly with the calculator. The annuity in this question is a unit annuity. We are given the accumulated at time n+1 of an n-period annuity. That accumulated value is s^ (1 + i) =13.776. With some algebra we can use this to find i. ,„,, ,. .v (l + i)"-lH .v 2.476-1... .v 13.776 = s^ (1 +1) = - '- (1 +1) = : (1 +1) In the last step we used the given fact that (1 + i)n = 2.476. The above gives the linear equation 13.776i = 1.476(1 + i) ->i = .12 Now we can find n using given information. (1 + i)n = 2.476 n ln(1.12) = ln(2.476) -> n = 8. Answer E 23. Each separate block of 24 identical payments P accumulates to Ps^j at the end of its 24 months, and then accumulates under an annual rate of i for the remaining years. Since the total accumulation is 10,000 we have 50sj4|, (1 + i)S + lOOs^ (1 + i)3 + 150sj4|, (1 + i)1 = 10,000 *m (i + 0s + ^'sb (i + O3 + ®m (i + 01 = 200 (1 + i) sjg, [(1 + i)4 + 2 (1 + if + 3] = 200 Answer C 24. Payment 100 100(1.05) + 100(1.05) = 155.13 1 .95(155.13) .952(155.13) Time, t =0 1 The present value at 7% is 100 , 1.05 (1.05 1 + + ...+ = 100 1.07 U-07 fl.05Y° + 10 155.13 (.95) 1.07J 1.05 ,1.07 : 919.95+ 464.71 = 1384.66 + 74.92 1- 1.0710 ,1.07 .95 1.07 .9510(155.13) 11 . .95 ( .95 1 + + ...+ 1.07 H 19 1.07 Answer B ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 2-Annuities Page M2-59 25. The pattern of payments is illustrated in the following table: 1 Time Company deposits 1 Company receives 0 1000 1 150 100 2 150 100(l.05) 3 150 100(l.05)2 ... The yield rate i is unknown (the yield rate is just the rate of interest the company earns). At this rate the present values of deposits and receipts are PV of deposits = 1000 + ^°- PV of receipts 100 100(1.05) T+7 + (1 + i)2 +'": (—) [l + ij 1- 1.05 1 + i f100l 100 1 105 I 1 + + [ 1 + i 1 '1.05 i-.05 At the rate i the present values of deposits and receipts are equal. This gives us *u *• i«™ 150 100 the equation 1000 + = i i-.05 Solving for i we obtain 1000 (i2 - .05i) +150 (i - .05) = lOOi lOOOi2 = 7.5 i = V-0075 = .0866 Answer E 26. First we will find the unknown interest rate i .The value of Megan's perpetuity immediate of 130 is 130 = 3250 i = 0.04. Let P be the unknown initial payment for Chris. The annuity that is purchased by Chris has payments P, P+15, P+2(15),..., P+19(15). The present value of these year-end payments at 4% is 15 ^ Pa2oi+T^rMm 1.04 Thus 3250 = 13.59P +1673.51 13.59P + 1.04 116.03 = 13.59P +1673.51 P = 116 Answer B ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M2-60 Module 2 - Annuities 27. This is a simple financial calculator problem. The effective quarterly yield can be found directly using N = 40 (quarters), PMT = 400, and PV = -10,000 (price). The computed quarterly yield is I/Y = 2.524%. This converts to a monthly yield of 1.025241/3-l = .00834. The nominal annual yield convertible monthly is 0.00834(12) = 0.10008. Answer A 28. The table below shows the pattern of payments and interest earned at 8% Time Payment Total payments Interest earned 0 X X 1 X 2X .08X 2 X 3X .08(2X)=.16X 18 X 19X .08(18X)=1.44X 19 X 20X .08(19X)=.1.52X 20 20X .08(20X)=1.60X The total value of 5600 at time 20 is equal to 20X + .08X (Is)Mo6 = 20X + .08X (316.5454) = 45.3236X =5600 Thus X = 123.56 Answer B 29. This is a straightforward decreasing annuity problem. X = 100(Da)^ = 100[25"a^ ] = 15,922.96 Answer C ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Module 2-Annuities Section 2.25 Supplemental Exercises 1. A man has a loan of 15,000 for 5 years with quarterly end of quarter payments at a nominal interest rate of 6.8% convertible quarterly. What are his payments? 2. A man plans to work for 25 years, during which time he will set a retirement fund by making end of month payments of 100 per month. The fund earns interest at a nominal rate of 6% convertible monthly. He will use the accumulated funds to purchase a 20-year retirement annuity. Assuming he can get 6% converted monthly on the annuity, what will his monthly end of month payments be? 3. A woman purchases an annuity that makes annual payments at the beginning of each year for 20 years. The first 10 payments are 1000 and the last 10 are 1500. The annuity earns 6.5% annually. Find the cost of the annuity. 4. A 20-year annuity immediate with annual payments earns 6.2%. The first payment is 500 and each subsequent payment is increased by 4% over the previous one. Find the present value of this annuity. 5. A man borrows 25,000 for 15 years. He repays the loan with quarterly end of quarter payments of 650. What is his nominal rate of interest convertible quarterly? 6. A perpetuity immediate makes quarterly payments and earns 6% convertible quarterly. The first 20 payments are 10. Starting with the 21st payment all subsequent payments are 15. Find the present value of this perpetuity. 7. A perpetuity immediate makes annual payments and earns 5% annually. The first payment is 100 and each subsequent payment is increased by 3% over the previous one. Find the present value of this perpetuity. 8. You set up a retirement fund by making annual payments at the end of each year for 30 years. The first payment is 1000 and each subsequent payment is increased by 100 over the previous one. The fund earns 5.8% annually. How much has accumulated in the fund at the end of the 30 years? 9. You invest 1000 at the beginning of each year for 20 years. The investment makes interest payments to you at the end of each year at the rate of 7%. You invest the interest payments in a fund that pays 6% annually. What is your total accumulation at the end of the 20 years? 10. A man makes fixed end of year payments into a fund that earns at an annual rate of r. He determines that the accumulation at the end of 20 years will be triple the accumulation at the end of 10 years. Find r. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M2-62 Section 2.26 Supplemental Exercise Solutions 1. The number of payments is 20 and the periodic interest is 1.7%. Using the BA II Plus calculator, set N = 20,1/Y =1.7, PV = 15,000 and FV = 0. Then CPT PMT = - 891.01. So the payment is 891.01. 2. There are 300 payments with monthly rate of 0.5%. The accumulation is 100s^0005 = 69,299.40. To get monthly benefit payment set N = 240,1/Y = 0.5, PV = -69.299.40 and FV = 0. Then CPT PMT = 496.48. 3. To find the cost of the annuity, first set calculator to BGN mode. The cost is 1000a^006S + 500 v10 ajoiaow = 1000(11.73471) + 500(0.53273)(7.65610) = 13,774.03 4. The present value of the annuity is 500/1.062 + 500(1.04)/1.0622+ ... +500(1.0419)/1.06220 = (500/1.062)[l + (1.04/1.062) + ... + (1.04/1.062)19] = 500[1 - (1.04/1.062)20]/(1.062 - 1.04) = 7,774.43 5. Using the BA II Plus set N = 60, PV = 25,000, PMT = -650 and FV = 0. Then CPT I/Y = 1.592. Annual nominal rate is 6.40%. 6. This can be viewed as a perpetuity with payments 10 plus a deferred perpetuity with payments 5. The present value is 10/0.015 + v20(5/0.015) = 914.16. 7. The present value of the perpetuity is 100/1.05 + 100(1.03)/1.052 + ... +100(1.03n)/1.05n+1 + ... = (1.00/1.05)[1 + 1.03/1.05 + .... + (1.03/1.05)n + ...] = 100/(1.05-1.03) = 5,000. 8. The total accumulation A is given by A = lOOOs^ + 100(s^- 30)/0.058 s^= 76.3298 A = 76,329.80 + 100(46.3298)/0.058 = 156,208.77 9. The yearend totals of the original investments are 1000, 2000, 3000,...., 20,000. The interest amounts invested in the second fund are 70,140, 210,...., 1400. The total accumulated in this fund is 70(Isho.os = 70(316.5454) = 22,158.18. The overall total accumulation is 20,000 + 22,158.18 = 42,158.18 10. The accumulation at the end of 10 years is P[(l + r)10 - l]/r. The accumulation at the end of 20 years is P[(l + r)20 - l]/r. Then P[(l + r)20 - l]/r = 3P[(1 + r)10 - l]/r, and (1 + r)10 + 1 = 3 => (1 + r)10 = 2 => r = 0.072. [Recall that x2 - 1 = (x + l)(x - 1)] ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 3 - Loan Repayment PageM3- 1 Now we understand how to find the payment on a level payment loan. However, there are loans whose payments are not level, and there are ways of repaying loans that we have not introduced yet. This module will go into more detail on how loans can be structured and repaid. Section 3.1 The Amortization Method of Loan Repayment The amortization method is the most common method of loan repayment. The fundamental principle behind it is simple. When a pavment is made, it must be first applied to pav interest due and then any remaining part of the pavment is applied to pav principal. We will illustrate this with an example. Consider a loan for 30,000 with level payments to be made at the end of each year for 5 years at an annual rate of 8%. We already know how to find the annual payment. Set N=5,1/Y=8, PV=30000 and CPT PMT = -7513.69. We will look at the first two payments to show how the method is applied. Pavment 1. Beginning Balance = 30,000 Interest due = 30,000 (.08) = 2,400 Payment made = 7513.69 Interest paid =2400 Principal paid = 7,513.69 -2,400.00 = 5,113.69 Balance after payment = 30,000-5,113.69 = 24,886.31 Pavment 2. Beginning Balance = 24,886.31 Interest due = 24,886.31 (.08) = 1,990.90 Payment made = 7513.69 Interest paid = 1,990.90 Principal paid = 7,513.69-1,990.90 = 5,522.79 Balance after payment = 24,886.31 - 5,522.79 = 19,363.52 The following table shows the result of amortizing the loan over all 5 years. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M3-2 Module 3 - Loan Repayment Table (3.1) Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 Payment 7,513.69 7,513.69 7,513.69 7,513.69 7,513.69 Interest 2,400.00 1,990.90 1,549.08 1,071.91 556.57 Principal 5,113.69 5,522.79 5,964.61 6,441.78 6,957.12 Balance 30,000.00 24,886.31 19,363.52 13,398.90 6,957.12 0.00 You should check the detail on a few more lines to verify your understanding of the method. There are some key points here: a) The final balance is 0. The level payment pays off the loan as intended. b) As the balance declines over time the amount of interest due in each period decreases. c) As the interest due goes down, the amount of principal paid in each period increases. It is important to add a note on rounding here. The amortization table was generated in EXCEL with amounts calculated to 10 decimal places. The payment was actually 7513.6936370051, but was displayed as rounded to 2 places. Thus if you re-do the table with amounts rounded as they are in practice, you will find discrepancies of a few pennies in the table. The BA II Plus has amortization features that are helpful with amortization of level payment loans. To demonstrate these features, we will look again at the example loan for 30,000 at 8% for 5 years. (That loan is probably still in your calculator. If not, compute the payment again to follow the discussion below.) The two features that will help you are: a) The FV key will give you the loan balance for period N. To see this, set N=3 and CPT FV = -13,398.90. b) Above the PV key you will see AMORT for the amortization worksheet. To start the amortization use the keystrokes |2nd| AMORT The amortization routine allows you to find principal and interest paid over the time span starting at a first period PI and ending at a second period P2. If you wish to focus on just one period, set both PI and P2 equal to the value of that period. Thus to see what happens in period 1, set PI =1 =P2.The first display asks you to enter the value of PI. Use the keystrokes 1 |ENTER| and then scroll down and repeat this for P2. Scroll down three more times and you will see the displays BAL= 24,886.31 PRN =-5,113.69 INT = -2,400.00 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 3 - Loan Repayment PageM3- 3 Exercise (3.2) Use the AMORT worksheet to check balance, principal and interest for period 2 for the loan in table (3.1). Answer: 19,363.52, -5,522.79, -1,990.90 Note that all loan payments are assumed to be made at the end of the period under the amortization method. The ability to do amortization calculations easily is of great practical value. For example the amount of interest paid on your mortgage is needed for your taxes. Or, if you wish to pay off your loan early, the balance is the amount you must pay. The author was an expert witness in a case in which the plaintiff wished to pay off his loan and could calculate the balance. He sued the loan company after he paid the correct balance and was told that he owed a few thousand dollars more. Some exam FM questions can be done directly and rapidly with the financial calculator, although many questions are designed to force use of formulas that we will introduce in a few pages. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M3-4 Module 3 - Loan Repayment Section 3.2 A Variable Payment Loan Note that the financial calculator features we have covered so far apply only to level payment loans. Many loans have payments that vary over time. In the next example we will demonstrate how to set up a particular kind of variable payment loan. Example (3.3) A borrower would like to borrow 30,000 at 8% for 5 years, but would like to pay only 5,000 for the first two years and then catch up with a higher payment for the final three years. What is the payment for the final 3 years? Solution. First we will use the calculator to find the loan balance in 2 years if the payment each year is 5000: Set PV=30,000, PMT=-5,000 , N=2 , I/Y=8 and CPT FV=-24,592,00. The balance is 24,592. After the second payment of 5000, the borrower owes 24,592. He can pay this off in 3 years with a higher payment. To find it, set PV=24,592, N=3, FV=0,I/Y=8 and CPT PMT =-9542.52. The payment for the final 3 years is 9542.52. Below we show the amortization table for the loan. As before, you should check a few of the rows to assure that you understand the process. Table (3.4): Variable payment loan Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 Payment 5,000.00 5,000.00 9,542.52 9,542.52 9,542.52 Interest 2,400.00 2,192.00 1,967.36 1,361.35 706.85 Principal 2,600.00 2,808.00 7,575.16 8,181.17 8,835.67 Balance 30,000.00 27,400.00 24,592.00 17,016.84 8,835.67 0.00 Exercise (3.5) What would the payment for the final three years be if the borrower in the above loan wanted to pay only 4000 in each of the first two years? I Answer: 10,349.63 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 3 - Loan Repayment PageM3- 5 Some Notation We can summarize the amortization using the following notation. For a loan with periodic interest rate i: Loan Payment at time fc Pmtk Loan Balance after Pmtk is made: Balk Principal paid in period fc PRink Note that the loan amount is Bal0. For fc > 1 the amortization method is described by the recursive relations: Interest paid in Pmtk+i Intk+1 -i(Balk) Principal paid in Pmtk+1: PRink+1 = Pmtk+1 - i (Balk) Balance after Pmtk+1: Balk+1 = Balk - PRink+1 = Balk-[Pmtk+1 - i(Balk)] = (l + i)Balk -Pmtk+i Note that reference Mathematics of Investment and Credit uses the notation OBt for the balance at time i Ki for the payment at time i L for the original loan amount. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M3-6 Module 3 - Loan Repayment Section 3.3 Formulas for Level Payment Loan Amortization It can be shown that for a level-payment loan with payment PMT, (3-6> I Interest paid in Pmtt : lntt = PMT(l-v"-'+1) Principal paid in Pmtt: PRint = PMTvn'M Example (3.7) 1 For the loan in table (3.1) we had i = .08 and PMT = Then t = 4, n - PRin* = 7,513.69. 1 -1 +1 = 2 and the principal in the 4th payment is = 1™™.-. 6441.78 1.082 \ This matches the value given in table (3.1). Exercise (3.8) An annual loan for 10 years has interest rate 6% and level payment 1000. Find the amount of principal and interest in the 6th payment. Answer : Principal 747.26 Interest 252.74 Exam questions can be designed to be solved conveniently using these formulas, as we shall see in the next example. You should know these formulas. Example (3.9) ' For an 8% level payment loan, the amount of principal in the second payment is 5,522.79. Find the amount of principal in the 4th payment. Solution. We are not given the total payment amount PMT or the term of the loan. Using (3.6) we have PRin2 = v{n~2+1)PMT = 5,522.79 PRin* = v{n-M)PMT = (1 + i)2 PRin2 = 1.082 (5522.79) = 6441.78 This problem was taken from the loan in table (3.1), and you can check the answer of 6441.78 there. Exercise (3.10) For a 6% level payment loan, the amount of principal in the first payment is 5321.89. Find the amount of principal in the 4th payment. Answer: 6338.46 Note that for a level payment loan one can say in general that (3.11) I ~ ' 1 PRin„+fc=(l + i)fcPRin„ ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 3 - Loan Repayment PageM3- 7 Section 3.4 Looking Forward and Looking Back To this point we have concentrated on showing how a level payment loan is amortized period by period. Now we discuss another valuable perspective on loan balance. Looking Forward: the Prospective Method. Let us look again at the example loan from Table (3.1). The loan was for 30,000 at 8% annually for 5 years. The annual payment was 7,513.69. We already know how to find the loan balance after the third payment in more than one way. Here is another. The loan balance after a payment is the present value of the remaining payments at the time of payment. So the loan balance after the third payment should be the present value of the remaining two payments at time 3. payments 7513.69 7513.69 7513.69 7513.69 7513.69 time t 0 1 2 / Loan balance at t= 3 is equal to PV of remaining two payments at t=3. To check this, find the present value of the remaining two payments after the third payment using the BA II Plus. Set PMT = -7513.69, N=2,1/Y = 8 and CPT PV = 13,398.90. This is the same number that we obtained for the balance after the third payment in Table (3.1). This makes some sense. Once you have made a payment you still have an obligation to make the remaining payments. The loan balance is the present value of your remaining obligation. Exercise (3.12) A loan made at an annual rate of 6.5% has 7 remaining payments of 950. What is the loan balance? Answer: 5210.29 In actuarial notation, for a level payment loan with periodic payment PMT at a rate i for n periods, the balance after payment k is (3.13) Prospective balance = PMTa—^\ { ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M3-8 Module 3 - Loan Repayment Looking Back: the Retrospective Method. We just saw that you can find a loan balance by looking at the value of your remaining future obligations. What about the past? It will also tell you what your balance is. Think about this by looking at what is owed on a loan and what has already been paid at any point in time. If the loan was for an amount PV and no payments were made by time k, you would owe PV(1 + i)k If you have actually made payments at times l,...,/c, then you have reduced the amount of that obligation by the future value at time k of those payments FV( payments made at times l,..,k). The loan balance is (3.14) Retrospective Balance = PV(1 + i)k - FV(payments made at times l,...,k)' For a level payment loan with payment PMT, the balance can be expressed in actuarial notation as (3.1S) PVd + ir-PAfTSfc] In the next example we replicate this reasoning for the omnipresent loan of 30,000 at 8% for 5 years. Example (3.16) Use the retrospective method to check the balance after the third payment for the loan in Table (3.1) Solution. The loan was for 30,000 at 8% annually for 5 years. The annual payment was 7,513.69. If no payments had been made you would owe 30,000(1.08)3 =37,791.36 You actually made 3 payments of 7,513.69. The future value of those payments at time 3 is 24,392.44. The total obligation (balance) is 37,791.36 - 24,392.44 = 13,398.92 Note two cent rounding error ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 3 - Loan Repayment PageM3- 9 Exercise (3.17) A loan for 40,000 at a 7% annual rate has an annual payment of 9,755.63. Find the balance after the 4th payment. Answer: 9117.40 More Challenging Questions On the exams, questions are made tougher by introducing loans whose terms fall in arithmetic or geometric series. The prospective and retrospective methods can be used to find loan balances for these, as the next examples indicate. Example (3.18) A loan at 10% annually has an initial payment of 100, and 9 further payments. The payment amount increases by 2% each year. Find the loan balance immediately after the fourth payment. Solution. The payments are 100, 100(1.02), 100(1.02)2,..., 100(1.02)9. Immediately after the fourth payment the remaining payments arel00(1.02)4,..., 100(1.02)9. Using the prospective method, the balance immediately after the fourth payment is the present value of those remaining payments. 100(1.024) 100(l.029) Bah = 1.10 100(l.024) - + .... + - 1.106 1.10 , 1.02 1 + —— + 1.10 11.10 1.02 \2 1.02 1.10 100(1.024) 1.10 1- 1.02 1.10 1- 1.02 1.10 = 492.93 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M3-10 Module 3 - Loan Repayment Example (3.19) A loan at 10% annually has an initial payment of 100, and 9 further payments. The payment amount increases by 10 each year. Find the loan balance immediately after the fourth payment. Solution. The payments are 100, 110, 120,..., 190. Immediately after the fourth payment the remaining payments are 140, 150,..., 190. Using the prospective method, the balance immediately after the fourth payment is the present value of those remaining payments. Using P = 140 and Q = 10 we have BaU=Pa^Q^^ 140^+10 (a«r-6v 6\ 0.1 f 140 (4.355)+ 10 706.57 4.355-6(0.5645) 0.1 Exercise (3.20) A loan at 8% annually has an initial payment of 1000, and 9 further payments. The payment amount decreases by 2% each year. Find the loan balance immediately after the third payment. Answer: 4644.38 Exercise (3.21) A loan at 8% annually has an initial payment of 100, and 9 further payments. The payment amount decreases by 5 each year. Find the loan balance immediately after the sixth payment. Answer: 208.6 ©ACTEX 2009 ' Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 3 - Loan Repayment Page M3-11 Section 3.5 Monthly Payment Loans The exams have questions with scenarios like nominal rates convertible every 4 years applied to semiannual payments, but what you will see most in your own life are monthly payment loans with a quoted rate nominal rate convertible monthly. We will take this opportunity to review what we have done so far in the context of the familiar monthly payment loan. Example (3.22) A thirty year monthly payment mortgage loan for 250,000 is offered at a nominal rate of 6% convertible monthly. Find the a) monthly payment b) the total principal and interest that would be paid on the loan over 30 years c) the balance in 5 years d) the principal and interest paid over the first 5 years. Solution. a) In the US, quoted rates on mortgages are nominal rates convertible monthly (although Exam FM may use other periods for conversions). Thus the loan has a monthly rate of 6% +12 = 0.5%. Find the payment using the BA II Plus calculator. Set PV = 250,000,1/Y=.5, N=360 and CPT PMT = -1,498.88. b) The total principal paid is just the amount of the loan -i.e. 250,000. The total interest can be found as Total payments-Principal Paid = 1498.88(360) - 250,000 = 289,596.80 You could also do this with the AMORT worksheet. The answer will be slightly different due to rounding. c) The balance is easy on the calculator. Set N=60 (for 5 years) and CPT FV =-232,635.89 d) This can be done in two ways, just as part b). First note that the amount of principal paid in 5 years is just the original amount of the loan less the balance in 5 years or 250,000 - 232,635.89 = 17,364.11. The total interest paid in 5 years can be found as Total payments-Principal Paid = 1498.88(60) - 17364.11 = 72,568.69 With the AMORT worksheet the answer will again be slightly different. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M3-12 Module 3 - Loan Repayment Exercise (3.23) A fifteen year monthly payment mortgage loan for 250,000 is offered at a nominal rate of 6% convertible monthly. Find a) the monthly payment b) the total principal and interest that would be paid on the loan over 15 years c) the balance in 5 years and d) the principal and interest paid over the first 5 years. Answer: a) 2109.64 b) Principal 250,000, Interest 129,735.57 c) 190,022.75 d) Principal 59,977.25 Interest 66,601.27 Example (3.24) A thirty year monthly payment mortgage loan for 250,000 is offered at a rate of 6%. The borrower would like to have graduated payments where the first year's monthly payment is P , the second year's monthly payment is P+100 and all subsequent monthly payments are P+200. a) Find the initial payment P b) Find the balance at the end of one year. Solution. a) Use the equation of value 250,000 = Pamms + v12 (100)a^005 + v24 (100) a^^ = P166.7916 + .9419 (100) (164.7434) + .8872 (100) (162.5688) = P166.7916 +29,940.28 This gives P=1319.37 b) Using the prospective method, Bal2 = (P + 100) a^^ + v12 (100) a^^ = 1419.37(164.7434) + .9419(100)(162.5688) = 249,144.19 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 3 - Loan Repayment Page M3-13 Exercise (3.25) A 15 year monthly payment mortgage loan for 250,000 is offered at a rate of 6%. The borrower would like to have graduated payments where the first year's monthly payment is P , the second year's monthly payment is P+100 and all subsequent monthly payments are P+200. Find a) Find the initial payment P. b) Find the balance at the end of one year. Answer: a) 1938.49 b) 241,507.13 Lenders may charge percentage fees called points on a loan to raise their yield. The next example illustrates the effect of this. Example (3.26) A thirty year monthly payment mortgage loan for 300,000 is offered at a nominal rate of 7.2% convertible monthly. Thus the monthly interest rate is 0.6% and the calculated monthly payment is 2036.36. (Calculate the payment on your calculator and leave it there for the moment.) When the loan closes the lender includes a fee of 3 points for which no service is performed. He is taking away 3% of the loan or 9,000 as a fee that raises his yield. In effect, the borrower is really getting a loan of only 291,000. This raises the borrower's interest rate. To see this, modify the loan in your calculator by setting PV = 291,000 and CPT I/Y. The result is a monthly rate of 0.63%. Multiply this by 12 and you will see a nominal rate Of 7.51%. That is the borrowers true nominal annual rate. The true nominal annual rate is called the annual percentage rate or APR in the United States. Lenders are required by law to reveal this rate to the borrower. The intent of the law is to provide information that would prevent abuse of borrowers by lenders quoting lower rates and then charging a very large point fee. Exercise (3.27) A fifteen year monthly payment mortgage loan for 200,000 is offered at a nominal rate of 7.2% convertible monthly. The lender charges a fee of 2% for which no services are provided. Find the APR. Answer : 7.53% ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M3-14 Module 3 - Loan Repayment Section 3.6 An Installment Loan Example With an installment loan, you pay regular payments of principal plus interest due at the end of each period. The next example illustrates this. Example (3.28) You have a 30,000 loan at 8% annually for 5 years. You agree to pay off the principal in installments of 6,000 per year, and to pay interest on the outstanding balance each year. The amortization table is below. 1 Year 1 Payment 1 Principal 1 Balance 0 30,000 l 8,400 2,400 6,000 24,000 2 7,920 1,920 6,000 18,000 3 7,440 1,440 6,000 12,000 4 6,960 960 6,000 6,000 5 1 6,480 480 6,000 0 1 Here you find the interest due first and add it to the principal installment to get the total payment. For example at time 2 you would first calculate 8% interest on the previous outstanding balance of 24,000 0.08(24,000) = 1,920. Then you would add that to the required principal of 6,000 for a total payment of 7,920. Note that now the principal is constant but the interest due and total payment decrease. It is easy to find the interest due for a period without constructing the table. Suppose that you wanted to find the interest due in the 4th payment. Note that Bal3 = 30,000 - 3 (6000) = 12,000 InU =i(Bal3) = (.08)12,000 = 960 The interest due in the 4th payment is 960, and the total payment is 6,960. | Exercise (3.29) You have a 30,000 loan at 8% annually for 30 years. You agree to pay off the principal in installments of 1,000 per year, and to pay interest on the outstanding balance each year. Find a) the interest due in the 11th payment b) b) the actual 11th payment. Answer : a) 1600 b) 2600 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 3 - Loan Repayment Page M3-15 Section 37 Sinking Fund Repayment of a Loan When you use a sinking fund, you only pay the lender the interest at his stated rate i on the loan each period. In addition you make level deposits to an account called a sinking fund that earns interest at a rate j. The goal is to make a deposit into the sinking fund that will cause the fund to grow to the amount of the loan at the end of the loan term. Thus you can pay off the loan when it is due using the sinking account funds. We will use the notation SFD for the required sinking fund deposit. Example (3.30) A 100,000 annual payment loan is made for a term of 10 years at 10% interest. The lender wants only payments of interest until the end of year 10 when the 100,000 must be repaid. The borrower will make level annual year-end payments to a sinking fund earning 8%. Find the sinking fund deposit and the balance in the sinking fund at times 3 and 4. Solution. The first task is to find the required sinking fund deposit. This is easily done using the TI BA II Plus. Set FV=100,000,1/Y=8, N=10 and CPT PMT= -6,902.95. Note that each year the borrower will also pay 100,000 (.10) = 10,000 to the lender resulting in a total loan payment of 16,902.95. Next we will look at the balance in the sinking fund. The balance at time k is the future value of k payments of 6,902.95 to the fund. To get the balance at time 3, set N=3 and CPT FV = -22,409.73. To get the balance at time 4, set N=4 and CPT FV = -31,105.46. Exercise (3.31) A 70,000 annual payment loan is made for a term of 10 years at 8% interest. The lender wants only payments of interest until the end of year 10 when the 70,000 must be repaid. The borrower will make level annual year-end payments to a sinking fund earning 6%. Find the sinking fund deposit and the balance in the sinking fund at times 5 and 6. | Answer : SFD=5310.76; Balances: 29,937.23, 37,044.22 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratiiff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M3-16 Module 3 - Loan Repayment The sinking fund balance is important, and we will refer to the balance at time k as SFBalk. We have looked at the sinking fund balances at two successive time periods in the preceding example and exercise for a reason. We need them to find the amount of principal in a sinking fund payment For example, Principal in 4th payment = SFBaU - SFBah = 31,105.46 - 22,409.73 = 8,695.73 The sinking fund is where you accumulate principal to repay the original 100,000. Thus the change in the sinking fund from time 3 to time 4 is the amount of principal accumulated during that time period to repay the loan. The general rule is that: Principal in fcth payment = SFBah - SFBah-i. Once you have the principal in a payment, you can find the interest in that payment too. Interest in 4th payment=Total PMT-Principal Paid=16,902.95-8695.73=8,207.22 There is an alternative way to find the interest in a sinking fund payment. In each period you pay interest to the lender but also earn interest on the sinking fund. The difference between what you pay and what you earn is called your net interest. At time 3, the balance in the sinking fund was 22,409.73 and the interest earned was 0.08(22,409.73) = 1,792.78. For the 4th payment we have: Net Interest in 4th PMT=10,000-1,792.78 = 8,207.22 Exercise (3.32) For the sinking fund loan in (3.31), find the principal and interest paid in the 6th payment. I Answer : Principal=7106.99; Interest=3803.77 | We have proceeded intuitively and relied on the calculator so far. Now we will introduce some formulas that are commonly found in actuarial texts. We will denote the loan amount by L and the term by n. Recall that the loan interest rate is i and the sinking fund rate is j .The sinking fund deposit satisfies the equation SFD(s^) = L. Thus SFD = — The interest payable to the lender each period is Li, so the total loan payment each period is given by ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 3 - Loan Repayment PageM3-17 (3.34) Total sinking fund loan payment = + Li = L S^J - + i The balance in the sinking fund at time k is given by: (3.35) SFBalk=SFDsxi=L^L The principal paid in payment k is (3.36) SFBah -SFBah-x^SFDSftj -SFDs^j = SFD(sxJ-s^j) = SFD(l + j)fc_1 Thus we have a formula that is useful for exam problems (3.37) Principal paid in sinking fund payment k = SFD (1 + j) fc-i The interest paid in payment k can be given in two ways (3.38) Net interest = Total Payment - Principal Paid = (SFD + Li)-SFD(l + j) k-i (3.39) Interest to lender - Interest on sinking fund = Li- SFBalk.i (j) This is a large assortment of formulas. A crucial one for exam problems is (3.37). In the next examples we will give a simple application and then an example of a tougher problem that is easy to solve if you know (3.37). Example (3.40) For the sinking fund loan in (3.30) we found that SFD = 6,902.95 and the principal paid in the 4th payment was 8695.73. We can check the principal paid amount using (3.37). SFD (1 +j) =6,902.95(1.08) =8,695.73 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M3-18 Module 3 - Loan Repayment Exercise (3.41) Use (3.37) to verify the principal paid amount in Exercise (3.32). Example (3.42) For a sinking fund loan SFD = 5310.76 and the amount of principal in the third payment is 5967.17. What is the interest rate? Solution. Principal Paid = SFD (1 + jf'1 = 5310.76 (1 + j)2 = 5967.17 , . /5967.17 1 „ . „ 1 + j = J = 1.06 -» j = .06 J V 5310.76 Exercise (3.43) For a sinking fund loan SFD = 5066.43 and the amount of principal in the fourth payment is 6206.59. What is the interest rate? Answer : 7% ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 3 - Loan Repayment Page M3-19 Section 3.8 Capitalization of Interest and Negative Amortization Capitalization of interest and negative amortization occur when the payment made is less that the interest on the loan. Let's look at an example: Example (3.44) A borrower would like to borrow 30,000 at 8% for 5 years, but would like to pay only 2,000 for the first two years and then catch up with a higher payment for the final three years. What is the payment for the final 3 years? Solution. First we will use the calculator to find the loan balance in 2 years if the payment each year is 2000. Set PV = 30,000, PMT=-2,000 , N=2 and CPT FV= -30,832,00. The balance is 30,832. After the second payment of 2000, the borrower owes 30,832.. He can pay this off in 3 years with a higher payment. To find it, set PV=30,832, N=3, FV =0,1/Y=8 and CPT PMT=-11,963.85. The payment for the final 3 years is 11,963.85. Below we show the amortization table for the loan. I 1 Year 1 Payment 1 Interest 1 Principal 1 Balance 0 30,000.00 1 2,000.00 2,400.00 -400.00 30,400.00 2 2,000.00 2,432.00 -432.00 30,832.00 3 11,963.85 2,466.56 9,497.29 21,334.71 4 11,963.85 1,706.78 10,257.07 11,077.64 5 1 11,963.85 886.21 11,077.64 0.00 | Note what happened in years 1 and 2. The total payment was less than the interest required so the principal paid amount was negative. When the negative "principal paid" was subtracted from the prior balance, the effect was to add the shortfall to the balance of the loan. In period 1 the borrower has a shortfall of 400, and this means that he now owes 1 30,000+400 = 30,400. | Such an increase in balance is called negative amortization because the amount of principal amortized is negative. It is also referred to as capitalization of interest since the unpaid interest is turned into capital when it is added to the balance of the loan. Negative amortization is now present in many United States mortgage loans which were structured to have low initial payments. This facilitates the sale of home, but is raising concerns about the soundness of the loans. What happens if the borrower cannot make the payment when it increases? Exercise (3.45) Find the principal paid, interest paid and balance in year 1 if the initial payment were 1500 instead of 2000. I Answer : Interest=2400; Principal=-900; Balance=30,900 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M3-20 Module 3 - Loan Repayment Section 3.9 Formula Sheet • Amortization Method: When a payment is made, it must be first applied to pay interest due and then any remaining part of the payment is applied to pay principal • • • • • • Loan Payment at time k: Loan Balance after Pmtk Loan amount: Interest paid in Pmtk+1: Principal paid in Pmtk+i: Balance after Pmtk+1: is made: Pmtk Balk Bal0 Intk+1 =i(Balk) PRink+1= Pmtk+i-i(Balk) Balk+1 = Balk - PRink = Balk-[Pmtk+1 - i(Balk)] = (l + i)Balk -Pmtk+1 • For a level payment loan with payment PMT o Interest paid in Pmtt : Intt = PMT(l - vn"t+1) o Principal paid in Pmtt: PRint = PMTvn~t+1 • PRinn+k = (1 + i)kPRinn • Prospective Method: The loan balance after a payment is the present value of the remaining payments at the time of payment. • Level Payment Loan Prospective Balance = PMTa^\ t • • Retrospective Balance: PV(1 + i)k - FV( payments made at times l,..,k) • Level Payment Loan Retrospective Balance = PV(1 + i)k - PMTs^ Sinking Fund Loon L • sfd = - s^j • Total sinking fund loan payment = + Li = L ( s^ ■ + i • SFBalk=SFDsklj=L • Principal Paid: SFBah - SFBal^ = SFD (s^ - s^) = SFD i1 + J) • Net interest = (SFD + Li)- SFD(1 + jf'1 = Li-SFBal^ (j) .xfc-l ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Module 3 - Loan Repayment Page M3- 21 Section 3.10 Basic Review Problems 1. A loan for 50,000 has level payments to be made at the end of each year for 10 years at an annual rate of 9%. Find a) the balance at the end of 3 years and b) the principal and interest paid in the third payment. 2. A borrower would like to borrow 50,000 at 7.5% for 5 years, but would like to pay only 6,000 for the first two years and then catch up with a higher payment for the final three years. What is the payment for the final 3 years? 3. You have a 20,000 loan at 7.2% annually for 8 years. You agree to pay off the principal in installments of 2,500 per year, and to pay interest on the outstanding balance each year. Find the interest due in the 6th payment. 4. For a 6.3% level payment loan, the amount of principal in the third payment is 845.28. Find the amount of principal in the 7th payment. 5. A loan made at an annual rate of 6% has 10 remaining payments of 1000. What is the loan balance? 6. A loan at 7% annually has an initial payment of 250, and 9 further payments. The payment amount increases by 3% each year. Find the loan balance immediately after the 7th payment. 7. A loan at 6.5% annually has an initial payment of 300, and 9 further payments. The payment amount increases by 20 each year. Find the loan balance immediately after the 6th payment. 8. A thirty year monthly payment mortgage loan for 500,000 is offered at a nominal rate of 8.4% convertible monthly. Find the a) monthly payment, b) the total principal and interest that would be paid on the loan over 30 years c) the balance in 5 years and d) the principal and interest paid over the first 5 years. 9. A thirty year monthly payment mortgage loan for 325,000 is offered at a rate of 6.6%. The borrower would like to have graduated payments where the first year's monthly payment is P and all subsequent monthly payments are P+500. a) Find the initial payment P. b) Find the balance at the end of one year. 10. A thirty year monthly payment mortgage loan for 250,000 is offered at a nominal rate of 6.3% convertible monthly. The lender charges a fee of 2.5% for which no services are provided. Find the APR. 11. A 65,000 annual payment loan is made for a term of 10 years at 7.3% interest. The lender wants only payments of interest until the end of year 10 when the 65,000 must be repaid. The borrower will make level annual year-end payments to a sinking fund earning 4.8%. Find the level sinking fund deposit and the balance in the sinking fund at time 5. 12. For the loan in problem 11, find the total payment and the principal in the 6th payment. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M3-22 Module 3 - Loan Repayment Section 3.11 Basic Review Problem Solutions 1. Use the AMORT worksheet. First input the loan and find the annual payment of 7,791.00. Then key 2ND AMORT and enter 3 for both PI and P2. The remaining balance after the 3rd payment is 39,211.77. The principal paid is 3910.04 and the interest is 3880.96. 2. First we will use the calculator to find the loan balance in 2 years if the payment each year is 6000. Set PV = 50,000, PMT=-6,000 , N=2,1/Y = 7.5 and CPT FV=-45,331.25. The balance is 45331.25. After the second payment of 6000, the borrower owes 45331.25. He can pay this off in 3 years with a higher payment. To find it, set PV=45331.25, N=3, FV=0,1/Y = 7.5 and CPT PMT=-17,431.57. The payment for the final 3 years is 17,431.57. 3. This is an installment loan The interest due on the 6th payment is 540 and the total payment is 3040. 4. The level payment implies the amortization method. We will use the formula PRinn+k = (1 + i)kPRinn to solve. PRm3+4 = (1 + i)*PRin3 = (1.063)4 (845.28) = 1,079.28 5. This is the prospective method. On the BA II Plus set PMT=-1000,1/Y=6, N=10 and CPT PV=7360.09. 6. The payments are 250, 250(1.03), 250(1.03)2,..., 250(1.03)9. Immediately after the 7th payment the remaining payments are 250(1.03)7,250(1.03)8, 250(1.03)9. Using the prospective method, the balance immediately after the 7th payment is the present value of those remaining payments. 250(l.037) 250(l.038) 250(l.039) Bal7 = —^ l + —A 2 } + V - ; = 830.24 1.07 1.072 1.073 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 3 - Loan Repayment PageM3-23 7. First, we will show the (much faster) calculator solution, then the traditional increasing annuity method, if you want to practice it. Calculator method: Use the CF worksheet with CF1=420, CF2=440, CF3=460 CF4=480 and find the NPV with 1=6.5 CPT NPV=1536.22. Traditional method: The payments are 300, 320, 340,..., 480. Immediately after the 6th payment the remaining payments are 420, 440, 460, 480. Using the retrospective method, the balance immediately after the fourth payment is the present value of those remaining payments. Using P = 420 and Q = 20 we have Bal6=Pa^+Q = 420^+20 ra*-nv^ v l j / = 420 (3.426) + 20 = 1,536.40 065 ( 3.426 -4 (0.7773) .065 8. 8.4% convertible monthly => 0.7% per month. The number of compounding periods is 360 (30 years x 12 months). a. Set PV = 500,000,1/Y=.7, N=360 and CPT PMT = -3809.19. b. The total principal paid is just the amount of the loan -500,000. The total interest can be found as Total payments-Principal Paid=3809.19(360)-500,000=871,307.79 c. (Prospective method) The balance is easy on the calculator. Set N=60 (for 5 years) and CPT FV = -477,043.37. d. The AMORT worksheet with Pl=l and P2=60 gives principal of 22,956.75 and interest of 205,594.65. 9. a. The monthly rate is 0.55%. Use the equation of value 325,000 = Pamoo5S + v12 (500) ^3481.0055 = P156.5781 + .9363 (500) (154.861) = P156.5781 + 72,498.19 This gives P=l,612.63 b. Use the prospective method. We can do this one on the calculator because there is no step after the end of the first year. All payments will be 2,112.63. Set N=348,1/Y=0.55, PMT=-2112.63 and CPT PV=-327,163.90. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M3-24 Module 3 - Loan Repayment 10. First find the monthly payment. The monthly rate is 0.525% Set N=360,1/Y=.525, PV=250,000 and CPT PMT=-1547.43. The 2.5% fee is 6,250, so the actual loan is for 250,000-6,250 = 243,750. Set PV = 243,750 and CPT I/Y=.5452%. Multiply by 12 to get the nominal APR rate of 6.5422%. 11. Sinking fund deposit. Set FV=65,000,1/Y=4.8, N=10 and CPT PMT=-5216.23. Balance at time 5. Set N=5 and CPT FV=-28,708.06. 12. The annual interest payment is 65,000(.073) = 4,745. Thus, the total payment is 4745 + 5216.13 = 9961.13 The principal in the 6th payment is (1 + j)5 SFD = 1.048s (5216.23) = 6,594.22 . ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 3 - Loan Repayment Page M3- 25 Section 3.12 Sample Exam Problems 1. (2005 Exam FM Sample Questions #4) John borrows 10,000 for 10 years at an annual effective interest rate of 10%. He can repay this loan using the amortization method with payments of 1,627.45 at the end of each year. Instead, John repays the 10,000 using a sinking fund that pays an annual effective interest rate of 14%. The deposits to the sinking fund are equal to 1,627.45 minus the interest on the loan and are made at the end of each year for 10 years. Determine the balance in the sinking fund immediately after repayment of the loan. (A) 2,130 (B) 2,180 (C) 2,230 (D) 2,300 (E) 2,370 2. (2005 Exam FM Sample Questions #9) A 20-year loan of 1000 is repaid with payments at the end of each year. Each of the first ten payments equals 150% of the amount of interest due. Each of the last ten payments is X. The lender charges interest at an annual effective rate of 10%. Calculate X. (A) 32 (B) 57 (C) 70 (D) 97 (E) 117 3. (2005 Exam FM Sample Questions #15) A 10-year loan of 2000 is to be repaid with payments at the end of each year. It can be repaid under the following two options: (i) Equal annual payments at an annual effective rate of 8.07%. (ii) Installments of 200 each year plus interest on the unpaid balance at an annual effective rate of i. The sum of the payments under option (i) equals the sum of the payments under option (ii). Determine i. (A) 8.75% (B) 9.00% (C) 9.25% (D) 9.50% (E) 9.75% 4. (2005 Exam FM Sample Questions #16) A loan is amortized over five years with monthly payments at a nominal interest rate of 9% compounded monthly. The first payment is 1000 and is to be paid one month from the date of the loan. Each succeeding monthly payment will be 2% lower than the prior payment. Calculate the outstanding loan balance immediately after the 40th payment is made. (A) 6751 (B) 6889 (C) 6941 (D) 7030 (E) 7344 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M3-26 Module 3 - Loan Repayment 5. (2005 Exam FM Sample Questions #24) A 20-year loan of 20,000 may be repaid under the following two methods: i) amortization method with equal annual payments at an annual effective rate of 6.5% ii) sinking fund method in which the lender receives an annual effective rate of 8% and the sinking fund earns an annual effective rate of j Both methods require a payment of X to be made at the end of each year for 20 years. Calculate j. (A) j < 6.5% (B) 6.5% < j < 8.0% (C) 8.0% < j < 10.0% (D) 10.0% < j < 12.0% (E) j > 12Wo 6. (2005 Exam FM Sample Questions #26) Seth, Janice, and Lori each borrow 5000 for five years at a nominal interest rate of 12%, compounded semi-annually. • Seth has interest accumulated over the five years and pays all the interest and principal in a lump sum at the end of five years. • Janice pays interest at the end of every six-month period as it accrues and the principal at the end of five years. • Lori repays her loan with 10 level payments at the end of every six- month period. Calculate the total amount of interest paid on all three loans. (A) 8718 (B) 8728 (C) 8738 (D) 8748 (E) 8758 7. (2005 Exam FM Sample Questions #28) Ron is repaying a loan with payments of 1 at the end of each year for n years. The amount of interest paid in period t plus the amount of principal repaid in period t + 1 equals X. Calculate X. (A) 1 + — (B) 1 + — (C) l + vn-fi (D) l + vn-td(E) l + v^ i d 8. (2005 Exam FM Sample Questions #46) Seth borrows X for four years at an annual effective interest rate of 8%, to be repaid with equal payments at the end of each year. The outstanding loan balance at the end of the third year is 559.12. Calculate the principal repaid in the first payment. (A) 444 (B) 454 (C) 464 (D) 474 (E) 484 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 3 - Loan Repayment Page M3-27 9. (May OS #8) A loan is being repaid with 25 annual payments of 300 each. With the 10th payment, the borrower pays an extra 1000, and then repays the balance over 10 years with a revised annual payment. The effective rate of interest is 8%. Calculate the amount of the revised annual payment. (A) 157 (B) 183 (C) 234 (D) 257 (E) 383 10. (May 05 #2) Lori borrows 10,000 for 10 years at an annual effective interest rate of 9%. At the end of each year, she pays the interest on the loan and deposits the level amount necessary to repay the principal to a sinking fund earning an annual effective interest rate of 8%. The total payments made by Lori over the 10-year period is X. Calculate X. (A) 15,803 (B) 15,853 (C) 15,903 (D) 15,953 (E) 16,003 11. (May 05 #25) A bank customer takes out a loan of 500 with a 16% nominal interest rate convertible quarterly. The customer makes payments of 20 at the end of each quarter. Calculate the amount of principal in the fourth payment. (A) 0.0 (B) 0.9 (C) 2.7 (D) 5.2 (E) There is not enough information to calculate the amount of principal. 12. (Nov 05 #18) A loan is repaid with level annual payments based on an annual effective interest rate of 7%. The 8th payment consists of 789 of interest and 211 of principal. Calculate the amount of interest paid in the 18th payment. (A) 415 (B) 444 (C) 556 (D) 585 (E) 612 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M3-28 Module 3 - Loan Repayment Section 3,13 Sample Exam Solutions 1. John owes interest of 10,000 (.10) = 1000 at the end of each year. He puts the remaining 627.45 in the sinking fund at 14%. We can find the accumulated value of the sinking fund in 10 years using the financial calculator with PMT = 627.45, N=10 and I/Y = 14. Computing FV gives the accumulated value of 12,133.19. John must use this accumulated value to pay the loan amount of 10,000. The balance in his account is 12,133.19-10,000.00=2,133.19. Answer A 2. The loan has varying payments for the first 10 years and then a level payment X for the final 10 years. We will look at the first few payments to examine the pattern of the first 10 payments. 1 Time 1 Interest due 1 Payment 1 Principal paid | Balance 0 1000.00 1 100.00 150.00 50.00 950.00 2 95.00 95(1.5)=142.50 47.50 902.50 Note that the balance is decreasing, but not arithmetically. A good guess would be that the decrease is geometric, and this is borne out by the observation that each entry in the table is 95% of the previous. If we denote the interest due, the payment, the principal paid and the balance immediately after the payment for time k < 10 by INTk, PMTkyPRINk and BALK we can see this relationship more formally. INTk = .10BALk.x PMTk = .15BALk_! PRINk = PMTk - INTk = .05BALk_i BALk =BALk-! -PRINk = BALk_i - .05BALk_i = .95BALk_i This means that the balance at time 10 immediately after the tenth payment is 1000 (.95)10 =598.74. At this point we have a level payment loan with payments of X for 10 more periods at a rate of 10%. The level payment X can be found using the financial calculator with PV=-598.74,1/Y=10 and N=10. The computed PMT is 97.44 = X. Answer D ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 3 - Loan Repayment PageM3-29 3. We will first find the total payments for each of the two options. Option (i). We can calculate the payment for option (i) using the calculator with PV=2000, N = 10 and 1= 8.07. The payment is 299, so that the total payments are 2990. Option (ii). Note that if full interest is paid on the unpaid balance each year, the additional payment of 200 is a payment of principal. We do not know the unknown rate i, but we can derive an expression for the total payments in terms of i. A partial table is helpful to visualize the payments. 1 Time 1 Balance after payment 1 Interest paid | Principal paid 0 2000 1 1800 2000 i 200 2 1600 1800 i 200) • • • 9 200 400 i 200) 10 0 200 i 200 Total Principal Paid =2000 Total interest paid=i[2000 +1800 + ... + 200] = 200i[10 + 9 + ...1] = 200i[55] = ll,000i Total Payments = 2000 + llOOOi Since total payments for both options are the same, 2990 = 2000 + llOOOi i = .09 Answer B 4. With a nominal rate of 9%, the monthly rate is .75%. The sequence of 60 payments is 1000,1000(.98),1000(.98)2,...,1000(.98)59. The loan balance after the 40th payment is made is the present value of the remaining 20 payments at time 40. " .9840 .9841 .98s9 1000 1000 1.0075 1.00752 ( _9840 A 1,1.0075 1 + 1.007540 .98 .98 \ 1.0075 ){1.0075 \2 ..+ .98 -f 1.0075 J 1000 r .9840 "| v 1.0075 J U-0075, i-f— U-0075 20" ) = 6889.11 Answer B S. For method (i), we have PV = 20,000, N=20 and I/Y = 6.5. Use the financial calculator to compute the annual payment PMT = -1815.13. Therefore, the X referred to in the problem is 1815.13. For method (ii), the total payment made is also X=1815.13. The 8% interest paid each year is .08(20,000) = 1600. This leaves 215.13 for deposit to the sinking fund. We need the sinking fund to accumulate to FV = 20,000.over N = 20 years with an annual payment of PMT = -215.13. We can find the yield by using the BAII Plus calculator to compute I/Y = 14.18. Answer E ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Page M3-30 Module 3 - Loan Repayment 6. Total Interest Paid = Total of All Payments - Loan Amount Seth. Seth has a rate of 12% -r 2 = 6% per semiannual period for 5 years (10 periods). At the end of five years he will make a single total payment of 5000 (1.06)10 = 8954.24 . His total interest is 8954.24 - 5000 = 3954.24. Janice pays 6% interest at the end of each semiannual period and repays the principal at the end. Thus she pays .06x5000 = 300 interest ten times. Her total interest is 10(300) = 3000. Lori has a level payment loan with N = 10, PV = 5000 and I/Y = 6. Use the financial calculator to find PMT = -679.34. Her total interest is 10 (679.34) - 5000 = 1793.40 . Total Interest Paid on all loans is the sum 3954.24 + 3000 +1793.40 = 8747.64 Answer D 7. The key identities for amortization of a level payment loan with payment of 1 are stated below for period t, immediately after the payment is made Period t: Interest paid = 1 - vn~t+1 Principal paid = vn_t+1 Thus for Ron's loan Interest pd in period t + Principal pd in period t+1 = (1 - vn_t+1) + vn_(t+1)+1 = (l-vn"t+1) + vn-t = l + vn-t(l-v) = l + vn"td Answer D 8. Let P be the unknown monthly payment. We will use the loan amortization schedule formulas here. The outstanding balance at the end of the third year is Parm = Pa* = Pv = — .= 559.12. -+ P = 604.85. 1.08 The principle paid in the first payment is 1 Pv4"1+1=Pv4= 603.85 Answer A f 1 A4 1.08 443.85 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 3 - Loan Repayment PageM3-31 9. We will first find the amount of the original loan using the BA II Plus. Set PMT=-300, N=25,1/Y = 8 and CPT PV = 3,202.43 That is the amount of the original loan. Next we look at what happens at the time of the 10th payment. The balance after the regular payment of 300 is made can be found by setting N=10 and computing FV. The balance is 2,567.84. The additional payment of 1,000 reduces the balance to 1,567.84. The loan is now revised to pay off the remaining balance over 10 years and we need to find the annual payment on that revised loan. Set PV=1567.84, N=10,1/Y=8, FV=0 and CPT PMT = -233.65. Answer C 10. Lori pays interest of 900 (9% of 10,000) each year. She also makes a sinking fund deposit to accumulate 10,000 in an 8% account in 10 years. On the BA II Plus, set FV=10,000, N=10,1/Y=8 and CPT PMT= -690.29. Thus each year she pays a total of 900 + 690.29 =1,590.29. In ten years she pays 15,902.90. Answer C 11. The nominal rate of 16% convertible quarterly translates to a rate of 4% per quarter. Note that the interest on 500 at 4% is 20. Thus the customer's payments of 20 are covering interest only, and no principal is paid in any payment. Answer A 12. The principal paid in the kth payment is PMTvn~k+1, where PMT is the full level payment. Note that we are not given n. We do know that the total level payment is 789 + 211 = 1000. We are given the principal paid in the 8th payment is PR8= 211 = 1000vn"8+1. The principal paid in the 18th payment is PR1S = 1000vn"18+1 = v101000vn-8+1 = v-10211 = 1.0710 (211) = 415.07 . Since all payments are 1000, the interest paid in the 18th payment is 1000-415.07 = 584.93 Answer D ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Has sett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M3-32 Module 3 - Loan Repayment Section 3.14 Supplemental Exercises 1. A man has a 200,000 home loan for 30 years at a nominal annual rate of 7.5% convertible monthly. Find (a) His monthly payment (b) His balance after 12 years (c) The amount of interest paid in the 40th payment. 2. Suppose that at the end of 10 years the man in Problem 1 is able to refinance the balance of his loan at 6% convertible monthly. What is his new monthly payment? 3. A woman has a loan of 55,000 at an annual rate of 6.8% for 10 years. She makes annual end of year payments on the principal plus interest on the unpaid balance. Her principal payments start at 1000 and increase by 1000 each year thereafter. What is her total payment for year 6? 4. A loan at 5.8% has level annual end of year payments. The principal repaid in the 8th payment is 1234.08. What is the amount of the principal repaid in the 15th payment? 5. A fixed rate loan has level annual payments. The principal repaid in the 5th payment is 1489.40. The principal repaid in the 15th payment is 2795.81. What is the annual interest rate on the loan? 6. A man has a loan of 50,000 for 10 years at 6.5% annually with annual payments. His payments are 4500 for the first 5 years and X for the next 5 years. Find X. 7. A company has a loan of 80,000 to be paid in 20 annual level payments. The interest and the principal repayment in the 13th payment are the same. Find the amount of principal repaid in the 6th payment. 8. On a loan of 50,000 for 20 years at 6.2% annually the lender wants the interest paid annually and the principal repaid at the end of the 20 years. The borrower makes annual level payments into a sinking fund to raise the 50,000. The fund earns 5.8% annually. What are the borrowers total annual payments? 9. A man borrows 250,000 for 30 years at 6.8% annually. He agrees to make annual payments of 15,000 for the first 10 years, 15,000 + P for the next 10 years and 15,000 + 2P for the last 10 years. Find P. 10. For Problem 9, find the balance at the end of year 20. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 3 - Loan Repayment Page M3-33 Section 3.15 Supplemental Exercise Solutions 1. (a) Using the BA II Plus calculator set N = 360,1/Y = 0.625, PV = 200,000 and FV = 0. Then CPT PMT = 1398.43. The payment is 1398.43. (b) To get the balance after 12 years (144 months) reset N = 216, the number of months remaining. Then CPT PV = 165,499.78. (c) The interest in the 40th is PMT(1 - v360A0+1) = 1398.43[1 - (1/1.00625)321] = 1209.17. 2. To get his balance at the end of 10 years (240 months left) set N= 240,1/Y = 0.625, PMT = -1389.43 and FV = 0. Then CPT PV = 173,589.97. To get his new payment reset I/Y = 0.5. Then CPT PMT = -1243.65. New payment is 1243.65. 3. At the end of year 5 the woman has paid 15,000 towards the principal, so her balance is 40,000. The interest due at the end of year 6 is 40,000(0.068) = 2720. Total payment for year 6 is 8720. 4. If PRink is the principal repaid in the Jeth payment, then PRink+n = (1 + i)nPRinn. Hence PRin15 = (1.0587)PRin8. PRin15 = 1.4839(1234.08) = 1831.23. 5. PRin15 = (1 + i)10PRin5 => 2795.81 = (1 + i)10(1489.40) Hence i = (2795.81/1489.40)1/10 - 1 = 0.065 6. Using the BA II Plus calculator, set N = 5, I/Y = 6.5, PV = 50,000 and PMT = -4500. Then CPT FV = -42,882.95 is the outstanding balance. To find X change PV = 42,882.95 and FV = 0. Then CPT PMT = -10,319.12. X = 10,319.12. 7. PRiriu = PMTv2013+1 = PMT/2 => v8 = Vi =>i = 0.0905. To get the payment set N= 20, I/Y = 9.05, PV = 80,000 and FV = 0. Then CPT PMT = -8794.97. The principal repaid in the 6th period is PMTv20-6+1 = 8794.97Q/1.0905)15 = 2398.00. 8. The annual interest on the loan is 50,000(0.062) = 3100. To find the payments into the sinking fund on the BA II Plus set N = 20, I/Y = 5.8, PV = 0 and FV = 50,000. Then CPT PMT = -1388.72. The total annual payments are 1388.72 + 3100 = 4488.72. 9. The present value of the man's payments is 15,000a^0t068 +Pv10a^0.068 +Pv20a^0,68 =250,000 a3oio.o68 = 12.6625, a2oio.068 = 10.7607, amMS = 7.0890 v10 = 0.51795 and v20 = 0.26827. 15,000(12.6625) + P[0.51795(10.7607) + 0.26827(7.0890)] = 250,000 P = 8,034.83 10. For the last 10 years the payments are 15,000 + 2P = 31,069.66. The balance due is 31,069.66 amo6s = 31,069.66(7.0890) = 220,252.82. (Note: for the first 10 years there was negative amortization.) ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 4 - Bonds PageM4- 1 Section 4,1 Introduction to Bonds Corporations need to find money to start projects. One way to get funding is to sell stock in the company, but that expands the ownership of the company - every stockholder is an owner of a proportional share of the company. Another way to get money is to borrow it. Corporations can and do borrow money from banks and other lenders, but a more widely used method of borrowing is to issue bonds. Bonds are also issued by national governments, municipalities, school districts and various other entities. We will illustrate how bond borrowing works with a simple example. Example (4,1) Company A needs $100,000,000 to build new manufacturing facilities. The company creates a bond issue consisting of 100,000 bonds in denominations of $1,000. This amount is called the face value or par value of the bond. The bond will pay a nominal interest rate of interest of 10% convertible semiannually for 10 years and then return the face value of 1000 along with the final interest payment. The 10% rate is called the coupon rate of the bond. The $1000 return of the face value is called the redemption value. Most bonds are issued so that the final redemption value equals the face value, although it is possible to have a redemption value that does not equal the face value. Individual investors who wish to earn interest can buy these bonds. The investors are making a loan to Company A. If the Company A can sell all 100,000 bonds at $1000 each they will have the $100,000,000 they need. In the above example, Company A's bond pays 10%. As you are probably aware, interest rates change daily. If the current rates an investor can earn on a similar investment are higher than 10%, an investor will not want to pay full price for Company A's bond. Conversely, if rates on similar investments are less than 10%, investors will be willing to pay more than the $1,000 face value. This is demonstrated in the following exercise and example. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M4-2 Module 4 - Bonds Example (4,2) Company A puts its bonds up for sale on a day when investors in the marketplace are demanding an earnings rate of 10.2% convertible semiannually or 5.1% per semiannual period. They want to buy each bond at a price that gives that yield. This price is easy to find on the BA II Plus. In 10 years each 1000 bond will give 20 semiannual payments of $50 and a final payment of $1000 at the same time as the last payment of $50. The price is the present value of this series of payments. Set PMT=50,FV=1000, N=20,1/Y=5.1 and CPT PV=-987.64. The investors will only pay $987.64 for each bond, and Company A will collect a total of $98,764,000, which is $1,236,000 short of the amount needed. Exercise (4,3) Suppose the bonds were sold on a day when the desired interest rate was 9.8% convertible semiannually. What is the price of an individual $1,000 bond? Answer: 1012.57 Note that when interest rates demanded by investors went up, the price of the bond went down below the redemption value of 1000. In this case the bond is said to have sold at a discount of 12.36. When interest rates demanded by investors went down, the price of the bond went up above the redemption value of 1000. In this case the bond is said to have sold at a premium of 12.57. It is important to remember that the price of the bond moves in the opposite direction from interest rates. The examples above are simplified to illustrate the basics. In practice, there are also expense and risk issues associated with issuing bonds. We will not review these issues here, since they are covered in finance courses. Instead, we will focus on the mathematics of bonds. Note that in the above examples we stated coupon rate and yield as nominal rates convertible semiannually. This is the most common practice in Canada and the United States. However an issuer (or an exam question) can use any conversion period. Annual rates have been used in Europe and are used in some Exam FM questions. Also in the above examples we assumed that the borrower would pay back the face value at the maturity of the bond. It is possible for the borrower to offer a different final payment. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 4 - Bonds Page M4- 3 Example (4.4) The company issuing the bonds of Example (4.1) decides to make the bonds more attractive by offering to pay $1100 at the time of the final payment of $50. If the bonds are purchased to yield 10.2%, we can find the price of this new bond on the BA II Plus. Set PMT=50, FV=1100, N=20,1/Y=5.1 and CPT PV=-1,024.62. Exercise (4.5) What is the price of the bond in (4.4) if the required yield is 9.8% convertible semiannually? Answer: 1050.98 The final amount of 1100 in example (4.4) is called the redemption value. If no separate redemption value is specified, you can assume that the bonds will be redeemed at par. Note that raising the redemption value to 1100 resulted in a price above 1000. It is natural to ask what redemption value would give a price of 1000. Example (4.6) Suppose that the company issuing the bonds of Example (4.1) wants to raise the redemption value to keep the price at 1000 if there is a raise in the required nominal rate to 10.2% We can find the required redemption j value on the BA II Plus. Set PMT=50, PV =-1000, N=20,1/Y=5.1 and CPT FV= 1033.42. | That is the required redemption value. | Exercise (4.7) What redemption value would assure a price of 1,000 for the above bonds if the required nominal rate were 10.1% Answer: 1016.62 Investors are often offered a bond at a price. In this case, they would like to find the yield that they would earn with the offered price. Example (4.8) A 1000 par value bond with a term of 10 years and a coupon of 10% convertible semiannually is offered at a price of 990. We can find the yield per semiannual period on the BA II Plus. Set PMT=50, PV = -990, N=20, FV=1000 and CPT. I/Y=5.08. | This gives a nominal yield convertible semiannually of 10.16%. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M4-4 Module 4 - Bonds Exercise (4.9) A 1000 par value bond with a term of 10 years and a coupon of 10% convertible semiannually is offered at a price of 1020. Find the implied yield. Answer: 9.68 You have certainly observed by now that we have solved all problems to this point on the financial calculator, without a single mathematical notation or formula. It is important to recognize when exam problems can be done so easily and directly. As always, there are notations and formulas to learn and problems that require their use. The key variables are: F = par value r = coupon rate Fr = coupon amount C = redemption value (usually = F) n = number of periods to redemption P = price i = yield per period to investor at price P 1 l + i The most basic formula for the price P is (4.10) P = PV(coupons) + PV (redemption payment) -or- P = (Fr)a^+Cv? If the bond is redeemed at par, we have F = C, and then P = (Fr) a^ t + Fv?. This can be used to derive a formula in terms of premium or discount. When F = C (4.11) P = F+ F(r~i)a^ price face value premium or discount We can illustrate this best with another example. Example (4.12) Consider again a 1000 bond redeemable at par in 10 years with a nominal rate of 10% convertible semiannually. This bond has F=1000, r=.05 and n = 20. We have already shown in example (4.2) that the price of this bond at a yield of 10.2% is 987.64. We can check this using the above formula with i = .051. P = F + F(r-i)a^li= 1000 +1000 (.05 - .051) am 051 = 1000 + (-1) a^ 051 = 1000 -12.36 = 987.64 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 4 - Bonds Page M4- 5 Note that the term F{r-i)a^\i gave us the discount of 12.36 on the bond. The discount is the present value of the difference between the actual coupon and what the coupon would have been if the coupon rate was i. This formula is referred to as the premium-discount formula. Exercise (4.13) Use (4.11) to verify the price of the premium bond in Exercise (4.3) There are a number of other possible formulas for the price of a bond, but we have found that most problems for which these formulas were used historically can now be solved using the BA II Plus directly. Mathematics of Investment and Credit has another formula worth mentioning, Makeham's Formula: (4.14) If we let K = Fvni9 then P = K + ?r(F-K) Example (4.15) Consider again the 1000 bond redeemable at par in 10 years with a nominal rate of 10% convertible semiannually to be purchased at a nominal rate of 10.2% convertible semiannually. For this bond 1000 K = - 1.0512 = 369.78 r OS P = K + ^(F-K) = 369.78 + -^-(1000 - 369.78) = 987.64 The specialized formulas in (4.11) and (4.14) are based on the assumption that the bond is redeemable at par and F-C. If F *C, you must analyze the problem from first principles (see #12 in the Sample Exam Problems for this module for an example of a problem of this type,) Formula (4.17) and the amortization formulas in the next section all have this same disclaimer. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M4-6 Module 4 - Bonds Section 4.2 Amortization of Premium or Discount Given the fluidity of interest rates, bonds are usually sold at a premium or discount. In this case the premium or discount must be amortized for accounting and valuation purposing. The method is similar to the method used in the last module for amortizing loans. We will illustrate this with an example of amortization of premium. Example (4.16) 1 A three year $1000 par bond has a coupon rate of 6% convertible 1 semiannually. It is sold at a yield of 5% convertible semiannually. We can see immediately that this will be a premium bond. We find the price using the BA II Plus. Set FV = 1000,1/Y = 2.5, PMT = 30, N=6 and CPT PV=-1027.54. The price is 1027.54 and the premium is 27.54. Thus, the buyer of the bond has an investment of 1027.54 which pays interest at the true yield rate of 2.5%. Now we will break down the first payment using the amortization method. First payment: 30 Interest Paid: 1027.54 (.025) = 25.69 Principal Paid: 30-25.69 = 4.31 The table below shows the result of continuing this process over the life of the bond. I | Period | Coupon | Redemption Value | Interest Paid | Principal Paid | Balance | Premium | Amortized Premium 0 1027.54 27.54 1 30 25.69 4.31 1023.23 23.23 4.31 2 30 25.58 4.42 1018.81 18.81 4.42 3 30 25.47 4.53 1014.28 14.28 4.53 4 30 25.36 4.64 1009.64 9.64 4.64 5 30 25.24 4.76 1004.88 4.88 4.76 6 1 30 1000 25.12 4.88 1000.00 0 4.88 | Under the amortization method for this premium bond, part of the coupon is a payment of principal. As the principal amount is reduced in each period, the premium is lowered by the amount of principal paid. Thus the amount of principal paid is referred to as the amount of amortization of premium. When the final coupon is paid, the balance owed is equal to the | original amount of 1000 which is paid off by the redemption payment. | The table in the example above illustrates how the method works, but for exam questions you do not want to build the entire table. Fortunately, the amortization method and the premium discount formula can be used to derive a simple formula that is used on exam problems. For a bond that is redeemable at face value: (4.1 /; | Amortization of premium in period k = F(r-i)vn~k+1 ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Module 4 - Bonds PageM4- 7 You can read the derivation of (4.17) in Mathematics of Investment and Credit (page 240, Table 4.3). We find this to be simple to remember since it uses the same power of v as the loan amortization formula in Module 3. Example (4.18) For the bond in, (4.16), the amortization of premium in period 5 is found using (4.17) with F = 1000. r-i = .03-.025 = .005, n-k + 1 = 6-5 + 1 = 2. The result is identical with the number shown in the preceding table. f 1 \2 F(r-i)vn-k+1= 1000 (.005) 1.025 = 4.76 Exercise (4.19) Verify the amortization of premium in period 3 in the preceding table using (4.17). In the next example we will look at ariortization of discount. Example (4.20) 1 A three year semiannually see immedia the BA II Pli Set FV = 100 The price is Thus the buy interest at th payment usii First i Intere Princi The table be] | Period | Coupon | Redemption Value | Interest Paid | Principal Paid | Balance | Discount | Amortized Discount $1000 par bond has a coupon rate of 6% convertible 1 y. It is sold at a yield of 7% convertible semiannually. We can tely that this will be a discount bond. We find the price using is. 0,1/Y = 3.5, PMT = 30, N=6 and CPT PV=-973.36. 973.36 and the discount is 26.64. rer of the bond has an investment of 973.36 which pays e true yield rate of 3.5%. Now we will break down the first lg the amortization method. )ayment: 30 st Paid: 973.64 (.035) = 34.07 pal Paid: 30-34.07 = -4.07 low shows this continuing process over the bond's life: | 0 973.36 26.64 1 30 34.07 -4.07 977.43 22.57 4.07 2 30 34.21 -4.21 981.63 18.37 4.21 3 30 34.36 -4.36 985.99 14.01 4.36 4 30 34.51 -4.51 990.50 9.50 4.51 5 30 34.67 -4.67 995.17 4.83 4.67 6 1 30 1000 34.83 -4.83 1000 0 4.83 1 Under the amortization method for this discount bond, the actual coupon payment is less than the interest due This is called negative amortization in which the interest shortfall is added to the principal balance. Thus the amount of principal added back is sometimes referred to as the amount for accumulation of discount. When the final coupon is paid, the balance owed is equal to the original amount of 1000 which is paid off by the 1 redemption payment. | ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M4-8 Module 4 - Bonds Formula (4.17) works here too. For a bond that is redeemable at face value: (4.21) Negative amortization of discount in period k = F(r-i)v n-k+l Example (4.22) For the bond in (4.20) the amortization of discount in period 5 is found using (4.21) with F = 1000. r-i = .03 -.035 = -.005 n-/c + l = 6-5 + l = 2. The result is identical with the number shown in the preceding table. = -4.67 F(r-i)y"-fc+1 =1000(-.005)(^r^j Exercise (4.23) Verify the amortization of discount in period 3 in the preceding table using (4.21). As we have seen in Module 3, the amortized amount increases geometrically. Amortized amount in period k F(r-i)vn~k+1 Amortized amount in period k+m. F(r-i) v*-(fc+™>+1 = (i + i)mF(r -i)vn~k+1 This leads to questions similar to those seen in Module 3. Example (4.24) A premium bond is purchased to yield 4% convertible semiannually. The amount of premium amortized in the second payment is 8.37. Find the amount of premium amortized in the 7th payment. Solution. 8.37 (1.02)5 = 9.24 Exercise (4.25) A premium bond is purchased to yield 4% convertible semiannually. The amount of premium amortized in the third payment is 4.10. Find the amount of premium amortized in the 6th payment. Answer: 4.35 You can also use the AMORT feature of the BAII Plus to find the numbers in the preceding examples. To apply AMORT to the premium bond in Example (4.16), re-enter the bond information. Set FV = 1000,1/Y = 2.5, PMT = 30, N=6 and CPT PV=-1027.54. Then go to 2ND AMORT. To check the first entry, enter Pl=l and P2=l. Scroll down and you will see PRIN=4.31, the same result given in the table. Check the final entry by entering Pl=6 and P2=6. Scroll down and you will see PRIN=4.88, the same result given in the table. If you apply AMORT to the discount bond in (4.20) you will see the same numbers again. This can be a valuable time-saving tool. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 4 - Bonds PageM4- 9 Section 4.3 Callable Bonds Sometimes it is advantageous to pay off a loan early. In recent years when mortgage rates dropped,many Americans re-financed their home loans by taking out a new loan at lower rates and using the proceeds to pay off the old higher-rate loan. Corporations often have similar motivations to pay off their bonds early. Thus, some bonds are designed with call provisions that allow them to be paid off or "called" at some specified future date before maturity. Any bond that does not have call provisions must pay coupons until maturity. When you buy a callable bond, the price is based on either the call date or the final maturity date. The rule is given below and is based on the worst case of the two choices. Maturity to use in pricing Type of Bond Premium Bond Discount Bond a callable bond: Find N using Earliest Possible Redemption Date Latest Possible Redemption Date If the bond is a 10-year semiannual bond, the full maturity is N=20. If the bond is also callable in 5 years, the call period gives N=10. Thus if the latest possible maturity is N=20 and the earliest is N=10, the investor will price the bond using N=20 for a discount bond and N=10 for a premium bond. We will illustrate this further in the next examples. Example (4.27) A 10 year 1000 bond has a 10% coupon rate convertible semiannually. It is callable in 6 years. An investor wishes to buy the bond to yield 8% convertible semiannually. This means this is a premium bond. Using (4.26), the investor would price the bond using N=12. Using the BA II Plus set N=12,1/Y=4, PMT=50, FV=1000 and CPT PV = -1093.85. To understand the reasoning behind this, take a look at what the price would be if the investor used the latest maturity date instead: Set N=20 and CPT PV = -1135.90. That gives a higher price. The investor is protected by choosing the maturity that gives the lowest price. Another way to think of this is to remember that a premium bond pays a rate of interest that is above the desired yield. If this high interest payment is cut off early, there is a loss of value to the investor. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M4-10 Module 4 - Bonds Example (4.28) A 10 year 1000 bond has a 10% coupon rate convertible semiannually. It is callable in 6 years. An investor wishes to buy the bond to yield 12% convertible semiannually. This means this is a discount bond. Using (4.26), the investor would price the bond using N=20. Using the BA | II Plus set N=20,1/Y=6, PMT=50, FV=1000 and CPT PV = -885.30. | To see the reasoning behind this discount strategy, take a look at what the price would be if the investor used the earliest maturity date. Set N=12 and again CPT PV = -916.16. That gives a higher price. The investor is protected choosing the maturity that gives the lowest price. Another way to think of this is to remember that a discount bond earns interest by recapturing discount. Early recapture of discount at a call raises yield, but later recapture lowers it. Exercise (4.29) A 5 year 1000 bond has a 6% coupon rate convertible semiannually. It is callable in 2 years. At what price should the investor buy the bond to yield 6.2% convertible semiannually? Answer: 991.51 J ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 4 - Bonds Page M4-11 Section 4.4 Pricing Bonds Between Payment Dates Every problem we have done so far used an integer for N, implying that every calculation was either on the bond's origination date or on a coupon date immediately after the coupon was paid. However bonds are bought and sold daily, and we need to discuss how to handle pricing a bond between payment dates. If a bond is priced between payment dates the number of periods would be fractional. In general the fractional period t is defined by number of days from last coupon date to settlement date t = - number of days in the bond period As usual, we will give an example to make this concrete: Example (4.30) In this problem, we will give you the number of days between dates, as an exam problem might Later, we will show how to use the BAII Plus to find the number of days between dates. A bond with par value of 1000 has payment dates of January 21 and July 21. The nominal coupon rate convertible semiannually is 6%. The bond matures on January 21, 2009. On January 21, 2007 a coupon payment of 30 was made. The bond is sold 45 days later on the settlement date of March 7, 2007 to yield 8% convertible semiannually. There are 181 days between the coupon payment dates of January 21, 2007 and July 21, 2007. Thus the fraction of the bond period that the seller of the bonds 45 owned them was = 0.24862 181 A timeline is helpful for visualization: Seller: 45 days Buyer: 136 days Coupon to buyer ,—A—v ~ v I 1 1 1/21 3/7 7/21 On January 21, immediately after the coupon payment was made, there were 4 coupon payments of 30 remaining. At that point, we can find the price of the bond using the BA II Plus. Set N=4, PMT=30, FV = 1000,1/Y = 4 and CPT PV = -963.70. In the above example, the seller of the bond is entitled to interest at 4% per semiannual period, and will require the value of 963.70 plus compound interest for the fractional period. This total sale price includes accrued interest for the fractional period, so it is referred to as the price-plus accrued of the bond. It is also referred to as the flat price. 45 Price-plus-accrued = 963.70 (1.04) isi =973.14 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M4-12 Module 4 - Bonds Part of the total sale price of 973.14 is accrued interest in addition to the principal value. The buyer needs to establish a true price for the bond. The true price is the total price less the accrued interest. 45 In this case the buyer will note that a fraction of -— of the next coupon lol payment represents an interest amount that should be subtracted from the total sale price to get book value. This gives /45^ Accrued interest = 30 181 :7.46 Price = (Price-plus-accrued) - (Accrued interest) = 973.14 - 7.46 = 965.68 The price is also referred to as the market price. Following Mathematics of Investment and Credit, we use P0 to denote the price immediately after the last coupon date and Pt to denote the price at the date of sale (settlement date). If iis the required yield per period for the buyer, then (4.31) Price-plus-accrued = P0 (1 + i) If F is the face value of the bond and r is the coupon rate, then (4.32) Accrued interest =t(Fr) (4.33) Price = (Price plus accrued) - (Accrued interest) = P0(l + i)t-t(Fr) Notice that we have used compound interest in finding the price-plus-accrued and simple interest in finding the accrued interest. This is the convention that is used in section 4.1.2 of the official Exam FM reference text Mathematics of Investment and Credit. However problems need to be read carefully to assure that some other convention is not being specified. Problems 4.1.25, 4.1.26 and 4.1.32 of Mathematics of Investment and Credit explore alternate conventions. Exercise (4.34) Find the market price and accrued interest of the bond in Example (4.30) if it is purchased on March 11, 2007 to yield 7%. Answer: Price=982.70; Accrued interest=8.12 ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Module 4 - Bonds PageM4-13 The BA II Plus has a bond worksheet that will find prices on a given settlement date. We will go through Example (4.30) to illustrate this. There are a number of entries in the process, but they are natural and easy to learn. We like the bond worksheet as a time saver. Example (4.35) The BOND legend appears above the § key. Enter the worksheet by keying 2ND BOND. You will see the display SDT=. This is where you enter the settlement date. To enter March 7, 2007, key in the number 3.0707 and press the ENTER key. Note: the method of date entry is to enter a number which has the month before the decimal point and then two digits for the day and two digits for the year after the decimal point. Years from 00 to 49 are read as 21st century years and years from 50 to 99 are read as 20th century. Now scroll down and you will see CPN. Enter the value of 6 given in the problem. Scroll down again and you will see RDT=. This is where you enter the redemption date. Enter the number 1.2109. Next you scroll to RV=. Here you enter the redemption value as a percent of the face value. Enter 100 for a par bond. At the next scroll down you will see either ACT or 360. Bonds can be priced using either actual days (ACT) or the mortgage convention that a year is composed of 12 months of 30 days each (for 360 days). Use 2ND SET to select ACT and press ENTER. Scroll down again and you will see either 2/Y for semiannual coupons or 1/Y for annual coupons. Use 2ND SET to select 2/Y and press ENTER. Scroll down again and you will see YLD=. Enter the required yield of 8 from the problem. Scroll down again and you will see PRI= . Hit CPT and I you will see the price of 96.569. This is given as a percent of the face value, and translates to 965.69 for a $1000 bond. Scroll down again and you will see AI= . Hit CPT and you will see the accrued interest of 0.746. This is given as a percent of the face value, and translates to 7.46 for a $1000 bond. Note that these numbers match the answers we obtained in Example (4.28). ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M4-14 Module 4 - Bonds Calculator Note Note that the BOND worksheet automatically finds the days between the dates involved, although it does not display them. There is also a DATE worksheet which will find days between dates. The DATE legend appears above the [l] key. As a working example, we will show you how to find the number of days from January 21, 2007 to July 21 2007: Enter the worksheet by keying 2ND DATE. You will see the display DT1=. This is where you enter the first date. To enter January 21, 2007, key in the number 1.2107 and press the ENTER key. Scroll down and you will see the display DT2=. Key in the number 7.2107 and press the ENTER key. Scroll down again and you will see DBD =. This is where you can compute the days between dates, but you first scroll down again to see the display where you choose between ACT and 360. Make sure that you have chosen ACT and the scroll back to DBD and CPT DBD = 181. Note that if you are in 360 mode the answer would be 180. Exercise (4.36) Calculate the number of days until January 1. You could also calculate the number of days that you have been alive if you were born in 1950 or later. This author is out of luck, since I was born in 1941. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 4 - Bonds Page M4-15 Section 4,5 Formula Sheet F = par value r = coupon rate Fr = coupon amount C = redemption value (usually = F) n = number of periods to redemption P = price i = yield per period to investor at price P 1 Vi=—7 l + i P = PV(coupons) + PV(redemption payment) or P = (Fr)a^\ t + Cv" Assuming F = C Basic Formula P = (Fr) a^ t + Fvf Premium-Discount Formula: P = F + F(r-i)a^i Makeham Formula: P = K + ^(F-K), where K = Fvni Bond Amortization • Amortized amount in period k: F(r- i) vn~k+1 • Amortized amount in period k+m: F(r-i) vn-(k+m)+1 = (1 + i)m F (r - i) vn"fc+1 Maturity to use in pricing a callable bond: Type of Bond Premium Bond Discount Bond Find N using Earliest Possible Redemption Date Latest Possible Redemption Date Price Between Payment dates number of days from last coupon date to settlement date number of days in the bond period Price-plus-accrued = P0 (1 + i)' Accrued interest =t(Fr) Price = (Price-plus-accrued) - (Accrued interest) = P0 (1 + i)f - t(Fr). ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M4-16 Section 4.6 Basic Review Problems 1. A 1000 par value bond with a term of 5 years and a coupon of 6% convertible semiannually is purchased to yield 8% convertible semiannually. Find the purchase price. 2. 1000 par value bond with a term of 5 years and a coupon of 6% convertible semiannually is offered at a price of 975. Find the yield. 3. Use the premium discount formula (4.11) to verify the price of the discount bond in problem #1. 4. Find the (negative) amortization of discount in period 4 for the bond in problem #1. 5. A premium bond is purchased to yield 5% convertible semiannually. The amount of premium amortized in the third payment is 4.10. Find the amount of premium amortized in the 8th payment. 6. A 5 year 1000 bond has a 6% coupon rate convertible semiannually. It is callable in 2 years. An investor wishes to buy the bond to yield 5.5% convertible semiannually. Find the purchase price of the bond. 7. A bond with par value of 1000 has payment dates of April 15 and October 15. The nominal coupon rate convertible semiannually is 7%. The bond matures on October 15, 2009. On April 15, 2007 a coupon payment of 35 was made. The bond is sold 80 days later on the settlement date of July 4, 2007 to yield 6% convertible semiannually. There are 183 days between the coupon payment dates of April 15, 2007 and October 15, 2007. Find the price-plus accrued, the accrued interest and the price. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 4 - Bonds Page M4-17 Section 4.7 Basic Review Problem Solutions 1. BA II Plus. Set N=10, PMT=30, FV=1000,1/Y=4 and CPT PV= -918.89 2. BA II Plus. Set N=10, PMT=30, FV=1000, PV= -975 and CPT I/Y=3.30 yield per semiannual period. Answer 6.6% 3. P = F + F(r-i)aiai= 1000 +1000(.03-. 04)a^ 04 =1000+ (-10) (8. Ill) = 918.891 4. F = 1000, r-i = .03-.04 = -.01,n-k + l = 10-4 + l = 7. F(r-i)v"-'c+1=1000(-.01) f 1 ^7 1.04 = -7.60 5. 4.10(1.025)5=4.64 6. Use the earliest possible redemption date for BA II Plus. Set N=4, PMT=30, FV=1000,I/Y=2.75 and CPT PV= -1009.35 7. Price on last coupon date.BA II Plus. Set N=5, PMT=35, FV=1000, I/Y=3 and CPT PV= -1022.90. P0 = 1022.90 183 80 Price-plus-accrued = 1022.90 (1.03)w3 =1036.20 f 80 ^ Accrued interest = 35 = 15.30 U83J Price = (Price-plus-accrued) - (Accrued interest) = 1036.20 - 15.30 = 1020.90 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M4-18 Section 4.8 Sample Exam Problems 1. (200S Exam FM Sample Questions #10) A 10,000 par value 10-year bond with 8% annual coupons is bought at a premium to yield an annual effective rate of 6%. Calculate the interest portion of the 7th coupon. (A) 632 (B) 642 (C) 651 (D) 660 (E) 667 2. (200S Exam FM Sample Questions #2) You have decided to invest in Bond X, an n-year bond with semi-annual coupons and the following characteristics: • Par value is 1000. • The ratio of the semi-annual coupon rate to the desired semi-annual yield rate, - is 1.03125. i • The present value of the redemption value is 381.50. Given vn = 0.5889, what is the price of bond X? (A) 1019 (B) 1029 (C) 1050 (D) 1055 (E) 1072 3. (2005 Exam FM Sample Questions #30) As of 12/31/03, an insurance company has a known obligation to pay $1,000,000 on 12/31/2007. To fund this liability, the company immediately purchases 4-year 5% annual coupon bonds totaling $822,703 of par value. The company anticipates reinvestment interest rates to remain constant at 5% through 12/31/07. The maturity value of the bond equals the par value. Under the following reinvestment interest rate movement scenarios effective 1/1/2004, what best describes the insurance company's profit or (loss) as of 12/31/2007 after the liability is paid? (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) Interest Rates Drop by ¥2% +6,606 (14,757) (18,911) (1,313) Breakeven Interest Rates Increase by ¥2% +11,147 +14,418 +19,185 +1,323 Breakeven ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 4 - Bonds PageM4-19 4. (200S Exam FM Sample Questions #47) Bill buys a 10-year 1000 par value 6% bond with semi-annual coupons. The price assumes a nominal yield of 6%, compounded semi-annually. As Bill receives each coupon payment, he immediately puts the money into an account earning interest at an annual effective rate of i. At the end of 10 years, immediately after Bill receives the final coupon payment and the redemption value of the bond, Bill has earned an annual effective yield of 7% on his investment in the bond. Calculate i. (A) 9.50% (B) 9.75% (C) 10.00% (D) 10.25% (E) 10.50% 5. (200S Exam FM Sample Questions #50) A 1000 bond with semi-annual coupons at i(2) = 6% matures at par on October 15, 2020. The bond is purchased on June 28, 2005 to yield the investor i(2) = 7%. What is the purchase price? Assume simple interest between bond coupon dates and note that: Date Day of the Year April 15 105 June 28 179 October 15 288 (A) 906 (B) 907 (C) 908 (D) 919 (E) 925 6. (2005 Exam FM Sample Questions #54) Matt purchased a 20-year par value bond with semiannual coupons at a nominal annual rate of 8% convertible semiannually at a price of 1722.25. The bond can be called at par value X on any coupon date starting at the end of year 15 after the coupon is paid. The price guarantees that Matt will receive a nominal annual rate of interest convertible semiannually of at least 6%. Calculate X. (A) 1400 (B) 1420 (C) 1440 (D) 1460 (E) 1480 7. (2005 Exam FM Sample Questions #55) Toby purchased a 20-year par value bond with semiannual coupons at a nominal annual rate of 8% convertible semiannually at a price of 1722.25. The bond can be called at par value 1100 on any coupon date starting at the end of year 15. What is the minimum yield that Toby could receive, expressed as a nominal annual rate of interest convertible semiannually? (A) 3.2% (B) 3.3% (C) 3.4% (D) 3.5% (E) 3.6% ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M4-20 Module 4 - Bonds 8. (2005 Exam FM Sample Questions #56) Sue purchased a 10-year par value bond with semiannual coupons at a nominal annual rate of 4% convertible semiannually at a price of 1021.50. The bond can be called at par value X on any coupon date starting at the end of year 5. The price guarantees that Sue will receive a nominal annual rate of interest convertible semiannually of at least 6%. Calculate X. (A) 1120 (B) 1140 (C) 1160 (D) 1180 (E) 1200 9. (2005 Exam FM Sample Questions #57) Mary purchased a 10-year par value bond with semiannual coupons at a nominal annual rate of 4% convertible semiannually at a price of 1021.50. The bond can be called at par value 1100 on any coupon date starting at the end of year 5. What is the minimum yield that Mary could receive, expressed as a nominal annual rate of interest convertible semiannually? (A) 4.8% (B) 4.9% (C) 5.0% (D) 5.1% (E) 5.2% 10. (May 05 #5) Susan can buy a zero coupon bond that will pay 1000 at the end of 12 years and is currently selling for 624.60. Instead, she purchases a 6% bond with coupons payable semi-annually that will pay 1000 at the end of 10 years. If she pays X she will earn the same annual effective interest rate as the zero coupon bond. Calculate X. (A) 1164 (B) 1167 (C) 1170 (D) 1173 (E) 1176 11. (May 05 #11) A 1000 par value bond pays annual coupons of 80. The bond is redeemable at par in 30 years, but is callable any time from the end of the 10th year at 1050. Based on her desired yield rate, an investor calculates the following potential purchase prices, P: • Assuming the bond is called at the end of the 10th year, P = 957 • Assuming the bond is held until maturity, P = 897 The investor buys the bond at the highest price that guarantees she will receive at least her desired yield rate regardless of when the bond is called. The investor holds the bond for 20 years, after which time the bond is called. Calculate the annual yield rate the investor earns. (A) 8.56% (B) 9.00% (C) 9.24% (D) 9.53% (E) 9.99% ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 4 - Bonds PageM4-21 12. (Nov OS #4) A ten-year 100 par value bond pays 8% coupons semiannually. The bond is priced at 118.20 to yield an annual nominal rate of 6% convertible semiannually. Calculate the redemption value of the bond. (A) 97 (B) 100 (C) 103 (D) 106 (E) 109 13. (Nov OS #11) An investor borrows an amount at an annual effective interest rate of 5% and will repay all interest and principal in a lump sum at the end of 10 years. She uses the amount borrowed to purchase a 1000 par value 10-year bond with 8% semiannual coupons bought to yield 6% convertible semiannually. All coupon payments are reinvested at a nominal rate of 4% convertible semiannually. Calculate the net gain to the investor at the end of 10 years after the loan is repaid. (A) 96 (B) 101 (C) 106 (D) 111 (E) 116 14. (Nov OS #16) Dan purchases a 1000 par value 10-year bond with 9% semiannual coupons for 925. He is able to reinvest his coupon payments at a nominal rate of 7% convertible semiannually. Calculate his nominal annual yield rate convertible semiannually over the ten-year period. (A) 7.6% (B) 8.1% (C) 9.2% (D) 9.4% (E) 10.2% 15. (Nov OS #22) A 1000 par value bond with coupons at 9% payable semiannually was called for 1100 prior to maturity. The bond was bought for 918 immediately after a coupon payment and was held to call. The nominal yield rate convertible semiannually was 10%. Calculate the number of years the bond was held. (A) 10 (B) 25 (C) 39 (D) 49 (E) 54 16. (Nov OS #24) A 30-year bond with a par value of 1000 and 12% coupons payable quarterly is selling at 850. Calculate the annual nominal yield rate convertible quarterly. (A) 3.5% (B) 7.1% (C) 14.2% (D) 14.9% (E) 15.4% ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M4-22 Module 4 - Bonds Section 4.9 Sample Exam Solutions 1. The coupon payment is .08(10,000) = 800. The interest paid in the 7th coupon is just 6% of the value of the bond at time 6. We can use the financial calculator to find the value at time 6, when there are only 4 coupon payments of 800 and the redemption value of 10,000 left to be paid. Set PMT = 800,1/Y = 6, FV = 10,000 and N =4. The computed value of PV is 10,693.02. The interest portion is .06(10,693.02) = 641.58. Answer B 2. This problem cannot be done directly using the financial keys on the calculator. You must set up equations and do some algebra. The price (i.e., present value) of the bond is given by: Present value of coupons + Present value of redemption value We are given the present value of redemption value -it is 381.50. The coupons equal lOOOr, so the present value of the coupons is 1000r{am) = 1000r[ Lj^L ] = 1000W(l- v2n) = 1000(1.03125)(l - .58892) = 673.61 Thus the present value of the bond is 381.50 + 673.61 = 1055.11 Answer D ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 4 - Bonds Page M4-23 3. i) First we will look at why the purchase will cover the obligation of 1,000,000 in four years if reinvestment rates remain at 5%. This will illustrate how the strategy works. On an exam you would start directly at ii) which follows and this is background for your reference only. We first need to determine the coupon amount. The key here is that the bonds purchased have "822,703 of par value". The coupon is a percent of par value (which is another name for face amount), so that the total coupon payment each year is .05(822,703) = 41,135.15. We also need to know the payment at maturity, but we are told that "the maturity value of the bond equals the par value". Thus there is a payment at maturity of 822,703. When the bonds mature and the obligation of 1,000,000 must be paid, the company wishes to pay it using the accumulated value of the coupons (reinvested at 5%) plus the maturity value of 822,703. We can calculate the accumulated value of the coupons on the financial calculator with PMT = - 41,135.15, N=4 and I/Y=5. The computed value of FV is 177,297.64, and this is the accumulated value of the reinvested coupons. The total available at time 4 from the bonds with reinvestment at 5% is Accumulated value of reinvested coupons + Maturity value = 177,297.64 + 822,703 = 1,000,000.64 ii) Now we can look at what happens if reinvestment rates drop by 1/2%. In this case the reinvestment rate drops to 4.5%. We can calculate the accumulated value of the coupons (reinvested at 4.5%) on the financial calculator with PMT = -41,135.15, N=4 and I/Y=4.5. The computed value of FV is 175,984.03, and this is the accumulated value of the reinvested coupons. The total available at time 4 from the bonds with reinvestment at 4.5% is 175,984.03 + 822,703 = 998,687.03 The company has a loss of 998,687.03 -1,000,000 = -1312.97. This matches the loss of (1313) in choice D, and no other answer has this value for the result of a V2% drop in interest rates. Thus D is the only possible answer, (Note: the second part of choice D is correct.) Answer D ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M4-24 Module 4 - Bonds 4. The coupon on the nominal 6% semiannual bond for 1000 is 3% of 1000, or 30. Since the bond is a par bond priced at the same nominal rate, the price of the bond was 1000. Thus Bill's initial investment was 1000. For Bill to earn an effective annual yield of 7% over 10 years on his investment of 1000, at the end of 10 years he must have 1000 (1.07)10 = 1967.15. At the end of 10 years Bill actually has a) the 1000 repayment of the face value of the bond and b) the total future amount of the reinvestment account, which we shall denote by FVreinv. This tells us that 1967.15 = 1000 + FVreinv FVreinv = 967.15. We know that the semiannual payment to the reinvestment account was 30, made for a total of 20 semi-annual periods. Thus we can calculate the semiannual yield of the reinvestment account on the BA II Plus using PMT = -30, N = 20 and FV = 967.15. The calculated semi-annual yield is 4.7596%. The annual effective yield is 1.0475962 -1 = 0.097458 Answer B S. Note: there is some potential for confusion here, since the problem does not specify whether purchase price means price-plus-accrued or market price. The authors of the posted answer key take the words purchase price to imply the full price-plus-accrued. The bond has semiannual payment dates of April 15 and October 15 with coupons of 30. It is purchased between coupon dates on June 28, 2005. There are 183 days between April 15 and October 15, and 74 days between April 15, 2005 and June 28, 2005. Thus fractional period to time of purchase is t-H. 183 After the preceding April 15, 2005 coupon payment, the price of the bond can be found using the financial calculator with PMT = 30, FV = 1000, yield i = 3.5 and n = 31 (one payment in 2005 and 2 each in the remaining 15 years from 2006 to 2020). The value is PV = 906.32. This is P0 .The total amount paid at purchase time is the price-plus-accrued, but the instructions say to use simple interest between bond coupon dates so we calculate. P0 (1 + ti) = 906.32^ 1 + -^t (.035)1 = 919.15 Answer D ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 4 - Bonds PageM4-25 6. Since the semiannual yield rate of 3% is less than the semiannual coupon rate of 4%, this is a premium bond. Since the bond is callable in 15 years, it is priced as if it will be redeemed in 15 years. The problem does not directly give the par value X or the coupon amount .04X, so the financial calculator cannot be used directly. Instead we must set up an equation of value for the price of 1722.25. 1722.25 = (.04X) aMo3 + Xv30 = .784X + .412X = 1.196X X = 1440 Answer C 7. The statement that "The bond can be called at par value 1100 on any coupon date starting at the end of year 15" shows that the face value F is also 1100. Since the price is 1722.25, the bond is a premium bond. The minimum yield would be obtained if the bond is called and redeemed in 15 years or 30 bond periods. We can obtain this (semiannual) yield from BA II Plus calculator using n = 30, PV = -1722.25, FV = 1100 and PMT = 44. The semiannual yield is 1.608 leading to a nominal annual purchase yield of 3.216%. Answer A 8. This is like Problem 6, but this time we have a discount bond since the semiannual yield rate of 3% is greater than the semiannual coupon rate of 2%. The discount bond is callable in 5 years, but it is priced as if it will be redeemed as late as possible in 10 years. The problem does not directly give the par value X or the coupon amount .02X, so the financial calculator cannot be used directly. Instead we must set up an equation of value for the price of 1021.50. 1021.50 = (.02X) aMo3 + Xv20 = .2975X + .5537X = .8512X X = 1200.07 Answer E 9. Since the par value of 1100 is greater than the price of 1021.50, this is a discount bond and its minimum yield is obtained when it is held to maturity for 10 years (or 20 semiannual periods). The semiannual coupon is 1100(.02) = 22. Thus we can find the semiannual yield on the BA II plus using PV = -1021.50, PMT = 22, FV = 1100 and n = 20. The semiannual yield is 2.456%. Thus the minimum nominal annual yield to Mary is 4.912%. Answer B ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M4-26 Module 4 - Bonds 10. First we find the effective rate on the zero coupon bond using the BA II Plus. Set N=12, FV=1000, PV=-624 and CPT I/Y = 4. The effective annual rate is 4%, and Susan should buy the bond for the price X that yields 4% effective annually. The semiannual yield corresponding to an effective annual rate of 4% is VL04-1 = .0198 Thus Susan will buy the bond at a semiannual yield of 1.98%. We assume that the redemption value given in the problem is also the face value of the bond, so that the semiannual coupon payment is 30. Using the BA II Plus, set N = 20, I/Y = 1.98, FV = 1000, PMT = 30 and then CPT PV = -1167.04. Answer B 11. The investor will buy at the lower price of 897 to assure the desired yield. To find the yield on the BA II Plus, set PV=-897, PMT=80, N=20, FV=1050 and CPT I/Y = 9.24. Answer C 12. This is an extremely simple financial calculator problem, since the redemption value is the future value FV. On the BA II Plus, use PMT = 4 (for the 8% semiannual coupon payment), PV = -118.20 (the price), N=20 and I/Y=3 (for the yield of 6% nominal convertible semiannually). This will enable you to compute FV = 106. Answer D 13. The purchase price of the bond can be obtained by using the financial calculator with FV = 1000, PMT = 40, N = 20 and 1 = 3. The price is PV = 1148.77. Thus the investor will borrow 1148.77 at 5%, and repay in 10 years the amount 1148.77(1.05)10 =1871.23. The future value of the reinvested coupons can be obtained from the financial calculator with PMT = 40, N = 20,1 = 2, PV=0. The computed sum is FV = 971.89. The redemption value of the bond is 1000, so the investor will have 1971.89 at maturity. After repayment of the loan, the investor will have a net gain of 1971.89 - 1871.23 = 100.66 Answer B ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 4 - Bonds PageM4-27 14. The semiannual coupons provide 20 semiannual payments of 45. These are reinvested at a nominal 7% convertible to 3.5% semiannually, and we can use the financial calculator to find their future value in ten years. Set PMT = -45, I/Y = 3.5 and N=20. The computed FV is 1272.59. Dan also gets the 1000 redemption value of the bond in ten years, for a total of 2272.59. His original investment was 925, so his semiannual yield on the investment is ( 2272.59 1 = .046 (, 925 The nominal yield convertible semiannually is 2 (.046) = .092. Answer C 15. This can be solved using a financial calculator to solve for the number of periods n. The values to enter are PV = -918 (the price paid), PMT = 45 (the semiannual coupon payment), FV = 1100 (the redemption value) and I/Y = 5 (the 5% semiannual yield derived from 10% convertible semiannually). The computed value of N is 49.35 semiannual periods. This must be converted to 49.35/2 = 24.675 years. (Note that choice D will trap the student who does not convert back to years.) Answer B 16. This can be solved using a financial calculator. The values to enter are PV = - 850 (the price paid), PMT = 30 (the quarterly coupon payment), FV = 1000 (the redemption value) and N=120 (quarters in 30 years). The computed value of I/Y is 3.539% per quarter. This must be converted to the nominal annual yield convertible quarterly of 4(3.539) = 14.156 Answer C ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M4-28 Section 4,10 Supplemental Exercises 1. A 15-year 1000 par bond with 7% semiannual coupons is priced to yield 6% convertible semiannually. Find the price. 2. Suppose the bond in Problem 1 is offered at a price of 975. What is the nominal yield convertible semiannually? 3. The company offering the bond in Problem 1 decides to make it more attractive at that price by increasing the redemption value to 1050. What is the nominal yield convertible semiannually for this bond with the new redemption value? 4. A 10-year bond with a face value of 1000 and 5% semiannual coupons is sold for 980. What should the redemption value be if the bond is to yield 5.4% convertible semiannually? 5. A 10-year 1000 par bond with 6% semiannual coupons is priced to yield 6.5% convertible semiannually. Find the discount for this bond. 6. A 5-year 1000 par bond with 7% semiannual coupons is purchased to yield 6.4% convertible semiannually. The coupon payments are reinvested in a fund that earns 7.2% convertible semiannually. What is the annual effective yield on the total accumulation at the end of the 5-year period? 7. A 10-year 1000 par bond with 6% semiannual coupons is priced to yield 5.6% convertible semiannually. How much of the premium is amortized in the 8th period? 8. A 1000 par bond with 6.5% semiannual coupons is priced to yield 5.8% convertible semiannually. If the amount of the premium amortized in the 4th period is 2.12, how much of the premium is amortized in the 9th period? 9. A 10-year 1000 par bond with 5% semiannual coupons is priced to yield 5.6% convertible semiannually. How much of the discount is amortized in the 6th period? 10. A 10-year 1000 par bond with 8% semiannual coupons is callable in 7 years. At what price should an investor buy the bond to yield 7.2% convertible semiannually? 11. A 1000 par bond with 8% semiannual coupons has payment dates of May 31 and November 30. The bond matures on November 30, 2010. On May 31, 2007 the coupon payment of 40 is paid. The bond is sold 70 days later on the settlement date of August 9. The bond is sold to yield 7.4% convertible semiannually. Find the price plus accrued interest, the accrued interest and the price. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 4 - Bonds Page M4- 29 Section 4,11 Supplemental Exercise Solutions 1. Using the BAII Plus set N = 30,1/Y = 3, PMT = 35 and FV = 1000. CPT PV = -1098. Price is 1098. 2. To get the new yield set PV = -975. CPT I/Y = 3.6383. The nominal yield = 7.2766% 3. For the bond with new redemption value set N = 30, PMT = 35, PV = -1098 and FV = 1050. CPT I/Y = 3.097 Nominal yield = 6.194% 4. To find the redemption value set N = 20, I/Y = 2.7. PMT = 25 and PV = -980. CPT FV = 1018.05 Redemption value should be 1018 5. To find the discount we must first find the price. Set N = 20, I/Y = 3.25, PMT = 30 and FV = 1000. CPT PV = -963.65 Discount = 1000 - 963.65 = 36.35 6. The accumulation of the reinvested coupon payments is 35Sioi0.o36 = 412.50. The total accumulation is 1000 + 412.50 = 1412.50. The total invested is the price of the bond which is found by setting N = 10, I/Y = 3.2, PMT = 35 and FV = 1000. CPT PV = -1025.33. To find yield, (1 + j)5 = 1412.50/1025.33 = 1.3776. Then j = 6.6% 7. The amount of premium amortized in the 8th period is 1000(r- i)vn8+1 = 1000(0.03 - 0.028)(1/1.028)13 = 1.40. 8. The amount of premium amortized in the 4th period is 2.12. The amount of premium amortized in the 9th period is 2.12(1.0295) = 2.45. 9. The amount of principal paid in the 6th period is 1000(0.025 - 0.028X1/1.028)15 = -1.98. The amount of discount amortized in the 6th period is 1.98 10. This is a premium bond so it is priced at the earliest redemption date,the end year 7. To get the price using the BA II Plus set N = 14, I/Y = 3.6, PMT = 40 and FV = 1000. CPT PV = -1043.39. The price is 1043.39. 11. Immediately after the coupon is paid on Mar 31, there are 7 coupon payments remaining. At this point the price of the bond can be obtained using the BA II Plus calculator. N = 7, I/Y = 3.7, PMT = 40 and FV = 1000. CPT PV = -1018.21. The price plus accrual is 1018.21(1.037)70/183 = 1032.46. The accrued interest is 40(70/183) = 15.30. The price is 1032.46 - 15.30 = 1017.16. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 5 - Yield Rate of an Investment PageM5- 1 Yield Rate of an Investment The yield rate for an investment is just the interest rate that the investor ultimately earns. We have already found yield rates for investments. In this module we will look at investment yield in more depth, and will begin by looking at the internal rate of return. Section 5,1 IRR: Internal Rate of Return An investor is interested in what must be paid out to invest and what is paid back in return. Suppose an investor is asked to invest 1,000 and is promised in return a payment of 600 in one year and 550 in the second year. Using the convention that money paid out is negative and money paid back is positive, the investor would describe this investment as the sequence -1000, 600, 550. The payments made each period are called cash flows. The cash flow at time k is denoted by Ck. In this two period investment the initial cash flow is Co = -1000, and the investment returns are d = 600 and C2 = 550. The investor is interested in answering the question: "What interest rate (i.e., yield) am I earning on my invested money?" The internal rate of return answers that question. First we will define IRR and show how to calculate it, and then we will talk about why the IRR measures the investment yield. Definition. Suppose an investment for n periods has cash flows C0,Ci,...,Cn. An internal rate of return for the investment is a solution for i of the equation (5.1) C0 + cx + ... + - cn (i+0 (i+i)2 (i+i)n 0 We can also write (5.1) in the form C0 + Civ + C2v2 +... + Cnvn = 0. If we find a root for v, we can immediately find / = (1/v) -1 .Thus an IRR problem with n periods is really the problem of finding a root of a polynomial of degree n. ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Page M5-2 Module 5 - Yield Rate of an Investment There is one additional constraint that is applied in IRR problems. With a sequence of cash flows C0,Ci,...,Cn the worst that can happen is that you invest an amount C0 > 0 and then end up getting nothing back with Cx = C2 =... = Cn = 0. In that case the return is -100%, which would be -1 in decimal form. Thus in IRR problems we ignore all extraneous roots that are less than -1. Example (5.2) Consider the investment discussed above where the cash flows are. - 1000, 600, 550. The internal rate of return is a solution for iof the quadratic equation _1000 + J^L + 550 = -1000 + 600v + 550v2 = 0 (1 + 0 (1 + i)2 Using the quadratic formula we see that there are two solutions for v = 1/(1 + i). The solutions are given below along with the corresponding values of i. v = — ->i = .10 v = -2->i = -1.50 11 As in many applied problems we have one realistic solution of 10% and one unrealistic solution of -150%.We discard the root of -1.5<-1 The true earning rate is an IRR of 10%. To see why 10% is the true earning yield, let us compare this investment to a bank account earning 10% annually. The timeline below shows the result of this bank account over 2 years: time 0 12 i 1 1 1,000 1,100 -600=500 550-550=0 Initikdeposit ETT / / ?f* /Withdrawal (includes 107, Withdrawal balance i n interest) fne|- bf <™- £f 10% interest) ^al. In one year, the original 1000 grows to 1100 at 10% interest. The withdrawal of 600 lowers the balance to 500. Then this 500 grows to 550 and that is withdrawn to close the account. The investment we just reviewed behaves exactly like an account earning 10%. Another way to describe the internal rate of return is that it is the rate of interest at which the present value of all amounts invested is equal to the present value of all the amounts paid back to the investor. For example, in (5.2) we discovered that for i = .10 innn 600 550 n -1000 + ^ + r- = 0 (1 + .10) (1 + .10)2 This implies that the present value of the payments of 600 and 550 is equal to the original investment of 1000. iooo=^+-550 (11) (1.1)2' ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 5 - Yield Rate of an Investment Page M5- 3 Exercise (5.3) An investor is asked to invest 1,000 and is promised in return a payment of 450 in one year and 630 in the second year. Find the IRR. Answer: 5% Note that the cash flow Ck represents net income at time fc. You may be given information about revenue and expense at time k instead of being given Ck directly. Then Ck = Revenue at k - Expense at fc. In the text Mathematics of Investment and Credit revenue at k is denoted by Ak and expense at k is denoted by Bk. Thus Ck = Ak - Bk For example, in (5.2) we were directly given the cash flows -1000, 600, 550. This problem could have been alternatively described as follows: An investor spends 1000 to set up a mining operation for 2 years. In his first year he has revenues of 800 and expenses of 200. In his second year he has revenues of 800 and expenses of 250. Find the IRR of this investment. This is the same problem as (5.2), since the cash flows are -1000, 800-200=600 and 800-250=550. The internal rate of return is widely used to evaluate investments. For this reason modern financial calculators like the BA II plus have a worksheet for entering the cash flows and an IRR key which will provide the calculation of i. We have already discussed entering cash flows in module 2. Here we will go through the steps again for the investment in (5.2). Entering cash flows: Press |CF] to enter the worksheet. Key in 12ND1 CLR WORK to remove any numbers left over from prior work. You will see a prompt for the value of CF0, the cash flow at time 0. Enter the value -1000 (don't forget to press ENTER after keying in -1000). Scroll down and you will see a prompt for C01, the cash flow at time 1. Enter the number 600. Scroll down again, and there will be a new prompt - "F01=" . This is a request for the number of times (frequency) that this value is repeated. The default value is 1, and if you scroll past, the value of 1 will be assumed with no entry. Scroll down again, and you will be prompted for the value of C02. Enter 550. Calculate the IRR with the keystrokes. The display will show the answer 10.00 IRR CPT ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M5-4 Module 5 - Yield Rate of an Investment IRR problems with more than two periodic payments will be difficult to solve because they involve higher degree polynomials instead of quadratics. The reader who knows about Galois theory knows that there is no general quadratic formula type method to find exact roots of all polynomials of degree > 5. Higher degree polynomials need to be solved approximately using iterative methods like Newton's method, which is how modern financial calculators like the BAH Plus find IRR. Fortunately we can solve problems for investments with a large number of cash flows using the BA II Plus. Microsoft EXCEL has an IRR function which is extensively used for cash flow analysis of real investments. This author used EXCEL spreadsheets to create problems and check answers for this guide. Exercise (5.4) An investor: of 380 in one his IRR. is asked to invest 1,000 and is year, 256 in the second year promised and 540 in in return a payment | the third year. Answer: Find 8% | Remember that the term IRR is synonymous with investment yield. We could have phrased the last problem to ask for the yield on the investment or the true interest rate earned. Many financial professionals use the terms yield and IRR interchangeably. Note also that we previously found interest rates for investments with level payments using the TVM keys. Example (5.5) A lender invests 15,000 to make a loan which will be repaid with 4 annual end of year payments of 5,000. What is her yield on this investment? Solution. Set PV = -15000, N=4, PMT=5000, FV=0 and CPT I/Y = 12.59. I Her yield is 12.59%. In the above problem we could have also asked for the IRR, as it means same thing. Many of our students find this confusing. Due to the calculator key structure they think of IRR as something that applies only when cash flows are not level—but this is not true. For example, you can use the BAII Plus CF worksheet for this problem by entering CF0 = -15,000, COl = 5000, FOl = 4 and then pressing the IRR key and CPT. The answer of 12.59 is the same. Exam problems often make yield questions a bit tougher by asking for nominal or annual effective yield. In the next exercise we review a type of problem that we have already done in Module 2. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 5 - Yield Rate of an Investment Page M5- 5 Exercise (5.6) A lender payments makes a of 3,500. loan of What is 24,000 to be repaid a) her nominal annually and b) her effective annual yield? Answer: with 10 semiannual yield convertible semi- | a) 15.04% b) 15.61% 1 Why is the Rate of Return Internal? The investment yields are called internal because they do not apply to money after it is paid out. Consider our original problem of finding the IRR for the investment with cash flows -1000, 600, 550. Suppose the investor is trying to build a fund for use in two years. Then when she is paid the first payment of 600 she will re-invest it. If she can only reinvest it at 5% one year from now she will have 1.05 (600) + 550 = 1,180 at the end of the second years. The yield on an investment of 1000 which pays 1,180 in two years is an annual 8.628%, less than 10%. Some analysts prefer to use a modified IRR which adjusts for reinvestment. What method to use really depends on the investor's objectives. Most investors we know use the IRR as the primary tool for evaluating an investment. We will focus on it as the primary yield tool here. However, the reader should remember that there are reinvestment problems in Module 2 in the section entitled Reinvestment Problems and you are required to know them for the exam. Please note: Section 5.1.4 of Mathematics of Investment and Credit discusses several alternatives to IRR. This section is not on the Exam FM syllabus at the time of writing this guide. Uniqueness of the Internal Rate of Return A polynomial of degree n can have anywhere from 0 to n real roots. In all of the previous problems, there was only one meaningful IRR solution. Confusing situations involving multiple roots can arise as we will see in the next example. Also, the text Mathematics of Investment and Credit has a section (5.1.2) on the uniqueness of the internal rate of return. The section points out that multiple IRRs can occur and gives some examples. It also mentions that in the very common situations where a) C0 > 0 and Ci,...,Cn are all negative or b) C0 < 0 and Ci,...,Cn are all positive there is a unique IRR >-l. Further results which guarantee the desired unique IRR are given in the exercises. For example, if you create a sample bank account at a given IRR and find that borrowing never occurs then that IRR is unique. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M5-6 Module 5 - Yield Rate of an Investment Example (5.7) An investor can invest 10,000 for a mining operation. In one year he will get a payout of 23,000, but at the end of the second year he must pay 13,200 for cleanup cost. His cash flow sequence is -10,000, 23,000, -13,200. The internal rate of return is a solution for i of the quadratic equation -10,000 + 23,OOOv -13,200v2 = 0 . Using the quadratic formula we see that there are two solutions for v = 1/(1 + i). The solutions are given below along with the corresponding values of i. v = .909 -> i = .10 v = .833 -> i = .20 This is confusing. The project appears to earn realistic rates of 10% or 20%. To see why it can happen, we will give savings account tables for the project at both rates. IRR: 20% time 0 12 I 1 1 100 Initial deposit 120-230= -110 -132+132=0 Beginning ^ balance ^ (includes 20% interest) \ Ending balance (debt) . bat \ Beg. bal (inch 20% interest) End. Bal. Deposit Withdrawal IRR: 10% time 100 110 -230= -120 -132+132=0 Initiataeposit Beginning ^ balance (includes 10% interest) \ Withdrawal Ending balance (debt) / *\ End. Bal. Beg. bal. (incl.10% interest) Deposit In either case, if this were a true bank account, the withdrawal of 230 would be more than is in the account, so that the investor would be in debt to the bank. The investor would then pay back this loan with interest at time 2. Such projects are called borrowing projects, and they can lead to multiple rates of return because the IRR is used both as a payout rate and a borrowing rate. Neither IRR in this example is valid for investment purposes. Only use IRR when situations like this do not happen. For investments of this nature, there are modified IRR calculations that are used instead. These modified versions are not part of the Exam FM material. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 5 - Yield Rate of an Investment Page M5- 7 Section 5.2 Time Weighted and Dollar Weighted Rates Two methods are given in this section to measure the rate of return on an investment fund and evaluate how well the investment manager is performing. They are the time weighted and dollar weighted methods -and they do not generally give the same answer. We will illustrate these methods next. Example (5.8) An investment manager had a fund of 100,000 at the start of the year 2006. On June 30th that fund had dropped to 90,000 and new deposit of 110,000 was made. At year end the account balance was 220,000. We will measure the return on this fund using both methods. Time -weighted rate. Let ji and j2 represent the earnings rates for the first and second halves of the year. Then for the first half where 100,000 dropped to 90,000 J 100,000 J After the new deposit of 110,000 the second half started off with 200,000 in the fund and that grew to 220,000. 220,000 1+h = = 1.1 —> Ji =.10 J 200,000 . To get the time weighted yield j for the entire year we use the time weighted yield relationship. l + j = (l + j1)(l + j2) = 0.9(l.l) = 0.99 -+ j = -0.01 Using the time weighted yield the manager's returns over different periods of the year are compounded to get a compound return for the entire year. Under this method he has a loss of 1%. Dollar weighted rate. Here we are looking for i, the rate of simple interest that would cause the invested dollars to result in a fund of 220,000 at year end if it had been in effect for the entire year.. This rate i should satisfy the equation 100,000(1 + i) + 110,000[1 + -1 = 220,000 This is easily solved for i. 155, OOOi = 10,000 -> i = .0645. Under the dollar weighted method the investment manager's yield is 6.45%. It is not hard to see why performance looks better under this method. The fund had more in it in the second half of the year when performance was better. The dollar weighted method takes account of how many dollars were in the fund during each period of the year, and the time weighted method does not. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M5-8 Module 5 - Yield Rate of an Investment Exercise (5.9) Find the time weighted and dollar weighted yields if the original deposit of 100,000 dropped to 90,000 at mid-year but the deposit made at that point was 10,000 and the final amount in fund was 110,000. Answer; Time-weighted: -1% Dollar-weighted: 0% Note that the dollar weighted method used simple interest. A similar computation could be performed to find a dollar weighted yield using compound interest. With modern computer and calculator tools that is not a hard problem to solve. It is like an IRR problem. Historically the dollar weighted method evolved using simple interest because the necessary computer tools for compound interest were not available when it was first used. We used only the starting amount and one deposit in the fund year in the preceding example to keep it simple. Next we will summarize the general methods used for measurement where the fund may have many deposits or withdrawals. As we introduce these general methods we will refer to Example (5.8) at some points to make the general formula concrete. Time Weighted Rates of Interest Suppose that contributions are made at times ti,t2,...,tm_i with the fund year starting at time t0 = 0 ending at time tm = 1. In Example (5.8) ra=2 and there is one contribution at time U = .5. We will use the notation CJc = Contribution at time tk, where a negative amount is a withdrawal B'k = fund value at time tk before the contribution Ck is made. In our example the single contribution is C[ = 110,000 while B'0 = 100,000, B[ =90,000 and B'2 =220,000. We use jfcto denote the effective rate over [tfc_i,tfc] where (5.10) i B'k Current Balance J- + Jk = Bfc_i + Cfc_i Last Balance + Last Contribution The time weighted rate j is found by calculating (as we did in the previous example) (5.11) l + j = (l + ji)(l + j2)...(l + jm) ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 5 - Yield Rate of an Investment PageM5- 9 Dollar Weighted Rate of Interest A = initial fund balance B = final fund balance. I = interest earned In our Example (5.8), A = 100,000 and B = 220,000. The interest earned will be calculated below. We use Ct to denote the contribution or withdrawal at time t. Then C = ^Ct represents the total cash contribution (net). In Example (5.8) there was one contribution of 110,000 at time t=.5. Thus C = CS= 110,000. Note that in dollar weighted problems time is represented as if the year had 12 months of equal length. The calculation of interest is based on the observation that interest income should account for the difference between the ending amount B and the sum of the starting amount A and total net contributions C. Thus (5.12) I=B-A-C In Example (5.8) 1 = 220,000 -100,000 -110,000 = 10,000 Then the dollar weighted yield is defined by (5.13) i = I A + ]Tct(l-t) In Example (5.8), this would give i = 10,000 = 10,000 100,000 +110,000(.5) 155,000 = .0645. Note that the denominator of (5.13) is the sum of the initial amount and the midyear contribution of 110,000 applied for the remaining half of the year. The answer is identical with the answer in (5.8). Formula (5.13) simply summarizes the result of the reasoning that was used in (5.8). The next example and exercise will apply this method to a slightly more involved problem. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M5-10 Module 5 - Yield Rate of an Investment Example (5.14) An investment manager had a fund of 100,000 at the start of the year 2006. On April 1st that fund had risen to 112,000 and a new deposit of 30,000 was made. On October 1st the fund balance was 125,000 and a withdrawal of 42,000 was made. At year end the account balance was 100,000. We will show a timeline of contributions and fund balances and then calculate both rates 100,000 +30,000 112,000 -42,000 125,000 100,000 J F M A M Time weighted return 1 +j = (1 +Ji)(l +J2)(l +J3) = -» j = .1878 O 112,000 100,000 J r 125,000 1142,000 100,000 83,000 N 1.1878 D Dollar weighted return B = 100,000 A = 100,000 and C = 30,000 - 42,000 = -12,000. I = B-A-C = 100,000 -100,000 - (-12,000) = 12,000 12,000 100,000 +11 —y 30,000 + (1 - ^-] (-42,000) 12 12 ( 12,000 112,000 0.1071 Exercise (5.15) An investment manager had a fund of 100,000 at the start of the year 2006. On May 1st that fund had risen to 108,000 and a new deposit of 20,000 was made. On December 1st the fund balance was 130,000 and a withdrawal of 12,000 was made. At year end the account balance was 110,000. Find the time weighted yield and the dollar weighted yield. Answer: Time weighted: 2.25%, Dollar weighted 1,78% ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Module 5 - Yield Rate of an Investment Page M5-11 Section 5.3 The Investment Year and Portfolio Methods Once you have invested money in a fund, there are different ways that your return can be calculated: I. All investors are pooled together in the same overall portfolio, and every investor in the fund gets the same return. This is called the portfolio method. II. Segregate the money of all individuals who started in a given year and give them all the return on that segregated fund that is unique to them. This is called the investment year method. In the next example we will illustrate how these methods work. Example (5.16) Clearly we first need information on the rates earned for the entire portfolio and the separate accounts, which is typically displayed in a table like the one below. 1 Calendar 1 Year of Original Investment y 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Investment Year Rates (in %) il 8.25 8.5 ' 9.0 9.0 9.25 9.5 10.0 10.0 9.5 9.0 il 8.25 8.7 9.0 9.1 9.35 9.5 10.0 9.8 9.5 il 8.4 8.75 9.1 9.2 9.5 9.6 9.9 9.7 il 8.5 8.9 9.1 9.3 9.55 9.7 9.8 il 8.5 9.0 9.2 9.4 9.6 9.7 Portfolio Rates (in %) iy+s 8.35 8.6 8.85 9.1 9.35 Example continued on following page ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M5-12 Module 5 - Yield Rate of an Investment Example continued from previous page. The notation i£ stands for the segregated account return in fcth year for a person who started in year y. For example a person who started in 1992 had a first year earnings rate of i\992 = 8.25% and a second year earnings rate of if92 = 8.25%. The starting rate for any year is called the new money rate. The new money rate in 1993 was 8.5%. At the end of 5 years investors are moved to an appropriate portfolio rate. At the end of the line for 1992 is the portfolio rate 5 years later, i1997 = 8.35%. There is no subscript because the portfolio rate is a return on the entire portfolio for a year and does not depend on the year of startup. We will illustrate how accumulation factors are computed for an investor who began in 1997 and left money in for two years. Investment year method. The investment year rates needed for this problem are il997 = 9.5% and i\997 = 9.5%. The two year accumulation factor is 1.095(1.095) = 1.199. Portfolio method. The portfolio rates for 1997 and 1998 are i1997 = 8.35% and i1998 = 8.6%. The two year accumulation factor is 1.0835(1.086) = 1.1767. Exercise (5.17) Using the table in example (5.16) find the two year accumulation factors for an investor starting 1998 under a) the investment year method and b) the portfolio method. Answer: a) 1.210 b) 1.1821 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 5 - Yield Rate of an Investment Page M5-13 Section 5.4 Net Present Value The net present value (NPV) of a series of cash flows C0,Ci,...,Cn .at a rate iis just the present value of the cash flows. (s,18) I Npy = Co+7^T+-^T+...+-^- I (i+») (i+i) (i+i)n Your calculator has a very useful NPV key and you should at least be familiar with it. Example (5.19) Find the net present value of the annual cash flow series from Example (5.2) at the rates i = 0.09, i = 0.10, i = 0.11. Solution. This is a direct calculator problem for the BA II Plus. The cash flows were -1000, 600, 550. Go to the CF worksheet and enter C0 = —1000, Cl= 600 and C2=550. Then press the NPV key and you will see a prompt for the interest rate. Enter 9 for the interest rate, scroll down to NPV and hit CPT. The NPV at 9% is 13.38. Similarly, the NPV at 10% is 0 and the NPV at 11% is -13.07. The above problem could easily have been phrased to ask for the present value instead of the net present value. Thus most old exam FM problems which discuss net present value could be rephrased to simply say present value and be legitimate for the current syllabus. Don't skip them. Note that we found in Example (5.2) that the IRR of this investment was 10%. Now we have seen that the NPV of this investment at 10% is 0. This relationship always holds. In fact some texts define an IRR as a solution of the equation NPV = 0. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M5-14 Module 5 - Yield Rate of an Investment Section 5.5 Formula Sheet Internal Rate of Return Given investment cash flows C0,Ci,...,Cn, an internal rate of return is a solution for i of the equation Co+t^t- + °2 -+-.+ Cn =0 or C0 + CiV + C2v2+... + CnvB=0. (1 + i) (1 + i)2 (l + i)n The internal rate of return is the rate of interest at which the present value of all amounts invested is equal to the present value of all the amounts paid back to the investor. There may be multiple IRR solutions if the investment is a borrowing project. Time Weighted Rates of Interest Cfc = Contribution at time tk Bk = fund value at time tk before the contribution Ck is made. jfcis the effective rate over [tfc_i,tfc] l + jfc= , Ek , -Bit-i + Cfc-i The time weighted rate i is found by calculating l + i = (l + ji)(l + j2)...(l + jm) Dollar Weighted Rate of Interest A = initial fund balance B = final fund balance. I = interest earned Ct = contribution or withdrawal at time t. C = Y,Ct=1 tota^ cas^ contribution (net) B = A + C + I -+ I = B-A-C I ''A^Ctd-t) ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 5 - Yield Rate of an Investment Page M5-15 Section 5.6 Basic Review Problems 1. An investor is asked to invest 1,100 and is promised in return a payment of 500 in one year and 700 in the second year. Find the IRR. 2. An investor is asked to invest 11,000 and is promised in return a payment of 4000 in one year, 5000 in the second year and 4500 in the third year. Find his IRR. 3. A lender invests 20,000 to make a loan which will be repaid with 3 annual end of year payments of 8,000. What is her yield on this investment? 4. An investment manager had a fund of 100,000 at the start of the year 2006. On February 1st that fund had dropped to 98,000 and a withdrawal of 10,000 was made. On September 1st the fund balance was 100,000 and new deposit of 10,000 was made. At year end the account balance was 105,000. Find the time weighted and dollar weighted rates of return. 5. Using the table in Example (5.16) find the three year accumulation factors for an investor starting 1998 under a) the investment year method and b) the portfolio method. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M5-16 Module 5 - Yield Rate of an Investment Section 5.7 Basic Review Problem Solutions 1. Calculator. Use the CF worksheet with C0 = -1100, CI = 500 and C2 = 700. Then key IRR CPT. The yield is 5.67%. (You could also do this one as a quadratic but it will take more time.) 2. Calculator. Use the CF worksheet with C0 = -11,000, CI = 4000. C2 = 5000 and C3 = 4500.. Then key IRR CPT. The yield is 10.75%. 3. Set PV = -20000, N=3, PMT=8000, FV=0 and CPT I/Y = 9.70. Her yield is 9.70%. 4. Time weighted return 1 + J = (l + Ji)(l + J0(l + J3) = 98,000 y 100,000 100,000A 88,000 ) (105,000 110,000 = 1.063^ j = .063 Dollar weighted return. B = 100,000 A = 105,000and C = -10,000 + 10,000-0. J = B-A-C = 105,000-100,000-0 = 5,000 U , ,, 5>000 , , J 5>000 I = .0531 100,000 + f 1 - —) (-10,000) + (1 - — ] (10,000) ^ 94,166,77 v 12J v 12y 5. Investment year method. The investment year rates for needed are if8 = 10.0% , i21998 = 10.0% and U998 = 9.9%. The two year accumulation factor is 1.10(1.10)(1.099) = 1.3298. Portfolio method. The portfolio rates for 1998,1999 and 2000 are i1998 = 8.6%, i1999 = 8.85% and i2000 = 9.1% The three year accumulation factor is 1.086 (1.0885) (1.091) = 1.2897. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 5 - Yield Rate of an Investment Page M5-17 Section 5.8 Sample Exam Problems 1. (2005 Exam FM Sample Questions #5) An association had a fund balance of 75 on January 1 and 60 on December 31. At the end of every month during the year, the association deposited 10 from membership fees. There were withdrawals of 5 on February 28, 25 on June 30, 80 on October 15, and 35 on October 31. Calculate the dollar-weighted (money-weighted) rate of return for the year. (A) 9.0% (B) 9.5% (C) 10.0% (D) 10.5% (E) 11.0% 2. (2005 Exam FM Sample Questions #8) You are given the following table of interest rates: Calendar Year of Original Investment y 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Investment Year Rates (in %) il 8.25 8.5 9.0 9.0 9.25 9.5 10.0 10.0 9.5 9.0 n 8.25 8.7 9.0 9.1 9.35 9.5 10.0 9.8 9.5 il 8.4 8.75 9.1 9.2 9.5 9.6 9.9 9.7 il 8.5 8.9 9.1 9.3 9.55 9.7 9.8 iys 8.5 9.0 9.2 9.4 9.6 9.7 Portfolio Rates (in %) p+5 8.35 8.6 8.85 9.1 9.35 A person deposits 1000 on January 1,1997. Let the following be the accumulated value of the 1000 on January 1, 2000: P: under the investment year method Q: under the portfolio yield method R: where the balance is withdrawn at the end of every year and is reinvested at the new money rate Determine the ranking of P, Q, and R. (A) P>Q>R (B) P>R>Q (C) Q>P>R (D) R >P>Q (E) R >Q>P ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M5-18 Module 5 - Yield Rate of an Investment 3. (2005 Exam FM Sample Questions #19) You are given the following information about the activity in two different investment accounts: Account K Date January 1,1999 July 1,1999 October 1,1999 December 31,1999 Fund Value Before Activity 100.0 125.0 110.0 125.0 Activity Deposit 2X Activity Withdrawal X Account L Date January 1,1999 July 1,1999 December 31,1999 Fund Value Before Activity 100.0 125.0 105.8 Activity Deposit Activity Withdrawal X During 1999, the dollar-weighted (money-weighted) return for investment account K equals the time-weighted return for investment account L, which equals i. Calculate i. (A) 10% (B) 12% (C) 15% (D) 18% (E) 20% 4. (2005 Exam FM Sample Questions #23) Project P requires an investment of 4000 at time 0. The investment pays 2000 at time 1 and 4000 at time 2. Project Q requires an investment of X at time 2. The investment pays 2000 at time 0 and 4000 at time 1. The net present values of the two projects are equal at an interest rate of 10%. Calculate X. (A) 5400 (B) 5420 (C) 5440 (D) 5460 (E) 5480 5. (2005 Exam FM Sample Questions #32) An investor pays $100,000 today for a 4-year investment that returns cash flows of $60,000 at the end of each of years 3 and 4. The cash flows can be reinvested at 4.0% per annum effective. If the rate of interest at which the investment is to be valued is 5.0%, what is the net present value of this investment today? (A) -1398 (B) -699 (C) 699 (D) 1398 (E) 2629 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 5 - Yield Rate of an Investment PageM5-19 6. (2005 Exam FM Sample Questions #45) You are given the following information about an investment account: Date January 1 July 1 December 31 Value Immediately Before Deposit 10 12 X Deposit X Over the year, the time-weighted return is 0%, and the dollar-weighted (money weighted) return is Y. Calculate Y. (A) -25% (B) -10% (C) 0% (D) 10% (E) 25% 7. (May 05 #7) Mike receives cash flows of 100 today, 200 in one year, and 100 in two years. The present value of these cash flows is 364.46 at an annual effective rate of interest i. Calculate i. (A) 10% (B) 11% (C) 12% (D) 13% (E) 14% 8. (May 05 #16) At the beginning of the year, an investment fund was established with an initial deposit of 1000. A new deposit of 1000 was made at the end of 4 months. Withdrawals of 200 and 500 were made at the end of 6 months and 8 months, respectively. The amount in the fund at the end of the year is 1560. Calculate the dollar-weighted (money-weighted) yield rate earned by the fund during the year. (A) 18.57% (B) 20.00% (C) 22.61% (D) 26.00% (E) 28.89% ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M5-20 Module 5 - Yield Rate of an Investment 9. (May 05 #21) A discount electronics store advertises the following financing arrangement: "We don't offer you confusing interest rates. We'll just divide your total cost by 10 and you can pay us that amount each month for a year." The first payment is due on the date of sale and the remaining eleven payments at monthly intervals thereafter. Calculate the effective annual interest rate the store's customers are paying on their loans. (A) 35.1% (B) 41.3% (C) 42.0% (D) 51.2% (E) 54.9% 10. (Nov 05 #1) An insurance company earned a simple rate of interest of 8% over the last calendar year based on the following information: Assets, beginning of year Sales revenue Net investment income Salaries paid Other expenses paid 25,000,000 X 2,000,000 2,200,000 750,000 All cash flows occur at the middle of the year. Calculate the effective yield rate. (A) 7.7% (B) 7.8% (C) 7.9% (D) 8.0% (E) 8.1% ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 5 - Yield Rate of an Investment Page M5-21 Section 5.9 Sample Exam Solutions 1. We have A = initial fund balance = 75 B = final fund balance = 60 C = ^Ct = total cash contribution (net)= 10 (12) - 5 - 25 - 80 - 35 = -25 I = B-A-C =60-75-(-25) =10. We will use the standard convention of counting time in even months. Thus for 1 11 example, for the end of month payment in January, t = — and 1 -1 = —. The calculation of i requires us to find ii + £Ct(l-t) '2.5 __ ... 11 10 1 75 + 10 — + — + ... + — 12 12 12 -<]§M£ -80 12 -351- . 75 + »(!L^l-«2 = 90.83 12i, 2 J 12 Thus i. ' .-1°~.H01 A + £Ct(l-t) 90.83 Answer E 2. Under the investment year method we use the investment year rates in the 1997 line of the table. P = 1000 (1.095) (1.095) (1.096) = 1314.13 Under the portfolio method we use the portfolio rates in the last column of the table. The rate for 1997 is the first rate in the last column, 8.35%. Q = 1000 (1.0835) (1.086) (1.0885) = 1280.82 When the money is withdrawn and reinvested at the next year's starting rate, we have the new money rate each year. R = 1000(1.095)(1.10)(1.10) = 1324.95 Thus R>P>Q. There was no need to actually calculate the values ofR, P and Q since their ordering is obvious. This could save some time. Answer D ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M5-22 Module 5 - Yield Rate of an Investment For the dollar weighted account K we have: A = initial fund balance = 100 B = final fund balance = 125 C = total cash contribution (net) = 2X-X = X I = B-A-C= 25-X 25-X i 100-X / U2;+2XU2 25-X 100 1 + i 125-X 100 For the time weighted account L we have only 2 time periods to consider. (125^ . . ( 105.8 ^ l + j 1= 100 1 +J2 125-X The time weighted rate is given by 1 . „ • V1 • , (125Y 105.8 A 1 + i = (1 + j1)(1 + ;2) = Uoo. 125-X 132.25 125-X Since the value of i is the same for both accounts we have: 132.25 125-X (i25-X)2=13,225-X = 10 125-X 100 It follows that , . 125-10 , 1c . . 1e l + i = = 1.15 and i = .15. 100 Answer C The net present value of P at 10% is -4000 + ^^ + -^ = 1123.97 (This can also be found on the BA II Plus using the NPV function on the calculator with CF0 = -4000, C01 = 2000, C02 = 4000 .and I = 10.) The net present value of Q is 2000 + 4000 X Thus 2000 + 4000 X 1.1 l.l2 = 1123.97 1.1 l.l2 ' X = 5460 Answer D ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Module 5 - Yield Rate of an Investment Page M5-23 The timeline for the investment is below. -100,000 60,000 60,000 0 There is only one cash flow to reinvest, the amount of 60,000 at time 3. At a 4% rate it grows to 60,000(1.04) = 62,400 at time 4. The total amount returned to the investor at time 4 is then 122,400. The resulting situation for the investor is that he invests 100,000 and gets back 122,400 in 4 years. -100,000 122,400 122 400 The net present value is -100,000 + ' , = 698.78. 1.05" Answer C 6. We can use the fact that the time weighted yield is 0% to find X. (12Y X 1 + 0 = 12 + X ,10 120 + 10X = 12X X = 60 We can use the value of X to find the dollar weighted yield. For this calculation we need A = initial fund balance = 10 B = final fund balance=X C = total cash contribution (net) = X Then we can find I = interest earned using the relation Z = B-A-C = X-10-X = -10. The deposit of X = 60 was made at time t= Vi Thus the dollar weighted return is given by -10 Y = - 10 + > = -.25. Answer A ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Page M5-24 Module 5 - Yield Rate of an Investment 7. The equation of value here is 364.46 = 100 + 200v + 100v2. Thus you only need to solve the quadratic 0 = -264.46 + 200v + 100v2 The root v = .90908 gives i = .10 Answer A Calculator note: the quadratic we solved is the IRR equation for the cashflow sequence -264A6, 200,100. If you recognize this you can enter these values in the CF worksheet and compute the IRR. Of course, the answer is still 10% 8. This is a standard dollar weighted yield question. A = 1,000, B = 1,560, C=1000-200-500=300 7 = 1560-1000-300 = 260 260 26°= 0.1857 l,0W + (l-Aj(i^ 1400 Answer A 9. No price is specified. We will find the monthly yield assuming a price of 100 and monthly payments of 10 at the beginning of each month for a year. On the BA II Plus in BGN mode, set PMT=-10, N=12, PV=100 and CPT I/Y = 3.5032. The monthly interest rate is 3.5032%, Then the annual effective rate is (1.035032)12-1 = 0.512 Answer D 10. The company earns 8% interest on its initial assets of 25,000,000 for a full year and on the net amount added at midyear for half of a year. The amount added at midyear is X - 2,200,000 - 750,000 = X - 2,950,000. Net investment income is 2,000,000. Thus .08 (25,000,000) + .5 (.08) (X - 2,950,000) = 2,000,000 .5 (.08) (X-2,950,000) =0 X = 2,950,000 The net amount added at midyear is 0. Hence investment income consists only of earnings of 2,000,000 on the original 25,000,000 invested for one year at 8% and the effective yield must be 8%. (Note that 2,000,000 is 8% of 25,000,000.) Answer D ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 5 - Yield Rate of an Investment Page M5-25 Section 5.10 Supplemental Exercises 1. For an investment of 15,000 an investor is promised return payments of 6,000 in one year, 7000 in two years and 7000 in three years. Find the IRR for these cash flows. For Problems 2 and 3 use the following account summary. Balance Date Before Activity Deposits Withdrawals January 1 March 1 Julyl November 1 December 31 1000 1020 990 1100 1050 70 50 120 2. Find the time-weighted yield for this account. 3. Find the dollar-weighted yield for this account. 4. You are given the following account summary. Balance Date Before Activity Deposits Withdrawals January 1 April 1 September 1 December 31 2000 2060 2010 2405 300 X The time-weighted yield is 11.11%. Find X. 5. You are given the following account summary. Balance Date Before Activity Deposits Withdrawals January 1 March 1 T December 31 1000 1020 1110 1050 60 100 The dollar-weighted yield is 8.852%. Find the date T. 6. The following two investment projects have the same net present value at i = 8%. (1) Invest 5000 now and receive 3000 in one year and 4000 in two years. (2) Invest 2500 now and receive 2000 in one year and K in two years. FindK ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M5-26 Module 5 - Yield Rate of an Investment 7. An investment of 20,000 now is projected to return 5000 in one year, 6000 in two years, 7000 in three years and 10,000 in four years. What is the net present values of these cash flows at i = 10%? 8. Using the table in Example 5.16, find the three year accumulation factor for an investor who began in 1999 using the investment year method. 9. Using the table in Example 5.16, find the three year accumulation factor for an investor who began in 1999 using the portfolio method. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 5 - Yield Rate of an Investment Page M5-27 Section 5.11 Supplemental Exercise Solutions 1. To solve using the BA II Plus hit the CF key then enter: Co = -15,000, Ci = 6,000, C2 = 7,000 and C3 = 7,000. Then IRR CPT = 15.44%. 2. The time-weighted yield is found by setting 1 + i = (1020/1000)(990/970)(1100/1060)(1050/980) = 1.157 i = 15.7% 3. The interest earned i - 1050 - 1000 - 70 + 50 + 120 = 150. i = 150/[1000 - 50(5/6) + 70(1/2) - 120(1/6)] = 0.154 or 15.4% 4. 1 + i = 1.1111 = (2060/2000)[2010/(2060 - X)](2405/2310) 2060 - X = 1940 (to nearest dollar) => X = 120 5. The interest earned i = 1050 - 1000 -60 + 100 = 90. Let x be the fraction of a year for which the 100 loses interest. i = 0.08852 = 90/[1000 + 60(5/6) - lOOx] 1050 - lOOx = 90/0.8852 = 1016.72 => x = 0.333 The 100 loses interest for 0.333 years so it was withdrawn on Sept. 1. 6. The net present value on the first project is NPV = -5000 + 3000/1.08 + 4000/1.082 = 1207.13 The net present value of the second project is NPV = 1207.13 = -2500 + 2000/1.08 + K/1.082 K/1.082 = 1855.28 => K = 2164 7. To find the NPV using the BA II Plus, first hit the CF key and then enter Co = -20,000, Ci = 5,000, C2 = 6,000, C3 = 7,000 and C4 = 10.000. Then hit the NPV key and enter I = 10. Scroll down to NPV and hit CPT. This gives 1,593.47. 8. The investment year rates needed here are ii1999 = 10%, i21999 = 9.8% and i31999 = 9.7%. The three year accumulation factor is 1.10(1.098X1.097) = 1.325. 9. The portfolio rates for 1999, 2000 and 2001 are i1999 = 8.85%, J2000 _ 9 1% and poi _ 9,35%, xhe three year accumulation factor is 1.0885(1.091X1.0935) = 1.299. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 6 - Term Structure of Interest Rates PageM6- 1 rm Structure of Interest Rotes Section 6.1 Spot Rates and the Yield Curve Interest rates on loans depend in part on the time to maturity of the loan. Anyone who has invested money in a certificate of deposit has observed that the interest rate paid depends on the term of the CD. Typically, the longer the term the higher the rate, although this does not have to be the case. For example, individuals looking for mortgage loans will generally find that they can get a lower rate on a 15 year loan than on a 30 year loan. The dependence of yield on maturity is referred to as the term structure of interest rates. The term structure is established by looking at the rates of zero coupon bonds based on United States government bonds. This requires a little clarifying discussion. If a bond has a zero coupon, this means there are no coupon payments to the bond holder. The only payments involved are the original investment and the final repayment of the redemption value at maturity. A zero coupon bond for two years with redemption value of 1000 and an annual yield of 3% would have n 1000 price P = - 1.032 : 942.6. In practice, investors buy bonds at prices which give them the yield they desire. Thus, if investors were willing to pay 942.60 for a two year zero coupon bond, we could look at this price and calculate the implied two year annual interest rate: 942.60 = 100°, -> (1 + if = 1.0609 -> (1 + i) = 1.03 -> i = 3% . (l + i) Investors require higher interest rates on bonds issued by firms considered risky, because there is a greater chance of default (i.e., not paying the bond) from a risky firm. Thus if we looked at market prices for two year zero coupon bonds we would find different annual interest rates for different borrowing firms, based on risk. The United States government is regarded as having a lower risk of default than any other borrower, so U.S. government bonds are used as the base to which all other bonds are compared. In fact, the interest rates on short term Treasury bills are sometimes referred to as risk-free rates. ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Page M6-2 Module 6 - Term Structure of Interest Rates A bond's riskiness is captured in its interest rate, so if a company's bonds yield 8%, and U.S. government bonds yield 5 Vi%y the 2 Vi% difference in yield is what investors demand to account for the difference in risk. The United States government does not directly issue zero coupon bonds. Investment bankers buy U.S. government coupon bonds and break them down in single payment components called Treasury STRIPS. To get a two year Treasury STRIP zero-coupon bond they buy a large dollar amount of a Treasury coupon bond and resell the coupon payment due in 2 years as a 2-year Treasury STRIP. The annual interest rate on the n-year Treasury STRIP is called the n- year spot rate, and the series of spot rates over time is called the yield curve. There is much more detail on the mechanics of determining the yield curve in the Mathematics of Investment and Credit reference. On exams you will often simply be given a yield curve for use in problems. The next table gives a set of spot rates for years 1 through 5. (6.1) Yield Curve Example Year Spot Rate 1 2.00% 2 3.00% 3 3.50% 4 4.00% 5 4.50% The Wall Street Journal has a daily graph of the previous day's actual yield curve. Below we give the graph of the example yield curve above for years 1-5. late Spot F 6.00% 5.00% 4.00% 3.00% 2.00% 1.00% 0.00% 1 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Yield Curve
Module 6 - Term Structure of Interest Rates PageM6- 3 In normal times, lenders demand higher rates of interest for longer term loans, and the increasing vield curve above might be referred to as a normal vield curve. In times when current rates are high but lenders anticipate the rates will drop in the future you might see an inverted vield curve or a flat vield curve. 6.00%< 5.00%- 1 <D IS 4.00%- ^ 3.00%- o. 2.oo%- (/) 1.00% - 0.00% - Inverted Yield Curve N=^— —•■ ■ ^^^» » ♦ ^ 1 2 3 Year 4 5 t 6.00% 5.00% O 4.00% f OS 2: 3.00% o a CO 2.00% 1.00% 0.00% Flat Yield Curve 3 Year ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M6-4 Module 6 - Term Structure of Interest Rates The yield curve rates can be used to price a bond as the following example shows. Example (6.2) A four year annual $1000 par bond has a coupon rate of 3%. Thus its payments are Year Payment 1 30 2 30 3 30 4 1030 To value the bond, take the present value of each payment at the appropriate yield curve rate and sum the present values. Using the example yield curve in table (6.1), the price P is D 30 30 30 1030 0„_ P = + T + =- + T = 965.20 . 1.02 1.032 1.0353 1.044 The law of one price is a financial principle which says that if you can calculate the value of a financial instrument in two ways they must both give the same answer. This means that if you calculate the price of this bond using a single yield-to-maturity i, that method must give the same price of 965.20. This in turn means that once we have found the price using the yield curve we can find the yield to maturity by finding the single yield rate for the cash flow sequence -965.20, 30, 30, 30,1030. This can be performed on the BA II Plus. Set PV=-965.20, PMT = 30, N=4, FV=1000 and CPT I/Y=3.9578. The yield to maturity is 3.9578%. Exercise (6.3) A three year annual $1000 par bond has a coupon rate of 3.2%. Use the yield curve in Table (6.1) to find the price P and then use this price to find the yield to maturity. Answer: Price=992.34 Yield to maturity=3.4729% We will use the notation sn for the spot rate of a zero coupon STRIP maturing in n years. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 6 - Term Structure of Interest Rates Page M6- 5 Section 6.2 Forward Rates The n-year forward rate is the rate agreed upon today for a one year loan to be made n years in the future. For example, the one year forward rate is the rate that would be agreed upon now for a one year loan to start one year from now. Mathematics of Investment and Credit uses the notation in_i,nfor the n-1 year forward rate, since that rate begins at time n-1 and after one year ends at time n. The one year forward rate would be written i1)2. The yield curve implies certain values for the forward rates -which are also called implied forward rates. We can calculate the n-1 -year forward rate if we are given the spot rates sn_i and sn . We illustrate this in the next example. Example (6.4) We will calculate the one and two year forward rates using the spot rates from the yield curve in (6.1). One year forward rate. We are given sl = .02 and s2 = .03. There are two ways to get an accumulated value for a two year investment. a) Invest for the entire two years at the known rate s2 = .03. The accumulation factor is 1.032. b) Invest for one year at the first year rate of Si = .02 and then reinvest the first year accumulation at the one year forward rate il2. The accumulation factor is 1.02(1 + Ut2). Equating the two accumulation factors we have 1.02(l + i12) = 1.032->(l + ii2) = :!^^-->ii2=.0401 Two year forward rate. We are given s3 = .035 and s2 = .03. There are two ways to get an accumulated value for a three year investment. a) Invest for the entire three years at the known rate s3 = .035. The accumulation factor is 1.0353. b) Invest for two years at the rate of s2 = .03 and then reinvest the accumulation at the one year forward rate i2,3. The accumulation factor is 1.032 (1 + 12,3). Equating the two accumulation factors we have 1.032 (1 + i2,3) = 1.0353 -»(1 + i2i3) = ^g- -> i2f3 = .0451. I ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M6-6 Module 6 - Term Structure of Interest Rates The general pattern should be fairly clear from this example. (6.5) 1 + in_x n = -A ?z_ or equivalently (1 + Sn)n =(l-fSn.1)n-1(l + in-l,n) Exercise (6.6) Find the 3 year forward rate i3>4 for the yield curve in (6.1). Answer: 0.0551 Note that it is also possible to recover the spot rates if you are given the sequence of forward rates. If we define the 0-year forward rate i0,ito be Si, then we have (l + i0,i)(l + ii,2) = (l + s2)2 (l + i0,i)(l + ii,2)(l + i2,3) = (l + s3)3 (l + i0,l)(l + il,2)...(l + in-l,n) = (l + Sn)n. The result of compound accumulation at the first n single period forward rates is the same as compound accumulation at the n-year spot rate for n years. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 6 - Term Structure of Interest Rates Page M6- 7 Section 6.3 Formula Sheet Spot rates s„ The annual interest rate on the n-year Treasury STRIP is called the n-year spot rate, and the series of spot rates over time is called the yield curve. To value a bond, take the present value of each payment at the appropriate yield curve rate and sum the present values. Once we have found the price of a bond using the yield curve we can find the yield to maturity as the constant yield on the bond at that price. Forward rates in-\,n 1 + in-M = , T^T or equivalents (1 + sn )n = (1 + s„_i)n_1 (1 + in-i,n) (1 + Sn-l) ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M6-8 Module 6 - Term Structure of Interest Rates Section 6.4 Basic Review Problems The problems in this section use the yield curve table. YearSpot Rate 1 5.00% 2 4.50% 3 4.00% 4 4.00% 5 4.00% 1. A three year annual $1000 par bond has a coupon rate of 4%. Use the yield curve above to find the price P and then use this price to find the yield to maturity. 2. Find the one year forward rate. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 6 - Term Structure of Interest Rates PageM6- 9 Section 6.5 Basic Review Problem Solutions 1. Thus its payments are Year Payment 1 40 2 40 3 1040 To value the bond, take the present value of each payment at the appropriate yield curve rate and sum the present values. Using the given yield curve the price P is p = J0_+_40_^ + 1040==99928 1.05 1.0452 1.043 We can find the yield to maturity by finding the single yield rate for the cash flow sequence -999.28, 40, 40,1040. This can be done on the BA II Plus. Set PV=-999.28, PMT = 40, N=3, FV=1000 and CPT I/Y=4.026. The yield to maturity is 4.026%. (1 + sA1 1-05 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M6-10 Module 6 - Term Structure of Interest Rates Section 6.6 Sample Exam Problems 1. (Fall OS Sample Problems #33) You are given the following information with respect to a bond: par amount: 1000 term to maturity 3 years annual coupon rate 6% payable annually Term 1 2 3 Annual Spot Interest Rate 7% 8% 9% Calculate the value of the bond. (A) 906 (B) 926 (C) 930 (D) 950 (E) 1000 2. (Fall OS Sample Problems #34) You are given the following information with respect to a bond: par amount: 1000 term to maturity 3 years annual coupon rate 6% payable annually Term 1 2 3 Annual Spot Interest Rate 7% 8% 9% Calculate the annual effective yield rate for the bond if the bond is sold at a price equal to its value. (A) 8.1% (B) 8.3% (C) 8.5% (D) 8.7% (E) 8.9% 3. (May OS #10) Yield rates to maturity for zero coupon bonds are currently quoted at 8.5% for one-year maturity, 9.5% for two-year maturity, and 10.5% for three-year maturity. Let i be the one-year forward rate for year two implied by current yields of these bonds. Calculate i. (A) 8.5% (B) 9.5% (C) 10.5% (D) 11.5% (E) 12.5% ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 6 - Term Structure of Interest Rates PageM6-ll 4. (Nov OS #6) Consider a yield curve defined by the following equation: ifc= 0.09 +0.002k-0.001k2 where ik is the annual effective rate of return for zero coupon bonds with maturity of k years. Let j be the one-year effective rate during year 5 that is implied by this yield curve. Calculate j. (A) 4.7% (B) 5.8% (C) 6.6% (D) 7.5% (E) 8.2% 5. (Nov 05 #15) You are given the following term structure of spot interest rates: Term (in years) 1 2 3 4 Spot interest rate 5.00% 5.75% 6.25% 6.50% A three-year annuity-immediate will be issued a year from now with annual payments of 5000. Using the forward rates, calculate the present value of this annuity a year from now. (A) 13,094 (B) 13,153 (C) 13,296 (D) 13,321 (E) 13,401 6. (Nov 05 #19) Which of the following statements about zero-coupon bonds are true? I. Zero-coupon bonds may be created by separating the coupon payments and redemption values from bonds and selling each of them separately. II. The yield rates on stripped Treasuries at any point in time provide an immediate reading of the risk-free yield curve. III. The interest rates on the risk-free yield curve are called forward rates. (A) I only (B) II only (C) III only (D) I, II, and III (E) The correct answer is not given by (A), (B), (C), or (D). ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M6-12 Module 6 - Term Structure of Interest Rates Section 6.7 Sample Exam Solutions 1. Recall that the spot rate at term n is the interest rate that is used to find the present value of the payment at time n. The annual 6% coupon on the bond is 60, and there is a final payment of 1060. The present value of the bond payments is 60 +_60 +1060 =926m 1.07 1.082 1.093 Answer B 2. We have already seen that the value of this bond is 926.03. Thus we need to find the yield i for an investor who buys it at this price. We can solve for i using the financial calculator (and we really did not need to write down the equation above.) On the BA II Plus enter PMT=60, FV=1000, N=3, and PV=-926.06 and compute I/Y. The result is 8.92. Answer E 3. We are given s2 = .095 and S\ = .085. We are asked to find U>2. l + i12=fil^l =1^1 = 1.1051->i12-.1051 (1 + sX 1.085 (1 + Sl) Answer C 4. Year 5 extends from times n=4 to n=5. We are looking for the implied forward rate i4>5. This is defined by (l + s5)5 = (l + s4)4(l + i4>5). We are given that sk = 0.09 + 0.002k -0.001k2. (The problem uses the notation ik where we used sfc). Thus s4 =0.09 + 0.002(4)-0.00l(42) = .082 s5 = 0.09 + 0.002 (5) - 0.001 (52) = .075 (1.075)5 = (1.082)4 (1 + i4fS) -+ i4fs = .047 Answer A ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 6 - Term Structure of Interest Rates PageM6-13 The idea here is to use forward rate reasoning to create an implied yield curve for one year from now and then use that new yield curve to find the present value of the annuity to be issued then. The one year spot rate ji a year from will be today's one year forward rate. - . - . 1.05752 1 n„ 1 + h = 1 + h,2 = = 1.065. The new two year spot rate j2 can be obtained by using both the one and two year forward rates. (l + j2) =(l + il,2)(l + J2,3) = Similarly 1.0575 1.05 2 V 1.06253 1.05752 1.0625 1.05 3\ (l + j3)3=(l + i,2)(l + i2,3)(l + i3,4) = [^|-4' The implied present value of the annuity in a year is 5000 l + ji (l + j2)2 (1-fja)3 = 5000 1.05 1.05 1.05 ■ + =- + - 1.05752 1.06253 1.0654 13,152.50 Answer B 6. I is true. Treasury STRIPS.are created in this fashion. II is true. III is false. The interest rates on the yield curve are called spot rates. Answer E ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Page M6-14 Module 6 - Term Structure of Interest Rates Section 6.8 Supplemental Exercises For Problems 1, 2 and 3 use the following yield curve. Year Spot Rate 1 2 3 4 5% 6% 7% 8% 1. For a 4-year 1000 par bond with 5% annual coupons, calculate the price of the bond. 2. If the bond in Problem 1 is sold at its price, what is its annual effective yield? 3. For the above yield curve, find the three year forward rate. For Problems 4 and 5, use the following yield curve. sk = 0.085 + 0.003k - 0.0015k2 4. For a 3-year 1000 par bond with 6% annual coupons, calculate the price of the bond. 5. Find the three year forward rate implied by this yield curve. 6. You are given the following n-year forward rates: Year Forward Rate 0 1 2 3 3.0% 4.4% 4.8% 5.6% Find s4. 7. For a four-year 1000 par bond with 5% annual coupons, find the price of the bond using the spot rates implied by the forward rates in Problem 6. 8. Find the yield to maturity of the bond in Problem 7. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 6 - Term Structure of Interest Rates Page M6-15 Section 6.9 Supplemental Exercise Solutions 1. The price of the bond is 50/1.05 + 50/1.062 + 50/1.073 + 1050/1.084 = 904.72 2. To find the yield using the BA II Plus calculator, set N = 4, PMT = 50, PV = -904.72 and FV = 1000. Then CPT I/Y = 7.868% 3. The three year forward rate is 1 + 13,4 = (1 + s4)4/(l + s3)3 = 1.08V1.073 = 1.111 i3>4 = 11.1% 4. We first need to find the one-year effective rates for years 1, 2 and 3. St = 0.085 + 0.003 - 0.0015 = 0.0865 s2 = 0.085 + 0.006 - 0.006 = 0.0850 s3 = 0.085 + 0.009 - 0.0135 = 0.0805 The price of the bond is 60/1.0865 + 60/1.0852 + 1060/1.08053 = 946.49 5. For this problem we also need s4. Sa = 0.085 + 0.012 - 0.024 = 0.073 The three year forward rate is 1 + i3A = 1.0734/1.08053 = 1.0508 i3.4 = 5.08% 6. (1 + s4)4 = (1 + io.iXl + ii,2)(l + i2,3)(l + i3>4) = (1.03)(1.044)(1.048)(1.056) = 1.1900 1 + s4 = 1.0445 ^ s4 = 4.45% 7. The price of the bond is given by 50/(1 + si) + 50/(1 + s2)2 + 50/(1 + S3)3 + 1050/(1 + s4)4 From Problem 6 we know that (1 + s4)4 = 1.1900 1 + si = 1.03, (1 + s2 )2 = (1.03X1.044) = 1.0753 (1 + S3)3 = (1.03)(1.044)(1.048) = 1.1269 P = 50/1.03 + 50/1.0753 + 50/1.1269 + 1050/1.1900 = 1021.77 8. To find the yield to maturity using the BA II Plus calculator set N = 4, PMT = 50, PV = -1021.77 and FV = 1000. Then CPT I/Y = 4.395 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 7 - Asset Liability Management, Duration, and Immunization PageM7- 1 Asset Liability Management, Duration, and Immunization Section 7.1 Introduction to Matching Assets and Liabilities Insurance companies collect premiums from their customers and then invest these premiums. These premiums and the interest earned on them are the insurance company's assets. The assets are used to pay claims as they occur. The claims are liabilities. Insurance companies are required to make sure that the assets are matched to the liabilities to assure that the cash will be available to pay claims as they occur. In this chapter, we will first give some examples of asset liability management for some very simple situations to illustrate the basic ideas. Then we will move to the tools of duration and immunization which are used for the more realistic complex situations that occur in reality. The examples used here to illustrate asset liability management are based on actuarial examination problems. Example (7.1) A company must pay liabilities of 2000 and 3000 at the end of years 1 and 2, respectively. The only investments available to the company are the foil owing two zero-coupon bonds: Maturity (years) 1 2 Effective Annual Yield 5% 6% Par 1000 1000 The company today can cover its liabilities exactly by buying two of the 5% one-year zero coupon bonds and three of the 6% two year zero coupon bonds. This is called an exact match. Next we will find the cost of the necessary bonds. For year 1 the company is investing in $2000 worth of 5% one-year zero coupon bonds. The cost is 2000 1.05 = 1904.76. For year 2 the company is investing in $3000 worth of 6% two-year zero coupon bonds. The cost is 3000 1.062 = 2669.99. The total invested to match liabilities is 1904.76 + 2669.99 = 4574.75. ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Page M7-2 Module 7 - Asset Liability Management, Duration, and Immunization Exercise (7.2) Suppose that liabilities in the above problem were 1000 in one year and 2000 in two years. Find the cost of exactly matching those liabilities. Answer: 2732.37 The matching process is a bit more complicated when the bonds are coupon bonds, as the next example shows. Example (7.3) Joe must pay liabilities of 1,000 due 6 months from now and another 1,000 due one year from now. There are two available investments: 1) 6-month bond with face amount of 1,000, a 6% nominal annual coupon rate convertible semiannually, and a 5% nominal annual yield rate convertible semiannually 2) 1-year bond with face amount of 1,000, a 7% nominal annual coupon rate convertible semiannually, and a 8% nominal annual yield rate convertible semiannually. We will first look at the amount of each bond to buy. (Note: problems like this assume that you can purchase fractions of bonds.) First note that in 12 months only the one-year bond will remain. The total payments for the 1-year bond at month 12 consist of a coupon of 35 and the redemption value of 1000 for a total of 1035. To cover a liability of 1000, the required percentage Joe must buy of the 1-year bond is = .96618 . Once you have purchased .96618 of the 1-year bond, it will provide a coupon payment of (.96618)35 = 33.82 at month 6. To fund a total liability of 1000 at month 6, the additional amount needed from the 6-month bond is 1000-33.82 = 966.18. The total payments for the 6 month bond at month 6 consist of a coupon of 30 and the redemption value of 1000 for a total of 1030. To cover a liability of 966.18, the required percentage Joe must buy is :— = .93804 . 1030 Now we can look at the cost of the bonds required to match the liabilities. We have seen that Joe must purchase .93804 of the 6-month bond and .96618 of the 1-year bond. We can find the prices of the separate bonds using the financial calculator. 6-month. N=l, PMT = 30, FV=1000, yield i = 2.5% per semiannual period. This gives a price of PV = -1004.88. 1-vear. N=2, PMT = 35, FV=1000, yield i = 4% per semiannual period. This gives a price of PV = 990.57. The total cost of purchasing the required bonds is .93804(1004.88)+.96618(990.57)=1899.69. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 7 - Asset Liability Management, Duration, and Immunization Page M7- 3 Exercise (7.4) Joe must pay liabilities of 1,000 due 6 months from now and another 2,000 due one year from now. There are two available investments: 1) 6-month bond with face amount of 1,000, a 4% nominal annual coupon rate convertible semiannually, and a 5% nominal annual yield rate convertible semiannually 2) 1-year bond with face amount of 1,000, a 6% nominal annual coupon rate convertible semiannually, and a 8% nominal annual yield rate convertible semiannually. Find the amount of each bond to purchase and the total cost of the bonds. Answer: Buy 1.94175 of the one year bond and 0.92328 of the six month bond. Cost 2823.90 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M7-4 Module 7 - Asset Liability Management, Duration, and Immunization Section 7.2 Duration The reality of investments for an insurance company or a bank is much more complex that the previous exact match examples. There are thousands of claim liabilities, thousands of accounts and thousands of bonds and other investments to buy. The company may have to sell bonds to meet unexpected liabilities at various times, and it also faces interest rate risk. Interest rate risk occurs because the value of its investments decreases when interest rates go up and increases when interest rates decline. The concept of duration gives an investment manager a way of calculating what his interest rate risk is so as to control that risk and match assets and liabilities for his entire portfolio. There are two closely related types of duration, Macaulay duration and modified duration. There is a simple way to describe the Macaulay duration of an investment-it is the weighted average time at which the investment pays. It is worthwhile to review the concept of weighted average. Let Xi9...fxn be a set of n real numbers and Wi,...,wn be a set of n positive real numbers such that Wi +... + wn = 1. The weighted average of Xi,...,x„ with the weights Wi,...,wn is the sum W = JtiWi + ... + Jt„W„. For example, the weighted average of the numbers 1,2,3 with weights .5, .3, .2 is .5(l)+.3(2)+.2(3) = 1.1. For an investment which has cash flows CFi,...,CF„at times 1, 2, ...,n, the duration D is a weighted average of the times of payment 1,2,...,n. The weights are based on the terms of the present value sum. The present value or price of this investment is P = vCFi + v2CF2 +... + vnCFn. The weight for the ith payment is just its term in the expression for P divided by P. (7.S) Wi vlCFt vlCFt vCFl + v2CF2+... + vnCFn It is clear that wx +... + wn = 1. The Macaulay duration D is defined using the weights wt from (7.5) by (7.6) D = (l)wi +... + (n)w„ "(DvCFx +(2)v2CF2 +... + (n)vnCFn ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Module 7 - Asset Liability Management, Duration, and Immunization Page M7- 5 We illustrate (7.6) in the next example. Example (7.7) An investment pays 1000 in one year, 2000 at the end of the second year and 3000 at the end of the third year. An investor has purchased it to yield the annual rate i = .10. The present value is p = 1000 2000 3000 = = 1.1 l.l2 l.l3 The weights for the duration are 909 09 yvy.vy 188768 4815.92 1652,89 =343214 4815.92 2253.94 = 468Q18 4815.92 The Macaulay duration is the weighted average time D = .188768 (1) + .343214 (2) + .468018 (3) = 2.27925 Exercise (7.8) An investment pays 1000 in one year, 2000 at the end of the second year and 3000 at the end of the third year. An investor has purchased it to yield the annual rate i = .08. Find the Macaulay duration. Answer: 2.28983 A comment on notation: The above example illustrates that the Macaulay duration depends on the interest rate i, and can be thought of as a function D(i). We have used the notation D since that is used in Mathematics of Investment and Credit. The other official reference, Financial Mathematics, uses the notation MacD for Macaulay duration. Many actuaries will use the notation d for Macaulay duration, since that notation is used in the classic text The Theory of Interest by Kellison (the Kellison text is no longer part of the syllabus). You have seen that the Macaulay duration is a weighted average payoff time for an investment. It may not be immediately obvious why this tells you something about interest rate risk (although it does). We will see how this works in the next section, where we will study modified duration. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M7-6 Module 7 - Asset Liability Management, Duration, and Immunization Section 7.3 Modified Duration The interest rate risk that worries an investment manager is the change in value that occurs when interest rates change. We can study the rate of change in price when interest rates change by looking at the derivative of price P with dP respect to interest rate i, —. We will illustrate this in the next example. di Example (7.9) _^^____ We return to the investment of (7.7). The investment pays 1000 in one year, 2000 at the end of the second year and 3000 at the end of the third year. The price P at a rate iis P(i) = i22o+^22_+Jooo_=iooo(i+i)-1+2ooo(i+i)-2+3ooo(i+i)-3 1 + i (1 + i) (1 + i) Thus 4L = p'(i) = (-1) 1000 (1 + i)'2 + (-2) 2000 (1 + i)'3 + (-3) 3000 (1 + i)^. In Example (7.7) the investor purchased this investment to yield i = .10 For U.10, ^r = (-1)1000 (1.1)~2 + (-2)2000(1.1)"3 + (-3) 3000 (1.1) ~" = -9978.83 Note that the derivative is negative, since the price of this investment is a decreasing function of i. The modified duration DM ( also referred to as the volatility) is the negative of the derivative divided by the price -representing the rate of change as a percent of price. (7.10) Example (7.11) For the investment in (7.7) and (7.9), the price was P = 4815.92. Thus the dPN modified duration was DM = - di -9978.83 4815.92 = 2.07205. Note that the modified duration above is close to the actual Macaulay duration of 2.27925. There is a nice relationship between DM and D which follows: (7.12) DM = D 1 + i ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 7 - Asset Liability Management, Duration, and Immunization PageM7- 7 We will discuss why this is true, but first let's verify the answer from (7.11): D 2.27925 DM = 2.07205 1 + i 1.1 It is important to memorize the relationship in (7.12) and be able to use it. The following derivation shows why the relationship in (7.12) holds. You may skip it you like. dvk d /„ .x-fc 7 /„ .\-(k+i) First note that = -k- di di ' v / 1 + i Since the price P is given by P = vCfi + v2CF2 +... + vnCFn, ^r = -Kh-l)vCFi + (-2) v2CF2 +... + (-n)vnCFn 1. di l + iL v ' v ' J -^t [(-DvCFi + (-2) v2CF2 +... + (-n) vnCFn] DM = dP^ di 1 + i (DvCFj + (2) v2CF2 +... + (n) vnCF„ 1 + i D Exercise (7.13) In Exercise (7.8) we found the Macaulay duration D for the investment when i = .08. Find the modified duration DM directly and verify it using (7.12). Answer: 2.12022 The relationship (7.12) gives a nice insight into the behavior of assets under interest rate risk. The change in value due to changes in interest rates is greater for longer duration assets. All the needed risk information can be obtained from the duration. A comment on notation: The notation DM is used for modified duration in Mathematics of Investment and Credit, Financial Mathematics uses the notation ModD instead. Kellison uses the notation v and refers to the modified duration as the volatility. The price P can also be expressed in terms of the continuous rate S = ln(l + i) In this form, v = e~5 and P = vCFi + v2CF2 +... + vnCFn = e~5CFx + e~2SCF2 +... + enSCFn. It can be shown that DM = - — ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Page M7-8 Module 7 - Asset Liability Management, Duration, and Immunization Section 7.4 Helpful Formulas for Duration Calculations When payments are level (CFi = CF2 =... = CFn) it can be shown that (7.14) Duration of level payment investment: D = Ma We can see why this works by looking at an example. Example (7.15) An investment pays 1000 at the end of each year for the next 3 years. Then at a rate ithe price is P = lOOOa^ Macaulay duration is given by l(1000)v + 2(1000)v2 + 3 (1000) v3 _ y + 2v2 + 3v3 _ jla)^ lOOOa^ a3t At the rate i = .06, we have D (Ja)3n = 5.242 a^ 2.673 1.96. Exercise (7.16) An investment pays 2000 at the end of each year for the next 5 years. Find the Macaulay duration D at rate i = 0.06. Answer: 2.88 There is also a similar simplifying formula for the duration of a coupon bond. (7.17) Macaulay duration of a coupon bond with face value F and coupon Fr for n periods and redemption value C Fr (Ia)^ + nCvn Fr (Ia)^ + nCvn Fr(a^) + Cvn ~ Bond Price Note: when F-C and r=i in the above formula, you can prove that D = a^t. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 7 - Asset Liability Management, Duration, and Immunization PageM7- 9 Example (7.18) An annual par bond has face value of 1000, a coupon rate of 5% and three years to maturity. At a rate of i = .06, 50 (Ia)^Q 06 + 3(1000) v3 _ 50(5.242247) + 3000(.839619) 50(a^006) + (1000)v3 "50 (2.673012)+ 1000 (.839619)" Exercise (7.19) An annual par bond has face value of 1000, a coupon rate of 6% and 5 years to maturity. Find D at a rate of i = .05. Answer: 4.47 Formula (7.17) gives an intuitively obvious result for zero coupon bonds. If the coupon rate r is zero, we have Fr(Ia)^ + nCvn nCvn D =—-—— = = n . Fr(a^) + Cvn Cvn The above formula says that duration of a zero coupon bond payable in n periods is n. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M7-10 Module 7 - Asset Liability Management, Duration, and Immunization Section 7.5 Using Derivatives to Approximate Change in Price Once we know the duration or modified duration we can find the derivative from it, and vice-versa. Derivatives can be used to find the Taylor series for a function f(x). The basic Taylor series formula is x «./ x , / x f"(x)AX2 f{n)(x)AXn /(x + ax) = /(x) + /'(x)ax + ^-^ + .... + i_U + ... This gives a formula for the change in f(x) from x to x + Ax (7.20) Af = f(x + Ax)-f(x) = / (x) Ax + —M + •— + — + • 2! n! If we just use the first term of the above series we have the familiar approximation (7.21) Af = f(x + Ax)- f(x)* f'(x)Ax Using the first two terms to improve the approximation we have (7.22) Af = f{x + Ax)- f{x)« f(x)Ax + f"(x)Ax2 2! The price function, P(i), is a function of i, and we can use the above formula to approximate change in price as i changes. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 7 - Asset Liability Management, Duration, and Immunization Page M7-11 Example (7.23) We return again to the investment of (7.7). The investment pays 1000 in one year, 2000 at the end of the second year and 3000 at the end of the third year. The price P at a rate iis p(.) = iooo+^ooo_+jooo_ = 1000(1+ 1+200 1+ 2 + 3000(1+.r 1 + i (1 + 0 (1 + 0 The first two derivatives of the price function are ^ = P'(i) = (-1) 1000 (1 + i)"2 + (-2) 2000 (1 + i)"3 + (-3) 3000 (1 + i)"4 fL£ = p»(i) = (2) 1000 (1 + i)~3 + (6) 2000 (1 + i)~* + (12) 3000 (1 + i)"5 Suppose this asset is purchased to yield i = .10. We have already seen that the price is p(10) = 1000 + 20^+3^ = 48159279 Now suppose that the yield changes by Ai = .001 to i + Ai = .101. The actual new price is P(.101) = 15~+^ + J5^ = 480S.96Sl. v } 1.101 1.1012 1.1013 The actual change in price is AP = P (.101) - P(.10) = 4805.9651 - 4815.9279 = -9.9628 Now we will use the two approximation formulas. First we need to evaluate the derivatives involved. P'(.10) = (-l)1000(l.l)"2+(-2)2000(l.l)"3+ (-3)3000(1.1)^ =-9978.8266 P"(.l) = (2)1000(l.l)"3 +(6)2000(1.1)^ +(12)3000(1.1)"5 =32051.9587 Using the first derivative approximation (7.21) we have AP = P (.101) - P (.10) * P' (.10) .001 = -9.9788 AP = P(.101)-P(.10)«P'(.10).001 + P (10)(001) =_9.9628 The first approximation to the true change in price is reasonable and the second is accurate to 4 decimal places. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M7-12 Module 7 - Asset Liability Management, Duration, and Immunization Exercise (7.24) An investment pays 3000 in one year, 2000 at the end of the second year and 1000 at the end of the third year. It is priced to yield 8% annually. Find a) the current price b) the exact change in value if rates go down to 7.95% c) the approximate change in price using (7.21) d) the approximate change in price using (7.22). Answer: a) 5286.29 b) 3.9789 c) 3.9762 d) 3.9789 Recall that we defined modified duration as DM = In financial mathematics, the second derivative is used to define the convexity. Recall from basic calculus that the second derivative is used to study maxima and minima. At a local minimum, the second derivative is non-negative and the curve is concave up. r>o + f"±o At a local maximum, the second derivative is negative or 0 and the curve is concave down. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 7 - Asset Liability Management, Duration, and Immunization Page M7- 13 (7.25) Convexity = P(i) Using this terminology we can write the approximation formulas for change in price either in terms of P(i) and its derivatives or in terms of duration and convexity. (7.26) AP = P(i + Ai)-P(i)*P'(i)Ai: P(i) (P(i)M) = -(DM)P(i)M (7.27) AP*P'(i)Ai + P"(0(A*)2 2! = -DM(P(i)M) + (Convexity) "^ l' We developed our approximation formulas in terms of derivatives rather than duration and convexity because the Taylor series is the mathematical base for these approximations. However portfolio managers think more in terms of duration, and are more likely to estimate price changes due to interest rate changes using the simple estimate (7.28) AP = -(DM)P(i)M = f D 1 + i P(i)Ai Example (7.29) An annual corporate bond is priced to yield 6.5% annually and has a price of 969.56 and a Macaulay duration of D=6.5772. You could estimate the change in price if rates increase by 0.10% as (D)P(i)Ai _ 6.5572 (969.56) (.001) AP: 1 + i 1.065 = -5.9693 Exercise (7.30) An annual corporate bond is priced to yield 6% annually and has a price of 965.35 and a Macaulay duration of D=3.7177. Use (7.28) to estimate the change in price if rates increase by 0.10%. Answer: -3.3857 The clear implication of (7.28) for portfolio managers is that longer duration investments undergo greater price changes than do shorter duration investments when interest rates change. Longer duration is viewed as a sign of greater volatility. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M7-14 Module 7 - Asset Liability Management, Duration, and Immunization Section 7.6 The Duration of a Portfolio Up to this point we have concentrated on finding the duration for a single asset. It is more common for investors to own a portfolio containing a number of different investments. Since duration is used to estimate interest rate sensitivity, a portfolio investor would like to know the duration of his portfolio. We will begin by looking at a simple example where the portfolio in question has only two assets, both priced at par. Example (7.31) An investor can buy two annual payment bonds. a) A $1000 annual bond for four years with coupon of 5% priced at $1000 to yield 5%. Its modified duration is DMa = 3.5460. b) A $1000 annual bond for eight years with coupon of 7% priced at $1000 to yield 7%. Its modified duration is DMb = 5.97130 . The investor buys 3 of bond a) for $3000 and 2 of bond b) for $2000. She could estimate the change in price if rates on both bonds increase by 0.10% by doing separate duration estimates and adding them. a) Pa = 3000 and APa * -(DMa)Pa(i)Ai = -(3.5460)(3000)(.001) = -10.6380 b) Pb = 2000 and APb * -(DMb)Pb(i)Ai = -(5.9713)(2000)(.001) = -11.9426 For the entire portfolio with original value P = Pa+Pb = 5000, we have AP = APa+APb= -10.6380 -11.9425 = -22.5806 We could look at this sum in a slightly different way. AP = APa + APb » -(DMa)Pa(i)Ai + (-(DMb)Pb(i)Ai) = -P (DM^I^ + iDM,)^^ Al = -50001 (3.546)^0 +(5.9713)^ V 5000 5000 = -5000 (4.5161) .001 = -22.5805 .001 The value of 4.5161 in parentheses in the last line above is the weighted average of the durations of the two bonds, weighted according to each bond's percent of total price. It functions as a single duration for the entire portfolio, and can be used to evaluate interest sensitivity for the entire portfolio if the interest rates on each bond change bv the same amount. (The calculation above was based on assuming that the same Ai applied to the interest rate on each bond.) ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 7 - Asset Liability Management, Duration, and Immunization Page M7- 15 This reasoning works in general. Suppose that there are m investments with present values of Xi,X2,...,Xm in the portfolio, and that the modified durations of these investments are DM1,DM2,...,DMm . Then the present value (price) of the entire portfolio at the rate i is P(i) = Xi + X2 +... + Xm. Note that we are assuming that each bond has the same change in i. The modified duration of the portfolio is the weighted average of the modified durations of the investments with each investment Xk having weight equal to its percent of total portfolio value: (7.32) In words, the modified duration of a portfolio in which all investments have the same interest rate shift, Ai, is the weighted average of the individual investment modified durations, with the weight for each investment equal to its percent of total portfolio value. Example (7.33) An investor has a portfolio containing $30,000 worth of a two year bond with a modified duration of 1.96, $20,000 worth of a three year bond with a modified duration of 2.88, and $50,000 worth of a 5 year bond with a modified duration of 4.59. Thus her portfolio has weights of 30% in two year bonds, 20% in three year bonds and 50% in 5 year bonds. The modified duration of the entire portfolio is .30(1.96) + .20(2.88) + .50(4.59) = 3.46 Exercise (7.34) An investor has a portfolio containing $10,000 worth of a two year bond with a modified duration of 1.95, $40,000 worth of a four year bond with a modified duration of 3.71, and $50,000 worth of a 6 year bond with a modified duration of 5.50. Find the modified duration of the entire portfolio. Answer: 4.43 When all investments have the same interest rate shift, Ai, we say that there is a parallel shift in the yield curve. Yield curve shifts are not always parallel, and when they are not this weighted average approach to portfolio duration will be less accurate than desired in determining interest rate sensitivity for the portfolio. There is an extensive discussion of this problem in Mathematics of Investment and Credit (pages 354-357) for the reader who wants more detail. However you should be aware that it is common to use such value weighted averages of modified duration or Macaulay duration to make a quick estimate of portfolio volatility. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M7-16 Module 7 - Asset Liability Management, Duration, and Immunization Section 7.7 Immunization In Section 7.1 we dealt with the simple situation where assets and liabilities could be matched exactly, but we pointed out that in many cases exact matching is not possible. Immunization is a method designed to protect against adverse interest rate changes in these more complex cases. Suppose that the current interest rate for valuation of assets and liabilities is i0. The idea behind immunization is to look at the present value of assets and the present value of liabilities both using rate i0. We will denote these by PVA (i0) and PVL(U). To begin, we need the present value of assets and liabilities to be equal. We know our liabilities, so we want to choose assets that match. (7.35) PVA(io) = PVL(i0) An interest rate fluctuation means that there is a small change in the interest rate from i0 to a value i near i0. We would like this change to cause the present value of assets to be greater than the present value of liabilities, leaving us better off. (7.36) PVA(i)>PVL(i) Mathematics of Investment and Credit uses the notation (7.37) h(i) = PVA(i)-PVL(i) The function h(i) represents the difference between the present value of assets and the present value of liabilities. We want h(i) to be 0 at the rate i0 and positive when rates change by a small amount to i. (7.38) h(i0) = 0 and h(i)>0 for i near i0 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 7 - Asset Liability Management, Duration, and Immunization Page M7-17 The kind of graph we would desire for h(i) near i0 should look like the one below, in which i0 = 0.05. The graph illustrates clearly that we need to have a local minimum for h (i) at i0 to achieve immunization. This means that we would like to have the first derivative equal to 0 and the second derivative positive. (7.39) h'(i0) = 0 and h"(i0)>0 These derivative conditions are usually stated in terms of duration and convexity, since duration is related to the first derivative and convexity to the second. Since h(i) = PVA (i)-PVL (i), we can re-state (7.38)) and (7.39) in terms of duration and convexity as follows: (7.40) Present Value Matching: PVA(io) = PVL(i0) (7.41) Duration Matching: di PVA (i) di PVL(i) (7.42) Greater Convexity for Assets: d2 J>40| di -PVL(i) Remember that portfolio managers typically think in terms of duration and convexity. Mathematics of Investment and Credit gives a nice working version of the above equations in terms of the asset and liability amounts at time t, At and Lt. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M7-18 Module 7 - Asset Liability Management, Duration, and Immunization (7.43) Present Value Matching: (7.44) Duration Matching: %tAtvl =2,tLtvl (7.45) Greater Convexity for Assets: Xt2Atv!0>£t2Ltv[0 The idea for a portfolio manager is to look at the known liabilities Lt and then find assets At that satisfy these equations and thus "immunize" the combined portfolio of assets and liabilities. In real world cases where there can be thousands of liabilities and possible asset choices, computers would be used to perform this task. However we can illustrate the basic ideas of the computation with a simple example in which there is only one liability and only two assets to work with. (This is a level of problem that might be possible on exam FM.) Example (7.46) You have a single liability of 120,000 payable at time 6. The valuation interest rate is iQ = .05 .You wish to attempt to immunize this portfolio by buying two zero coupon bonds with maturities at times 2 and 12. Thus you know that L6 = 120,000. You need to find the amounts of the two bonds, A2 and Au. You can develop a system of equations to find A2 and A12 using present value and duration matching. 120,000 _ A2 A12 Present Value Matching: 1.056 . „ u. (6)120,000 Duration Matching: -^ 2— 1.056 1.052 1.05 2A2 12A12 12 1.052 1.05 12 This reduces to a system of two equations in two unknowns. 89,545.8476 = 0.90703A2 + 0.55684Ai2 537,275.0856 = 1.81406A2 +6.68205A12 The solution rounded to dollars and cents is A2 = 59,234.58 A12 = 64,324.59 Now that we have found A2 and Au, we can check the convexity condition to see if we have immunized the portfolio. Y,t2Ltvi=62 St2Atv[0=22 f 120,000^ 1.056 59,234.58 1.052 = 3,223,650.51 64,324.59^ + 122 1.05 12 5,372,750.80 We see that ^t2Atv^ >YJt2Ltvtio , so we have immunized the portfolio. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 7 - Asset Liability Management, Duration, and Immunization Page M7- 19 Exercise (7.47) You have a single liability of 100,000 payable at time 5. The valuation interest rate is i0 = .06. You wish to attempt to immunize this portfolio by buying two zero coupon bonds with maturities at times 3 and 10. Find the amounts of the two bonds, and verify that the portfolio is immunized. Answer: A3 =63,571.17, A10 =38,235.02 It2Ltv?0 =1,868,145.43 Y.t2Atv\Q =2,615,403.61 Note that the conditions for a local minimum only guarantee that immunization protects us for a small change in the interest rate to a value i near i0. Thus portfolio managers talk about the possibility of needing to re-structure the portfolio again after a substantial shift in interest rates. In some cases we get lucky and our portfolio is protected against any change in interest rates. In this case, the portfolio is fully immunized and PVA (i) > PVL (i) for any for any positive rate i * i0 The portfolios in our exercise and example here were fully immunized. This is proved in Mathematics of Investment and Credit (page 366) where it is shown that when a single liability Ls is immunized by two assets of longer and shorter maturity Atland At2, ti<s<t2y full immunization always results. Mathematics of Investment and Credit also gives an example of a portfolio that is immunized but not fully immunized in Example 7.6 (c). In that case, there are 15 liabilities and two assets. The calculations are similar to those of the preceding exercises. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M7-20 Module 7 - Asset Liability Management, Duration, and Immunization Section 7.8 Stocks and Other Investment Opportunities Bonds are widely used as investment vehicles for insurance companies. However, there are many more places for insurers to invest premium income. Chapter 8 of Mathematics of Investment and Credit contains sections which give brief descriptions of stocks, mutual funds, CDs, money market funds and mortgage backed securities. These sections are on the Exam FM syllabus, and we will review them here. Stocks If you own a share of a company's stock you are a partial owner of the company. Stockholders are typically paid a share of the company's profits called dividends. There are many ways to value a stock. The valuation method discussed in Mathematics of Investment and Credit for Exam FM values the price of a stock as the present value of all future expected dividends dk at a valuation interest rate i. (7.48) Z-ffc=i (i+0* A very common model is based on constant percentage growth in dividends. If the dividend expected at the end of the current period is D and the constant percentage growth rate is g, the price is given by p_ D D(l + g) D(l-fg)2 1 + i (1 + i)2 (1 + i)3 = D 1 , 1 + g (1 + g)2 1 + i (1 + i)2 (1 + i)3 D 1 + i D i+ii±*ui+* 1 + i 1- D 1 + i 1 + g 1 + i 1 + i + ... ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Module 7 - Asset Liability Management, Duration, and Immunization Page M7- 21 Thus the price of a stock can be obtained using the dividend growth model: (7.49) Example (7.50) p. ° <*-*) A stock is expected to have a dividend of 5 in one year. The valuation interest rate is i = .05. If each subsequent annual dividend is expected to be 3% larger than the preceding one, the value of the stock now is P=»-l— = 250. (i-g) .05-.03 Stock valuation is also performed using spot rates or forward rates instead of a single valuation rate. Recall that Mathematics of Investment and Credit uses the notation sn for the n-year spot rate and in_i,n for the forward rate in year n, which extends from time n-1 to time n. Using these notations, the valuation formulas are dk Spot rate: p = E°=i (1 + s*)* Forward rate P = 7—-—- + ^ r- +.... (l + i0,i) (l + io,i)(l + ii,2) These two formulas are equivalent. The valuation rate i for the model in (7.48) should be chosen so as to give the same answer as the two preceding formulas. The dividend growth model is widely used, and you will see it on some of the sample exam problems at the end of this chapter. Mutual funds A mutual fund allows you to invest in a pool of stocks selected by professional managers. Investors pay a unit price to the managers and receive a unit share of the fund in return. The managers use the total amount of cash received from all the unit shares to buy selected stocks. An investor can sell his units back to the mutual fund and be paid at the current value per unit. The managers may sell stock to buy back units or buy stock when new units are purchased. There are a wide variety of mutual funds with differing strategies. A fund might specialize in the stocks of an industry ( e.g., an energy stock fund), a particular type of stock (e.g, a growth stock fund) or a geographical region (e.g., a Pacific Rim fund.) Mutual funds give the investor the advantage of diversification, since they can invest in many more stocks than most investors could afford to buy individually. The ultimate in diversification comes from an index fund, which buys shares in all of the stocks of a particular index such as the S&P 500 with purchases weighted so as to have the fund track the index. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M7-22 Module 7 - Asset Liability Management, Duration, and Immunization CDs CD is an abbreviation for certificate of deposit. CDs are offered by banks, credit unions and savings and loan associations. When you buy a CD you are making a deposit that will pay a stated rate of interest at a specified time. A minimum deposit amount will be required. On the day that this paragraph was written, my own bank was advertising two "special offers" - a 5.25% CD maturing in 7 months and a 5.40% CD maturing in 23 months. The minimum deposit was 10,000. The CD has the advantage of coverage by Federal Deposit Insurance, which protects deposits up to $100,000 in the event of a bank failure. Money Market Funds A money market fund is a mutual fund that invests in short term secure investments like Treasury bills. It functions very much like a bank savings account, paying interest and possibly allowing the investor to write checks. The fund is managed in an attempt to pay a higher interest rate than a bank account. Although the fund is managed to be secure, there are no government guarantees backing it. Mortgage-Backed Securities Interest rates on mortgages are typically higher than the rates you can earn in bank accounts or on Treasury bonds, making mortgages attractive for some investors. Mortgage lenders gather large numbers of mortgages into pools of loans and create mortgage-backed securities (MBS). For example, a lender who has just made 100 loans of $200,000 each can combine these into a $20,000,000 MBS. An insurance company with a large amount of money to invest can buy this security and receive mortgage rates of interest without having to manage all of the individual loans. A mortgage borrower may default. To give security to MBS investors, mortgage loans can be insured by the Federal Housing Authority (FHA). In addition, many MBS pools are put into GNMA securities, which are guaranteed by the Government National Mortgage Association. Analysis of MBS is a bit complex, since borrowers can prepay their mortgages and this makes the timing of payments uncertain. Analysts use standard prepayment models to value MBS, but the assumptions of the analysis may fail to hold, leading to surprise losses or gains on the MBS. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 7 - Asset Liability Management, Duration, and Immunization Page M7- 23 Section 7.9 Formula Sheet Investment cash flows CFi,...,CFn Investment price P = vCFi + v2CF2 +... + vnCFn v{CFi vlCFi Weights for Macaulay duration: wt = ■ Macaulay duration: D = (1) Wi +... + (n) wn = P vCFi + v2CF2 +... + vnCFn "(l)vCF1+(2)v2CF2+... + (n)vnCFn Modified Duration: DM = - dp; di ) D 1 + i (la)-. Duration of level payment investment: Macaulay duration of a coupon bond with face value F and coupon Fr for n . , , , . , Fr(Ia)-, + nCvn Fr(Ia)-]^nCvn periods and redemption value C: D = — , n[ = —-—— Fr(a^) + Cvn Bond Price The duration of a zero coupon bond payable in n periods is n. Approximations of change in price: P'd) AP = P (i + Ai) - P (i) * P' (i) Ai = —V^ (P(0 Ai) = -(DM)P(i)M. AP * P' (i) Ai + P"^Al) = -DM (P (i) Ai) + (Convexity) PMAl) Modified duration of a portfolio is the weighted average of the durations of the investments with each investment Xk having weight equal to its percent of total portfolio value: ( Xfc ^ DM = W1DM1 + w2DM2 +... + wmDMm where wk = \X\ +X2 +... + Xm J ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M7-24 Module 7 - Asset Liability Management, Duration, and Immunization Immunization h(i) = PVA(i)-PVL(i). For immunization, we need ft(i0) = 0, h'(i0) = 0 and ft"(i0)>0. In terms of duration and convexity, we need Present Value Matching: PVA (i0) = PVL (i0) Duration Matching: —PVA (i)\ di v 7| ■aw'('« Greater Convexity for Assets —TPVA (i)\ dr v 7 >£«*« In terms of the asset and liability amounts at time t, At and Lt. Present Value Matching: ^AtVio = ^LtvJo Duration Matching: ^tAtv[0 =^]tLtv[0 Greater Convexity for Assets ^t2Atv\0 >^jt2Ltv\Q ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 7 - Asset Liability Management, Duration, and Immunization Page M7- 25 Section 7.10 Basic Review Problems 1. A company must pay liabilities of 3000 and 5000 at the end of years 2 and 4, respectively. The only investments available to the company are the following two zero-coupon bonds: Maturity (years) 2 4 Effective Annual Yield 5.5% 6.8% Par 1000 100 Find the cost of exactly matching those liabilities. 2. John must pay liabilities of 1,000 due 6 months from now and another 1,000 due one year from now. There are two available investments: a. 6-month bond with face amount of 1,000, a 4% nominal annual coupon rate convertible semiannually, and a 3% nominal annual yield rate convertible semiannually b. 1-year bond with face amount of 1,000, a 5% nominal annual coupon rate convertible semiannually, and a 6% nominal annual yield rate convertible semiannually. Find the amount of each bond to purchase and the total cost of the bonds. 3. An investment pays 1000 in three years and 3000 at the end of the fourth year. An investor has purchased it to yield the annual rate i = .075. Find the Macaulay duration and the modified duration. 4. An annual corporate bond is priced to yield 7% annually and has a price of 940.29 and a Macaulay duration of D= 6.5317. Estimate the change in price if rates increase by 0.10%. 5. An investor has a portfolio containing $1,000 worth of a three year bond with a modified duration of 2.7, $4,000 worth of a five year bond with a modified duration of 4.6, and $5,000 worth of a 6 year bond with a modified duration of 5.50. Find the modified duration of the entire portfolio. 6. You have a single liability of 200,000 payable at time 7. The valuation interest rate is i0 = .06. You wish to attempt to immunize this portfolio by buying two zero coupon bonds with maturities at times 4 and 10. Find the amounts of the two bonds, and verify that the portfolio is immunized. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M7-26 Module 7 - Asset Liability Management, Duration, and Immunization Section 7.11 Basic Review Problem Solutions 1. For year 2 the company is investing in $3000 worth of 5.5% two-year zero coupon bonds. The cost is 3000 1.0552 = 2695.36 For year 4 the company is investing in $5000 worth of 6.8% four-year zero coupon bonds. The cost is -^ = 3843.13 1.0684 The total invested to match liabilities is 2695.36 + 3843.13 = 6538.49. 2. We look at the longest term asset and liability first. The total payments for the 12 month bond at month 12 consist of a coupon of 25 and the redemption value of 1000 for a total of 1025. To cover a liability of 1000, the required amount of the 12-month bond required is = .9756. Once you have purchased .9756 of the 12 month bond, it will provide a coupon payment of (.9756)25 = 24.39 at month 6. To fund a total liability of 1000 at month 6, the additional amount needed from the 6-month bond is 1000-24.39 = 975.61 The total payments for the 6 month bond at month 6 consist of a coupon of 20 and the redemption value of 1000 for a total of 1020. To cover a liability of 975.61, the amount of the 6-month bond required is :— = .9565. 1020 John must purchase .9756 of the 6-month bond and .9565 of the 12-month bond. We can find the prices of the separate bonds using the financial calculator. 6-month. N=l, PMT = 20, FV=1000, yield i = 1.5% per semiannual period. This gives a price of PV = -1004.93 12-month. N=2, PMT = 25, FV=1000, yield i = 3% per semiannual period. This gives a price of PV = 990.43. The total cost of purchasing the required bonds is .9756(990.43)+.9565(1004.93)= 1927.48 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 7 - Asset Liability Management, Duration, and Immunization Page M7- 27 3. The present value is 1.0753 1.0754 The weights for the duration are 804.96 _„_ 2,246.40 _.„ w3 = = .2638 w4 = — = .7362 3,051.36 3,051.36 The Macaulay duration is the weighted average time D = .2638(3) + .7362(4) = 3.7362 The modified duration is Modified Duration: DM = = —'■ = 3.4755. 1 + i 1.075 4 ap- (P)P(OAi 6.5317(940.29)(.001) ^ 1 + i 1.07 5. The modified duration of the entire portfolio is .10(2.7) + .40(4.6) + .50(5.50) = 4.86 6. We know that L6 = 120,000 and we need to find A4 and A10. r, mm n/r * u- 200,000 At Aio Present Value Matchmg: '-^— = T + tt- e 1.067 1.064 1.0610 t^ .- „ * u- (7)200,000 4A, 10A Duration Matching: ±-£ =— = r + 1.067 1.064 1.06 The solution to this system is A, = 83,961.93, A10 = 119,101.60. Y^fLtvi = 6,517,559.71<7,714,662.52 = £t2A,vf0, so the portfolio is immunized. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M7-28 Module 7 - Asset Liability Management, Duration, and Immunization Section 7.12 Sample Exam Problems 1. (Fall 05 Sample Problems #35) The current price of an annual coupon bond is 100. The derivative of the price of the bond with respect to the yield to maturity is -700. The yield to maturity is an annual effective rate of 8%. Calculate the duration of the bond. (A) 7.00 (B) 7.49 (C) 7.56 (D) 7.69 (E) 8.00 2. (Fall 05 Sample Problems #36) Calculate the duration of a common stock that pays dividends at the end of each year into perpetuity. Assume that the dividend is constant, and that the effective rate of interest is 10%. (A) 7 (B) 9 (C) 11 (D) 19 (E) 27 3. (Fall 05 Sample Problems #37) Calculate the duration of a common stock that pays dividends at the end of each year into perpetuity. Assume that the dividend increases by 2% each year and that the effective rate of interest is 5%. (A) 27 (B) 35 (C) 44 (D) 52 (E) 58 The following information applies to questions 4 thru 6. Joe must pay liabilities of 1,000 due 6 months from now and another 1,000 due one year from now. There are two available investments: 1) a 6-month bond with face amount of 1,000, a 8% nominal annual coupon rate convertible semiannually and a 6% nominal annual yield rate convertible semiannually, and 2) a one-year bond with face amount of 1,000, a 5% nominal annual coupon rate convertible semiannually, and a 7% nominal annual yield rate convertible semiannually 4. (Fall 05 Sample Problems #51) How much of each bond should Joe purchase in order to exactly (absolutely) match the liabilities? Bond I Bond II (A) 1 .97561 (B) .93809 1 (C) .97561 .94293 (D) .93809 .97561 (E) .98345 .97561 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 7 - Asset Liability Management, Duration, and Immunization Page M7- 29 5. (Fall OS Sample Problems #52) What is Joe's total cost of purchasing the bonds required to exactly (absolutely) match the liabilities? (A) 1894 (B) 1904 (C) 1914 (D) 1924 (E) 1934 6. (Fall OS Sample Problems #53) What is the annual effective yield rate for investment in the bonds required to exactly (absolutely) match the liabilities? (A) 6.5% (B) 6.6% (C) 6.7% (D) 6.8% (E) 6.9% 7. (May 05 #3) A bond will pay a coupon of 100 at the end of each of the next three years and will pay the face value of 1000 at the end of the three-year period. The bond's duration (Macaulay duration) when valued using an annual effective interest rate of 20% is X. Calculate X. (A) 2.61 (B) 2.70 C) 2.77 (D) 2.89 (E) 3.00 8. (May 05 #6) John purchased three bonds to form a portfolio as follows: Bond A has semi-annual coupons at 4%, a duration of 21.46 years, and was purchased for 980. Bond B is a 15-year bond with a duration of 12.35 years and was purchased for 1015. Bond C has a duration of 16.67 years and was purchased for 1000. Calculate the duration of the portfolio at the time of purchase. (A) 16.62 years (B) 16.67 years (C) 16.72 years (D) 16.77 years (E) 16.82 years 9. (May 05 #15) An insurance company accepts an obligation to pay 10,000 at the end of each year for 2 years. The insurance company purchases a combination of the following two bonds at a total cost of X in order to exactly match its obligation: 1-year 4% annual coupon bond with a yield rate of 5% 2-year 6% annual coupon bond with a yield rate of 5%. Calculate X. (A) 18,564 (B) 18,574 (C) 18,584 D) 18,594 (E) 18,604 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M7-30 Module 7 - Asset Liability Management, Duration, and Immunization 10. (Nov OS #2) Calculate the Macaulay duration of an eight-year 100 par value bond with 10% annual coupons and an effective rate of interest equal to 8%. (A) 4 (B) 5 (C) 6 (D) 7 (E) 8 11. (Nov OS #10) A company must pay liabilities of 1000 and 2000 at the end of years 1 and 2, respectively. The only investments available to the company are the following two zero-coupon bonds: Maturity (years) 1 2 Effective annual yield 10% 12% Par 1000 1000 Determine the cost to the company today to match its liabilities exactly. (A) 2007 (B) 2259 (C) 2503 (D) 2756 (E) 3001 12. (Nov OS #21) Which of the following statements about immunization strategies are true? I. To achieve immunization, the convexity of the assets must equal the convexity of the liabilities. II. The full immunization technique is designed to work for any change in the interest rate. III. The theory of immunization was developed to protect against adverse effects created by changes in interest rates. (A) None (B) I and II only (C) I and III only (D) II and III only (E) The correct answer is not given by (A), (B), (C), and (D). 13. (May 2005 #23) The stock of Company X sells for 75 per share assuming an annual effective interest rate of i. Annual dividends will be paid at the end of each year forever. The first dividend is 6, with each subsequent dividend 3% greater than the previous year's dividend. Calculate i. (A) 8% (B) 9% (C) 10% (D) 11% (E) 12% 14. (November 2005 #20) The dividends of a common stock are expected to be 1 at the end of each of the next 5 years and 2 for each of the following 5 years. The dividends are expected to grow at a fixed rate of 2% per year thereafter. Assume an annual effective interest rate of 6%.Calculate the price of this stock using the dividend discount model. (A) 29 (B) 33 (C) 37 (D) 39 (E) 41 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 7 - Asset Liability Management, Duration, and Immunization Page M7- 31 Section 7.13 Sample Exam Solutions 1. In this problem we will use the relationship between duration D and the modified duration DM. P(i) 1 + i We are given P'(i) = -700, P(i) = 100 and i = .08. Thus we have -P'(i) 700 _ D P(i) " 100 " 1.08 D = 7.56. Answer C 2. The series of dividends is a level perpetuity of the dividend D. Thus the price of the stock at the rate i is Thus From this we can get the modified duration and the duration -P' 1 (l + i\ MD = — = ± and D = (l + i)DM = ± '- Pi y ' i When i = .10 D.H.u .1 Answer C ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M7-32 Module 7 - Asset Liability Management, Duration, and Immunization 3. In this problem we will also use the relationship between duration D and modified duration DM. P(i) 1 + i First we denote the beginning dividend by Div and note that the price of the stock at the rate i is and growth rate r is given by the constant growth model w (i-.02) Next we take the derivative of the expression above with respect to i and obtain W (i-.02)2 It follows that -P'(i)_ 1 _ D DM = P(i) i-.02 1 + i D = 35 For i = .05 this tells us that 1 1 _ D i-.02".03 "1.05 Answer B 4. In 12 months, the 6-month bond will be gone and only the 12-month bond will be available to pay. The total payments for the 12 month bond at month 12 consist of a coupon of 25 and the redemption value of 1000 for a total of 1025. To cover a liability of 1000, the required amount of the 12-month bond required is ™° =.97561. 1025 Once you have purchased .97561 of the 12 month bond, it will provide a coupon payment of (.97561)25 = 24.39 at month 6. To fund a total liability of 1000 at month 6, the additional amount needed from the 6-month bond is 1000-24.39 = 975.61. The total payments for the 6 month bond at month 6 consist of a coupon of 40 and the redemption value of 1000 for a total of 1040. To cover a liability of 975.61, the required amount of the 6-month bond required is 975.61 .93809. 1040 Answer D ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 7 - Asset Liability Management, Duration, and Immunization Page M7- 33 5. We have seen in the last problem that Joe must purchase .93809 of the 6- month bond and .97561 of the 12-month bond. We can find the prices of the separate bonds using the financial calculator. 6-month. N=l, PMT = 40, FV=1000, yield i = 3% per semiannual period. This gives a price of PV = 1009.71. 12-month. N=2, PMT = 25, FV=1000, yield i = 3.5% per semiannual period. This gives a price of PV = 981.00. The total cost of purchasing the required bonds is 981 (.97561) +1009.71 (.93809) = 1904.27 Answer B 6. Joe will pay PV = -1904.27 in order to receive n = 2 payments of PMT= 1000. The financial calculator shows that the yield per semiannual period for this sequence is i = 3.333%. The effective annual yield is 1.03332 -1 = .0677 Answer D 7. Fr (la)-, + nCvn Frila)-, + nCvn We use D = —V^ = —-—-r1 • The price of the bond can be Fr (a^) + Cvn Bond Price obtained using the BA II Plus with N=3, PMT=100, FV=1000 and I/Y=20. It is P = 789.35. The coupon is Fr = 100 and C = 1000. For an interest rate of 20%, ,r x .^oo ™ ~ 100(3.9583) + 3(1000)/1.23 „ (la)-, = 3.9583. Thus D = * '- * '- = 2.70 v ^ 789.35 Answer B Since there are only three cashflows, this problem could also have been worked directly from the definition. 8. The duration of the portfolio is the weighted average of the individual durations. The total purchase price of the portfolio is 980 + 1015 + 1000 = 2,995 Thus the duration is \2,99S) {2,995) 1,2,995 J Answer D ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M7-34 Module 7 - Asset Liability Management, Duration, and Immunization 9. Let x and y represent the required amounts of the one and two year bonds respectively. The total amount paid by the bonds should be 10,000 at times 1 and 2. The amounts paid can be given in terms of x and y. Time 2 1.06y = 10,000 Timel 1.04* + .06y = 10,000 This system of equations solves for x = 9071.12 and y = 9433.96 . To solve, we must assume that the face value of the bonds is the redemption value. With this assumption we can analyze each of the bonds using the BA II Plus. One year bond Coupon = 9071.12(.04) = 362.84 = PMT, FV = 9071.12, N=l, I/Y = yield = 5. This gives a price of PV = -8984.73. Two year bond Coupon = 9433.96 (.06) = 566.04 = PMT, FV = 9433.96, N=2, I/Y = yield = 5. This gives a price of PV = -9609.38 The total cost X is 8984.73 + 9609.38 = 18,594.11 Answer D 10. The duration of a bond with face value F and coupon Fr for n periods and Fr(Ia)n+nCvn redemption value C is — , n! , y Fr(an) + Cvn ' where the denominator is the price of the bond. In this case the coupon Fr = 10, F=C=100 and n=8. The price of the bond can be obtained from the financial calculator with PMT = 10, n = 8,1/Y=8 and FV=100. The price (PV) is 111.49. mL u J . . 10 (la)-, +8 (100) v8 10 (23.553)+ 8 (100) (.5403) _„ Thus the duration is —^—^ - '-— = —* '- * ^ 1 = 5.99 111.49 111.49 Answer C 11. Since there are separate zero coupon bonds for each year, the company can invest an amount in each bond to cover the liability for that year only. For year 1 the company can invest the present value of 1000 in one year at 10% ^°°= 909.09 1.1 For year 2 the company can invest the present value of 2000 in two years at 12% per year. ^1594.39 1.122 The total invested to match liabilities is 909.09 + 1594.39 = 2503.48. Answer C ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 7 - Asset Liability Management, Duration, and Immunization Page M7- 35 12. Statement I is false. The assets must have greater convexity for immunization. Statement II is true. Statement III is true. Answer D 13. This can be done directly with the constant growth model Using P = 75, D = 6 and g = .03, we have 75 = ,. 6 . i = .ll. (i-.03) Answer D 14. This stock will pay dividends in three different phases. Phase 1. A level annuity of 1 for 5 years. Phase 2. After a deferral period of 5 years, a level annuity of 2 for 5 years. Phase 3. After a deferral period of 10 years, a constant growth rate perpetuity for which we can use the stock pricing model P = . i-r Care must be taken with the final piece. It is clear that the growth rate is 2%. The value of D to use is 2(1.02) = 2.04, since the first expected dividend at the end of year 11 has already experienced one year of growth. (A common mistake is to inadvertently use D=2). Thus the price is laa+v^aa+v10!" 2'04 51 5I L06-.02 . 0i0 2(4.212) 51 = 4.212 + —^ =-^ + 1.065 1.0610 38.985 Answer D ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M7-36 Module 7 - Asset Liability Management, Duration, and Immunization Section 7.14 Supplemental Exercises 1. A company has liabilities of 3000 and 6000 due at the end of years one and three respectively. The investments available to the company are the two zero- coupon bonds: Maturity Effective (years) Annual Rate Par 1 3 4.8% 5.6% 1000 1000 Find the cost of exactly matching these liabilities. 2. A company has liabilities of 1000 and 2000 due at the end of years two and three respectively. It can purchase two zero-coupon bonds to match these liabilities. The first has a par value of 1000 and matures in two years. The second has a par value of 1000 and matures in three years with an effective annual rate of 6%. If the cost of matching these liabilities is 2,586.27, what is the effective annual yield on the first bond? 3. An investment pays 1000 at the end of year 2, 2000 at the end of year 3 and 4000 at the end of year 4. It was purchased to yield an annual rate of 6.5%. Find the Macaulay duration for this investment. 4. An investor has a portfolio containing 2000 worth of a three-year bond with a modified duration of 2.85, 5000 worth of a six-year bond with a modified duration of 5.24 and 8000 worth of a ten-year bond with a modified duration of 9.13. Find the modified duration of the entire portfolio. 5. An annual corporate bond is priced to yield 7.5% annually and has a price of 972.18. Its Macaulay duration is 5.8215. Estimate the change in price if rates decrease by 0.10%. 6. An annual par bond has a face value of 1000, a coupon rate of 4.5% and matures in 3 years. Find the Macaulay duration of this bond at a rate of i = 0.04. Problems 7 and 8 use the following: A company has liabilities of 2000 due in 6 months and another 2000 due in one year. It has two available investments: 1) A 6-month bond with a face value of 1000, a 4% nominal annual coupon convertible semiannually and a 5% nominal annual yield rate convertible semiannually, 2) A 1-year bond with a face value of 1000, a 7% nominal annual coupon convertible semiannually and a 6% nominal annual yield rate convertible semiannually. 7. How much of each bond must the company purchase to exactly match its liabilities? 8. What is the total cost of these bonds? ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 7 - Asset Liability Management, Duration, and Immunization Page M7- 37 Section 7.15 Supplemental Exercise Solutions 1. For year 1 the company buys 3000 worth of 4.8% zero coupon bonds. The cost is 3000/1.048 = 2826.60 For year 3 the company buys 6000 worth of 5.6% zero coupon bonds. The cost is 6000/1.0563 = 5095.18 The total invested to match liabilities is 2862.60 + 5095.18 = 7957.78 2. Let i be the effective annual rate of the first bond. The cost of matching liabilities by purchasing 1000 worth of bond 1 and 2000 worth of bond 2 is 1000/(1 + i)2 + 2000/1.063 = 2586.27 (1 + i)2 = 1-1025 => i = .05 3. The present value of the payments is P = 1000/1.0652 + 2000/1.0653 + 4000/1.0654 = 881.66 + 1655.70 + 3109.29 = 5646.65 The weights for the duration are Wi = 881.66/5646.65 = 0.1561, w2 = 1655.70/5646.65 = 0.2932 and w3 = 3109.29/5646.65 = 0.5507. D = 0.1561(2) + 0.2932(3) + 0.5507(4) = 3.3946 4. The price of the entire portfolio is 15,000. The weights for the modified durations are Wi = 2/15, w2 = 1/3 and w3 = 8/15. The modified duration for the entire portfolio is DM = (2/15X2.85) + (l/3)(5.24) + (8/15)(9.13) = 6.996 5. AP= -(D)P(i)M/(l + i) = -(5.8215)(972.18)(-0.001)/1.075 = 5.2647 6. The Duration of the bond is D = [Fr (Ia)^ + nCv"]/(Bond Price) F = C = 1000, r = 0.045, n = 3 and i = 0.04. v3 = 0.8890, as = 2.8861 (calculator in BGN mode), (ia)^ = 5.4775 Bond Price = 1013.88. (N = 3,1/Y = 4, PMT = 45, FV = 1000. Then CPT PV = - 1013.88) D = [45(5.4775) + 3000(0.889)]/ 1013.88 = 2.8736 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M7-38 Module 7 - Asset Liability Management, Duration, and Immunization 7. The total of the 1-year bond at redemption is 1035. The liability is 2000, so the company needs 2000/1035 = 1.9324 of this bond. The six-month coupon on this amount of the bond is 35(1.9324) = 67.73. The amount needed to cover the liability due at 6 months is 2000-67.73 = 1932.37. The total of the 6-month bond at redemption is 1020. The company needs 1932.37/1020 = 1.8945 of this bond to cover the liability at 6 months. 8. The price of the 6-month bond is 995.12. (N = 1, PMT = 20,1/Y = 2.5, FV = 1000. CPT PV = -995.12) The price of the one-year bond is 1009.57 (N = 2, PMT = 35,1/Y = 3, FV = 1000. CPT PV = -1009.57) Cost of bonds is 1.9324(1009.57) + 1.8945(995.12) = 3836.15 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 8 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 1 Page M8- 1 Section 8.1 Overview Chapter 1 of Derivatives Markets has very little quantitative analysis. It introduces terminology, discusses why people use derivatives, and how derivatives are traded. In this lecture note, we have not discussed every detail of the chapter as it can be read fairly easily. It would be a mistake to skip Chapter 1, though. Despite the lack of math, it could be a source of true-false problems on terminology. We will restate some of the text discussion in our own words here to give you a chance to rethink the text material. Be sure to read the book's wording carefully, since that is the wording that is more likely to appear on the exam. Section 8.2 What is a derivative security? It may be helpful to have a preliminary discussion of the most basic ideas of derivative securities before beginning study. A derivative is defined to be a "financial instrument that has value determined by the price of something else." This basic idea is easily explained with an example of a farmer planning to sell his corn crop. Suppose that you are a farmer with corn that is not yet ready to harvest, but you would like the security of knowing that you will get a definite price for it when it is harvested in a month. In the town near you, there is a cereal company that wants to assure a supply of corn at a definite price in a month. The two of you could agree on a contract that specifies that you will deliver corn to the cereal company on an agreed upon date in a month for $2.44 per bushel. These types of contracts are called forward contracts, and are really used by farmers in this way. How does the term derivative come to be applied to instruments like forwards? The answer is that their value is derived from the value of something else, like corn. If you are the farmer with the forward contract to sell corn for $2.44, the contract is valuable to you in a month if the price of corn has dropped below $2.44. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M8-2 Module 8 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 1 Section 8.3 Uses of derivatives When a farmer uses a derivative to protect the price of his corn, he is engaging in risk management. (He is also said to be hedging.) There are other reasons that people use derivatives. Suppose that you think that the price of corn will be $3.10 per bushel in a month but someone else is willing to make a forward contract to sell it for $2.44 in a month. Then you could enter into the forward agreement, get the corn for $2.44 in a month and immediately resell it for a higher price. This is a bet. If you are wrong and the price in a month is low, you can lose money. You are using the forward contract for speculation on the price of corn. There are other more complex reasons to use derivatives, and these will only become clear as you look at the ways derivative securities can be structured in later chapters. The simplest thing to say at this point is that derivatives can be structured to avoid taxes or transaction costs. Derivatives are so useful that they are used for risk management by banks, insurance companies and other corporations. There are institutions such as the Chicago Board of Trade which enable standardized trading of derivatives. Derivatives should be of interest to actuaries, since they are a form of insurance. The farmer with a forward contract in corn is insuring himself against price drops. There are a few points in Chapter 1 that might require some clarification: bid- ask spreads and short sales. We discuss these in the following sections. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 8 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 1 Page M8- 3 Section 8.4 Bid-ask spreads The text uses the example of buying a stock to illustrate that this is more complicated than you might think. To begin, there is always a commission cost added to the price. In addition, the stock really has two prices. Market makers are the individuals who get stock from sellers and provide it to buyers. They make a living by buying for a lower price called the bid price and selling for a higher price called the ask price or offer price. The difference between the two is called the bid-ask spread. The text gives the example of a stock which you can buy (ask price) for $50 and sell (bid price) for $49.75. Note that the terms bid and ask mean different things to the market maker and the individual buying or selling. The table below summarizes this. Price Bid Ask Magnitude Lower Higher For market maker Buy price Sell Price For investor Sell Price Buy Price Example 1.1 illustrates a simple cost calculation, and you should read it. Section 8.5 Short sales Suppose a stock can now be purchased for $45 and you believe that it will drop to $40 in a month. You can bet on this by borrowing a share of the stock now and selling it for $45. If you are right, in a month you can buy a share of the stock for $40, giving it back to the lender and pocketing a profit of $5. There are some possible complications. If the stock pays a dividend before you replace it, you have to pay the missing dividend to the stock owner. And of course, if the stock goes up to $50 you still have to buy it back, replace it and lose money. This is referred to as selling the stock short. (In contrast, if you buy the stock today and hold onto it you have a long position in the stock.) The pattern in short selling is: Today: Borrow stock —> Sell stock for cash —> Hold cash Future: Buy stock -> replace borrowed stock and any dividend —> Profit or loss? Students who have studied for exam FM/2 in 2006 may have found the initial description of a short sale confusing (short sales were covered in the 2006 syllabus). For example, short sales were covered in section 8.2.2 of Mathematics of Investment and Credit. That section was included in the 2006 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M8-4 Module 8 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 1 exam syllabus, but was not included in the 2007 syllabus. The confusing part is the fact that section 8.2.2 included return calculations that assumed that the short seller had to leave a deposit in a margin account and earned interest on that account, but the text Derivatives Markets does not specifically mention the margin account in the initial description of a short sale. This issue is handled implicitly in the following section on risk and scarcity in short selling: Credit risk The lender may be concerned that you will not be able to pay to replace the borrowed asset when the time comes to do so. To feel more comfortable, the lender could insist on holding all or part of the money from the short sale. That is essentially the margin account of the old exam material. If the lender perceives a serious risk that the asset will go up in value and cause a loss to the short seller, he might require the short seller to put up additional cash called a haircut. Scarcity risk If the lender holds your money in a margin account, he will pay you a rate of interest on it. This section makes the point that if the asset borrowed is scarce and hard to replace, the lender might pay you little or no interest. The interest rate that is paid on collateral is called the repo rate in bond markets and the short rebate in the stock market. We recommend that students focus on short sales as described in Derivatives Markets, since Section 8.2.2 of Mathematics of Investment and Credit is no longer in the syllabus. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 8 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 1 Page M8- 5 Section 8,6 Solutions to odd-numbered problems 1.1. a) Soft drink manufacturers sell less on abnormally cold days, and would like a futures contract that provides extra cash on such days. b) Ski resort operators lose business on unseasonably hot days, and would like a future contract that paid extra cash on such days. c) Electric utilities have peak demand for air conditioning on abnormally hot days and for electric heating on abnormally cold days. They would buy contracts to protect against both abnormal heat and cold. d) Amusement park operators have reduced sales demand for on abnormally hot days and abnormally cold days. They would buy contracts to protect against both abnormal heat and cold. a) 41.05(100) + 20 = 4,125 b) 40.95(100)-20 = 4,075 c) Cost = 4,075-4,125 = 50 1.5. The market maker will buy at the lower price of 100 and sell at the higher price of 100.12, thus making a spread of 0.12 per share. When 100 shares are traded he will make $12. 1.6 This problem is in the solutions manual, but in the solution the number 29.87 is changed to 29.875. Using the numbers given in the problem the answer is slightly different: Cash from short sale: 300(30.19)(l-.005) = 9,011.715 Cost to return stock: 300(29.87)(l+.005) = 9,005.805 Profit = 9,011.715 - 9,005.805 = 5.91 1.7 a) Cash from sale of borrowed shares: 25.12(400) = 10,048 Cost to replace stock: 23.06(400) = 9,224 Profit = 10,048 - 9,224 = 824 With commission: b) Cash from sale of borrowed shares: 10,048(1 -.003) = 10,017.856 Cost to replace stock: 9,224(l+.003) = 9,251.67 Profit = 10,017.86 - 9,251.67 = 766.19 c) 10,017.86(.03) = 300.54 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M8-6 Module 8 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 1 1.9. You must pay the dividend of 3 to the registered owner of the stock, and this will be tax deductible for you. Since your planning was based on a dividend cost of 3, an increase to 5 will increase your anticipated dividend replacement expense -but that expense is tax deductible. If nothing has changed in the company except for dividend policy, the stock price will fall by the amount of the dividend on the ex-dividend date thus increasing the value of your short position by an amount that will replace the unanticipated dividend expense. In this case you would not care about the increased dividend. However if the increased dividend is a result of a major positive change in the company, the stock value is going to increase and this.will damage your short position. 1.11. You have a short position in cash. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 9- Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 2 Page M9- 1 Review of Derivatives Markets}—-—■ Chapter 2 Section 9.1 Forward Contracts A forward contract is a contract to buy or sell a specified asset at a designated future time. The contract binds both buyer and seller and obligates the buyer to purchase the asset even if the future value is less than the market price The forward contract should specify: • Underlying asset The type and quantity of the asset to deliver. • Expiration date. Time, place and date of delivery. • The sale price. Futures contracts are a type of forward contracts that will be studied further when we reach chapter 5 of Derivatives Markets. The current price of an asset at any time is called its spot price. The value of a forward contract at a future time will depend on the relation of the forward price to the spot price. The text gives additional simplified examples of forward contracts in Chapters 2 and 3. A fictional stock index is used in the examples. A stock index is an average of the prices of stocks in a specified group. Widely used real-life indices include the Dow-Jones Industrial Average, the S&P 500 index, the NASDQ index and the Russell 2000 index. The fictional index used in the text is called the S&R 500 index. It is simpler to study by design because it does not pay any dividends. You might question how a person can own an "average". In practice there are funds called index funds that invest in a representative sample of an index. You can buy a share in an S&P 500 index fund and own the average in some sense. In the examples in Chapter 2, the text does not worry about the practical issues of ownership or delivery. It uses the convention that if you have a forward commitment to buy the average for 1020 and the average is worth a spot price of 1040 on the expiration day, you have made a profit of 20. In practice, when you buy or sell a stock there are commission expenses that would reduce your 20 profit. Thus the situation is a bit complicated if there is actually to be a ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M9-2 Module 9- Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 2 delivery of a stock index share. However, forward contracts can be written for cash settlement in which a net payment is made for the difference between the spot price at expiration and the forward price, so that no stock actually changes hands. In this case, you truly can say that you made a profit of 1040 -1020 = 20. Cash settlement is available through marketplaces called futures exchanges. A forward contract must have a buyer and a seller. The buyer is said to have a long forward and the seller is said to have a short forward. Note that the buyer and seller have credit risk, since neither one can be sure that the opposite party will have the required cash or stock at the time of expiration. Futures exchanges attempt to lower credit risk by requiring collateral from the parties to the contract. The text looks at forward contracts on the fictional S&R index beginning on page 23. The continuing example is one in which the S&R spot price today is 1000 and the six month forward price is 1020. In this chapter, the forward price of 1020 is not derived -it is simply given to you. There is still something important to observe about this price. The text makes the statement (page 27) that "the 6-month interest rate is 2%". This rate of 2% is really the rate at which the investors involved could buy or sell a 6-month zero coupon bond -the working 6-month interest rate for the buyer or seller. That is, you could go to a bank and borrow or deposit and earn at this rate. (In practice, banks lend to you at a higher rate than they will pay to you, but this analysis uses the simplifying assumption that they are the same.) Note that (9.1) 1 Forward Price = 1000(1.02) = Spot Price (1+interest rate) In Chapter 5 of the text, it is shown that this is how the forward price should be determined for a stock that does not pay dividends. Thus the forward price of 1020 is not a rabbit pulled out of a hat. It is what the forward price should be for this fictional index. It also makes some identities work nicely later. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 9- Review of Derivatives Marketsf Chapter 2 PageM9- 3 Section 9.2 Payoff and profit for forwards On page 23 there is a definition of the payoff on a contract -it is the value of the financial result at expiration. For a forward contract: (9.2) 1 Payoff to long forward = Spot price at expiration - forward price (9.3) I Payoff to short forward = Forward price -spot price at expiration Thus if the forward price is 1020 and the spot price at expiration is 1040, Payoff to long forward = 1040 - 1020 = 20 Payoff to short forward = 1020 -1040 = -20. It is easy to see that (9.4) Payoff to long forward = - Payoff to short forward In words, the short has the opposite position from the long. The text gives both a table and a graph of the long and short forward. We will do the same thing here, with a slightly different scaling so that it is clear that 1020 is the spot price that gives 0 payoff to both the long and the short. S&R Index 960 980 1000 1020 1040 1060 1080 1100 Forward Payoff Long -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 Short 60 40 20 0 -20 -40 -60 -80 ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Page M9-4 Module 9- Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 2 The table and graph here were created as a spreadsheet and graph in EXCEL. Even though they are quite simple, we recommend making your own spreadsheet copy of each of the text examples. You will find that you can often re-use the spreadsheets for end-of-chapter problems. Of course EXCEL will not be available on Exam FM/2, but we find that it is still a helpful study aid. The text does not look at payoff alone. It distinguishes payoff from profit, which is payoff less the future value of any expenses incurred in setting up the financial structure involved. (9.5) Profit = Payoff - Future value of expenses incurred For a long forward, the profit is the same as the payoff, because the cost of the contract is 0. (You will see an example where expenses are not 0 on the next page) The forward situation is illustrated in the table below. S&R Index 960 980 1000 1020 1040 1060 1080 1100 Long Forward Payoff -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 FV of Long Forward Cost 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Long Forward Profit -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 The text points out that if you buy the asset (an S&R share) instead of entering a forward contract to get it, the payoff and the profit are not the same. In our continuing example, the cost to buy the S&R index at time 0 was 1000. Suppose the index is valued at 1040 in 6 months. Then the payoff in 6 months would be the value of the asset at expiration. Payoff on S&R share = 1040 However the asset at time 0 had a cost of 1000. The profit analysis in the text assumes that you will borrow the funds needed to buy the asset. If you borrow the cost of 1000, you would have to repay the loan with 2% interest in 6 months. Thus the future value of expenses would be 1000(1.02) = 1020 and Profit on S&R share = payoff - future value of expenses =1040 - 1020 =20. Note that this is the same as the profit on the long forward when the value of the asset is 1040. Since the forward price is the same as the required loan payment, the profit on the forward is the same as the profit on the asset. ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Module 9- Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 2 PageM9- 5 In general (9.6) Profit on S&R share = value of index - future value of loan = value of index - 1020 = value of index - forward price = profit on forward We see this illustrated concretely in the table below: S&R Index Index Share Payoff Less Future Value of Cost Index Share Profit 960 980 1000 1020 1040 1060 1080 1100 960 980 1000 1020 1040 1060 1080 1100 -1020 -1020 -1020 -1020 -1020 -1020 -1020 -1020 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 The payoff vs. profit distinction is important for problems in Chapters 2 and 3 of Derivatives Markets, and thus it is fair game for exam problems. The author of the text notes that profit is really the more important concept on page 28, where he states: "Because this calculation accounts for differing initial investments in a simple fashion, we will primarily use profit rather than payoff diagrams throughout the book." Thus, for exam study, you may be asked to find a payoff, but most analysis will deal with profit. It is important to remember that buying the asset and entering a long forward contract have the same profit function. ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Page M9-6 Module 9- Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 2 Section 9.3 A more mathematical approach You must have observed by now that Derivative Mathematics is not written for mathematicians. It is designed for MBAs and other business majors. In the early chapters you will generally see analysis using spreadsheet tables and word equations, similar to what we have done so far in this module. At this point we will introduce a more mathematical approach to the material above, which many actuarial students will find easier to work. The notation we use here is eventually introduced in Derivatives Markets in Chapter 5. Given: T = The time of expiration of an S&R index forward contract written at time t = 0. So = Asset prices at the contract origination ST = Asset prices at the contract expiration F0,r = Forward price at time t =0 for a forward contract expiring at timeT r = The continuously compounded interest rate1 for the forward buyer and seller. Since the index pays no dividends, we can use the result to say that (9.7) Fo,T = Sq6 This is also the future value of the expense of borrowing S0 to buy an index share. The word equation (2.1) from the text then becomes (9.8) Profit on S&R share = ST - S0en = ST - F0>T = Profit on forward In our lectures on Chapters 1-4 we will use this notation to write some of the verbal arguments of the text more compactly. 1 Your interest theory comes in handy here. Derivatives Markets uses per period rates like 2% for 6 months in Chapters 1-4 and then switches to a continuously compounded rate in Chapter 5. In any case, you get to the same place, since 1000(1.02) = 1000 eh(102). ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 9- Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 2 Page M9- 7 Section 9.4 Zero coupon bonds have 0 profit Suppose that you buy a zero coupon bond that costs 1000 and pays 2% interest with payoff in 6 months of 1020. Since the expense of buying the bond was 1000, we have Bond Profit = Payoff - Future value of expenses incurred = 1020 -1020 = 0. In general, if r is the continuously compounded interest rate for a zero coupon bond that costs a price of P at time 0 and matures at time T, then Bond Profit = Payoff - Future value of expenses incurred = Pe77 - PeTT = 0 . Note that this does not mean that you did not earn anything on your investment in the bond. You earned $20 in interest (and the IRS will make you pay taxes on that). However, what you earned is what anyone can earn by depositing the money in a bank account at the rate 2%, and as such does not satisfy the textbook's definition of profit. This means that if you have a long forward contract for the S&R index and a zero coupon bond today at time 0, your profit at time T for the combined position will be the same as the profit from holding only the forward. The bond does not contribute any profit. Profit(Bond+Forward)=Profit(Bond)+Profit(Forward)=0+Profit(Forward) Page 29 of Derivatives Markets has additional discussion with graphs and word equations. It is important to remember that holding a forward contract and a bond today at time 0 does not generate the same payoff as the forward contract alone. In the table below we show the payoff and profit for the combined position of a zero coupon bond and a long forward in our continuing example. Here, the S&R index is currently at 1000, and you pay 1000 for a zero coupon bond paying 2% interest in six months and simultaneously enter into a long forward contract for six months at a forward price of 1020. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M9-8 Module 9- Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 2 Less Future Net Profit S&R Long Forward Bond Payoff for Value of for Index Payoff & Profit Payoff Forward + Bond Cost Combined 960 980 1000 1020 1040 1060 1080 1100 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 1020 1020 1020 1020 1020 1020 1020 1020 960 980 1000 1020 1040 1060 1080 1100 -1020 -1020 -1020 -1020 -1020 -1020 -1020 -1020 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 Note that the payoff in column 4 for the combined position of the bond and the forward is the same as the value of the index in column 1. This is important for discussion of tax issues, because it means you can act like the owner of the index by using this combination instead of actually buying the index. Thus, you might be able to get the return on the index using this new combination which could help you to pay less tax. The text discusses tax issues on page 58, and states that if you buy zero coupon bonds and a forward contract, you effectively mimic a similar investment in stock. There is another way to look at the bond + forward combination relative to the stock. If you buy the bond, it will give you 1020 in cash, and you can then immediately buy the stock for that 1020 using the forward contract. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 9- Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 2 Page M9- 9 Section 9.5 Purchased call options A long forward contract requires you to buy an asset at a specified price. If you have a 6-month forward contract to buy the S&R index at a price of 1000, you must buy for 1000 at expiration whether the spot price is higher than 1000 (good for you) or less than 1000 (bad for you.) An alternative investment is a call option which would give you option of buying for 1000 in 6 months if the spot price were higher than 1000, but would not oblige you to buy if the spot price were lower that 1000. Of course, you must pay a price or premium for a call option, since it has less risk than a forward for the buyer. This is different from a forward, since a forward has an initial investment of $0. Before we talk further about call options, we need to introduce some terminology: The value of 1000 for which you can buy the S&R index in 6 months is called the strike price or exercise price. If you do use the call to buy the stock, you exercise the option. The date 6 months in the future is called the expiration date. If you do not exercise your option by that date it expires worthless. There are three different styles of exercise possible for options: 1. European option Can be exercised only on the expiration date. 2. American option Can be exercised on any date from its creation to expiration. 3. Bermudan option Can be exercised only during specified periods The options studied analytically in the exam FM/2 chapters will primarily be European, but you need to know what the others are. In the example above we described a European S&R call option with a strike price of 1000 and expiration in 6 months (this option is analyzed on pages 33-37 of the text). We have not discussed yet how much you will need to pay for this option. The textbook tells you that the premium is 93.81, but does not derive that number. A footnote points out that the premium is actually computed using the Black-Scholes formula, which is discussed in Chapter 12. You will study that formula for Exam M. It is a simple matter to create a spreadsheet that calculates Black-Scholes premiums, but for exam FM/2 you do not need to do this. You will just be given the premium on questions here. Most options are standardized, exchange traded and cash settled. Under such a system, if you had an S&R European call with strike price of 1000 and the spot price on the expiration date was 1100, you would exercise the option to receive a cash settlement of 1100-1000 = 100. If the spot price on expiration day was 900, you would simply not exercise the option. The payoff function of this call is ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M9-10 Module 9- Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 2 Purchased Call Payoff = max(0, Spot price at expiration - 1000) The future value of the premium expense is 93.81(1.02) = 95.69. So the profit is Purchased Call Profit = max(0, Spot price at expiration - 1000) - 95.69. The future value of 95.69, above, is rounded. The text shows the future value of this premium as 95.68, most likely because the author started with more decimal places on the 93.81 figure. Next we show a table and graph of the payoff and profit. Less FV S&R Call of Call Index Payoff premium Profit 900 925 950 975 1000 1025 1050 1075 1100 1125 1150 0 0 0 0 0 25 50 75 100 125 150 -95.69 -95.69 -95.69 -95.69 -95.69 -95.69 -95.69 -95.69 -95.69 -95.69 -95.69 -95.69 -95.69 -95.69 -95.69 -95.69 -70.69 -45.69 -20.69 4.31 29.31 54.31 The profit graph is simply the payoff graph shifted down by the amount of the future value of the premium. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 9- Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 2 PageM9- 11 We can write this more compactly using the notations previously introduced. Let: T = The time of expiration of the call. So = Asset prices at the contract origination ST = Asset prices at the contract expiration r = The continuously compounded interest rate for the forward buyer and seller. K = Exercise price PCaii = Premium Then Purchased Call Payoff = max(0,ST - K) Purchased Call Profit = max(0,Sr - K) - PcaiierT A call has lower profit than a forward when spot prices are high (due to premium cost) but loses less than a forward when spot prices are low. See page 36 of Derivatives Markets for a graph of this. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M9-12 Module 9- Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 2 Section 9.6 Written call options You cannot buy a call unless someone is willing to sell one to you. The person selling the call is said to write a call. For a 6-month S&R written European call with strike price of 1000, the call writer is obliged to sell the stock for a price of 1000 in 6 months if the buyer exercises the option. In return, the call writer is paid the premium of 93.81 (which we have already discussed). The call writer's payoff and profit are the negative of the call buyer's payoff and profit, since the call writer must make the payoff but gets the premium. Written Call Payoff = - max(0, Spot price at expiration - 1000) The future value of the premium expense is 93.81(1.02) = 95.69. Thus the profit is Written Call Profit = - max(0, Spot price at expiration - 1000) + 95.69. The profit and payoff table and graph are given below for a 6-month S&R written European call with strike price of 1000. S&R Index 1 900 925 950 975 1000 1025 1050 1075 1100 1125 1150 Written Call Plus FV of Payoff premium 0 0 0 0 0 -25 -50 -75 -100 -125 -150 95.69 95.69 95.69 95.69 95.69 95.69 95.69 95.69 95.69 95.69 95.69 Written Call Profit 95.69 95.69 95.69 95.69 95.69 70.69 45.69 20.69 -4.31 -29.31 -54.31 | Written call 100 m 50 04 -50 -100 -150 -200 -♦—Payoff H*~ Profit 900 950 1000 1050 1100 1150 ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Module 9- Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 2 Page M9- 13 In the more compact notation, Written Call Payoff = -max(0,ST - K) Written Call Profit = -max(0,ST - K) + PCaiierT You can lose a lot of money on a written call if the spot price increases dramatically above the strike price. So, why would anyone write a call? We have seen portfolio managers write calls on stock they own to generate extra income. They typically are forecasting that the price of the stock will not go up by a large amount and they wish to collect the premium income. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M9-14 Module 9- Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 2 Section 9.7 Purchased put options A call option is valuable to someone who wishes to profit from appreciation in the price of an asset. A put option is valuable to someone who wishes to profit from a decline in the price of an asset. A 6-month European S&R put option with a strike price of 1000 gives you the right, but not the obligation, to sell the index for 1000 in six months. If the index has declined to 600 in 6 months, you can cash settle for 1000 - 600 = 400. If the index increases to 1100, you would let the option expire. The put and call premiums for the same strike price and expiration are not necessarily equal. For example, the textbook gives a premium of 74.20 for this put option, with a future value of 74.20(1.02) = 75.68. Note that this is not the same as the call option premium for the same expiration and strike price. We will discuss this further when we cover Chapter 3 of Derivatives Markets. The payoff function of the above put is Purchased Put Payoff = max(0,1000-Spot price at expiration) The profit is Purchased Put Profit = max(0,1000-Spot price at expiration ) - 75.68. Next we show a table and graph of the payoff and profit. Less FV S&R Index 900 925 950 975 1000 1025 1050 1075 1100 1125 1150 Put of Payoff premium 100 75 50 25 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -75.68 -75.68 -75.68 -75.68 -75.68 -75.68 -75.68 -75.68 -75.68 -75.68 -75.68 Put Profi 24.32 -0.68 -25.68 -50.68 -75.68 -75.68 -75.68 -75.68 -75.68 -75.68 -75.68 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 9- Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 2 Page M9- 15 -100 900 Purchased Put -#—mr—-«—-»»—~~»~—* Payoff Profit 950 1000 1050 1100 1150 In the more compact notation, we will denote the put premium by Pput Purchased Put Payoff = max(0,K-ST) Purchased Put Profit = max(0,K-ST)- PputerT ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Page M9-16 Module 9- Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 2 Section 9.8 Written put options Every purchaser of a put option must be paired with a seller who is willing to write the put. For a 6-month S&R written European put with strike price of 1000, the put writer is obliged to buy the stock for a price of 1000 in 6 months if the put purchaser exercises the option. In return, the put writer is paid the premium of 74.20 (which we have already discussed). The put writer's payoff and profit are the negative of the put buyer's payoff and profit, since the put writer must make the payoff but gets the premium. Written Put Payoff = - max(0,1000-Spot price at expiration ) The future value of the premium revenue is 74.20(1.02) = 75.68 . The profit is Written Put Profit = -max(0,1000-Spot price at expiration) + 75.68. The profit and payoff table and graph are given below for a 6-month S&R written European put with strike price of 1000. S&R Index 900 925 950 975 1000 1025 1050 1075 1100 1125 1150 Put Payoff -100 -75 -50 -25 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Plus FV of premium 75.68 75.68 75.68 75.68 75.68 75.68 75.68 75.68 75.68 75.68 75.68 Put Profit -24.32 0.68 25.68 50.68 75.68 75.68 75.68 75.68 75.68 75.68 75.68 ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Module 9- Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 2 Page M9- 17 -150 900 Written Put -m m m- ~* ■ -♦—Payoff -♦—Profit 950 1000 1050 1100 1150 In our standard notation Written Put Payoff = -max(0,K-ST) Written Put Profit = -max(0,K - ST) + Pput e71* Section 9.9 In and out of the money Page 43 the text introduces some important terminology that is based on the possible payoff if an option were to be exercised immediately: An option is • In the money if the payoff would be positive if the option were exercised immediately. • At the money if the payoff would be 0 with immediate exercise • Out of the money if the payoff would be negative with immediate exercise. Thus if you had a six month call with a strike of 1000 on the S&R index, the option would be in the money if the spot rate was 1001, at the money if the spot rate was 1000 and out of the money if the spot rate was 999. Note that this terminology is based on payoff, not profit. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M9-18 Module 9- Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 2 Section 9.10 Viewing options as insurance Page 45 of the text discusses how homeowner's insurance can be viewed as a put option. This is done using an example which is worked with a graph. We will discuss the illustrative example in the text in our own words to give you another view of it. The text example deals with a $200,000 house which is insured under a policy with a $25,000 deductible for a premium of $15,000. Since the house is only worth $200,000, the largest possible payment after deductible is $175,000, which would be paid in the event of a total loss. For a loss less than 25,000, the policy pays nothing. To see what happens when there is a loss that is larger than the deductible but not total, we will look at a $55,000 loss. In that case the payment is Payment = Loss - deductible = 55,000 - 25,000 = 30,000 There is another way to look at this insurance payment. The value of the house is reduced by the 55,000 loss to Value = 200,000 - 55,000 = 145,000 The insurance policy covers the value up to $175,000. Thus the insurance payment will restore the value to that level. Payment = 175,000 - Value = 175,000 - 145,000 = 30,000 Using this reasoning, you can show that the insurance payment is Payment = max(0,175,000 - Value) This is the payoff on a put option with strike price of 175,000 on the value of the house. Thus the insurance company has written the home owner a put option with a strike price of 175,000 on the value of the house. This is an important connection to make, and it is worth thinking about this explanation and reading Section 2.5 carefully to see it in a slightly different way. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 9- Review of Derivatives Marketsy Chapter 2 Page M9- 19 Section 9.11 The equity-linked CD example In section 2.6 of Derivatives Markets there is a nice example of how to use call options to create a CD whose return is linked to an index like the S&P 500. To understand why an investor would like such a product, we need to review some basic finance. The long term return on the S&P 500 is higher than the long term return on safer investments like government bonds. Ibbotson Associates, Inc. reported in their 1998 Yearbook that from 1927 to 1996 the average annual nominal return was 13% for the S&P 500 and only 5.6% for government bonds. So, you can see why an investor would rather have the long run S&P return. However investing in the S&P 500 can be problematic for an investor such as a retiree who needs the return on investment now to pay the bills. The long term return on the S&P 500 results from a long period in which there were some very good years and some very bad years. The retiree does not want to invest in a decade that has too many bad years. He wants to get something like the S&P return if that return is positive, but not lose his money in the bad years. That is, he wants the option to get positive return when that is available but not be obliged to accept negative return. The equity-linked CD described in the text meets this need. It is originally structured when the S&P 500 index is at a current value of 1300. The investor will invest 10,000 and be paid in 5.5 years. The final payment depends on whether the S&P 500 index is above or below 1300 in 5.5 years, as the table below indicates. Index in 5.5 years Index < 1300 Index> 1300 Payoff 10,000 10,000(1+ .7 (percentage gain on index)) In other words -if the index goes down, the investor gets his money back, but if the index goes up he gets the money back and an additional return equal to 70% of the percentage gain on the S&P 500. Suppose, for example, that the S&P index in 5.5 years has gone up by 40% to 1820. Then the investor will be paid 10,000 (1 + .7 (.40)) = 10,000 (1.28) = 12,800 (Note, the interest rate per semiannual period here is 2.27) The text notes that if Sfinai is used to represent the S&P index in 5.5 years, the percentage gain is Sfinai -J 1300 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M9-20 Module 9- Review of Derivatives Marketsy Chapter 2 Thus the CD pays 10,000 1 + .7 max| 0,^-1 1 1300 . We will write this in a different way to give you a different look at it. We will write the percentage gain on the S&P 500 index as JL(S«-1300). Then we write the payment on the CD in 5.5 years as lO.OOO + .y^^max^.S^ai -1300) = 10,000+ 5.3846 max (0,S/ma, -1300) JLoUU The final two terms represent i) a payoff of the original 10,000 plus ii) 5.3846 European call options on the S&P 500 index with strike price of 1300 and expiration in 5.5 years. Thus what the CD really gives the investor is Return of Original Amount + Payoff of 5.3846 S&P 1300 strike call options The first component lets the investor get his money back, and the second links his return to the S&P 500 index. Note that an investor does not have to get this payoff from a bank CD. The author points out that the investor could buy a zero coupon bond paying 10,000 in 5.5 years and also buy the call options on his own. (The text says this a different way, saying that the investor will buy 7.69 units of a package for which a single unit consists of a zero coupon bond for 1300 and .7 of an index call option.) However, this is all too complicated for most investors to do. The service the bank provides with this CD is to do all that investing and buying for the investor. As an actuary, you may do this kind of work. One of my previous employers had an equity linked annuity that promised a return on investment linked to an index, and it was structured using options. It was designed by one of the actuaries. The text also points out that this CD does have a cost. If, for example, the investor had an interest rate of 6% per year, a deposit of 10,000 would grow to 10,000(1.06)55 =13,777.88 Thus he would have earned 3,777.88 in interest, and he has forgone that interest to get the S&P linked return. The present value of that interest accumulation is 3,777.88 1.06 5.5 2,741.99 Thus as he invests today he has foregone interest with a present value of 2,741.99, and that is the implied cost today of investing in the CD. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 9- Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 2 Page M9- 21 Section 9.12 Don't forget Appendix 2.A Appendix 2.A discusses practical issues related to dividends, exercise, margins and taxes. It is clearly written, and we will not go over it here. It is in the exam syllabus. Section 9.13 Module 9 summary Forward contract -a contract to buy or sell a specified asset at a designated future time. The current price of an asset at any time is called its spot price. Settlement options: 1) actual delivery of the asset 2) cash settlement in which a net payment is made for the difference between the spot price at expiration and the forward price. The forward buyer is said to have a long forward and the seller is said to have a short forward. Payoff on a contract -the value of the position at expiration. Profit - payoff less the future value of any expenses Payoff to long forward = Spot price at expiration - forward price Payoff to short forward = Forward price - spot price at expiration Since forward expenses are 0, forward payoff and forward profit are the same. Graph of forward pay off/prof it: 80 • 60 | 40 ■ 20 • 0 - -20 - -40 - -60 4 -80 - 96 I ^ _ — "^ ■ ■**. 0 ""^^ fl *■* ^ 1010 ~^" ■ 1060 ► 1 ♦ Long — Short J Profit on S&R share = Profit on forward Buying the asset and entering a long forward contract at the correct arbitrage- free forward price have the same profit function. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M9-22 Module 9- Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 2 Mathematical notation T Time of expiration of an S&R index forward contract which was written at time 0. So asset price at the contract origination ST asset price at the contract expiration. F0,t Forward price at time 0 for a forward contract expiring at time T. r Continuously compounded interest rate for the forward buyer and seller. Forward results re-stated Index pays no dividends —► F0,t = S0erT = FV expense of borrowing S0 Profit on S&R share = ST - SQen = ST - F0>T = Profit on forward. Zero Coupon Bonds Have 0 Profit Bond Profit = Payoff - Future value of expenses incurred = PerT - PerT = 0. Buying zero coupon bonds and a forward contract mimics a stock investment. Options Purchased call option gives the right but not the obligation to buy an asset at the specified strike price or exercise price. You must pay a price or premium for it. The option expires after the expiration date. Styles of exercise possible for options: A European option can be exercised only on the expiration date. An American option can be exercised on any date from its creation to expiration. A Bermudan option can be exercised during specified periods, but not on any date. The options studied in the exam FM/2 chapters will be European only. Denote the exercise price by K and the premium by PCflM. Purchased Call Payoff = max(0,ST - K) ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 9- Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 2 Page M9- 23 Purchased Call Profit = max(0, ST-K)- PcaiieTT Graph of purchased put option payoff and profit. 200 -i 150 100 50 ■ -50- -100 ! 9C Purchased Call 4^ J*^'^ A . . . r**"^ B-^"" ^mimmMtmammMam,* )0 950 ► 1 1000 1050 1100 1150 | » Payoffl |~H»—Profit | Written Coll Options Written Call Payoff = -max(0,ST - K) Written Call Profit = -max(0,ST - K) + PcaiierT Graph of written call payoff and profit. Purchosed Put Options A put gives the right but not the obligation to sell at the strike price. Purchased Put Payoff = max(0, K-ST) Purchased Put Profit = max(0,K -ST) -Pme rT ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Page M9-24 Module 9- Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 2 Purchased Put Graph Written Put Options Written Put Payoff = -max(0,K-ST) Written Put Profit = -max(0,K-ST) + Pput erT Written put graph 50 • -50 - -100 i 9C Written Put ~~"w m »""" -~~~*~~» Wl tm. ""Wt" J % M^^m )0 950 1000 1050 1100 11 § 50 ♦ Payoff I —Wk~~- Profit i ©ACTFX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 9- Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 2 Page M9- 25 Section 9.14 Solutions to odd-numbered problems Please note: Some problems request a graph, but we give only the table that produces the graph to save space. 2.1. We will assume that the long position is for one period, since that gives the requested result of 0 profit at a price of 55 in one year. If you borrow 50 to buy the asset now, the future value of expenses in one year is 55. The payoff and profit functions are displayed in the table below. Less Future Stock Value of Stock Payoff Cost Profit 1 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 -55 -55 -55 -55 -55 -55 -55 -55 -55 -55 -55 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 1 2.3. A purchased call has Purchased call payoff = max(0,ST -K). If we take opposite to mean negative, the opposite is a written call with Written call payoff = -max(0,ST-K).. Similarly, the opposite of a purchased put is a written put. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M9-26 Module 9- Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 2 2.5. The following table shows the payoff for the short forward sale at 50 and the put purchase with a strike of 50. The put gives the same gains but no losses. It should cost more. Short Forward Put Stock Payoff Payoff 40 45 50 55 60 10 5 0 -5 -10 10 5 0 0 o 2.7. The table below summarizes the profit diagrams for parts a-c Profit on Profit on St Long Forward FV of Cost to Stock without Stock with Stock Profit buy stock dividend dividend 45 50 55 60 65 -10 -5 0 5 10 55 55 55 55 55 -10 -5 0 5 10 -8 -3 2 7 12 a) The short forward profit is ST = 55, and is displayed in column 2. To buy the stock, borrow $50 now at 10% and repay $55 in one year. The profit on the stock is also ST - 55, as displayed in column 4. b) There is no advantage to owning the stock if there are no dividends. c) However, there is a profit advantage to owning the stock if there is a dividend of $2, since the stock owner gets that $2 in addition to the asset profit. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 9- Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 2 Page M9- 27 2.9. a) If the interest rate is 10% you can borrow 1000 at 10% to buy the index and repay 1100 as the future value expense in one year. The table below illustrates that the profit functions of the long forward and the index share are the same when the forward price is 1100. 1100 Forward Price S&R Forward Index Share Less Future Index Share Index Profit Payoff Value of Cost Profit 950 1000 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 -150 -100 -50 0 50 100 150 200 950 1000 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 -1100 -1100 -1100 -1100 -1100 -1100 -1100 -1100 -150 -100 -50 0 50 100 150 200 b) If the forward price is 1200 there is an advantage to buying the stock, as the next table indicates. 1200 Forward Price S&R Forward Index Share Less Future Index Share Index Profit Payoff Value of Cost Profit 950 1000 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 -250 -200 -150 -100 -50 0 50 100 950 1000 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 -1100 -1100 -1100 -1100 -1100 -1100 -1100 -1100 -150 -100 -50 0 50 100 150 200 The forward price is 100 too high, and the long forward will make 100 less profit than you would if you bought the index. You should be paid the present value at 10% of the lost 100 M = 90.90 1.1 c) That contract is priced 100 too low and you would make 100 in excess profit. You would pay the present value M = 90.90 1.1 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M9-28 Module 9- Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 2 2.11. a) For ST < 1000: Purchased Put Profit = (1000 - ST) - 75.68 The put diagram intersects the x-axis when 0 = (1000 -ST)- 75.68 — ST = 924.32 b) For ST > 1000: Purchased Put Profit = -75.68 Short Forward Profit = 1020 - ST The intersection occurs when 1020 - ST =-75.68. Thus ST = 1095.68 2.13. a) The payoff table and diagram are: Strike price Stock 35 40 45 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 0 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 0 0 0 0 5 10 15 20 30 25 20 15 10 0 4- 30 35 40 45 50 Payoff 35 Payoff 40 Payoff 45 55 60 65 ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Module 9- Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 2 Page M9- 29 The profit table and diagram are: Strike price Premium FV Premium 35 9.12 9.85 40 6.22 6.72 45 4.08 4.41 Stock Profit Profit Profit 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 -9.85 -9.85 -4.85 0.15 5.15 10.15 15.15 20.15 -6.72 -6.72 -6.72 -1.72 3.28 8.28 13.28 18.28 -4.41 -4.41 -4.41 -4.41 0.59 5.59 10.59 15.59 b) Lower strike price leads to a higher possible payoff. Intuitively, an investor should pay more for a higher payoff. 2.1S. Part of the cash from the short sale would be left on margin and earn interest. Thus you would need to short more than 1000 in IBM stock and account for interest on margin. In addition you would need to pay any dividends that occurred. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M9-30 Module 9- Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 2 Section 9.15 Module 9 Computational Review Problems 1. (1 pt) 1) Suppose you enter into a long 6-month forward position at a forward price of $ 30. What is the payoff in 6 months for prices of $ 20,$ 30,$ 40 ? When price is $ 20, the payoff is $ ? When price is $ 30, the payoff is $ ? When price is $ 40, the payoff is $ ? 2) Suppose you buy a 6-month call option with a strike price of $ 30. What is the payoff in 6 months for prices of the underlying asset of $ 20, $ 30,,$ 40 ? When price is $ 20, the payoff is $ ? When price is $ 30, the payoff is $ ? When price is $ 40, the payoff is $ ? 3) Comparing the payoffs of parts a) and b), which contract should be more expensive (i.e. the long forward, or the long call? Enter 1, or 2, respectively.) ? ANSWER1: -10 ANSWER2: 0 ANSWER3: 10 ANSWER4: 0 ANSWER5: 0 ANSWER6: 10 ANSWER7: 2 2. (1 pt) An off-market forward contract is a forward where either you have to pay a premium or you receive a premium for entering into the contract. (With a standard forward contract, the premium is zero.) Suppose the effective annual interest rate is 14 % and the S-R index is 1000. Consider 1-year forward contracts. a) Suppose you are offered a long forward contract at a forward price of $ 1390. How much would you need to be paid to enter into this contract $ ? b) Suppose you are offered a long forward contract at a forward price of $ 990. How much would you need be willing to pay to enter into this contract $ ? ANSWER1: 219.3 ANSWER2: 131.58 3. (1 pt) Suppose a security has a bid price of $ 116 and an ask price of$ 116.35. At what price can the market-maker purchase the security $ At what price can a market-maker sell the security $ What is the spread in dollar terms when 100 shares are traded $ 9 ANSWER1: 116 ANSWER2: 116.35 ANSWER3: 35 4. (1 pt) 1) Suppose you enter into a short 6-month forward position at a forward price of $ 20. What is the payoff in 6 months for prices of $ 10,$ 20,$ 30 ? When price is $ 10, the payoff is $ ? When price is $ 20, the payoff is $ ? When price is $ 30, the payoff is $ ? 2) Suppose you buy a 6-month put option with a strike price of $ 20. What is the payoff in 6 months for prices of the underlying asset of $ 10,$ 20,$ 30? When price is $ 10, the payoff is $ ? When price is $ 20, the payoff is $ ? When price is $ 30, the payoff is $ ? 3) Comparing the payoffs of parts a) and b), which contract should be more expensive (i.e. the long forward, or the long call? Enter 1, or 2, respectively.) ? ANSWER1: 10 ANSWER2: 0 ANSWER3: -10 ANSWER4: 10 ANSWER5: 0 ANSWER6: 0 ANSWER7: 2 5. (1 pt) Suppose a stock is priced at $ 70 at expiry and the annual effective interest rate is 8 %. Determine the profit at expiry for the following one-year european call options: A $ 65-strike call with premium $ 9.11 ? A $ 70-strike call with premium $ 6.87 ? A $ 75-strike call with premium $ 4.44 ? ANSWER1: -4.84 ANSWER2: -7.42 ANSWER3: -4.8 6. (1 pt) Suppose a stock is priced at $ 25 at expiry and the annual interest rate is 6 %. Determine the profit at expiry for the following one-year european put options: A $ 20-strike put with premium $ 4.51 ? A $ 25-strike put with premium $ 6.33 ? A $ 30-strike put with premium $ 9.56 ? ANSWER 1: -4.78 ANSWER2: -6.71 ANSWER3: -5.13 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 9 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 2 Page M9- 31 Section 9.16 Supplemental Exercises 1. The S&R index currently has a price of 1000. The price of a six month long forward contract is 1025. What is the profit (or loss) on a six month forward purchase if the spot price of the S&R index is 1020 at expiration in six months? A)-5 B)-2.25 C)0 D) 2.25 E) 5 2. The S&R index currently has a price of 1000. The price of a six month forward contract is 1025. The annual interest rate is 4.94% compounded continuously. A buys the index and B enters a forward purchase agreement. What is the difference between the profit for A and the profit for B if the spot price of the S&R index is 1020 at expiration in six months? A)-5 B)-2.25 C)0 D) 2.25 E) 5 3. The S&R index currently has a price of 1000. The price of a six month forward contract is 1025. What annual interest rate (compounded continuously) is implied by this forward price? A) .02482 B) .02500 C) .02543 D) .0494 E) .0500 4. The S&R index currently has a price of 1000. The price of a six month 1010-strike call is 93.93. In six months the index price is 1025. The annual interest rate is 4.94% compounded continuously. What is the profit on the call? A)-96.28 B)-93.93 C) -81.28 D)-75.93 E)-74.08 5. The S&R index currently has a price of 1000. The price of a six month 1010-strike call is 93.93. In six months the index price is 1025. The annual interest rate is 4.94% compounded continuously. What is the difference between the payoff and the profit on the call? A) -96.28 B) -93.93 C) -81.29 D) -75.93 E) -74.08 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M9-32 Module 9 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 2 6. The S&R index currently has a price of 1000. The price of a six month 1010-strike put is 74.08. In six months the index price is 1025. The annual interest rate is 4.94% compounded continuously. What is the profit on the put? A)-96.28 B)-93.93 C) -81.29 D)-75.93 E)-74.08 7. The S&R index currently has a price of 1000. The price of a six month 1010-strike put is 74.08. The annual interest rate is 4.94% compounded continuously. A buys this put, and B enters into a long forward contract. In six months A and B have the same profit. What is the price of the index in six months? A) 979.53 B) 1000 C) 1025 D) 1037.92 E) 1097.32 8. The S&R index currently has a price of 1000. The price of a six month 1010-strike put is 74.08. The annual interest rate is 4.94% compounded continuously. What is the profit on this put in six months if the spot price then is 980? A) -94.35 B) -45.93 C) 0 D) 30 E) 104.53 9. Your home has a value of 300,000. Your annual insurance premium is 5,000 and your deductible is 20,000. If you look at your insurance as a put option, what is the strike price? A) 300,000 B) 295,000 C) 280,000 D) 275,000 E) 270,000 10. The stock of ABC company pays no dividends and has a current price of 40. The forward price for delivery in one year is 42. If there is no advantage to buying either the stock or the forward contract, what is the continuously compounded one year interest rate. A) .0488 B) .0494 C) .05 D) .0506 E) .0512 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 9 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 2 Page M9- 33 11. An insurance company sells single premium deferred annuity contracts with return linked to a stock index, the time-t value of one unit of which is denoted by S(t). The contracts offer a minimum guarantee return rate of g = 2.5%. At time 0, a single premium of amount n is paid by the policyholder, and n x y% is deducted by the insurance company. In one year the insurance company will pay the policyholder n X (1 - y%) x Max[S(T)/S(0), (1 + g%)], where ) S(0) =100 You are given the following information: (i) Dividends are incorporated in the stock index. That is, the stock index is constructed with all stock dividends reinvested, (ii) The price of a one-year European put option, with strike price of $102.50, on the stock index is $16. Determine y%, so that the insurance company does not make or lose money on this contract. A) 13.2% B) 13.35% C) 13.5% D) 13.65% E) 13.80% ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Has sett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M9-34 Module 9 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 2 Section 9.17 Supplemental Exercise Solutions 1) Long Forward Profit = ST - F0,T = 1020 -1025 = -5. Answer A 2) We have already noted that Profit on S&R share = Profit on forward The difference is 0. Answer C 3) F0>T = Soe77 -> 1025 = lOOOe5r -> r = .0494 Answer D 4) 1025 -1010 - 93.93e0494(5) = -81.28 Answer C 5) -93.93e0494(5) =-96.28 Answer A 6) 0-74.08e0494(5) =-75.93 Answer D 7) The forward price is F0(T = S0erT = lOOOes(0494) = 1025. The long forward profit is ST - F0,T = ST -1025. The put profit is max (0,1010 - ST )-74.08e0494(5)= max (0,1010-ST)-75.93. Assume that ST < 1010 . Then the equality of prices implies that ST -1025 = 1010 -ST- 75.93 -> ST = 979.53 Answer A ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 9 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 2 Page M9- 35 8) The put profit is max (0,1010 -ST) - 74.08e0494(5) = max (0,1010 -980) - 75.93 = -45.93 Answer B 9) Let Vt be the value of the house at time T. The payoff has value max (0,300,000 - 20,000 - VT) = max (0,280,000 - VT). This is the payoff of a put with K = 280,000. Answer C 10) The correct theoretical price of the forward should apply, Thus Fo,T = Soe^ -* 42 = 40er(1) -> r = .0488 Answer A ll)Using g = .025,T = 1,S0 = 100, the total payoff is Si -,±.UZO I =^(l-y)[sl+m*x(102.so-sl,o)] ^(l-y)max ^,1.025l = I^(l-y)max(S1,102.50) 100 The expression in square brackets is the payoff of a single share of the index and a put, while the two lead terms give the number of units of this combination the company needs to buy to pay off the single premium deferred annuity. The company wants to use the premium n to buy the shares and the options needed. The cost of those shares and options today is I^(l-y)[So + putcost] = I^(l-y)116 = 1.16^(l-y) To break even this cost must equal the premium collected. 1.16^(l-y) = ^->y = .138 The required percentage is 13.8%. Answer E ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 10 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 3 Page M10- 1 Section 10.1 Overview In this chapter, the textbook studies various useful combinations of assets, forwards, puts and/or calls. A very useful relationship called put-call parity is also derived and applied. The analysis is intuitive and generally based on looking at payoff tables and graphs for specific examples to make general conclusions. We will discuss the various combinations in a slightly different way to give you additional insight as you read the text. To simplify discussions, we will denote the payoff and profit of a combination by Payoff [Combination] and Profit[Combination]. For example, we will look at the combination consisting of buying an asset and a put. Then we would write the payoff and profit as Payoff [Index + Put] and Profit[Index + Put]. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M10-2 Module 10 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 3 Section 10.2 Strategies Combining an Option and an Asset A basic strategy is to use options as insurance against changes in the value of assets. Using Puts to Create Floors for Asset Value If you own an asset (such as the S&R index), your main concern is that the value of the asset might decrease. You can use a put to create a floor (basically, a guaranteed lowest price) for that value. Suppose that you own the S&R index and it is currently at 1000 and you buy a 6-month put with strike price of 1000. Then, if within that six month period, the S&R index has dropped below 1000, you can use the put to sell it for 1000 anyway. You have put a floor of 1000 on the value of your position, but can benefit from any increase of the index above 1000 because you can sell at any price above that if the value of the index rises. Note that if you have a call option with the same strike and expiration, the payout has a floor of 0, and enables you to benefit from any increase of the index above 1000. You might expect that there is a relation between the floor and the call. There is: (10.1) Payoff[Index+Put with strike K] = Payoff [Call with Strike K+Zero-Coupon Bond for K] (10.2) Profit[Index + Put with strike K] = Profit[Call with Strike K] On pages 60 and 61 McDonald goes through an example of this for the S&R index. As you work through the examples on pages 60-61, you should understand that the purpose of the exercise is to get you to conclude that (10.1) and (10.2) are valid for the S&R index in general. The idea is that you compare the results here to results in Chapter 2. For 10.2, you would compare the profit column in Table 3.1 to the profit column for the call in Table 2.2 on page 35. As an actuarial student, you might like a more mathematical approach. We can derive (10.1) using our standard notation. Let T be the time of expiration of the put and call. Denote the asset prices at the contract origination and expiration by So and ST respectively. Then ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 10 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 3 Page M10- 3 Pay of f [Index+Put with strike K] = ST + max(0, K-ST) = \ ' T \K, ST<K Payoff [Call with Strike K+Zero-Coupon Bond for K] = K + max(0, ST-K) = l The two payoff functions are identical. You would expect (10.2) to follow from (10.1) because the profit of a zero-coupon bond is 0. We could derive (10.2) using the put-call parity relation that comes in a later section, but the text is not holding you responsible for a derivation here. You are just supposed to convince yourself of (10.2) by example and general reasoning. In the initial discussion of floors in the textbook, the underlying asset is the S&R index. The text points out that a homeowner with insurance owns an asset consisting of the home and has a put on the value of the house with his insurance. Thus the homeowner has a floor for the value of his home, and his combined position has the same profit diagram as a purchased call. Using Calls to Create Caps for Short Positions If you sell short an asset such as the S&R index, your main concern is the value of the asset might increase. You can use a call to create a cap (i.e., guaranteed highest price) for that value. Suppose that the S&R index is currently at 1000 and you sell the index short and buy a 6-month call with strike price of 1000. Then if the S&R index increases above 1000 in 6 months, you can exercise the call to get the index for 1000 and cover the short sale. Thus you can benefit from the short sale if the price of the index goes below 1000, but you are protected against loss if the index increases above 1000. Note that if you have a put option with the same strike and expiration, the payout has no loss if the index is above 1000, and enables you to benefit from any decrease of the index below 1000. You might expect that there is a relation between the cap and the put. There is: (10.3) Payoff [Short Index+Call with strike K] =Payoff[Put with Strike K+Sale of a Zero-Coupon Bond for K] The text refers to the bond sale as borrowing. This is because the bond issuer is both borrowing money from and paying interest to the bond buyer. (10.4) Profit[Short Index + Call with strike K] = Profit[Put with Strike K] ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M10-4 Module 10 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 3 On page 63 McDonald goes through an example for the S&R index. As you work through the example on page 63, you should understand that the purpose of the exercise is to get you to conclude that (10.3) and (10.4) are valid for the S&R index in general. Note also that the cash proceeds from the short sale are taken to be a negative cost (gain). We can derive (10.3) using our standard notation. Payoff [Short Index+Call with strike K] = -ST + max(0,Sr - K) = St y St < -K -K, ST Z K Payoff [Put with Strike K+Sale of Zero-Coupon Bond for K] = max(0, K-ST)-K = -K, ST>K The two payoff functions are identical. As in the previous section, (10.4) can be expected to follow from (10.3) because the profit of a zero-coupon bond sale is 0. Covered Calls We mentioned in Module 9 that a call might be written by an owner of an asset who wishes to earn the call premium income. You have a covered call (aka covered writing or option overwriting) on the S&R index if you buy the index and write a call on it. Table 3.3 on page 65 of the text enables you to see by example that: (10.5) Profit[covered call] = Profit[written put] A covered call is the opposite side of a cap. Combination Cap Covered Call Strategy Sell Index & Buy Call Buy Index and Sell Call Profit equivalent Purchased Put Written Put Note that writing a covered call is less risky than writing a call without owning the asset. The loss on a written call is unlimited if you do not own the asset and its price increases, but if you own the asset you can use it to satisfy the call and avoid a large loss. Writing a call without owning the asset is called naked writing. ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Module 10 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 3 Page M10- 5 Covered Puts You have a covered put on the S&R index if you sell the index short and write a put on it. See Figure 3.5 on page 67 of the text for a visual interpretation. (10.6) Profit[covered put] = Profit[written call] Problem 3.2 on the text asks you to build the table behind the graph. This is a good exercise. A covered put is the opposite side of a floor. Combination Floor Covered Put Strategy Buy Index & Buy Put Sell Index and Sell Put Profit equivalent Purchased Call Written Call Note that writing a covered put is less risky than writing a put without owning the asset. If you have sold the index short you can use the stock that is put to you to cover the short sale. ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Page M10-6 Module 10 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 3 Section 10.3 Synthetic Forwards and Put-Call Parity Synthetic Forwards A synthetic forward is a combination of puts and calls that acts just like a forward. In this section and the next we will use the following notation. Call(K,T): Price of a call with expiration date T time units in the future and strike price K Put(KyT): Price of a put with expiration date T time units in the future and strike price K. If you buy a call option for the S&R index with strike price K and sell a put with the same strike and expiration, you pay Call(K,T)for the cost and are paid Put(K,T) for the written put. Thus your net cost is: Net cost of synthetic forward = Call(K,T) - Put(K,T). The combination of options means that at time T you will get the index for a price of K If the ST > K, you can call the asset for a price of K. If ST < K, you will be required to buy the asset for a price of K. Thus you have really constructed a synthetic forward for the index at the forward price K You are guaranteed the possession of the asset at time T. Put-Call Parity We now have two ways to guarantee ownership of the S&R index at time T: 1) Enter into a forward contract, with forward price F0tT = S0en. To assure having the money to purchase the forward at time T, you would need to set aside now the present value of F0tT, denoted by PV(F0,T). Note that for the S&R index this is just S0. Your total cost today is PV(F0>T) = S0. 2) Pick any forward price K and construct a synthetic forward that enables you to buy the index for K at time T as above. To assure having the money to purchase the forward at time T, you would need to set aside now the present value of K, which the text denotes by PV(K). Thus you would have a total cost now of the net cost of the options plus the amount set aside for the future purchase. Your total cost today is Call(KyT) - Put(K,T) + PV(K). ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 10 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 3 Page M10- 7 The put-call parity relation is obtained by noting that the costs for the two different ways of guaranteeing ownership of the index at time T should be the same. (10.7) PV(F0,t) = Call(KyT) - Put(KyT) + PV(K) On page 70 of the text, McDonald notes that this equality is based on the principle that if two investments give the same payout they must have the same cost. If you want to think more deeply about this, you can do so in Chapter 5 when the text discusses no- arbitrage pricing. For the moment, lefs keep it simple (10.7) is a very important identity. When we later use the Black-Scholes pricing model, we will use it to find the value of a call, and then use parity to find the value of the corresponding put. To illustrate the identity, we look back at the text example that was used for illustration of synthetic forwards on page 67. The values there were: K = 1000 Fo.r = 1020 Call(KyT) = 93.81 Put(KyT) = 74.20 The interest rate for 6 months (not continuously compounded) was r = .02. Thus PV(K) = 1^ = 980.39 and PV(F0,T) = ^^ = 1000 In this case the identity (10.7) becomes: 1000 = (93.81-74.20) + 980.39 = 19.61 + 980.39. It should not be too surprising that the numbers match, since the value of the put was computed from (10.7). We can rewrite (10.7) in a version that tells us more about the net cost of a synthetic forward. (10.8) PV(F0,t)- PV(K) = PV(F0,t-K)= Call(K,T) - Put(KyT) For the S&R contract, a standard zero-cost forward contract should have the forward price 1020. If you construct a synthetic forward for 1000 you must pay a premium to get that lower forward price. That premium is the net cost of the synthetic forward. Equation (10.8) says that the net cost is the present value of the difference between 1020 and the lower price of 1000. Note that (10.8) has some natural consequences: (10.9) Fo.t >K -+ Call(KyT) > Put(KyT) ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M10-8 Module 10 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 3 (10.10) (10.11) Fo,T = K - Call(K,T) = Put(K,T) Fo,T <K - Call(K,T) < Put(K,T) Another simple rearrangement of terms in (10.7) enables us to relate that equation to the prior analysis of floors in this chapter. (10.12) PV(F0,t)+ Put(K,T) = Call(KyT) + PV(K) Recall that a floor consisted of buying the index and a put. The cost of that is the left hand side of (10.12) S0+ Put(KyT) = PV(K) + Call(KyT) We showed that a floor has the same payout as the combination of a call with strike K and a zero coupon bond which pays K at expiration. The cost of that is Call(K,T)+ PV(K). Thus (10.12) says that the two combinations with the same payout must have the same cost. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 10 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 3 Page M10- 9 Section 10.4 Spreads Think of a spread as a combination of puts and calls, each one possibly long or short. There are many possibilities here, and the text gives a survey of some basic possible combinations, an example of each important spread type, and gives reasons to use that particular combination. We will summarize the basics here. You should remember that the reasons for creating some of these spreads are based in tax and other regulatory law issues that are not part of Exam FM/2, so try to learn the basic combinations for testing purposes. In this section of the text the author moves away from the S&R index examples and studies combinations of options for a fictional stock. The 3-month option prices for this stock at various strike prices are given in the following table. Strike Call Put 35.00 40.00 45.00 6.13 2.78 0.97 0.44 1.99 5.08 The motivating examples for the spreads in Section 3.3 all deal with combinations of these 3-month options . The underlying interest rate is 8.3% annually, the future value factor for future value of expenses is 1.0833025 for a 3 month period, and S0 = 40. Problem 3.20 of the text challenges you to create a spreadsheet that will provide profit or payout diagrams for combinations of options like the above. The creation and use of the spreadsheet is very helpful in understanding the spreads studied in this section. For each section, we will assume that you have worked through each profit table or reproduced it in a spreadsheet. We will review the strategy, the graph and why an investor would use the strategy. Details on Spreads A spread results when you buy a call at one price and sell another call at a different price. You also have a spread when you buy a put at one price and sell another put at a different price. The text says "A spread is a position consisting of only calls or only puts, in which some options are purchased and some written." There are three different common spreads discussed here -bull spreads, bear spreads, and ratio spreads. In addition, we will review something called a box spread, which is not technically a spread since it consists of both puts and calls ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M10-10 Module 10 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 3 Bull Spread A bull is an investor who is betting on an increase in market value of an asset. Do you think that the stock above will be at 45 in 6 months? Then you could buy calls with at strike of 40 for 2.78 and make some money. However there is a cheaper way to profit from an increase to 45. If you buy a call for 40 and sell a call for 45, you will receive a premium of .97 for the sold call. Now your net cost is only 2.78 - .97 = 1.81. However if the stock price goes above 45 you will lose some profit due to using the written call. Bull spread strategy. Buy a call at a lower price (40) and sell a call at a higher price (45). You can achieve the same result with puts - Buy a put at a lower price (40) and sell a put at a higher price (45). Profit $4 j 1 $3 j P ♦ ♦ ♦ ♦ * ♦ $2 j 4- $1 J J- $0 | ■ , , 1—+- ■ , , -$1 | -/ .$2 ♦ ♦♦♦♦»♦ *=d. -$3 -I 1 20.00 25.00 30.00 35.00 40.00 45.00 50.00 55.00 60.00 Why do this? You think that there will be a price increase to a range around the price of 45. This is a cheaper way of profiting from such an increase than simply buying a call with a strike of 40. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 10 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 3 Page M10-11 BeorSpread A bear is an investor who thinks the asset price will go down. A bear spread profits from a decrease in the stock, and is the opposite of a bull spread. A bear might think that this stock, currently at 40, might drop to 35. Bear spread strategy. Sell a call at a lower price (35) and buy a call at a higher price (40). Profit $4-r 1 $3 T \ $2 j V $11 V $0 j , : , X—, ■ , ■ -$i | V 1 .$2 1 _ . — *—-- ——T 20.00 25.00 30.00 35.00 40.00 45.00 50.00 55.00 60.00 Why do this? You think that there will be a price decrease to a range around the price of 35. Bull and bear spreads are known as vertical spreads due to the vertical increase or decrease from one level to another. Ratio Spread Ratio Spread Strategy The strategy here is a variation on the bull or bear spread. Instead of buying one call at one price and selling one call at another, you would buy m calls at one price and sell n calls at another. More on this in the next module. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M10-12 Module 10 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 3 Box Spread The intention here is to create a mix of options that pays off like a zero-coupon bond. Box spread strategy Use options to create two synthetic forwards, one for a forward purchase at a lower price and the other for a forward sale at a higher price. The book example is 1. Create a synthetic forward purchase at 40 in three months. Buy a call with a strike of 40 for 2.78 and sell a put with a price of 40 for 1.99. The total cost is 2.78-1.99=0.79. 2. Create a synthetic forward sale at 45 in three months. Sell a call with a strike of 45 for 0.97 and buy a put with a price of 45 for 5.08 . The total cost is 5.08-.97 = 4.11 Box spread results. At time 0 you have a total cost of 4.11 + .79 = 4.90. In three months you can buy for 40 and sell for 45, giving a certain profit of 5.00. So you are investing 4.90 to get 5.00 in three months. Cash -4.90 5.00 Time 0 12 3 This looks like a zero coupon bond. The author points out that if you bought a 3 month zero coupon bond paying 5 in 3 months at your annual interest rate of 8.33%, the price would be - = 4.90 1.0833025 Thus the box spread built a zero coupon bond out of puts and calls. Why do this? This has been done in an attempt to lower taxes. Read the box on page 74 of the text for discussion of the use of box spreads to create risk free capital gains to offset capital losses for tax purposes. Laws have been passed to eliminate this loophole, but those laws are hard to enforce in practice. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 10 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 3 Page Ml 0-13 Collars We have already seen that if you sell a call option for the S&R index with strike price K and buy a put with the same strike and expiration, you have created a synthetic forward sale for the index at a forward price of K. A purchased collar results if you make a slight variation and sell a call option for the S&R index with strike price K and buy a put with a lower strike and the same expiration. Purchase Collar Strategy. Buy a put option and sell a call with the same expiration and a higher price. [If you reverse the process to sell a put option and buy a call with the same expiration and a higher price, you have a written collar.] The example in the text is obtained by buying a 3-month put with a strike of 40 and selling a three month call with a strike of 45. Note that if the call also had a strike of 40 you would have a synthetic forward sale for 40. The collar strategy separates the two option strike prices. The difference in strikes is called the collar width. $25 $20 $15 $10 $5 $0 -$5 -$10 -$15 -$20 20.00 Profit for collar 25.00 30.00 35.00 40.00 45.00 50.00 55.00 60.00 Note that the profit graph for the collar looks very much like the profit graph for a short forward, but has a flat spot between 40 and 45. Why do this? The collar can be used to hedge the price of a purchased asset, since it is similar to a short forward sale. ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Page M10-14 Module 10 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 3 Use of collar for hedging the price of a purchased asset Strategy. Borrow to buy the asset and use the collar to stabilize profit. In the text Table 3.6 shows the profit from borrowing to buy the stock at 40 and hedging the profit with a collar resulting from a 3-month purchased put with strike of 40 and a 3-month written call with a strike of 45. Net Profit 4.00 -r 3.00 4 2.00 1 1.00 | 0.00 J -1.00 I -2.00 4 -3.00 J- 20.00 25.00 30.00 35.00 40.00 45.00 50.00 55.00 60.00 65.00 70.00 The profit is identical to the profit of a bull spread. Why do this? The asset by itself can have large losses or gains from the original price of 40. The combined position of asset and covered call has a maximum loss of 1.85 and a maximum gain of 3.15. Thus the owner of the asset has hedged a portion of his price risk. i ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 10 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 3 Page M10-15 Zero-Cost Collars Note that the cost of a collar made up of a purchased 40-strike put and a written K-strike call is: Call(K,T) - Put(40,T). You could make this cost zero by solving for K in the equation Call(KyT) = Put(40,T) This turns out to be simple to do with a Black-Scholes spreadsheet model and the EXCEL Solver. The strike price that gives a collar with zero-cost is K = 41.72. In course FM level work you will need to be given the value of 41.72 without derivation. In Exam M level work you will learn how to derive this. Zero cost collar strategy. This is the usual collar strategy, with the additional step of choosing strike prices so that the cost is zero. This is the standard collar graph for the strike prices in the deal. Why do this? To create a hedging tool with zero initial cost. We will look at the result of the hedge next. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M10-16 Module 10 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 3 Use of a zero cost collar for hedging the price of a purchased asset. Strategy. Borrow to buy the asset and use a zero cost collar to stabilize profit. In Figure 3.9, the text shows the result of a zero cost collar on XYZ with the zero cost collar using strike prices of 40 and 41.79. The text does not give the table for this, so we will display that as well as the graph of the profit for the hedged position. Stock Price Asset Profit 1 20.00 22.50 25.00 27.50 30.00 32.50 35.00 37.50 40.00 41.72 45.00 47.50 50.00 52.50 55.00 57.50 60.00 -20.8082 -18.3082 -15.8082 -13.3082 -10.8082 -8.30818 -5.80818 -3.30818 -0.80818 0.911825 4.191825 6.691825 9.191825 11.69182 14.19182 16.69182 19.19182 Option ProfitNet Profit 20.00 17.50 15.00 12.50 10.00 7.50 5.00 2.50 0.00 0.00 -3.28 -5.78 -8.28 -10.78 -13.28 -15.78 -18.28 -0.81 -0.81 -0.81 -0.81 -0.81 -0.81 -0.81 -0.81 -0.81 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 | Net Profit 1.00 0.80 0.60 0.40 0.20 1 0.00 -0.20 -0.40 -0.60 -0.80 « -1.00 20.00 25.00 30.00 35.00 40.00 45.00 50.00 55.00 60.00 65.00 70.00 Note that the gain and loss is much more effectively restricted than with the first collar hedge that we looked at. Why do this? This is often done by corporate executives who wish to hedge the price risk of stock that they own in their own companies. ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Module 10 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 3 Page M10-17 Additional discussion of zero cost collars. Note that the zero-cost collar does not eliminate all price risk. If it did, the net profit function above would be identically 0. In fact, the profit analysis assumes that the money to buy the stock is borrowed. Thus there is an interest payment of 0.81 (interest at 8.33% on 40 for 3 months) in the above calculation. The author discusses this same interest rate cost on page 77. We have already observed the put price and call price are identical for options with the same expiration and strike price K = F0,t . If we buy a put and write a call at this price we have constructed a zero-cost collar that is actually a forward sale at the price K. This zero-cost collar is less likely to be used to hedge, since corporate executives do not want to be seen selling their stock. Using Options to Speculate on Volatility Bull spreads and collared stock positions profit only when the stock price increases. Bear spreads profit only when the stock price decreases. If you want to speculate on high volatility, you would like to profit when there is either a large increase or a large decrease. You could do that with straddles or strangles, which are reviewed next. Writing straddles or strangles could also be used to speculate on low volatility. Purchased Straddle Strategy Buy a put and a call with the same strike price. The strike would probably be the current price of the stock. In our graph below we look at the straddle for XYZ with a 40-strike. Note that the cost of the straddle is 4.77, since you pay 2.78 for the call and 1.99 for the put. Profit $20 -j j .$10 -I — —-—— —— 1 20.00 25.00 30.00 35.00 40.00 45.00 50.00 55.00 60.00 Why do this? You think that the stock value will make a large move either above 45 or below 35. The graph is misleading: the profit at 35 and 45 looks like zero, but it is really 0.13. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M10-18 Module 10 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 3 Purchased Strangle Strategy Lower the cost of buying the options by purchasing a put with a lower price and a call with a higher price. The text gives the example of buying a 35- strike put and a 45-strike call. The total cost of 1.41 is much less than the straddle cost of 4.77. The text shows the straddle and strangle graphs superimposed on page 80. The strangle has lower losses if volatility is low, but makes less profit when volatility is high. Why do this? You think that the stock value will make a large move in either direction but want to pay less to make the bet. Written Straddle Strategy Sell a put and a call with the same strike price. The strike would probably be the current price of the stock. In our graph below we look at the straddle for XYZ with a 40-strike. Note that the premium income from the straddle is 4.77, since you are paid 2.78 for the call and 1.99 for the put. Why do this? You think that the stock value will be relatively stable and will not make a large move either above 45 or below 35. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 10 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 3 Page M10-19 Written Strangle Strategy Sell a put with a lower price and a call with a higher price. The text gives the example of selling a 35-strike put and a 45-strike call. The total premium income of 1.41 is much less than the written straddle income of 4.77. However the strangle is profitable over a wider range than the straddle. Why do this? You think that the stock value will be relatively stable and will not make a large move. Butterfly Spreads If you look back at the written straddle and strangle on the previous pages, you will see that there can be large losses if there is a drastic increase or decrease in XYZ price. The butterfly spread takes a written straddle and adds to it a purchased strangle that covers some of the risk. Strategy Write a straddle and purchase a strangle. The text gives the example of writing a straddle with a 40-strike and then buying a strangle consisting of a purchased put with a 35-strike and a purchased call with a 45 strike. The butterfly spread limits losses at high volatility and has lower profit with low volatility. In Figure 3.14, the text superimposes the written straddle and corresponding butterfly spread to show this. ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Page M10-20 Module 10 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 3 Asymmetric butterfly spread The previous butterfly spread was symmetric, with maximum profit occurring at a price of 40, the midpoint of the interval (35,45). The text gives an example of how to create a butterfly spread that peaks at 43 instead of 40 by selling 10 calls with a 43-strike, and buying two 35-calls and eight 45 strike calls. (The text has to tell you that the premium for a 43 strike call is 1.525.) The profit graph for this asymmetric butterfly is displayed on page 83. There is a formula on page 83 that can be used to get the numbers 10, 2 and 8 used above. It is better to use the intuitive reasoning used on page 82. The number 43 is 80% of the way from 35 to 45. To get a peak at 43, for every 10 calls written at strike-43 buy .80(10) = 8 calls at strike-45 and .20(10) = 2calls at 35. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 10 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 3 Page M10-21 Section 10.5 The Marshall & llsley Corp. Equity Linked Note A convertible bond is a bond which can, in some circumstances, be redeemed at maturity in stock instead of cash. If the bond must be redeemed in stock it is mandatorily convertible. This section discusses a manditorily convertible bond issued by Marshall & llsley Corp in July 2004 with maturity of August, 2007. The text refers to the issuer using its ticker symbol MI and refers to the MI stock price at maturity as Smi- Face Value of the bond. The bond was designed to sell for $25 at issue. Since the stock share price was 37.32 on the day of issue, the $25 was the price of 25/37.32 = .6699 shares of MI stock. The bond investor could have purchased .6699 shares of MI stock instead of the bond. Bond Coupon. The coupon was 6.5% of 25, or 1.625. Note that this is higher than the dividend on the stock, which had been running at 2%. At a price of 37.32, the dividend on .6699 shares of the stock would be .02(37.32)06699) = .50. Bond payment at maturity. The purchaser of the bond got a specified number of shares at maturity. That number of shares depended on the stock price at maturity. MI price at maturity Number of shares paid in redemption Price down from 37.32, SMi < 37.32 Price in range 37.32-46.28, 37.32 <SMI< 46.28 Price above 46.28, SMi > 46.28 Original proportion of .6699 shares $25/SMi, or $25 worth of shares Lower proportion of .5402 shares In figure 3.16, the text shows a graph comparing this to the payoff from just holding 0.6699 shares of MI. The bond payoff is the same as the payoff on 0.6699 shares for prices below 37.32, but then is lower at higher price ranges. However the bond payoff mimics the payoff on 0.6699 shares of the stock fairly well without behaving exactly like the stock. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M10-22 Module 10 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 3 The bondholder can still profit from appreciation in the stock. The bondholder really gets: 1) A payoff that increases with gains in the stock, but pays off slightly less that the stock at MI prices above 37.32. 2) A coupon that is higher than the stock dividend. This higher coupon compensates for the lower payout. In the end the bondholder gets a derivative that looks a lot like a stock investment but is not the same as a stock investment. Why do this? McDonald notes that the MI deal will be discussed further in Chapter 15. Since Chapter 15 is not required for either Exam FM or M, we will give you the highlights now: On page 494 McDonald notes that: "Under US tax law, interest payments on corporate debt are tax-deductible, while dividends on equity are not" and "In practice it is possible to design financing vehicles that have a significant equity component, yet for which the payments are at least partially tax-deductible for the firm." Marshall & Ilsley Corp. was doing what the last sentence describes and looking for a tax deduction. The text notes that the graph in Figure 3.16 looks somewhat like a written collar. A written collar consists of selling a put option and buying a call with at higher strike. Thus it is reasonable to look for a way to model the MI bond payoff using puts and calls. This is not easy for the beginner to do, but the text gives you the answer. It is useful to remember when reading that answer that the stock percentage when the SMi > 46.28 is 0.5402 = — . Using that information you can check the formula on page 85 which states that the bond redemption value payoff is given by Payoff =0.6699 SMi -max(0,SM/ -37.32) + (max(0,SM/ -46.28)) 1.24 This really says that you can get the same payoff by owning 0.6699 shares of the stock, selling 0.6699 calls with a 37.32 strike and buying 0.5402 calls with a 46.28 strike. That is easier to see if you rewrite the above as .6699SM/ -.6699max(0,Sm/ -37.32) + .5402(max(0,SM/ -46.28)) This takes some thought to work through, but has a nice consequence. Since puts and calls can be priced using Black-Scholes and parity, we can use those methods to attach a fair price to the stock payoff on the bond. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 10 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 3 Page M1053 Section 10.6 Module 10 summary Floor at price K: Buy index and put with strike K. Payoff[Index+Put with strike K] = Payoff[Call with Strike K+Zero-Coupon Bond for K] Profit[Index + Put with strike K] = Profit[Call with Strike K]. Cap at price K: Sell the index short and buy a call with strike K. Payoff [Short Index+Call with strike K] =Payoff[Put with Strike K+Sale of Zero-Coupon Bond for K] Profit[Short Index+Call with strike K] = Profit[Put with Strike K] A covered call is the opposite side of a cap. Combination Cap Covered Call Strategy Sell Index & Buy Call Buy Index and Sell Call Profit equivalent Purchased Put Written Put A covered put is the opposite side of a floor. Combination Floor Covered Put Strategy Buy Index & Buy Put Sell Index and Sell Put Profit equivalent Purchased Call Written Call Synthetic forward at price K: Buy a call option with strike price K and sell a put with the same strike and expiration. Net cost of synthetic forward: Call(K, T) - Put(K, T). Put-call parity. PV(F0,T) = Call(K,T) - Put(K,T) + PV(K) Or PV(F0,t)- PV(K) = PV(F0lT -K)= Call(K,T) - Put(K,T) F0,t > K -> Call{K,T) > Put(K,T) Fo,r = K -»• Call(K,T) = Put(K,T) FolT<K -» Call(K,T) < Put(K,T) ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Page M10-24 Module 10 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 3 Review of Insurance Strategies 3.1-3.2 of text [Name Floor Cap Covered Call Covered Put Strategy Buy index at S0 and buy put with X=S0 Short index at S0 and buy call with X=S0 Own index at S0 and sell call with X=S0 Short index at S0 and write put with X=S0 Synthetic Forward |Buy call at S0 and sell put with X=S0 Profit Equivalent Buy Call with X=S0 Buy Put with X=S0 Sell Put with X=S0 Sell Call with X=S0 Forward for X with premium Review of option strategies. 3.3-3.4 of text. [Name Bull Spread Bear Spread Box Spread Ratio Spread Collar Straddle Strangle Write Straddle Write Strangle Butterfly Strategy Buy call at lower price and sell call at higher Write call at lower price and buy call at higher Buy synthetic forward at lower price and sell synthetic forward at higher Buy m calls at one strike and sell n at another. Buy a put and sell a call at a higher price. Buy a call and a put with same strike Buy a put with a lower exercise price and a call with a higher exercise price. Sell a call and a put with same strike Sell an out of the money put and an in the money call Write straddle and buy strangle Comment Speculation on increase in a range Speculation on decrease in a range Bond-like investment intended to look like a capital gain and offset capital losses. Pay later strategies. See ch. 4 Zero cost collars are used to hedge a stock position Bet on high volatility Bet on high volatility with lower cost Bet on low volatility Bet on low volatility Bet on low volatility with lower cost | ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 10 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 3 Page M10-25 Section 10.7 Solutions to Odd-Numbered Problems Borrow 980.39 Buy Index 1000.00 Payoff = Index value + put payoff Strike Price 1000 S&R Index Put Payoff Index Payoff Repay Loan FV(OP) Profit 900 950 1000 1050 1100 1150 1200 100 50 0 0 0 0 0 1000 1000 1000 1050 1100 1150 1200 -1000.00 -1000.00 -1000.00 -1000.00 -1000.00 -1000.00 -1000.00 -95.69 -95.69 -95.69 -95.69 -95.69 -95.69 -95.69 -95.69 -95.69 -95.69 -45.69 4.31 54.31 104.31 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Out of Pocket (OP) Buy Index 19.61 Buy Put 74.20 Total OP 93.81
Page M10-26 Module 10 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 3 [Buy index for 1000 and 950 put Cost Put Premium 51.777 Buy Index 1000.00 Total 1051.78 S Put Payoff FV(Cost) Option Profit 800 850 900 950 1 1000 1050 1100 1150 1200 150 100 50 0 0 0 0 0 0 950 950 950 950 1000 1050 1100 1150 1200 1072.81 1072.81 1072.81 1072.81 1072.81 1072.81 1072.81 1072.81 1072.81 -122.81 -122.81 -122.81 -122.81 1 -72.81 -22.81 27.19 77.19 127.19 [invest 931.37, buy index and buy a 950 call Cost Buy Call 120.41 Invest 931.37 Total 1051.78 The investment is needed for equal payoffs. It has 0 profit. Profit is equal to call profit Strike Price 950 S Call Payoff FV(Cost) Profit 900 950 1000 1050 1100 1150 1200 0 0 50 100 150 200 250 950 950 1000 1050 1100 1150 1200 1072.81 1072.81 1072.81 1072.81 1072.81 1072.81 1072.81 -122.81 -122.81 -72.81 -22.81 27.19 77.19 127.19 Note that put-call parity is involved here. PV (F0,r) + Put(K, T) = Call(K, T) + PV(K) 1000 + 51.78 = 120.41 + 931.37 = 1051.78 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 10 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 3 Page M1057 |Short for 1000 and buy 1050 call Call Premium 71.802 S&R Index Call Payoff Cost Profit 900 950 1000 1050 1100 1150 1200 0 0 0 0 50 100 150 -900 -950 -1000 -1050 -1050 -1050 -1050 -946.76 -946.76 -946.76 -946.76 . -946.76 -946.76 -946.76 46.76 -3.24 -53.24 -103.24 -103.24 -103.24 -103.24 [Borrow 1029.41 Buy 1050 put 101.214 S&R Index Put Payoff Cost Profit 900 950 1000 1050 1100 1150 1200 150 100 50 0 0 0 0 -900.00 -950.00 -1000.00 -1050.00 -1050.00 -1050.00 -1050.00 -946.76 -946.76 -946.76 -946.76 -946.76 -946.76 -946.76 46.76 -3.24 -53.24 -103.24 -103.24 -103.24 -103.24 Note that this problem does not ask for a spreadsheet table or a graph. In fact, the solution to 3.6 in the solutions manual is analytic instead of table or graph oriented. We will proceed in the same fashion here. a) Short the S&R index for 1000. Pavoff = -ST to replace the stock. Profit = Payoff + 1000 cash with interest = -ST +1020 b) Sell a 1050 strike S&R call, buy a 1050-strike put and borrow 1029.41. Note that the repayment on the loan is 1029.41(1.02) = 1050 Pavoff = -max(ST -1050,0) + max(1050-ST,0)-1050 = -ST Note that at time 0 you receive the amount of 71.802 - 101.214 + (1029.41) = 1000. This is regarded as a negative expense. Thus FV(expense) = -1020. Profit = Payoff - FV(expense) = -ST +1020 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M10-28 Module 10 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 3 3.9 Even though the text asks for a table, we will look at it analytically. A) Buy a 950 call and sell a 1000 call. (This is a bull spread.) (0, ST < 950 PayoffA = max(Sr - 950,0) - max(ST -1000,0) = j ST - 950, 950 <ST< 1000 [50, ST > 1000 Premium = 120.405 - 93.809 = 26.596 FV(Premium) = 27.13 ProfitA = PayoffA -27.13 B) Buy a 950 put and sell a 1000 put. f-50, Sr<950 Payof fB=max(950-Sr,0)-max(1000- ST, 0) = < ST -1000, 950 <Sr< 1000 0, ST >1000 = PayoffA - 50 Premium = 74.201-51.777 = 22.434 FV(Premium) = 22.87 ProfitB = PayoffB + 22.87 = PayoffA - 50 + 22.87 = PayoffA - 27.13 = ProfitA In words, the payoff for B is 50 less than the payoff for A, but for A you pay premium and for B you earn premium. The relation between the premiums causes the profits to be the same. Note that 3.10 is a very similar problem, and the solution given in the manual goes through the problem graphically. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 10 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 3 Page Ml0-29 3.11 This is a stock position hedged with a collar. Invest 1000 Buy Index Buy Put 950 Premium 51.777 Sell Call 1050 Premium 71.802 Net -20.025 Negative cost (gain) 60 -1 . AC\ - nr\ . Profit o c -90 - -40 - < -fin - ♦ —♦— ♦ > 800 ♦ 850 ♦ 900 950 1000 S&R Index 1050 1100 1150 1200 You would need to raise the call strike (thus lowering the price) to get a zero cost collar. The next problem shows that you very nearly get a zero cost collar with a call strike of 1107. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M10-30 Module 10 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 3 3.13 a) $100.00 -$200.00 Profit 800 850 900 950 1000 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 b) $200.00 $150.( $100.00 -$50.( -$100.00 -$150.00 -$200.00 Profit ^ 800 850 900 950 1000 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 C) $150.00 $100,00 4 $50.00 $0.00 -$50.00 -$100.00 -$150.00 Profit 800 850 900 950 1000 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Module 10 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 3 Page M1031 c) For 0 premium we would need n (120.405) = m (71.802). rp. n 71.802 endZO Thus — = = .5963 m 120.405 3.17 The peak value will be at a strike of 1020.1020 is 70% of the way from 950 to 1050. Write ten strike-1020 calls and buy seven strike-1050 calls and three strike-950 calls. ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Page M10-32 Module 10 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 3 Section 10.8 Module 10 Computational Review Problems 1. (1 pt) Suppose the premium on a 6-month S-R call is $ 110 and the premium on a put with the same strike price is $ 57.6. Assuming that the effective 6-month interest rate is 2 %, and that today's price for the S-R index is $ 1,000, what is the strike price ? ANSWER: 966.55 2. (1 pt) For the following problem assume the effective 6- month interest rate is 2 %, the S-T 6-month forward price is $ 1020, and use the premiums listed below for S-T options with 6 months to expiration. Strike 950 Call 120.405 Put 51.777 1) Suppose you buy the S-T index for $ 1000 and buy a 950- strike put. Determine the profit for the following S-T index spot prices at expiry. When price is $ 950, the profit is $ ? When price is $ 1000, the profit is $ ? When price is $ 1050, the profit is $ ? 2) Suppose you buy a 950-strike call and invest $ 931.37 in zero-coupon bonds. Determine the profit for the following S-T index spot prices at expiry. When price is $ 950, the profit is $ ? When price is $ 1000, the profit is $ ? When price is $ 1050, the profit is $ ? ANSWER1: -122.81 ANSWER2: -72.81 ANSWER3: -22.81 ANSWER4: -122.81 ANSWER5: -72.81 ANSWER6: -22.81 3. (1 pt) For the following problem assume the effective 6- month interest rate is 2 %, the S-T 6-month forward price is $ 1020, and use the premiums listed below for S-T options with 6 months to expiration. Strike 950 Call 120.405 Put 51.777 1) Suppose you short the S-T index for $ 1000 and buy a 950-strike call. Determine the profit for the following S-T index spot prices at expiry. When price is $ 950, the profit is $ ? When price is $ 1000, the profit is $ ? When price is $ 1050, the profit is $ ? 2) Suppose you buy a 950-strike put and borrow $ 931.37. Determine the profit for the following S-T index spot prices at expiry. When price is $ 950, the profit is $ ? When price is $ 1000, the profit is $ ? When price is $ 1050, the profit is $ ? ANSWER1: -52.81 ANSWER2: -52.81 ANSWER3: -22.81 ANSWER4: -52.81 ANSWER5: -52.81 ANSWER6: -52.81 4. (1 pt) For the following problem assume the effective 6- month interest rate is 2 %, the S-T 6-month forward price is $ 1020, and use the premiums listed below for S-T options with 6 months to expiration. Strike 950 1050 Call 120.405 71.802 Put 51.777 101.214 1) Suppose you buy a 1050-strike S-T straddle, determine the profit for the following S-T index spot prices at expiry. When price is $ 950, the profit is $ ? When price is $ 1000, the profit is $ ? When price is $ 1050, the profit is $ ? 2) Suppose you write a 950-strike S-T straddle, determine the profit for the following S-T index spot prices at expiry. When price is $ 950, the profit is $ ? When price is $ 1000, the profit is $ ? When price is $ 1050, the profit is $ ? 3) Suppose you simultaneously buy a 1050-strike S-T straddle and write a 950-strike S-T straddle, determine the profit for the following S-T index spot prices at expiry. When price is $ 950, the profit is $ ? When price is $ 1000, the profit is $ ? When price is $ 1050, the profit is $ ? ANSWER1: -76.476 ANSWER2 ANSWER3: ANSWER4; ANSWER5 ANSWER6: ANSWER7: ANSWER8 ANSWER9: -126.476 -176.476 175.626 125.26 75.26 99.1493 -0.85068 -100.851 5. (1 pt) For the following problem assume the effective 6- month interest rate is 2 %, the S-T 6-month forward price is $ 1020, and use the premiums listed below for S-T options with 6 months to expiration. Strike 950 1107 Call 120.405 51.873 Put 51.777 137.167 Suppose you buy the S-T index for $ 1000 and buy a 950- strike put, and sell a 1107-strike call. Determine the profit for this position at the following S-T index spot prices at expiry. When price is $ 950, the profit is $ ? When price is $ 1000, the profit is $ ? When price is $ 1050, the profit is $ ? ANSWER1: -69.9021 ANSWER2: -19.9021 ANSWER3: 30.0979 ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Module 10 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 3 Page M10- 33 Section 10.9 Supplemental Exercises Use the following option prices for the S&R index in problems 1- 8. All options have an expiration time of T = .25. The current value of the index is S0 = 1000, and the index has dividend yield 0. ! Strike K 975 1000 1025 Call Price 77.716 64.595 53.115 Put Price 43.015 67.916 1. Find the continuously compounded annual interest rate r. A) 1.98% B) 2% C) 3.96% D) 4% E) 7.93% 2. Find the put price for K = 1000. A) 54.645 B) 55.466 C) 56.912 D) 57.254 E) 57.893 3. What is the cost at time 0 for a long forward contract with forward price 975? A) 35.050 B) 34.701 C) 30.76 D) 20 E)0 4. Investor A buys the index at time 0 and sells a 1025 strike call with T = .25. Investor B writes a 1025 strike put and lends x. The two investors have the same payout functions. What is x? A) 1000 B) 1007.40 C) 1014.80 D) 1025 E) 1037.40 5. Investor C buys the index at time 0 and buys a 975 put with T = .25. What is his minimum profit (loss)? A) -18.015 B) -43.015 C) -57.64 D) -78.50 E) There is no minimum 6. Investor D buys a 975-strike call and sells a 1025-strike call. What is his maximum profit? A) 24.45 B) 25 C) 25.15 D) 50 E) There is no maximum ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M10-34 Module 10 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 3 7. Investor E buys the index, buys a 975-strike put and sells a 1025-strike call. What is his maximum profit? A) 24.85 B) 25 C) 25.1 5 D) 50 E) There is no maximum 8. Investor F buys a 975-strike put and a 975-strike call. What is his maximum profit? A) 120.73 B) 121.94 C) 132.18 D) 150 E) There is no maximum 9. Near market closing time on a given day, the European call and put prices for a stock are available as follows: Strike Price 40 50 55 Call Price 11 6 3 Put Price 3 8 11 The options have expiration time T = .5. The continuously compounded annual interest rate is r = .04. Mary constructs the following portfolio: Long one call option with strike price 40; short three call options with strike price 50; lend $1; and long some calls with strike price 55. The dollar she lends is obtained from the sale and purchase of the options. What is her profit at T = .5 if the price of the stock is 52 at that time? A)l B)1.02 C)2 D)2.02 E) 7.02 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 10 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 3 Page M10- 35 Section 10.10 Supplemental Exercise Solutions 1) By put-call parity C-P = S0-Ke-TT 77.716 - 43.05 = 1000 - 975e"r( 25) -» r = .04 Answer D (Note that this rate will be used in questions 2-8). 2) By put-call parity C-P = So-Ke"rT 64.595 - P = 1000 - lOOOe"04( 25) -» P = 54.645 Answer A 3) This is the price of a synthetic long forward constructed by buying a call and selling a put, each with strike K = 975. The cost is C-P = 77.716 - 43.015 = 34.701 Answer B 4) Buying the index and selling a call creates a covered call. You obtain the same payoff function if you write a put for the same exercise price K and lend the present value of K. Thus the amount loaned here must be Ke~rT = 1025e"01 = 1014.80 Answer C 5) Buying the index and buying a put with strike 975 creates a floor. The floor has the same profit function as a long call with strike 975. The minimum profit on the floor is the (negative) loss of the future value of the call premium when the call expires unexercised. -77.716e01 = -78.50 Answer D ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M10-36 Module 10 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 3 6) This is a bull spread which attains its maximum when S = 1025. At that point the profit is 50 + 53.115e01 - 0 - 77.716e01 = 25.15 Answer C 7) In this case the investor has purchased the index and a collar with strikes of 975 and 1025. The combination of index and collar has a graph similar to that of a bull spread, with maximum profit at S = 1025. The cost of the index at time 0 is 1000, and the collar gives a positive cash flow of 53.115-43.015 = 10.10 at time O.The profit at time .25 is Index profit + Call Profit + Put Profit = 1025 - lOOOe01 + 0 + 53.115e01 + 0 - 43.015e01 = 25.15 Answer C 8) This is a purchased straddle. There is no maximum. Answer E 9) For Mary's portfolio the number of long calls at K = 55 is not given. However you can quickly figure out what it is. The arbitrage lends $1, so in order to have 0 outlay at the beginning there must be $1 of excess cash obtained from the sale and purchase of calls. It there are n long calls at K = 55 we have the following proceeds from options. Strike Position Proceeds 40 Long 1 -11 50 Short 3 +6(3) 55 Long n -3n Since total proceeds are 1 to lend, we have -ll + 18-3n = l-*n = 2 Mary has no out-of-pocket cost at time 0. She earns $1 and invests it at the continuous rate r = .04. Her profit at time .5 is the future value of the invested $1 + the sum of the payoffs of the options in the portfolio. le02 + (52 - 40) - 3 (52 - 50) + 2 (0) = 7.02 Answer E ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 11 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 4 Page Mil- 1 Section 11.1 Using Derivatives to Manage Risk In Module 8, we gave the simple example of a farmer using a forward agreement to guarantee a future price for his corn by entering into an agreement with a cereal company that wanted to get corn at a set price in the future. Both the farmer and the cereal company were managing their price risk using a derivative. Now that we have studied puts and calls and their various combinations, we can see many other ways to manage price risk. In Chapter 4 of Derivatives Markets, the author applies the various derivative strategies we have learned to two fictional companies. The first, Golddiggers, is a gold-mining firm that has pricing risk when it sells. The second, Auric, is a manufacturer of golden widgets and thus has price risk when it buys gold to make widgets. The fictional companies are very much simplified, but this gives us a chance to focus clearly and directly on the analytics of risk management. In this module, you will find the tables and graphs used for analysis to be similar to those in the last chapter. The only thing that is new in the analysis is that the tables go beyond the profit analysis of the derivatives to include a final column that shows the overall profit of the company after derivatives are used. In this chapter we will concentrate on overview, not on the basic computations that are in the text. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page Mll-2 Module 11 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 4 Section 11.2 Using Derivatives to Manage the Risk of a Producer-Seller The text first studies Golddiggers, the humorously-named gold-mining firm. Golddiggers will mine and sell 100,000 ounces of gold over the next year. The firm has a fixed cost of $330 per ounce and a variable cost of $50 per ounce, for a total cost of $380 per ounce. Note that the fixed cost covers all the needs of the business that would be there whether or not gold is mined and sold -the cost of land, buildings, equipment, administrative salaries and similar items. The only way to avoid fixed costs is to shut down the business. There is a point related to fixed and variable cost that you might find confusing. In a footnote, the text says that if the price of gold is above $50 per ounce, the company will still mine it even though it loses money. For example, if the price is $55, the firm can still earn 5 more than the variable cost of $50, and use the $5 to offset a small part of the fixed cost. There would still be a loss of $325 per ounce, but that is better than the loss of $330 that would occur if no gold were mined. The text states that Golddiggers would like to manage its price risk. The price of gold today is $405 per ounce. Golddiggers' total cost of production is $380 per ounce. However the gold will be sold in one year, not today. If Si is the spot price in one year and Golddiggers does not hedge, the net income per ounce of gold will be: Unhedged Net Income = Si - 380. However, Golddiggers can hedge. They can enter a forward contract for sale at $420 in one year or buy a $420-strike put for $8.77 per ounce. The tables and graphs in the text derive the firm's profit using each of these alternatives. Our next graph reviews the final profit results for no hedge, a forward contract hedge and a hedge with a put. 200 - 150 - 100 - I * 50 | s I 1 ft- 0 -50 -100 _i^n - 2e Profit for Golddiggers with and without hedges A i=- —^m^,„—^m-^^^^^fe^^—^^^~~^^~^~~~.~,~% 50 300 350 400 450 500 5£ Gold Price | l • Profit Unhedged 1 «H&~~ With Forward Hedge —A—With Put Hedge | >0 ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Module 11 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 4 Page Mil-3 The results are as expected: • With no hedge there is substantial risk from a price drop. • With the forward hedge profit is constant, since Golddiggers always gets the forward price of $420 with a cost of $380 for a constant profit of $40. • With the put hedge the cost of the put provides insurance for low prices and permits higher profits as the spot price increases. On page 96, the text shows the results of hedging by writing a $420-strike call. That alternative gives lower profit at most future price levels than buying a put, and probably would not be considered by Golddiggers. In actuality, an analyst at Golddiggers would probably show the graph of alternatives to management to allow them to decide what should be done. The final selection is based on management preferences for risk, and there is no single best answer (the text notes this on page 95 in the third paragraph). The text also makes a point to answer a question that an actuarial student might ask. Actuaries are trained to make decisions based on probabilities, but we see no probability in this analysis. However the fact that is hidden from us is that the pricing of the put option does rely on the probability distribution of the asset price, since the Black-Scholes model has the standard deviation of the return on the stock as an input. The most likely choice would probably be to use the $420-strike put, although there are even more alternatives. If the $420-strike put is viewed as too expensive, a manager might want to use a cheaper $400-strike put to manage price risk. (Remember that it costs less to require someone to buy at a lower price.). A manager who is very conservative might want to buy a more expensive $440-strike put to assure a higher profit at low price levels. In Figure 4.5, the text gives a summary graph that compares these alternatives. 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 250 Net Profit for Golddiggers with varying put strikes -400-strike put -420-strike put -440-strike put 300 350 400 450 500 550 ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Page Ml 1-4 Module 11 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 4 The final decision about which put price to use will vary with different managers. The first paragraph on page 98 requires some review of prior work. In Module 9, we noted that insurance is really a put option for the insured party. Buying insurance on an asset gives the insured an option whose strike price is: Value of asset - Amount of deductible. This put option (insurance) has a lower strike price for a higher deductible, so it will be cheaper to buy the insurance with a high deductible. Similarly, the option (insurance) has a higher price for a low deductible. This is not really new. Most of us are familiar with the fact that a high deductible insurance on our car is cheaper than a low deductible insurance. The text makes a special point here. The price of the insurance on your car is adjusted by the insurance company based on your driver category. You pay more if you have a bad driving record and can pay less if you have a good one. Thus in this case, the price of the put option depends partly on who is buying it. For the Golddiggers, the price of the put option does not depend on who the buyer is. This point could have been made in Module 9, but it is here instead. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 11 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 4 Page Mil-5 Section 11.3 Using Derivatives to Manage the Risk of a Producer-Buyer The next fictional firm in the text is Auric, a manufacturer of gold widgets. Auric will sell a set number of widgets next year for a fixed price of $800. Their fixed cost per widget is $340, and they have no variable costs other than the costs of gold they purchase. If Auric does not hedge, their net income is Unhedged Net Income = 800 - 340 - Si = 460 - Si Auric can also hedge, the main choices being a forward contract for purchase at a price of 420 in one year or the purchase of a 420-strike call with premium of 8.77. [Note that the $420-strike put for Golddiggers and the $420-strike call for Auric both have strikes equal to the one year forward price, and thus have the same premium.] The alternatives are graphed below for comparison. Net Income for Auric with various hedging strategies - Profit Unhedged - With Forward Hedge -With Call Hedge 350 400 450 Spot Price As before, there is no single best answer for Auric. Management will choose some strategy based on risk tolerance and personal estimates of what the spot price will be in a year. The discussion for Auric is basically a repetition of the discussion for Golddiggers. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page Ml 1-6 Module 11 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 4 Section 11.4 Reasons Firms Might Want to Manage Risk Overview Chapter 1 of Derivatives Markets gave four basic reasons to manage risk: • Hedging • Speculation • Regulatory arbitrage (including tax avoidance) • Reduction of transaction costs. The text notes on page 101, that there is still some question as to why firms hedge, since public companies are owned by their stockholders and the stockholders can hedge their own risk. For example, a stockholder could buy stock in both Golddiggers and Auric, and thus balance his portfolio so that it is not affected by gold price changes. As Golddiggers loses from a price decrease, Auric will benefit. Firms do hedge, so there must be some reason why managers do not leave hedging up to the stockholders. If the managers of Golddiggers choose the forward hedge, they always have a profit of $40 per ounce. This means that they sacrifice profit in good years and avoid loss in bad years: they are willing to pay to avoid loss. The text says this in a different way, stating "we can describe the hedging strategy as shifting dollars from more profitable states (when gold prices are high) to less profitable states (when gold prices are low). This shifting of dollars from high gold price states to low gold price states will have value for the firm if the firm values the dollar more in a low gold price state than in a high gold price state." However you word this, a basic question remains. Why are managers willing to sacrifice profits to avoid loss if the stockholders could hedge for themselves? An Example of the Need to Hedge Page 102 the text answers our question by giving an example where you can clearly see why avoiding loss is a priority when tax effects are considered. In this example, the firm has only two possible future spot prices, $9 and $11.20, each with probability .5. The firm has manufacturing cost of $10. It must pay a 40% tax on profits but has no tax deduction for losses. The text gives a table which summarizes the firm's situation. Price Price 9.00 11.20 1.00 1.20 0.00 1.20 0.00 0.48 1.00 0.72 Pre-tax operating income Taxable Income Tax @ 40% After Tax Income ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 11 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 4 Page Mil-7 Note that the tax difference makes pre-tax dollars of loss more painful than pre-tax dollars of gain. In fact the expected value of the firms after-tax income is Expected value of unhedged after-tax income = .5(-l) + .5(72) = -.14 This firm can enter a forward contract to sell for a price of $10.10. In that case the firm always sells for 10.10, and its after tax income is always 0.06 (See Table 4.7 of the text.) Expected value of hedged after-tax income = 0.06 In this case, hedging stabilizes after-tax income and avoids an expected loss, so it is desirable. That's why a manager might want to hedge in this situation. Reasons for Hedging The preceding example is intended to give an example that clearly and simply outlines a situation where the need to hedge is obvious. Most companies are not this simple, so the text follows the example with a list of reasons that real managers hedge. • Lower taxes. We have already seen an example of this in case of the Marshall and Illsley bonds. The text notes a number of other ways that derivatives can be used to shift income for tax purposes. • Avoid bankruptcy and distress costs. If your company has a large loss, people may be afraid to buy from it since it might go bankrupt. I have avoided flying on airlines that were close to bankruptcy out of fear that my ticket for next month might not take me anywhere. • Costly external financing. If your company has a big loss, it looks riskier to banks and other lenders. If they lend to you they will charge a higher interest rate. • Protect debt capacity. Debt capacity is the amount that a firm can borrow. If a loss puts your company in debt, you have used up part of that amount and can now borrow less. • Managerial risk aversion. Managers are people, and some people try to avoid risk as much as possible. They are risk-averse, and some managers are naturally risk-averse. In addition, many managers have compensation that is tied to the performance of the company and will be paid less if there is a loss. • Non-financial risk management Some problems can be solved by changing your business to avoid the need for hedging. If you make a product in the US and sell it in Germany, you have currency exchange risk. If you build a factory in Germany and produce there you can avoid some of that risk. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page Ml 1-8 Module 11 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 4 Reasons Not to Hedge Many firms do not hedge. The text gives a few possible reasons not to hedge. • There are transaction costs (like commissions). • The strategy is complex and might require the firm to hire expensive experts. • The execution of a hedge involves trading transactions that require substantial managerial control. • Accounting and tax become much more complicated when you hedge. One firm I worked for decided not to hedge because they knew that their present staff could not handle the accounting. How much hedging is there? The text points out that it is hard to know how much hedging really goes on. Part of the reason for this is a regulatory change. In 2000, the accounting standard SFAS 133 required that derivatives be recognized as either assets or liabilities reported at market value. Unfortunately, the reported value doesn't tell you what is really happening -e.g., forward contracts have zero value. Research on use of derivatives thus relies more on data from the 1990s when the reporting standard was more informative. The text reviews a number of studies on use of hedging, and the list of results is a bit confusing to sort out. Hov/ever, there is an overview summary on the bottom of page 107. "The varied evidence suggests that some use of derivatives is common, especially at large firms, but the evidence is weak that economic theories explain hedging." ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 11 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 4 Page Mil-9 Section 11.5 More Complex Strategies for Hedging Hedging with only a forward, put, or only a call is straightforward, but hedges can also be constructed using collars, zero cost collars, synthetic forwards and other strategies that we have not seen yet. The text returns to analysis of Golddiggers in order to illustrate the use of these more complex alternatives. Hedging with a Collar A collar is a modified version of a forward sale, so you might expect the result of hedging company profit with a collar to look a bit like the result of the forward hedge previously studied here. The text examines the results for Golddiggers with a collar consisting of a purchased $420-strike put and a sold $440 strike call. Next, we give the detail table and graph for that hedged position. (The text does not give the spreadsheet table for this one.) Price 300 320 340 360 380 400 420 440 460 480 500 Sale Income -80.00 -60.00 -40.00 -20.00 0.00 20.00 40.00 60.00 80.00 100.00 120.00 Buy put 110.79 90.79 70.79 50.79 30.79 10.79 -9.21 -9.21 -9.21 -9.21 -9.21 Sell Call 2.61 2.61 2.61 2.61 2.61 2.61 2.61 2.61 -17.39 -37.39 -57.39 Total Profit 33.41 33.41 33.41 33.41 33.41 33.41 33.41 53.41 53.41 53.41 53.41 70.00 60.00 50.00 £ 40.00 £ 30.00 20.00 10.00 0.00 300 Profit with 420-440 collar 320 340 360 380 400 Price 420 440 460 480 500 ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Page Ml MO Module 11 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 4 Recall that the $420 forward hedge gave a constant profit of $40. The collar gives a lower constant profit of $33.41 for prices lower than $420, and then increases linearly to a constant profit of $53.41 for prices above $440. Golddiggers could also create a zero cost collar. The text gives a zero cost collar with the purchased put at a 400.78 strike and the written call at 440.78. Note that this collar is wider than the last one. The detail and graph for this collar are: Price Sale Income Buy put Sell Call Total Profit 1 300 320 340 360 380 400.78 420 440.78 460 480 500 -80.00 -60.00 -40.00 -20.00 0.00 20.78 40.00 60.78 80.00 100.00 120.00 98.31 78.31 58.31 38.31 18.31 -2.47 -2.47 -2.47 -2.47 -2.47 -2.47 2.47 2.47 2.47 2.47 2.47 2.47 2.47 2.47 -16.75 -36.75 -56.75 20.78 20.78 20.78 20.78 20.78 20.78 40.00 60.78 60.78 60.78 60.78 | Profit with 400.78-440.78 Collar or Zero Cost Collar / u.uu - fin nn -i ^n nn .** /nnn . >rof D C D C 20.00 < m nn - 0.00 - A A A k ► ^ ♦ A A M | , ( ! ! ! ( J 300 320 340 360 380 400 Price 420 440 460 480 500 The zero cost collar offers less protection at lower price levels but more profit at higher price levels. There is no simple single answer as to which collar is best here. As before, the company reviews its options and management makes a choice based on risk preference and market outlook. We have already looked at a $420 forward hedge. The text points out that you can create a synthetic hedge that is exactly the same (and zero cost) with a purchased $420-strike put and a written $420-strike call. That was already established in Chapter 3 of Derivatives Markets , so this is just an application of something we knew already. The text also discusses applying synthetic forwards at other prices, and this too was studied in Chapter 3. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 11 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 4 Page Ml 1-11 The Paylater Strategy The zero cost collar hedge we saw before was inferior to a put hedge at high price levels, since the profit on a put hedge increases without limit as prices increase. However, Golddiggers has to pay the price of a put up front, while the zero-cost collar requires no advance payment. This raises the question of whether you can create something that works like a put at high price levels, but has zero initial cost. The text demonstrates that this can be done for Golddiggers by establishing a hedge consisting of one sold 434.6 put and two purchased 420 strike puts. (This is a ratio spread.) This has 0 cost, since the premium received for the sold put is 17.55 while the premium paid for each purchased put is 8.775, leading to Total Premium = 17.55 - 2(8.775) = 0. Clearly, Golddiggers is not paying for this hedge now. It is called paylater for reasons which will be discussed on the next page. For completeness, we first give the worksheet table for the Golddigger profit hedged by the paylater. Price 300 320 340 360 380 400 420 434.6 440 460 480 500 Sale Income -80.00 -60.00 -40.00 -20.00 0.00 20.00 40.00 54.60 60.00 80.00 100.00 120.00 Sell Put -134.60 -114.60 -94.60 -74.60 -54.60 -34.60 -14.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Buy 2 puts 240.00 200.00 160.00 120.00 80.00 40.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Profit 25.40 25.40 25.40 25.40 25.40 25.40 25.40 54.60 60.00 80.00 100.00 120.00 You can see from the table that at prices of $434.6 and higher, the paylater hedge gives the full profit from sale due to its zero cost. Below is the graph that compares the put hedge result to the paylater result. The graph follows on the next page. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
PageMll-12 Module 11 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 4 2 CL Golddiggers profit with put and paylater Hedge 420 put Paylater Hedge 300 320 340 360 380 400 420 440 460 480 500 Price For the paylater hedge, nothing is paid to start but if there is a price below $420 the paylater hedge provides less protection. This loss of protection is Golddiggers payment for not paying in advance -it is the paylater amount. ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Module 11 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 4 Page Ml 1-13 Section 11.6 Module 11 summary Basic hedging for seller: Sell forward, buy put. 180 - 160 - 140 - 120 - 100 - 80 - 60 - 40 j 2£ Net Profit for Golddiggers with varying put strikes J ^J yy yy jTS *^/ -sW/ I ;—~m in m~/9 \ 4 4 |T ♦ 400-strike put ~~«— 420-strike put A 440-strike put | >0 300 350 400 450 500 550 Hedging for buyer: Long Forward, Buy call Net Income for Auric with various hedging strategies -150 ♦ Profit Unhedged -HI—With Forward Hedge —A-With Call Hedge 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 Spot Price Reasons for hedging • Lower taxes.. • Avoid bankruptcy and distress costs.. • Costly external financing. • Protect debt capacity.. • Managerial risk aversion.. • Nonfinancial risk management.. ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Page Ml 1-14 Module 11 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 4 Reasons not to hedge • There are transaction costs (like commissions). • The strategy is complex and might require the firm to hire expensive experts. • The execution of a hedge involves trading transactions that require substantial managerial control. • Accounting and tax become much more complicated when you hedge. One firm I worked for decided not to hedge because they knew that their present staff could not handle the accounting. Hedging with a collar for a seller 7n nn 60.00 - 50.00 - £ 40.00 - £ 30.00 < 20.00 - m nn - n nn - Profit with 420-440 collar > A W / r ▲ w A W 300 320 340 360 380 400 420 Price 440 460 480 ► 500 Pa/later hedge: Use zero-cost ratio spread. Golddiggers profit with put and paylater 140.00 120.00 100.00 80.00 60.00 40.00 20.00 f—-&—&—i-~ 0.00 ^ ^ -Hedge 420 put Paylater Hedge 30 0 32 0 34 0 36 0 3 40 0 Price 42 0 44 0 46 0 48 0 50 0 ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Module 11 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 4 Page Ml 1-15 Section 11.7 Solutions to Odd-Numbered Problems Note to students: This section includes problems 4.1 through 4.19. Problems 4.21 and beyond are from a section that is not on the Exam FM syllabus. 4.1. XYZ unhedged Price 0.80 0.90 1.00 1.10 1.20 1.30 1.40 Fixed Cost 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 Variable Cost 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 Unhedged Profit -0.10 0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 Forward hedge Price 0.80 1.00 1.20 1.40 1.60 1.80 2.00 Fixed Cost 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 Variable Cost 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 Forward Sale Price 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 Hedged Profit 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
PageMll-16 Module 11 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 4 4.3 Put Strike Put Cost A 0.95 0.0178 B 1.00 0.0376 C 1.05 0.0665 Price 0.80 0.90 0.95 1.00 1.05 1.15 1.25 Profit A 0.0311 0.0311 0.0311 0.0811 0.1311 0.2311 0.3311 Profit B 0.0601 0.0601 0.0601 0.0601 0.1101 0.2101 0.3101 Profit C 0.0795 0.0795 0.0795 0.0795 0.0795 0.1795 0.2795 0.80 0.90 1.00 1.10 1.20 1.30 1.40 ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Module 11 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 4 Page Ml 1-17 4.S Call Strike Call Premium Cost 1.0000 0.0376 0.0198 1.0250 0.0274 0.0009 1.0500 0.0194 0.0471 Price 0.700 0.725 0.750 0.775 0.800 0.825 0.850 0.875 0.900 0.925 0.950 0.975 1.000 1.025 1.050 1.075 1.100 profit A 0.0710 0.0710 0.0710 0.0710 0.0710 0.0710 0.0710 0.0710 0.0710 0.0710 0.0710 0.0960 0.1210 0.1210 0.1210 0.1210 0.1210 profit B 0.0760 0.0760 0.0760 0.0760 0.0760 0.0760 0.0760 0.0760 0.0760 0.0760 0.0760 0.0760 0.1010 0.1260 0.1260 0.1260 0.1260 profit C 0.09999 0.09999 0.09999 0.09999 0.09999 0.09999 0.09999 0.09999 0.09999 0.09999 0.09999 0.09999 0.09999 0.09999 0.09999 0.09999 0.09999 0.25 0.00 4 0.20 ^ * A " * A * A A a A A A A * * * ^ 0.15 0.10 0.05 0.700 0.800 0.900 1.000 ~f—g—f - profit A - profit B - profit C 1.100 ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
PageMll-18 Module 11 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 4 Telco unhedged and hedged profit Wire Unhedged Forward Hedged Price Cost Revenue Profit Profit Profit 1 0.70 0.75 0.80 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 1.05 1.10 1.15 1.20 1.25 1.30 5.70 5.75 5.80 5.85 5.90 5.95 6.00 6.05 6.10 6.15 6.20 6.25 6.30 6.20 6.20 6.20 6.20 6.20 6.20 6.20 6.20 6.20 6.20 6.20 6.20 6.20 0.50 0.45 0.40 0.35 0.30 0.25 0.20 0.15 0.10 0.05 0.00 -0.05 -0.10 -0.30 -0.25 -0.20 -0.15 -0.10 -0.05 0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 | Price .95 -strike 1-strike 1.05 -strike 1 0.70 0.75 0.80 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 1.05 1.10 1.15 1.20 1.25 1.30 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.22 0.17 0.12 0.07 0.02 -0.03 -0.08 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.19 0.14 0.09 0.04 -0.01 -0.06 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.17 0.12 0.07 0.02 -0.03 «*•— * .95-strike 1-strike j 1.05-strike 0.70 0.90 1.10 1.30 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 11 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 4 Page Ml 1-19 4.11 Paylater profit for Telco Call Strike Call Premium Call Strike Call Premium Cost A 0.9750 0.0500 1.0340 0.0243 0.0014 B 1.0000 0.0376 1.0340 0.0243 0.0023 Price Buy 2, sell 1 Buy 3, sell 2 1 0.700 0.725 0.750 0.775 0.800 0.825 0.850 0.875 0.900 0.925 0.950 0.975 1.000 1.034 1.059 1.084 1.109 1.134 1.159 1.184 1.209 0.5015 0.4765 0.4515 0.4265 0.4015 0.3765 0.3515 0.3265 0.3015 0.2765 0.2515 .0.2265 0.1765 0.1085 0.1085 0.1085 0.1085 0.1085 0.1085 0.1085 0.1085 1 0.5024 0.4774 0.4524 0.4274 0.4024 0.3774 0.3524 0.3274 0.3024 0.2774 0.2524 0.2274 0.2024 0.1004 0.1004 0.1004 0.1004 0.1004 0.1004 0.1004 0.1004 | —♦— Buy 2, selM ~~*~~ Buy 3, sell 2 0.700 0.800 0.900 1.000 1.100 1.200 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page Mll-20 Module 11 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 4 4.13 Problem 4.12 establishes that the profits of Wirco do not depend on the cost of copper. Thus any derivative strategy can increase variability in profits. This is what happened with the forward strategy in the last problem. 4.1S With a tax deduction for losses, the alternative profits are calculated below: Price Price 9.00 -1.00 -1.00 -0.40 -0.60 11.20 1.20 1.20 0.48 0.72 Pre-tax op income Taxable Income Tax @ 40% After Tax Income The expected value is 0.5(-0.60) + 0.5(0.72) =0.06. With a forward sale at 1.10, the profits are 0.06 in each case with and expected value of 0.06. Thus the forward sale gives the same expected value but reduces variability of profit. 4.17 / a) What is the expected pre-tax profit? Firm A: E[pre-tax profit] = .5 * $1000 + .5 * (-$600) = $200, Firm B: E[pre-tax profit] = .5 * $300 + .5 * ($100) = $200. Notice that both firms have the same expected pre-tax profit. b) What is the expected after-tax profit? Firm A: E[pre-tax profit] = .5 * ($1000*.6) + .5 * (-$600) = $0, Firm B: E[pre-tax profit] = .5 * ($300*.6) + .5 * ($100*.6) = $120. Notice that the after-tax profits of Firm B stay the same as they were in Question 4.16, while those of Firm A changed. This is because they no longer receive tax credit on the loss. c) Firm B would not pay anything, because it always makes positive profits, which means that the lack of a tax credit does not affect them. Firm A would be willing to pay the discounted difference between its after-tax profits calculated in Question 4.16 b), and its new after-tax profits, $0 from Question 4.17. It is thus willing to pay: =$109.09. ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Module 11 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 4 Page Ml 151 4.19 When we buy the call, we buy it at the ask price, which is $0.25 above the Black-Scholes price, and we sell the put at the bid price, which is $0.25 below the Black-Scholes price. So we must have, C + $0.25-(P-$0.25) = 0,orP-C = $0.50. We also need the call strike to be 30 higher than the put strike. This problem can be solved by trial and error (which is what the instructor's manual says to do, but that does not make it a reasonable exam problem. We solved it using a spreadsheet implementing the Black-Scholes model and MS Excel's Solver menu to obtain the proper answer. This too, is not exam material. If you are curious about the problem anyway, the answer is a call strike of 436.53, and a put strike of 406.53. The Black-Scholes call premium is $3.1938, and the put has a premium of $3.6938. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page Mll-22 Module 11 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter Section 11.8 Module 11 Computational Review Problems 1. (1 pt) The 1-ycar forward price of copper is $ l/lb. Suppose CDE mines copper, with fixed costs of $ 0.50/lb and variable cost of $ 0.40/lb. If CDE does nothing to manage copper risk: What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 0.90 $ ? What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 1.00 $ ? What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 1.10 $ ? If on the other hand CDE sells forward its expected copper production: What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 0.90 $ ? What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 1.00 $ ? What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 1.10$ ? ANSWER1:0 ANSWER2: 0.1 ANSWER3: 0.2 ANSWER4: 0.1 ANSWER5:0.1 ANSWER6: 0.1 2. (1 pt) The 1-ycar forward price of copper is $ 0.80/lb. Suppose CDE mines copper, with fixed costs of $ 0.50/lb and variable cost of $ 0.40/lb. If CDE does nothing to manage copper risk: What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in I year is $ 0.80 $ ? What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 0.90 $ ? What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 1.00 $ ? If on the other hand CDE sells forward its expected copper production: What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 0.80 $ ? What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 0.90 $ ? What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 1.00 $ ? ANSWER1: -0.1 ANSWER2: 0 ANSWER3: 0.1 ANSWER4: -0.1 ANSWER5:-0.1 ANSWER6: -0.1 3. (1 pt) The 1-year continuously compounded interest rate is 6 Strike 0.95 1 1.05 Call 0.0649 0.0376 0.0194 Put 0.0178 0.0376 0.0665 Suppose CDE mines copper, with fixed costs of $ 0.50/lb and variable cost of $ 0.40/lb. If CDE buys a put option with a strike of $ 0.95: What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 0.90 $ ? What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 1.00 $ ? What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 1.10$ ? If CDE buys a put option with a strike of $ 1.00: What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 0.90 $ ? What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 1.00 $ ? What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 1.10 $ ? If CDE buys a put option with a strike of $ 1.05: What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 0.90 $ ? What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 1.00 $ ? What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 1.10 $ ? ANSWER!: 0.03 ANSWER2: 0.08 ANSWER3: 0.18 ANSWER4: 0.06 ANSWER5: 0.06 ANSWER6:0.16 ANSWER7: 0.08 ANSWER8: 0.08 ANSWER9: 0.13 4. (1 pt) The 1-year continuously compounded interest rate is 6 Strike 0.95 1 1.05 Call 0.0649 0.0376 0.0194 Put 0.0178 0.0376 0.0665 Suppose CDE mines copper, with fixed costs of $ 0.50/lb and variable cost of $ 0.40/lb. If CDE sells a call option with a strike of $ 0.95: What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 0.90 $ ? What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 1.00 $ ? ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 11 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 4 Page Ml 1-23 What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 1.10$ ? If CDE sells a call option with a strike of $ 1.00: What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 0.90 $ ? What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 1.00 $ ? What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 1.10 $ ? If CDE sells a call option with a strike of $ 1.05: What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 0.90 $ ? What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 1.00 $ ? What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 1.10 $ ? Answers can be found in the table below: Sell Call Sell Call Sell Call K 0.95 1 1.05 Price Profit Profit Profit 0.9 0.06891 0.03993 0.02060 1 0.11891 0.13993 0.12060 1.1 0.11891 0.13993 0.17060 5. (I pt) The I-year continuously compounded interest rate is 6 Strike 0.95 0.975 1 1.025 1.05 Call 0.0649 0.05 0.0376 0.0274 0.0194 Put 0.0178 0.0265 0.0376 0.0509 0.0665 Suppose CDE mines copper, with fixed costs of $ 0.50/Ib and variable cost of $ 0.40/lb. If CDE buys collars with a strike of $ 0.95 for the put and $ 1.00 for the call: What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 0.90 $ ? What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 1.00 $ ? What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 1.10$ ? If CDE buys collars with a strike of $ 0.975 for the put and $ 1.025 for the call: What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 0.90 $ ? What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 1.00 $ ? What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 1.10$ ? If CDE buys collars with a strike of $ 1.05 for the put and $ 1.05 for the call: What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 0.90 $ ? What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 1.00 $ ? What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 1.10 $ ? Answers can be found in the table below: Buy Collar(Buy put, sell call) 0.95 1 1.05 Kput 0.95 0.975 1.05 Kcall 1 1.025 1.05 Price Profit Profit Profit 0.9 0.07102 0.07596 0.09999 1 0.12102 0.10096 0.09999 1.1 0.12102 0.12596 0.09999 6. (1 pt) The 1-year continuously compounded interest rate is 6 Strike 0.975 1 1.025 1.034 Call 0.05 0.0376 0.0274 0.0243 Put 0.0265 0.0376 0.0509 0.0563 Suppose CDE mines copper, with fixed costs of $ 0.50/lb and variable cost of $ 0.40/lb. If CDE sells one 1.025-strike put and buys two 0.975-strike puts: What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 0.90 $ ? What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 1.00 $ ? What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 1.10$ ? If CDE Isells two 1.034-strike puts and buys three 1.00-strike puts: What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 0.90 $ ? What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 1.00 $ ? What is its profit 1 year from now, per pound of copper, if the copper price in 1 year is $ 1.10 $ ? ANSWER1:0.02277 ANSWER2: 0.07277 ANSWER3: 0.19777 ANSWER4: 0.031788 ANSWER5: 0.031788 ANSWER6: 0.199788 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page Mll-24 Module 11 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 4 Section 11.9 Supplemental Exercises In problems 1-5, we will look at profit for a farmer who grows corn. For all of these problems, the current (spot) rate for corn is 1.60 per bushel. The 6 month forward price is $1.50 per bushel. The continuously compounded annual rate is r = .04. The farmer, Farmer Inadel, has total fixed and variable costs of 1.45 per bushel, and plans to produce 100,000 bushels for $145,000. 1. What are the minimum and maximum profits for Farmer Inadel in six months if he is not hedged? A) minimum = 145,000, no maximum B) minimum = -145,000, maximum = 145,000 C) minimum = -145,000, no maximum D) none of the above 2. What are the minimum and maximum profits for Farmer Inadel six months if he is hedged with a short forward contract? A) minimum = maximum = 1450 B) minimum =maximum = 5000 C) minimum= 1450, no maximum D) minimum = -145,000, no maximum E) none of the above 3. A six month (T = .5) put with a strike price of 1.50 per bushel is available at a price of 0.11. What are the minimum and maximum profits for Farmer Inadel in six months if he is hedged with a purchase of this put? A) minimum = -6000, maximum = 18778 B) minimum =-6222, maximum = 18778 C) minimum= -6000, no maximum D) minimum = -6222, no maximum E) none of the above ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 11 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 4 Page Mil- 25 4. A six month (T = .5) call with a strike price of 1.55 per bushel is available at a price of .10. What are the minimum and maximum profits for Farmer Inadel in six months if he is hedged with a sale of this call? A) minimum = -134800, maximum = 28,022 B) minimum =-134800, maximum = 20,202 C) minimum= -134,800, no maximum D) no minimum , maximum = 28,022 E) none of the above 5. What are the minimum and maximum profits for Farmer Inadel in six months if he hedges by buying the 1.50-strike put for .11 and sells the 1.55 call for .10? A) minimum = 5000, maximum = 5000 B) minimum =-4800, maximum = 5000 C) minimum= 3980, maximum = 8980 D) minimum = 3980, no maximum E) none of the above 6. Company AOK makes an aircraft which costs 90,000,000 to manufacture. It will be completed in 6 months. At that time it will sell either for 102,500,000 with probability .5 or 80,000,000 with probability .5. The company has a 40% tax rate, and has no tax benefit for losses. What is the company's expected profit before tax? A) -1,250,000 B) -1,000,000 C) 0 D) 1,000,000 E) 1,250,000 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page Mll-26 Module 11 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 4 7. Company AOK makes an aircraft which costs 90,000,000 to manufacture. It will be completed in 6 months. At that time it will sell either for 102,500,000 with probability .5 or 80,000,000 with probability .5. The company has a 40% tax rate, and has no tax benefit for losses. What is the company's expected profit after tax? A) -1,250,000 B) -1,000,000 C) 0 D) 1,000,000 E) 1,250,000 8. Company AOK makes an aircraft which costs 90,000,000 to manufacture. It will be completed in 6 months. At that time it will sell either for 102,500,000 with probability .5 or 80,000,000 with probability .5. The company decides to enter into a forward contract to sell the aircraft for 90,800,000 in six months The company has a 40% tax rate, and has no tax benefit for losses. What is the company's expected profit after tax? A) -1,000,000 B) -480,000 C) 0 D) 480,000 E) 1,000,000 9. Which of the following is not a good reason for a producer of widgets to start a hedging program? A) The board of directors is concerned about prices of widgets dropping. B) The company may face bankruptcy risk if widget prices drop. C) Lenders will be reluctant to make loans to the company if widget prices drop. D) The president of the company wants to demonstrate to the board that his accounting department can learn to handle the complexities of accounting for hedges. E) None of the above. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garica, & Steeby
Module 11 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 4 Page Mil- 27 Section 11,10 Supplemental Exercise Solutions 1. The unhedged profit function is P = 100,000* -145,000 where x is the spot price of corn in 6 months and 0 < *. Answer C 2. The profit from the forward contract in six months is 150,000 -100,000*. Thus the farmers hedged profit is the sum of the unhedged profit and the forward profit 100,000* -145,000 + (150,000 -100,000*) = 5000. Answer B 3. The profit from the put option is 100,000[max(0,1.5-*) -.lie 04(5)] = 100,000max(0,1.5-*)-11,222.21. The total profit for the hedged position is 100,000*-145,000 + (100,000max(0,1.5-*)-11,222.21) _ J-6,222.21, *<1.5 " [100,000* -156,222.21, * > 1.5 Answer D 4. The profit from the written call option is 100,000[-max(0,* -1.55) + .le04(5)] = -100,000max(0,* -1.55) +10,202. The total profit for the hedged position is 100,000* -145,000 + (-100,000 max(0, * -1.55) +10,202) _ f 100,000* -134,798 * < 1.5 " [20,202 *>1.5 Answer B ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page Ml 1-28 Module 11 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 4 5. The total profit for the hedged position here has a profit graph that looks like the graph of a bull spread. We can look at two cases to find the minimum and maximum a) x < 1.50. The call expires worthless, but the hedger received 10,000 for the 100 calls sold, and that has a future value of 10,202. The 100,000 puts are worth 100,000(1.5-jc)-11,222.21 = 138,778-100, OOOx. The unhedged sale yields P = 100,000* -145,000. The total of the three components is 3,980. b) x > 1.55. The put expires worthless but 100,000 puts required a purchase expense of -11000 with a future value of -11,222. The 100,000 written calls have a value of -100,000* +155,000 +10,202 The unhedged sale yields P = 100,000* -145,000. The total of the three components is 8980. Answer C 6. The calculations for problems 6 and 7 are in the table below. Values are given in millions. Firm manufactures for Pre-tax operating income Taxable Income Tax @ 40% After Tax Income 90 Price 80.00 -10.00 0 0 -10.00 Price 102.50 12.50 12.50 5 7.50 Probability Expected Value 0.5 0.5 Before TaxAfter Tax 1.250 -1.250 Answer E 7. See the table above Answer A ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Module 11 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 4 Page Mil- 29 8. The calculations for problems 8 are in the table below. Values are given in millions. With Short Forward at Pre-tax op income Income from Forward Taxable Income Tax @ 40% After Tax Income 90.80 Price 80.000 -10.000 10.800 0.800 0.320 0.480 Answer D 9. Accounting complexity is given as a reason for not hedging. The other choices correspond to reasons given for hedging in the text. Answer D ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Price 102.500 12.500 -11.700 0.800 0.320 0.480
Module 12 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 5 Page M12- 1 Section 12.1 Financial Forwards and Futures This chapter studies forward contracts for stocks and stock indices like the fictional S&R. It also discusses futures, which are standardized forward contracts traded on exchanges. Section 4 of the chapter is devoted to the mechanics of futures, with special emphasis on futures for the S&P stock index. We have seen some of the results from this chapter already. For example, the forward price for the S&R index is calculated using Equation 5.5 from the text, and we quoted that result in Module 9 to justify the price used in Chapter 2 of Derivatives Markets. Here we will show how to derive Equation 5.5 using a no-arbitrage method. That method is widely used in finance and it is very important to master it. Please remember that the results in this chapter are derived for stocks and stock indices. They do not work for commodities like corn and gold. The pricing of forward contracts for commodities is covered in Chapter 6 of Derivatives Markets, and that chapter is not on the exam FM/2 syllabus. There is an important prerequisite review for the actuarial student here. When we deal with continuous interest, we denote the continuously compounded rate by 8, and the annual effective rate by i. The two are related by the equations J = ln(l + i) l + i = es. Derivatives Markets does not use this notation. In this chapter the symbol 5 is used to represent the continuously compounded dividend rate. In addition, the letter r is used differently here than in Chapter 2. Recall that in Chapter 2 the S&R index had a current price of S0 = 1000 and the effective interest rate was r = .02 for a semiannual period. The six month forward price was So (l + r) = 1000(1.02) = 1020 In this chapter the author does most derivations using continuous interest. The forward price is written in equation 5.5 as S0erT. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M12-2 Module 12 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 5 Thus here r represents the continuously compounded rate, not the effective rate. The continuously compounded rate that gets you an effective rate of 0.02 is ln(1.02) = .0198. In this module, we will use r to represent the continuously compounded rate unless otherwise specified. The previous chapters were very example oriented with little theoretical notation. The situation is reversed here, and these notes will provide additional examples to make the theory concrete. Section 12.2 Four Ways to Buy a Stock The text lists four different ways to purchase a stock with current price S0 • Outright purchase. You have the price in cash and buy the stock for S0 in cash today. • Fully leveraged purchase. You borrow the price in cash and buy the stock today. The loan will be repaid at time T, and you must pay S0erT at that time. • Prepaid forward contract. You pay for the stock now at time 0 but receive it at a specified time T in the future. • Forward contract. You receive the stock and pay for it at a specified time T in the future. We have not yet derived the price that must be paid for a prepaid forward or a forward, although we have used the correct price for the forward in the examples of Chapters 2-4. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 12 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 5 Page M12- 3 Section 12.3 Pricing Prepaid Forward Contracts The price of a prepaid forward for receipt at time T is denoted by F0ptT. This price depends on whether or not dividends are to be paid on the stock. The easier case occurs when no dividends are paid. Pricing Prepaid Forward Contracts for a Stock with no Dividends There are three ways to derive the correct price for a stock with no dividends. • Pricing by analogy. If there are no dividends and you are only interested in owning the stock at time T, you will have the same position at time T as someone who buys the stock now for S0 and holds it until time T. Thus you should pay S0 now for the prepaid forward. If the S&R index is at 1000 today, you should pay 1000 for either an immediate purchase of the index or a prepaid forward for receipt in 6 months. • Pricing by discounted present value. A new rate variable is introduced here -the variable a, which represents the expected rate of return on the stock or index. We have previously noted that stocks have a higher average rate of return than bonds (which involve borrowing and lending at the rate r.) Thus an S&R prepaid forward contract could be written at time when the continuous interest rate is r = .04 but the expected rate of return on the index is a continuous rate of a = .12. Suppose that we are pricing a prepaid S&R forward for time T = .5 and the index has value S0 = 1000. At time 0 the expected future value of the S&R index is (12.1) E0 (ST) = S0eaT = lOOOe06 = 1061.84. An investor who uses discounted present value would want to prepay the discounted present value of that expectation today. Since the investor looks at a as the appropriate rate of return for the stock, he should discount at that rate. Thus his price would be (12.2) F0pt = e-aTE0 (ST) = e~aTS0eaT =S0= 1000 This is the same price we arrived at by analogy. You pay the current stock price for a prepaid forward on a stock with no dividends. • Pricing by arbitrage. You have an arbitrage if you can make money with no risk by simultaneously buying and selling related assets. The theory applied here is that arbitrages result from incorrect pricing and if ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M12-4 Module 12 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 5 traders see such incorrect pricing they will immediately try to benefit from it and thus drive the price to its correct level and eliminate the arbitrage. We will illustrate this by returning to the S&R index example where the current price is S0 = 1000 and the interest rate is r = .04. We will look at how to use arbitrage pricing in two cases. a) The prepaid forward price is higher than the current price. (F<£r > S0) Suppose that the prepaid forward for the S&R is priced at F<£r = 1001. Then you can buy the index for S0 = 1000 and simultaneously sell a prepaid forward for 1001. This gives an immediate profit of 1 for no expenditure, and you own the stock that is necessary to deliver forward at time T. Since arbitrages should not exist, it is not possible thatF0Pr>So. b) The prepaid forward price is lower than the current price. (FotT < S0) Suppose that the prepaid forward for the S&R is priced at Fo)T = 999. Then you can sell the index short for S0 = 1000 and simultaneously buy a prepaid forward for 999. This gives an immediate profit of 1 for no expenditure, and the prepaid forward will provide stock at time T to replace the stock borrowed for the short sale. Since arbitrages should not exist, it is not possible that F0pr < S0. Since it is not possible that F0Pr > S0 or F0Pr < S0, the price must be Foj = So. Arbitrages do occur in practice, but investors called arbitrageurs are constantly on the lookout for arbitrage opportunities and will indeed trade rapidly on any such opportunity. This will generate price pressure that will eliminate the arbitrage. Think of the above case where F0Pr = 1001. This will cause a flurry of offers to sell prepaid forwards at 1001, and that over supply of offers will drive the price down toward 1000. Arguments such as the above are sometimes called "no-arbitrage" arguments. Such arguments justify a price by showing that any other price would lead to an arbitrage. Pricing Prepaid Forward Contracts for a Stock with Dividends. Suppose that you want to purchase a prepaid forward contract for delivery at time T for a stock that does pay dividends. In this case you will not get any dividends that are paid before time T. To adjust for this loss, you would adjust the price of the prepaid forward by subtracting the present value of the missing dividends from the current price of the stock. The text states on page 131 "In general, the price paid for a prepaid forward contract will be the stock price less the present value of the dividends to be paid over the life of the contract." ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 12 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 5 Page Ml2- 5 For individual stocks, dividends are paid at discrete time intervals -e.g., dividends might be paid quarterly. A stock index contains a large number of stocks which pay dividends at different times, so it is common to model the index as if dividends are paid continuously. Thus, there are two possible calculation methods depending on whether discrete or continuous dividends are assumed. Note that all prepaid forward calculations will rely on an estimate of what the expected future dividends will be. So, the validity of derivative strategies may depend on the accuracy of the estimated dividends. Discrete dividends. If n dividends di,...,d„are paid over n periods at times ti,...,t„and the continuously compounded interest rate per period is r, the price of a prepaid forward for delivery at time T will be (12.3) F(Tr=So-X^"rti i=l Example 5.2 of the text looks at a one year prepaid forward for the stock of XYZ. The stock price is currently 100, and it is expected that quarterly dividends of 1.25 will be paid, with the last dividend occurring just before the delivery of the stock. The continuously compounded interest rate is .025 per quarter. Then the price of the prepaid forward contract is F0Pi =100- Jl.2Se-025' =95.30 i=l Continuous dividends. Suppose that dividends are paid on a stock index at the continuous rate 8. The continuous dividend model assumes that all dividends are reinvested in the stock index. Thus if you buy one unit of the stock today, the growth due to continuous dividend reinvestment will leave you with e6T shares at time T (i.e., more than one share). To have only one share at time T, you would buy e~6T shares now and that fractional share would grow to one share at time T. If the current price of the index is S0, you could be assured of having one share of the index by paying e~STS0 for e~6T shares of the index now. Pricing by analogy says that the prepaid forward should have the same price. Thus the price of the prepaid forward is (12.4) Fq,T =6 So ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Page M12-6 Module 12 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 5 The purchase of e~ST shares to assure 1 share at time T is called tailing your position. This terminology is used again in the text, so it is useful to remember it. To illustrate what happens under this continuous model, we will invent our own fictional dividend paying stock index: the S&Q index. The S&Q index has: • A continuous dividend yield of S = .02 • Current value of 1000 • Continuous interest rate of r = .04. To create a tailed position today for time T = 0.5, you would buy a fractional share of e"02(5) = 0.99005 or 99.005% of a share. The cost of this tailed fractional share would equal the prepaid forward price. F0pt = e~STS0 = e011000 = 990.05. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 12 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 5 Page M12- 7 Section 12.4 Forward Contracts on Stock or Stock Indices Finding the Forward Price The forward price is paid T time units in the future instead of today. It is equal to the future value at the continuous rate r of the prepaid forward price which would be paid today. (We could also get the forward price using a no-arbitrage argument, but the answer would be the same and this is simpler.) Recall that the forward price is denoted by F0tT while the prepaid forward price is Fqj . The relationship is (12.5) Fnr = & Fr "o/r o/r This gives us the following forward prices for the basic pricing cases: (12.6) No dividends F0j = S0e rT (12.7) Discrete dividends Fo,T=erT ( " ^ = erTS0- V i=l J -±dte«T-" i=l (12.8) Continuous dividends F0>T=erTe-STSo=S0e{r-s)T For a concrete example, recall that for the S&Q index when r = .04,8 = .02, T = .5 and S0 = 1000 the prepaid forward price was F0pt = e~STS0 = e-011000 = 990.05. The forward price is then Fo.t = Soe{r~s)T = lOOOe01 = 1010.05. Derivatives Markets notes that the forward contract has a zero cost and thus can be considered to have no premium payment initially. Since the prepaid forward is paid for immediately, it does have a premium payment initially. However the "zero cost" forward does have a price to pay in the future, and that is the future value of the initial prepaid forward price. In other words, each contract has a cost but you have to be careful about how you refer to it. ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Page M12-8 Module 12 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 5 There is a brief discussion on page 134 about how to use the forward price to get the market price. The text points out that this is relevant overnight when the New Your Stock Exchange is closed but traders are still trading the futures contract on the S&P 500 index. Overnight, you can see futures prices but not the actual index value. (Both change from hour to hour.) However, you can calculate the implied value of the index using the equations above. For example, suppose that the S&Q index has a futures price of F0tT = 1012 for T = .5. Then we can use Equation 12.8 with r = .04 and S = .02 to find S0. 1012 = Fo,t = S0e{r-S)T = S0e01 -* S0 = 1001.93. When this is calculated, the rate r that is used is the risk-free rate, which is the yield on a United States Treasury of the same duration as the forward contract. In previous chapters the rate r was typically given without being identified as the risk-free rate, but as the book goes on you will see calculations that specify r as such. The index price that is calculated in this way is referred to as the fair value for the index. The text defines the forward premium to be the ratio of the forward price to the stock price: Fqt Forward premium = So For the S&Q index with current price of 1000 and six month forward price of 1010.50, the forward premium is :— = 1.01005. 1000 This is not a premium in the sense of the price paid for a derivative like an option. It is simply a relative value factor, which says in the example above that the forward price is 1.005% above the current index price. The 1.005% just quoted is not a continuous rate, nor is it an annual rate. The text defines a measure that is basically the periodic continuous rate converted to an annual rate. j /p \ Annualized Forward Premium = — In —— T [So For the S&Q index with current price of 1000 and six month forward price of 1010.50, the annualized forward premium is —In (1.011) = 2(0.0109) = 0.0218. This answer should not be surprising. The correct futures price used above was F0>r = S0e(r~^r. Thus if the correct price is used, the forward premium is F0,T _ 6 *JQ _ {r-S)T So So ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 12 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 5 Page M12- 9 Thus the annualized forward premium is T [So J T \ ) { T ) = r-S Derivatives Markets states that: "For the case of continuous dividends, Equation (5.7), the annualized forward premium is simply the difference between the risk-free rate and the dividend yield." Creating Synthetic Stocks, Forwards and Bonds Creating a synthetic stock. The simplest way to understand and remember this is to use the word equation (12.9) Stock at time T = Long forward + zero-coupon bond In words, you invest money in a zero-coupon bond which will pay the forward price at maturity and you also enter into a long forward contract with the same duration. Then at the time of maturity of the bond you collect the proceeds, pay the forward price and you have the stock. To make this more precise, we must first point out that the zero coupon bond is for the amount of a tailed position in the stock. The steps are: 1) At time 0, invest S0e in a bond with yield rate r and maturity at T. 2) At time 0, enter into a zero cost forward for the forward price of 3) At time T, collect the bond proceeds of erTS0e-5T = S0eir-S)T 4) At time T, use the bond proceeds to buy the stock for the forward price of Soe™. The text has tables displaying the process, and you should read those. We are purposely describing the process differently so that you have another way to look at it. You have invested S0e ST at time 0 and have the stock at time T. Note that you can achieve the same result by buying a prepaid forward. If nobody is selling a prepaid forward you can create one this way. The word equation might be re-stated as: To have the stock at time T: Buy a forward and a zero coupon bond for the amount of a tailed position. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M12-10 Module 12 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 5 We can derive two other synthetic instruments by manipulating the word equation. Anything that has a minus sign will indicate a short position or sale. For example, "- zero-coupon bond" means sell a zero-coupon bond for the amount of a tailed position, which means that you are borrowing that amount. (12.10) Forward = Stock - zero coupon bond Restated: To create the equivalent of a forward contract for time T: Buy the stock and sell a zero-coupon bond for the amount of a tailed position. The steps this implies are: 1) Borrow S0e~ST at time 0. 2) Use the borrowed amount S0e~ST to buy a tailed position in the stock at zero cost. 3) At time T, you will have the stock worth ST 4) Repay the loan by paying S0e(r~S)T = F0tT. This will leave with ST - S0e(r~s)T =ST - F0)T, the payoff on a long forward contract. (12.11) Zero-coupon bond = Stock - forward Restated: To create a zero-coupon bond with maturity T: Buy a tailed position in the stock and sell a forward contract. The steps this implies are: 1) Invest S0e~ST to buy the tailed position in the stock at time 0. 2) Sell a forward obligating you to sell the stock at time T torS0e™T=F0tT. 3) At time T, you will sell the stock for S0e(r_w = erS0e"*r 4) Thus you have invested S0e~ST at time 0 and been paid erSoe~ST at time T. This is a zero-coupon bond paying the risk-free rate r.. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 12 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 5 Page M12-11 The text summarizes the steps of all of the preceding synthetics in Tables 5.3- 5.5. We find that the simplest approach here is to know the word equation (12.9) and manipulate it to get the others. You must remember that amounts at time 0 are for a tailed position in the stock, and that a minus sign implies a short or selling position. There is another way to use the word equations -multiply through by -1, reversing the signs and recall that a negative denotes a short position. For example, we have the word equation Forward = Stock - zero coupon bond This changes to -Forward = -Stock + zero coupon bond. In other words, to create a synthetic short forward, sell the stock short and invest the sale proceeds in a zero coupon bond. Hedging and Arbitrage with Synthetic Forwards Cash and Carry Hedge: Suppose that you have sold a stock forward, agreeing to sell it at time T for F0T = S0e(r~s)T. To hedge this position you create a synthetic long forward agreeing to buy it for the same price at time T. You are hedged, since at time T you net the sale price paid to you less the purchase price you pay: S0e(r-OT-S0e(r-OT=0. The procedure is common sense. To hedge a (short) forward sale, offset it with a synthetic forward purchase. This is simple in practice. Recall that the six month forward price when r = .04, S = .02 and S0 = 1000 is F0>T = S0e{r-5)T = lOOOe01 = 1010.05. Suppose that you have entered a forward contract to sell the stock in six months for 1010.05. To hedge this position you create a synthetic long forward for the same price. Forward = Stock - zero coupon bond Buy a tailed position in the stock today for S0e"JT = 1000e"01 = 990.05, and borrow that 990.05 at the risk free rate r = .04. In six months you will have the stock, and owe the amount 1000e"01e02 = 1010.05 on the borrowing. Sell the stock under the forward contract that you are hedging and you will have 1010.05 to pay off the loan. The payoff is 0. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M12-12 Module 12 - Review of Derivatives Marketst Chapter 5 Cash and Carry Arbitrage: The cash and carry hedge assumed that the forward sale price was correct, or Fo,T=S0e^T Suppose you believe that the forward price offered is too high, or F0,r > S0e(r"J)T Remember that the forward price depends on estimates of the correct 5 and r, and could be wrong. You can then arbitrage this error by the classic strategy of buying low and selling high: sell a forward at the higher forward price. Then create a synthetic purchase at the lower correct price. Buy low and pay : S0e~ST. Borrow: S0e{~s)T Sell high and receive: F0>T. Repay loan: S0e(r"')T Profit: F0,T-S0e{r-S)T. In the previous example, if the forward price was F0)t = 1011 while the correct theoretical price is S0e(r"*)T = 1010.05, the arbitrage would be to borrow to purchase a tailed position in the stock today. At time T Repay loan: 1010.05 Sell high and receive: 1011 Profit: 0.95 This profit at time T had 0 cost at time 0. It is an arbitrage. Reverse Cash and Carry Hedge: Suppose that you have purchased a stock forward, agreeing to buy it at time T for F0)T = S0e(r-<5)T. To hedge this position you create a synthetic short forward agreeing to sell it for the same price at time T. You are hedged, since at time T you net the sale price paid to you less the purchase price you pay: S0e(r-OT-S0e(r-OT=0. The procedure is again common sense. To hedge a (long) forward purchase, offset it with a synthetic forward sale. This too is simple in practice. Recall that the six month forward price when r = .04, S = .02 and S0 = 1000 is F0)T = S0e(r~S)T = lOOOe01 = 1010.05. Suppose that you have entered a forward contract to buy the stock in six months for 1010.05. To hedge this position you create a synthetic short forward for the same price. -Forward = -Stock +zero coupon bond ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 12 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 5 Page M12-13 Sell a tailed position in the stock today for S0e"JT = lOOOe"01 = 990.05, and invest that 990.05 at the risk free rate r = .04. In six months you will have to deliver the stock that you have sold short, and be paid the amount 1000e"01e02 = 1010.05 from the zero coupon bond. Buy the stock under the forward contract that you are hedging using the amount of 1010.05 from the loan and deliver the stock to cover the short sale. The payoff is 0. Reverse Cash and Carry Arbitrage: The cash and carry hedge assumed that the forward sale price was correct, or F0,t = S0e(r~*)T. And, suppose you believe that the forward price offered is too low, or F0)T < S0e{r~5)T. Then, you can once more arbitrage this error by the classic strategy of buying low and selling high. Buy a long forward at the lower forward price. Then create a synthetic sale at the higher correct price. Buy low and pay : F0>T Sell high (synthetic) and receive: S0e(r"^T Profit: S0e(r-')T-Fo,T. Suppose that the forward price was F0)T = 1009 while the correct theoretical price is S0e(r"J)T = 1010.05. The arbitrage would be Buy low and pay : 1009 Sell high and receive: 1010.05 Profit: 1.05 This profit at time T had 0 cost at time 0. It is also an arbitrage. The Implied Repo Rate Recall that (12,11) stated: zero-coupon bond = Stock - forward In words, if you buy a tailed position in a stock and sell the stock forward, you have the equivalent of a zero coupon bond at the risk free rate. If the forward is delivered at time T, the precise results are: Time 0: Invest S0e~*T to purchase the tailed position. Time T: Sell the purchased stock and receive Fo,T=Soe{r-5)T=erTS0e-ST for it. The continuously compounded return is r, the risk free rate. In some cases, you may not know r and wish to estimate it. If F0)T is theoretically correct, then -^ = erT and lnf-^O = rT so that ilnfJ^l = r. S0e~ST [Soe-^J T [s0e-5T) ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M12-14 Module 12 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 5 Thus we can estimate the interest rate r implied by the values of F0,t and 8. This estimate is referred to as the implied repo rate. For example, if you see that So = 1000 and F0,o.5 = 1010.25, if you believe that 8 = .02 then when T = .5 1, (1010.25^ n/m*o* r = "^ln t^t^—or = .040396. .5 l,1000e-01J The implied repo rate is discussed briefly on page 338 of Derivatives Markets. The term repo is short for repurchase. A repurchase agreement occurs when the owner of an asset puts up the asset as collateral for a loan and agrees to buy the collateral back in the future at a higher price. In the above example, the owner of a tailed position in the stock could give a lender custody of stock worth lOOOe"01 = 990.05 in return to a loan of 990.05 for 6 months at the continuous rate r = .040396. At the end of 6 months the borrower pays back 990.05e040396( 5) = 1010.25 and gets his collateral back. This is equivalent to selling the stock at time 0 for 990.05 and then buying it back for 1010.25, so it is called a repurchase agreement. The text points out the implied repo rate alerts you to arbitrage opportunities. Suppose that you can borrow money at the continuous rate of 4%. You could then borrow funds at 4% to buy a tailed position in the stock, and use the stock to earn a repo rate of 4.0396% over the next 6 months. If the implied repo rate is higher than your borrowing rate, there is an arbitrage opportunity. Arbitrage: More Complex Examples All of the previous discussions have been simplified by assuming no transaction costs, a single interest rate for borrowing and lending and a single stock price instead of a bid-ask spread. This helps you to learn the basic ideas without being overwhelmed by details. However, in practice, when you buy or sell a stock you pay a brokerage fee and borrowing and lending rates vary. If I borrow from my bank with a home equity loan this week, I must pay an annual rate of 7%. That is my borrowing rate. However a 10 year CD for 100,000 pays the lower rate of 4.45%. That is my lending rate. Finally, stocks and forwards have bid-ask spread spreads. On page 138 the text illustrates what happens if transaction costs, different borrowing and lending rates and a bid-ask spread are all present. Let's start with a simple case where a stock pays no dividends. The text goes through a general discussion with no numerical example. We will introduce the notation along with a numerical example for the S&R index, which pays no dividends. Bid Price on Stock: Sj = 999 Ask Price on Stock: S§ = 1001 Borrowing Rate: rb = .041 Lending Rate: rl = .039 Transaction cost: k = 1. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 12 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 5 Page M12-15 Recall that with a single price S0, a single, continuous rate r and no transaction costs, the correct forward price for time T is S0erT .There will be an arbitrage if the forward price does not equal S0erT. The results in the more complicated situation with differing rates and prices and a transaction cost look similar, but now to avoid arbitrage the forward price quoted must be in a range. In our example, the forward price must be between two values: F+ =(SS +2k)erbT =(1001 + 2) e041(5) =1023.77 F~ = (Sb0 - 2k) er'T = (999 - 2) e039( 5) = 1016.63 Thus the forward price should not be above 1023.77 or below 1016.63, since if it were there would be an arbitrage. The text discusses how to set up the arbitrages that validate these bounds, so we will not repeat that here. The formulas are not hard to remember. They look like S0erT, but in the upper bound formula you use the higher ask price and the higher borrowing rate , and add two transaction costs to the stock price. In the lower bound formula you use the lower bid price and the lower lending rate , and subtract two transaction costs from the stock price. Quosi-Arbitroqe We have seen that you could earn the rate r by investing in a tailed position in a stock and entering a forward contract for the same stock. This means that you can always earn the implied repo rate r in this fashion. If the rate you can earn on your bond investments is less than r, it would be better to switch from what you are doing with bonds and instead use the implied repo method to earn r. For example, if you could earn 7% interest on bond investments but the implied repo rate was 7.5%, it would be better to skip the bond investment and earn the implied repo rate instead. This is not a true arbitrage, but is does give an alternative that will allow you to increase you interest earnings rate. The Relation of the Forward Price to the Price Expected in the Future On page 129 the text introduces a, the continuous expected rate of return on a stock, and says that at time T the expected value of the stock is E0 (ST) = S0eaT. Since the forward price of the stock is S0erT, the forward price is not the same as the expected price in the future. On page 140 in Derivatives Markets this observation is repeated, but page 140 may be a bit confusing because the meanings of a and r are changed there. On page 140 these variables are used for annual effective rates, while on page 129 they stood for continuous rates. Here the text denotes the expected value at time 1 as Ex (S0), which is also a slight change in notation. The discussion is simple to follow once you resolve ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M12-16 Module 12 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 5 the notational issue. The one year expected value of the stock, the one year forward price and their difference are given by: Expected value of stock: S0 (1 + a) Forward price: S0(l + r) Difference: S0 (1 + a) - S0 (1 + r) = S0 (a - r). For example if S0 = 1000, a = .13 and r = .04, the expected stock price in one year is 1130 and the forward price in one year is 1040. The difference is 90 = 1000(.13-.04) = 1000(.09). However the forward price is certain, while the expected price in the future is the mean of a distribution of future prices which may be higher or lower than 1040. The forward purchaser has a certain price, while the stock owner has risk. On the average the risk-taking stock owner will earn (a - r) = .09 or 9% more than the forward purchaser who has eliminated the risk. The percentage given by (a - r) = .09 is referred to as the risk premium for the stock. The Cost of Carry in the Forward Pricing Formula The general forward price formula is for a continuous interest rate r and a continuous dividend rate 8 is F0tT = S0e(r"^T. In most (but not all) applications that we will see, the interest rate r will be greater than the dividend yield 8. Thus we will have F0,T = S0e{l"5)T > S0 For example, with r = .04,8 = .02 and S0 = 1000 the forward price is Fo,T = S0e{r-S)T = lOOOe01 = 1010.05 .> S0 = 1000 The difference of 10.05 in the forward and current prices is referred to as the cost of carry. Cost of Carry = F0,t - S0 To justify this terminology, we will first review a bit of calculus. For small values of x, ex «1 + x and ex -1« x. Using this approximation, we can see that the difference between the forward and current prices is Foj - So = S0e{r~6)T - So = So (e{r-5)T -1) * S0 (r - 8) T. Cost of Carry *S0(r-8)T ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 12 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 5 Page M12-17 In the preceding example Fo.t - S0 = 10.05 « So (.04 - .02) .5 = 10 Recall that one way to have the stock at time T is to buy it now by borrowing the current price at the rate r and buying the stock now. If the stock pays dividends, you can buy a tailed position instead of a full share because you will earn dividends at the rate 8. Thus your net paid interest rate to buy the stock now and hold (carry) it to time T is r - 8, and the total amount that you pay to carry the stock to time T is approximately S0(r-8)T, the cost of carry. The text notes that if you borrow the stock you must pay the dividends back to the owner of the stock. This payment for use of the stock is like a lease payment on a property, so the dividend rate is referred to as the lease rate. The text has a word equation for the cost of carry. Cost of Carry = Interest to carry asset - Asset lease rate. This is equivalent to saying Cost of carry = rS0T - 8S0T. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M12-18 Module 12 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 5 Section 12.5 Futures Contracts Futures contracts are exchange traded forward contracts. Section 5.4 of Derivatives Markets discusses the real world of futures contracts, with special emphasis on the S&P 500 Futures Contract. Terminology Exchanges like the Chicago Board Options Exchange and the Chicago Mercantile Exchange provide the opportunity for investors to trade futures contracts without seeing their counterparties. The forward contracts that are traded as futures are standardized. Most of our readers have probably seen pictures of traders on the floor of an exchange, trading by open outcry. Futures can also be traded electronically. The exchange has a clearinghouse which matches buys and sales and keeps track of trading details. The clearinghouse will simplify things by serving as the counterparty for both the buyer and the seller. Derivatives Markets lists five ways in which futures can differ from forward contracts. • Forward contracts are settled at expiration. Futures are tracked daily and marked to market to establish the daily status of buyer and seller. • Futures contracts are liquid. If you have a contract to sell in December, you can effectively cancel it by entering an offsetting futures contract to buy in December. This may have a cost. If you offer this week to sell at 1000 and want to offset next week, you will have to offer to buy at next week's price, which most likely will not be the same. You can make or lose money in the process. • Futures contracts apply only to certain assets and have specified terms. Forward contracts can be customized to fit any asset and any specifications agreed upon by buyer and seller. One of a kind forwards are referred to as traded over the counter. • With a forward contract the counterparty could fail to perform, leading to credit risk. Futures contracts are designed to keep credit risk to a minimum. • Futures contracts have built in price limits which stop trading when prices suddenly move by a large amount. The text notes that the S&P 500 has a 5% limit on down moves and further limits on subsequent moves. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 12 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 5 Page M12-19 The S&P 500 Futures Contract This contract is based on the value of the S&P 500 index. On September 26, 2006 (the day before this section was written) that index had a closing value of 1336.34, published (among other places) in the Wall Street Journal The dollar amount of the contract, referred to as the notional amount, is defined to be 250 x Index value = 250 x 1336.34 = 334,085. This contract is cash settled, and no stocks are delivered. If you have entered a futures contract to sell at 1336. 34 and the index goes up by 1 to 1337.34 at expiration, you can cash settle for 1x250 = 250. The text has more detail on the standard features of the S&P 500 contract on page 144. It would be useful to look at futures reports in papers like the Wall Street Journal The values for the December S&P contract were reported on September 27, 2006 as Open High Low Settle Open Interest 1335.70 1 1347.10 | 1333.50 1 1346.70 1 1,379,880 Open interest refers to the total number of open positions pairing one buyer to one seller. Note that the futures price varied considerably during the day. Futures trading can be exciting. Note also that the above futures prices occurred on a day in September when the closing value of the actual index was 1336.34. Settlement for the December contract will be based on the opening price of the S&P 500 on the third Friday of December, with trading ending the day before. Margins and marking to market A buyer or seller of a futures contract must make a deposit referred to as margin to protect the counterparty from risk. The margin account earns interest, so it is not a premium cost. However gains or losses on the futures contract are applied to it daily. At expiration of the contract, the adjusted margin account is returned to the depositor -reflecting the overall gain or loss. There is additional protection for the counterparty. If the margin account gets too low, a new deposit is required to maintain the account at a minimum level called the maintenance margin. The text states that the maintenance level is often set at 70% to 80% of the original margin requirement. The request for margin is referred to as a margin call. If you fail to meet a margin call, the broker will close your account by taking an offsetting position and giving back to you whatever is left in the margin account after the closing. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M12-20 Module 12 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 5 Example on page 144-147: Derivatives Markets next goes through an example of an S&P 500 futures position, and we will review it here. It is worth noting in advance that calculations are done here using continuous interest at 6% for the margin account. McDonald notes on page 148 that in practice continuous interest is not used, but differences are small enough for the example to be a good illustration. The example deals with an investor who wishes to acquire long futures contracts with a notional value of 2.2 million dollars when the futures price (not the current value of the index) is 1100. The notional value of a single contract is 250x1100 = 275,000 The number of contracts needed to have a notional value of 2.2 million is 2'200'000= 8 contracts. 275,000 If the margin requirement is 10%, we need Initial Margin = 2,200,200 (.1) = 220,000 The text looks at the effect of changes in the index by first considering the effect of a one point drop in the index from 1100 to 1099. The investor is long and thus now obligated to buy the index for 1100 when is worth 1099. This is a loss of 1 x 250 on each contract. For the position with 8 contracts we have Loss for drop of 1 in index = 8 x 250 = 2000. If the index changes from the futures price of 1100 by an amount AS instead of 1, the change in the notional amount is Change in notional value= AS (2000). The text makes this example simpler by using weekly instead of daily settlement. With continuous interest, at the end of one week the initial margin account of 220,000 would have grown (at 6% continuous interest for 1/52 of a year) to e .06/52 (220,000) = 220,253.99 The text looks at what would happen if at the end of one week the index had dropped by 72.01 points. In this case Change in notional value= AS(2000) = -72.01(2,000) = -144,020. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 12 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 5 Page M1251 Thus the margin account has dropped to Margin account in one week = 220,253.99 -144,020 = 76,233.99 Suppose that the maintenance margin is 70%. Then the required margin account is Required margin in one week = 220,000 x .70 = 154,000. There will be a margin call. The investor has two options: Option 1 Respond to the call by putting 154,000 - 76,233.99 = 77,766.01 in the account. Option 2 Close the contract by entering an offsetting futures contract to sell at 1099. The broker returns the 76,233.99 that is still in the account to the investor. The investor has a loss, since he deposited 220,000 a week ago and only received 76,233.99 in a week. The text does not discuss Option 1, but we have included it to make the choices more explicit. The text follows with a table following the futures contract in our example through 10 weeks of hypothetical index price changes. The purpose of the table is to show that there can be a slight difference in the payoff of a forward and a futures contract. If you are not reading carefully, you may find the table a bit confusing. We have just looked at the maintenance margin concept, but the table ignores maintenance margin in its analysis. The header of the table states: "The last column does not include additional margin payments." We will first review the table and discuss its logic. Then we will look at the pricing difference that the table illustrates. The table follows on the next page. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M12-22 Module 12 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 5 Price Margin Week Multiplier Price Change AS Balance 1 ° 1 2 3 4 C/1 6 7 8 9 10 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 1,100.00 1,027.99 1,037.88 1,073.23 1,048.78 1,090.32 1,106.94 1,110.98 1,024.74 1,007.30 1,011.65 -72 10 35 -24 42 17 4 -86 -17 4 220,000.00 76,233.99 96,102.01 166,912.96 118,205.66 201,422.13 234,894.67 243,245.86 71,046.69 36,248.72 44,990.57 | The margin account balance for any week is given by (Margin Balance for Prior Week ) x (e06/52) - AS(2000). This is just an extension of what we did for the first week. Now we can compare the profit of this futures contract to the profit of a forward contract for the same amount. Futures Contract Profit With a futures contract, all your gains and losses are marked into the margin account each week. What you get back in 10 weeks is the account balance of 44,990.57, which contains all your profit and loss. You initially deposited 220,000, but in 10 weeks at 6% continuous interest that deposit should have grown to 220,000e06(10)/52 = 222,553.16. Thus you have a loss of 44,990.57 - 222,553.16 = -177,562.59 (the text differs from this by a penny) Forward Contract Profit With a forward contract, there is no margin account and no interest. Every dollar loss still costs you 2000, but you only look at the final value of the index (1011.65) to find your cash settlement. You have a loss of (1011.65 - 1100) x 2000 = -176,700. The final conclusion is that futures and forward prices can be different due to the effect of interest earned on mark to market proceeds. However, there is some tricky discussion following this conclusion in the text. (Do keep in mind that this general statement follows from looking at only one example.) In the earlier part of this chapter we stressed using tailed positions for pricing. In Appendix 5B the text shows that if you adjust the position in this example to a tailed position every week, the profits from the future and forward will be the same. This all gets trickier in the next section, because the example here had ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 12 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 5 Page M12-23 the same interest rate of 6% throughout the 10 weeks. In practice the interest rate on the margin account is a short term rate that can reset randomly from week to week. The next section looks at this case. How do the forward and futures prices compare if the interest rate varies randomly? The text gives an answer based on general reasoning. The key factor is the correlation between the index and the interest rate. Positive correlation means that the interest rate is more likely to go up when the futures price goes up. Negative correlation means the interest rate is more likely to go down when the futures price goes up. (Stock market followers tend to think that stocks will go up as interest rates go down). The text states: 1. "...when the interest rate is positively correlated with the futures price, the futures price will exceed the price on an otherwise identical forward contract." 2. "...when the interest rate is negatively correlated with the futures price, the futures price will be less than an otherwise identical forward price." The reasoning behind the statement for positive correlation is that increases in the index will raise the account balance and simultaneously give you higher interest on it. That works in your favor. Similar statements are made for negative correlation. There is no mathematical analysis of these assertions. Actual Arbitrage Opportunities On page 147, Derivatives Markets has a section which analyzes the actual futures contract situation on August 30, 2004. On that day you could observe the following values: Closing S&P 500 Index Value: 1099.15 Closing S&P 500 December Futures Price: 1099.30 To look for arbitrages you need the theoretical price S0e(r"J)T. That price depends on the risk-free rate r and the dividend yield 8. The text gives one estimate for 8 and two possible rates for r. Dividend yield 8 = .0175 Yield r on a U.S Treasury bill maturing in December 1.56% London Interbank Offer Rate r (LIBOR)1 1.86% The December futures contract expires on the third Friday of the expiration month. The text gives the date of December 17, 2004 for expiration. This is 109 109 days from August 30, 2004. Thus the futures contract has a time of T = . 1 This yield is inferred from values of Eurodollar futures. The method for this is in section 5.7 which is not on the Exam FM syllabus. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M12-24 Module 12 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 5 Now you have all the numbers you need to calculate the theoretical futures price and look for an arbitrage. There will be two calculations because there are two possible interest rates. Treasury Bill price: S0e{r~s)T = i099.15e(0156-0175)(109/365) = 1098.53 LIBOR price: S,e[r~5)T = i099.15e(0186-0175)(109/365) = 1099.51 Note that the actual futures price of 1099.30 is in between the Treasury Bill price and the LIBOR price. The Treasury Bill price has a negative cost of carry, and the LIBOR price has a positive cost of carry. The ultimate conclusion is that you don't know if there is an arbitrage and more analysis is needed (page 149). The text makes some additional observations. • The dividend yield is a forecasted number and may not turn out to be what you have predicted. There is risk in this. • In the real world there are transaction costs which lead to no-arbitrage intervals instead of no-arbitrage prices. We have already reviewed this. • The interest rate used depends on issuer credit risk. In practice LIBOR is more commonly used. • If you arbitrage the S&P index, you will only buy a sample of the stocks in the index as your assets. Your sample may not track the index as desired. Quanto Index Contracts There is a brief discussion of this topic on page 149 of Derivatives Markets. Quanto index contracts address the problem of currency risk for investors who use dollars but want to invest in foreign stock indices like the Japanese Nikkei 225 index. If you buy Japanese stocks, you must convert your dollars to yen and buy the stocks with yen. When you later sell your Japanese stocks, you will be paid in yen and then need to convert the yen back to dollars. If the stock values do not change but the value of the dollar has risen between purchase and sale, you will lose money on the currency exchange even though the stocks have the same value. The Chicago mercantile exchange has a Nikkei index futures contract that is dollar denominated to eliminate the currency risk. A single contract has notional value of $5 x Nikkei Index and the contract is cash settled in dollars. Thus the need to exchange currencies is eliminated. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 12 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 5 Page Ml2-25 Section 12.6 Module 12 Summary Pricing Prepaid Forward Contracts for a Stock with no Dividends • Pricing by analogy. Same position at time T as someone who buys the stock now for S0 and holds it until time T. Pay S0 now for the prepaid forward. • Pricing by discounted present value. Interest rate r, expected stock appreciation a. E0(ST) = S0eaT Foj — & -Eo \StJ = So • Pricing by arbitrage. a) The prepaid forward price is higher than the current price. (FofT > So). Buy the index for S0 and simultaneously sell a prepaid forward for F0pfT > S0. b) The prepaid forward price is lower than the current price. (F0P,T <S0) Sell the index short for S0 and simultaneously buy a prepaid forward for F0pt < So. Pricing Prepaid Forward Contracts for a Stock with Dividends Discrete dividends. If n dividends di,...,dnare paid over n periods at times l,...,nand the continuously compounded interest rate per period is r, the price of a prepaid forward for delivery at time T will be FoPT=So-Y,die-ri Continuous dividends. Suppose that dividends are paid on a stock index at the continuous rate 5. The continuous dividend model assumes that all dividends are reinvested in the stock index. Fqj — e So Finding the Forward Price No dividends F0,t = S0e ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M12-26 Module 12 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 5 Discrete dividends Fo,T=erT So-J d^ =erTS0-]>>e- i=l r(T-i) i=l Continuous dividends F0tT=erTe-STSo=Soe{r-s)T Forward premium = Fq,t So Annualized Forward Premium = — In T Creating Synthetic Stocks, Forwards and Bonds Ho,r V ^o J Stock at time T =long forward + zero-coupon bond The steps are: 1) At time 0, invest S0e~ST in a bond with yield rate r and maturity at T. 2) At time 0, enter into a zero cost forward for the forward price of Fo,T=Soe{r-s)T. 3) At time T, collect the bond proceeds of erTS0e~5T = S0e(r^)T 4) At time T, use the bond proceeds to buy the stock for the forward price of S0e(r"OT. Long Forward = Stock - zero coupon bond The steps are: 1) Borrow S0e~ST at time 0. 2) Use the borrowed amount S0e~ST to buy a tailed position in the stock at zero cost. 3) At time T, you will have the stock worth ST 4) Repay the loan for by paying S0e(r~s)T = F0>T. This will leave with ST - S0eir~s)T =ST - F0,T, the payoff on a long forward contract. ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Module 12 - Review of Derivatives Markets} Chapter 5 Page M12-27 Zero-coupon bond = Stock - forward Restated: To create a zero-coupon bond with maturity T: Buy a tailed position in the stock and sell a forward contract. The steps are: 1) Invest S0e~ST to buy the tailed position in the stock at time 0. 2) Sell a forward obligating you to sell the stock at time T torS0e™T=F0J. 3) At time T, you will sell the stock for S0e(r^)T = erS0e-5T 4) Thus you have invested S0e~ST at time 0 and been paid erS0e_JT at time T. This is a zero-coupon bond paying the risk-free rate r.. Hedging and Arbitrage with Synthetic Forwards Cash and Carry Hedge: To hedge a (short) forward sale, offset it with a synthetic forward purchase. Cash and Carry Arbitrage: The forward price offered is too high, or F0>T > S0e(r"^T. Arbitrage Buy low and pay : S0e(r"*)T. Sell high and receive: F0,t . Profit: Fo,T-S0e{r-s)T. Reverse Cash and Carry Hedge: To hedge a (long) forward purchase, offset it with a synthetic forward sale. Reverse Cash and Carry Arbitrage: The forward price offered is too low, or F0>T < S0e(r"J)T. Buy low and pay : F0>T Sell high and receive: S0e{r~s)T Profit: S0e{r-S)T -F0,T. The Implied Repo Rate 1 i / For I —In n ' =r. T {S0e-STJ ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M12-28 Module 12 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 5 The Relation of the Forward Price to the Price Expected in the Future a, the continuous expected rate of return on a stock. Expected value of stock: S0 (1 + a) Forward price: S0(l + r) Difference: S0 (1 + a) - S0 (1 + r) = S0 (a - r). (a - r) is referred to as the risk premium for the stock. The Cost of Carry in the Forward Pricing Formula Cost of Carry = For — So Cost of Carry *S0(r-S)T ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 12 - Review of Derivatives Markets} Chapter 5 Page M12-29 Section 127 Solutions to Odd-Numbered Problems s.i New table 5.1 from point of view of seller. Description Receive Payment Deliver Security Payment at Time at Time Received Outright Sale Sale to fully leveraged buyer Prepaid Forward Sale Forward Contract 0 T 0 T 0 0 T T So S0en PV(Dividends) S0e^T S.3. a) Prepaid forward: S0e"^ = 50e"08 = 46.16 b) Forward contract: S0e{r-S)T = 50e(06"08)1 = 49.01 S.S a) Forward price for T=.75: S0e(r^)T = 1100e(05-°)75 =1142.03 b) Your opposite position is to hedge the short forward is a long forward at 1142.03. To hedge long this position you create a synthetic short forward for the same price. -Forward = -Stock + zero coupon bond Short sell the stock today for S0 = 1100 and invest that 1100 at the risk free rate r = .05. In nine months you will have to deliver the stock, and be paid the amount HOOe05(75) = 1142.03. Buy the stock under the long forward contract that you are hedging using the amount of 1142.03 from the bond and deliver the stock to cover the short sale. The payoff is 0. This is a reverse cash and carry hedge of a long forward. c) You have entered a short forward contract to sell the customer the stock in nine months for 1142.03. To hedge this position you create a synthetic long forward for the same price. Forward = Stock - zero coupon bond Buy the stock today for S0 = 1100, and borrow that 1100 at the risk free rate r = .05. In nine months you will have the stock, and owe the amount lOOOe05(75) = 1142.03 on the borrowing. Sell the stock under the forward contract that you are hedging and you will have 1142.03 to pay off the loan. The payoff is 0. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M12-30 Module 12 - Review of Derivatives Markets} Chapter 5 S.7 Note that T = .5 and the no-arbitrage price is 1100e05(5) = 1127.85. a) The six month forward price is 1135, higher than the no-arbitrage price. You will buy the index low today and sell forward high. Sell the index forward for 1135, and borrow 1100 at 5% to buy an index share immediately. Your investment is 0. In 6 months you will deliver the index share to the forward buyer, who will pay you 1135. You must pay 1100e05(5) =1127.85 to pay off the loan. This leaves you with a riskless profit of 1135-1127.85=7.15. b) The six month forward price is 1115, lower than the no-arbitrage price. You will sell the index short today, and buy it forward at a low value. Enter into a forward purchase contract to buy the index for 1115. Then sell the stock short for 1100 today, and invest the 1100 in a zero coupon bond at 5%. The bond will pay you back 1100e05(5) =1127.85 in six months. Use the forward purchase contract to buy the index for 1115. This leaves you with a riskless profit of 1127.85 - 1115 = 12.85. 5.9 a) The money manager could travel to 1981, invest money, travel back to 1982 and immediately collect the final amount and then take the increased funds to 1981 and invest them. Do this n times and you will increase your original amount by 1.125n. The sky is the limit. b) Too many trades at 12.5% will begin to drive the rates down in a competitive market. This won't last. c) Time travel may come to pass, but free unlimited accumulation of money will not. The time travel cannot be costless. S.ll a) The notational value of four contracts is: 4(250)(1200) = 1,200,000 because each index point is worth $250, and we buy four contracts. b) This is 10% of the notational value, or $120,000 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 12 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 5 Page M1231 S.13 This question really asks us to verify the word equation. Stock = long forward + zero coupon bond for tailed value of stock. It is a proof type question, and not typical of exam questions -but we will discuss it. This verification has already been done for the continuous case with interest rate r and dividend rate 8 in table 5.4 of the text. This gives the answer to part c), and to part a for the special case where 8 = 0. Part b) is all that needs to be done. If the stock pays discrete dividends, the value at time 0 of a tailed position in the stock is the current value of the stock less the present value of anticipated future dividends. This is i=l You lend this amount. The long forward has not cost initially. The forward price is Fo,T=erTSo-Jd^(T-^. i=l At time T you will have the value of a single share of stock, as we see below Forward profit - repayment of loan = ST -F0,T - erT(Loan amount) = ST-erTS0 + J die"*™- erTfs0-J^e""'! i=l V i=l J = St ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M12-32 Module 12 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 5 Section 12.8 Module 12 Computational Review Problems 1. (1 pt) A $ 75 stock pays $ 4.5 every 3 months, with the first dividend coming 3 months from today. The continously compounded risk-free rate is 8 %. a) What is the price of a prepaid forward contract that expires 1 year from today, immediately after the fourth-quarter dividend? $ ? b) What is the price of a forward contract that expires at the same time? $ ? ANSWER1: 57.87 ANSWER2: 62.69 2. (1 pt) A $ 85 stock pays an 5 % continous dividend. The continously compounded risk-free rate is 11 %. a) What is the price of a prepaid forward contract that expires 1 year from today, immediately after the fourth-quarter dividend? $ ? b) What is the price of a forward contract that expires at the same time? $ ? ANSWER1: 80.85 ANSWER2: 90.25 3. (1 pt) Suppose the stock price is $ 50 and the continously compounded interest rate is 10 %. a) What is the price of a 4 - month forward price, assuming dividends are zero? $ ? b) If the 4 - month forward price is $ 51.1, what is the annualized forward premium? %? c) If the 4 - month forward price is $ 51.1, what is the annualized continous dividend yield? %? ANSWER1: 51.69 ANSWER2: 6.52844753445381 ANSWER3: 3.47155246554619 4. (1 pt) Suppose the S and P 500 index futures price is currently 1135. You wish to purchase 6 futures contracts on margin, a) What is the notational value of your postition? $ ? Assuming a 10 % initial margin, what is the value of the initial margin? $ ? ANSWER1: 1702500 ANSWER2: 170250 ANSWER3: 5. (1 pt) Suppose the A and T index spot price is 1175 and the continuously compounded risk-free rate is 9 %. You observe a 6 - month forward price of 1176.95. What dividend %? yield is implied by this forward price? ANSWER1: 8.67 ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Module 12 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 5 Page M12- 33 Section 12,9 Supplemental Exercises 1. A stock has current price S0 = 50. The annual continuous interest rate and dividend yield are r = .03 and 8 = .01. If the expiration time for a forward contract is T = .25, what is the difference between the forward price and the prepaid forward price. A) 0.12 B)0.25 C)0.37 D) 0.49 E) 0.62 2. A stock has current price S0 = 50. The annual continuous interest rate is r = .03. Semiannual dividends of $1 will be paid in six months and one year. What is the price of a one year prepaid forward? A) 50 B) 49.03 C) 49.02 D) 48.04 E) 48 3. A stock has current price S0 = 50. The annual continuous interest rate is r = .04. If the expiration time for a forward contract is T = .25 and the forward price is 50.30, what is the continuous dividend yield 8 ? A) 0.01 B) 0.016 C) 0.020 D) 0.025 E) 0.03 4. A stock has current price S0 = 46. The annual continuous interest rate is r = .035 and the continuous dividend yield is 8 = .01. You observe a one year prepaid forward price of 45.60. Which of the following is true? A) No arbitrage is possible. B) You can create an arbitrage by buying one prepaid forward and selling one share of the stock short C) You can create an arbitrage by selling the prepaid forward and buying one share of the stock. D) You can create an arbitrage by buying the prepaid forward and selling e"01 shares of the stock short E) You can create an arbitrage by selling the prepaid forward and buying e"M shares of the stock . ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M12-34 Module 12 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 5 5. A stock has current price S0 = 50. The annual continuous interest rate is r = .035 and the continuous dividend yield is 5 = .01. You observe a one year prepaid forward price of 49.50. Which of the following is true? A) No arbitrage is possible. B) You can create an arbitrage by buying one prepaid forward and selling one share of the stock short C) You can create an arbitrage by selling the prepaid forward and buying one share of the stock. D) You can create an arbitrage by buying the prepaid forward and selling e"01 shares of the stock short E) You can create an arbitrage by selling the prepaid forward and buying e"01 shares of the stock 6. The S&R index has a spot price of S0 = 1000 . The continuous interest rate is r = .04 and the continuous dividend yield is 8 = 0 You observe a six month forward price of 1050. What arbitrage profit can be made in 6 months? A) 0 B) 10.06 C) 15.73 D) 29.80 E) 30.17 7. The S&R index has a spot price of S0 = 1000 . The continuous interest rate is r = .03 and the continuous dividend yield is 8 = 0 The one year forward price is 1030.45. You enter into a forward sale contract and buy the index. Which of the following positions is this equivalent to: A) A short sale of the index. B) Purchase of a one year zero-coupon bond with r = .03 C) A reverse cash and carry hedge. D) A cash and carry arbitrage E) None of these. 8. The S&R index has a spot price of S0 = 1000. The continuous interest rate is r = .03 and the continuous dividend yield is 8 = 0 The one year forward price is 1030.45. Which of the following positions results in a synthetic long forward contract: A) Sell the index short for 1000 and lend the proceeds at r = .03 B) Sell the index short for 1000 and borrow 1000 at r = .03 C) Borrow 1000 at r = .03 and buy the index. D) Borrow 1000 at r = .03 and sell the index short E) None of these. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 12 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 5 Page M12- 35 9. The S&R index has a spot price of S0 = 1000 . The continuous interest rate is r = .03 and the continuous dividend yield is 8 = 0 The one year forward price is 1030.45. Which of the following positions results in a synthetic purchase of a share of the index: A) Enter into a long forward contract. B) Enter into a long forward contract and borrow 1000 at r = .03 C) Buy a zero-coupon bond for 1000 at r = .03 and enter into a long forward contract. D) Borrow 1000 at r = .03 and sell the index short E) None of these. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M12-36 Module 12 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 5 Section 12.10 Supplemental Exercise Solutions 1. The forward price and prepaid forward price are F0,o.2s =50e(03-01)-25 =50.25 , F^o.25 = 50e(-01)-25 =49.88 The difference is 50.25-49.88 = 0.37. Answer C 2. The present value of dividends is PV(div) = le-03(5) + le"03 = 1.96 The prepaid forward price is S0 - PV (div) = 50 -1.96 = 48.04 Answer D 3. F0tT = S0e{r~s)T -> 50.30 = 50e(04^25 In ( 50.30 V 50 £ = .016 .01 -.25 J Answer B 4. The correct prepaid forward price is S0e~ST = 46e"01 = 45.54. Thus the forward price of 45.60 is too high. You can sell the forward for 45.60 and buy a tailed position in the stock for a price of S0e~ST = 46e"01 = 45.54. This gives a profit of .06 at time 0. In one year the tailed position in the stock will have grown to a full share, and that can be delivered to satisfy the forward contract. Answer E 5. The correct forward price is S0e"*T = 50e~01 = 49.50. Thus the market price is correct and there is no arbitrage. Answer A ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 12 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 5 Page M12- 37 6. The forward price should be lOOOe04( 5) = 1020.20. Thus you can create an arbitrage by entering a forward sale contract at the price of 1050, and borrowing 1000 to buy the stock today. In six months you will deliver the share of stock and receive the forward price of 1050. The loan repayment due is lOOOe04(5) = 1020.20. Thus there is a profit of 1050 - 1020.20 = 29.80 Answer D The next three problems all make use of the identity below or variants of it. STOCK = LONG FORWARD + ZERO COUPON BOND 7. Your position is - LONG FORWARD + STOCK. This is equivalent to the purchase of a zero-coupon bond at r = .03 The forward price is the correct theoretical price. Answer B 8. STOCK-ZERO COUPON BOND = LONG FORWARD Thus you buy the index for 1000 and sell a zero coupon bond for 1000 (borrow the money to buy the stock.). Answer C 9. STOCK = LONG FORWARD + ZERO COUPON BOND Thus you enter into a long forward at the price of 1030.45 and invest 1000 (lend) at r = .03. Answer C ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 13 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 7 Page M13- 1 Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 7 Section 13.1 Why this Chapter is Necessary Chapter 7 is not included in the syllabus for Exam FM/2, but discussion of Sections 7.1 and 7.2 will make it easier to understand section 8.2, which is included on the syllabus. The particular items of interest are: a) In section 7.1 Derivatives Markets covers spot rates and implied forward rates. The notation used in section 7.1 is completely different from the notation from the Broverman text used previously in Module 6 of this guide. However this new notation is used again in section 8.2. Thus it is helpful to review this notation. In fact, this new notation is also used in later chapters which are required for the next exam, MFE. b) In section 7.2 Derivatives Markets covers forward rate agreements for interest rates. This material is needed for complete understanding of interest rate swaps in section 8.2. The coverage here is just a quick review, and that is all you will need. No homework problems are needed. We have also included a review of Eurodollar futures and LIBOR (from section 5.7). This material is not on the FM/2 syllabus, but it is used in section 8.2. ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Page M13-2 Module 13 - Review of Derivatives Marketsy Chapter 7 Section 13,2 New Notation for Spot and Forward Rates In Module 6 of this guide, we used the notation sn for the n-year spot rate and the notation in_lin for the implied forward rate in year n. The spot and forward rates were related by 1 + *"-i." = 7^ T^T or equivalents (1 + sn)n = (1 + sn_i)n_1 (1 + in_i,n). (1 + Sn-l) Derivatives Markets uses the notation P(ti,t2) for the price of a zero coupon bond that is purchased at time ti and pays 1 at time t2. The special case P (0, n) gives the spot rate sn, since (13.1) In Derivatives Markets the implied forward rate at time 0 for the time interval (ti,£2) is denoted by r0 (tlft2). Thus we have (13.2) in-i,n =r0(n-l,n) The spot rate sn is denoted by r(0, n). (13.3) P(0,n-l) = P(0,n)(l + r0(n-l,n)) On page 206 in Table 7.1, the text gives a yield curve example which provides a good review of these concepts. Zero- Zero- One Year Continuously Years to coupon coupon Implied Par Compounded Maturity Bond Yield Bond Price Forward Rate Coupon Zero Yield 1 2 3 6.00% 6.50% 7.00% 0.943396 0.881659 0.816298 6.00000% 7.00236% 8.00705% 6.00000% 6.48423% 6.95485% 5.82689% 6.29748% 6.76586% ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 13 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 7 Page M13- 3 We will work through the final row for year 3 to illustrate the calculations and review both notations. Zero-coupon Bond Yield s3 = 7.00% Zero-coupon Bond Price P(0,3) = =- = r- = .816298 V ' ; (l + s3)3 1.073 One Year Implied Forward Rate (l + M.(l + MW)).fg.l«^.1J8M705 Par Coupon This is the percentage coupon c which would give a bond with redemption value of 1 an initial price of 1. We obtain the par coupon by solving the bond pricing present value equation below for c. ^ c c c 1 1 = + =- + ;- + - 1.06 1.0652 1.073 1.073 1-1/1 073 c = ' , =- = 0.0695485 1/1.06 + 1/1.0652+1/1.073 In the notation of Derivatives Markets the value of c would be written as 1-P(0.3) P(0,l) + P(0,2) + P(0,3)' This is a special case of equation (7.6) on page 210 of the text. The concept of par coupon bond rate will come up when interest rate swaps are discussed in section 8.2 of Derivatives Markets. Continuously Compounded Zero Yield. Derivatives Markets denotes the continuously compounded yield on the interval (0,n) by rcc (0,n). For n=3, we have P(0,3) = e-rCC(0'3)3 -> -JL_ = e-cW v ; 1.073 Taking logs of both sides of the above equation we get -31n(1.07) = -3rcc(0,3) -> rcc (0,3) = ln(1.07) = .0676586 In general, rcc(0,n) = ln(l + sn) = V V ' }). ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M13-4 Module 13 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 7 Section 13.3 Forward Rate Agreements Section 7.2 introduces forward rate agreements, which are used to hedge interest rate risk. As we indicated at the beginning of this chapter, the syllabus material in section 8.2 requires a basic understanding of what a forward rate agreement is. Fortunately, we need only cover some very basic material that is on pages 214 and 215 of Derivatives Markets .It is not necessary to master the remaining material in Section 7.2. The text says that "A forward rate agreement (FRA) is an over the counter contract that guarantees a borrowing or lending rate on a given notional principal amount." The text clarifies this with an example, and we will discuss that example in a slightly different way here. The example concerns a firm that will need a 91 day (one quarter) loan for 100 million dollars in 120 days. The firm will pay whatever the current quarterly loan rate is in 120 days, but cannot guarantee what that rate will be. The text denotes the unknown rate that will be put on the loan in 120 days as rquarteriy. However there is a future quarterly rate that is known -the implied forward rate today for the quarter beginning in 120 days is 1.8%. Today h- Implied forward 1.8%0 If the company could find a lender who would commit today to a loan at the implied quarterly forward rate of 1.8%, it would eliminate uncertainty and have a guaranteed rate of 1.8%. An FRA would achieve that guarantee in a different way. The necessary FRA for this company covers a loan of 100m, so the FRA would be given a notional amount of 100m. The company would like to assure a rate of 1.8% for the quarter, so it will set up a rate for the FRA of rFRA = 1.8%. Under the FRA the company and its counterparty would agree today that on the repayment day in 211 days the company would be guaranteed a payment of (rquarteriy ~ rFRA ) X notional amOUnt = (rauarterly - 1.8%) X 100,000,000. If the above quantity is positive the company gets the payment, and if it is negative the company makes a payment of that size. Thus the company gets or makes a payment that brings its quarterly interest rate back to 1.8%. The text looks at two examples to illustrate how this works: ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby 120 days 91 days later (211 days total) Borrow Repay loan 100mm Loan rate?
Module 13 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 7 Page M13- 5 1) Interest rate in 120 days is higher than 1.8% and the loan is made at 2%. Then at repayment time the company receives a payment of (Quarterly - 1-8%) X 100,000,000 = (2% - 1.8%) X 100, 000, 000 = 200,000, This lowers the net interest rate from 2% to 1.8%. 2) Interest rate in 120 days is lower than 1.8% and the loan is made at 1.5%. Then at repayment time the company makes a payment of (Quarterly - 1.8%) X 100,000,000 = (1.5% - 1.8%) X 100,000,000 = -300,000, This raises the net interest rate from 1.5% to 1.8%. The text has further detail on FRAs, but the simple ideas above are all you need to know for understanding section 8.2. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M13-6 Module 13 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 7 Section 13,4 LIBOR and Eurodollar Futures The material here is covered in Chapter 5 and is intended to help with understanding the material in section 8.2 starting on page 258 (titled The Swap Curve). You do not need to know it in detail, but it is used to get implied forward interest rates for use with interest rate swaps. You can read it for general understanding, but it is not on the syllabus and does not require homework problems. A Eurodollar is a dollar deposited in an account outside of the United States. Banks borrow and lend with other banks through Eurodollar account deposits, and most of this activity takes place in London. LIBOR stands for the London Interbank Offer Rate, and is described in Derivatives Markets as "the average borrowing rate faced by large international London banks." LIBOR is a key benchmark for floating rate loans, which typically state that the loan rate will be a specified percent above LIBOR -e.g., LIBOR plus 0.25%. A Eurodollar Future is a standardized futures contract which enables you to hedge interest rate risk just as you might do with an FRA. On pages 158-160 Derivatives Markets looks at a Eurodollar futures contract based on 3 month LIBOR. This contract has a notional amount of 1 million dollars. We will go through an example from Derivatives Markets to show how it works. The price of the LIBOR futures contract at expiration is quoted as (100 - Annualized 3 month LIBOR). The annualized number is computed as if the year had 360 days and each quarter had 90 days. Thus if 3 month LIBOR is 1.5% Annualized LIBOR = — x 1.5% = 6% 90 Futures Price = 100 - 6 = 94 Derivatives Markets gives the example of a borrower who will need to borrow 1 million dollars for 90 days beginning on the date 7 months from now. Today the futures price is 94, implying a quarterly rate of 1.5% as above. This borrower will sell the Eurodollar futures contract for seven months from now at a price of 94. Now suppose that 7 months have gone by and quarterly LIBOR is actually 2%. The borrower will still borrow at LIBOR for 2%, but on the day that he takes out the loan the short the futures price is now 92. The borrower receives a cash settlement for 1,000,000 x (94% - 92%) x - = 5,000 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 13 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 7 Page M13- 7 Note that the extra interest that the borrower will need to pay because interest rates are 2% quarterly instead of 1.5% quarterly is 1,000,000(2% -1.5%) = 5000 The futures payment offsets the extra interest, and it is received in advance while the interest payment itself will not be due for a quarter. Since the Eurodollar futures contract is based on a future value of 3 month LIBOR, it is often used in finding forward rates. That is how it will be used in Section 8.2. One additional adjustment is used in that calculation. The futures price F is based on a hypothetical 360 day year. To adjust for a 91 day quarter, the implied 91 day interest rate is calculated as 1 1 Q1 r9i = (100-F)x —x-ix — v ; 100 4 90 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 14 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 8 PageM14- 1 Review of Derivatives Markets Chapter 8 Section 14.1 Swaps In Chapter 8 of this guide, we looked at the example of a farmer who wanted to guarantee a sale price of 2.44 per bushel for his corn in one month. He could do this by entering a forward contract with a cereal company that wanted to guarantee a purchase price of 2.44 per bushel in one month. In this chapter we will look at a generalization of such a single forward agreement. Suppose that the farmer wanted to guarantee a fixed price per bushel for sales in each of the next two months, and the cereal manufacturer wanted to buy at the same fixed price in each of the next two months. An agreement covering forward sales over multiple time periods is called a swap. Note that the farmer could guarantee prices for two months in a row by buying two separate forward contracts. However it is simpler to have a single swap agreement that covers multiple periods with the same price. In Sections 8.1 and 8.2, the text Derivatives Markets illustrates how swaps work by looking at two examples of swaps - a commodity swap to guarantee the price of oil for two years and an interest rate swap to guarantee a set interest rate for three years. The text points out that through these examples you will ultimately see that "swaps are nothing more than forward contracts coupled with borrowing and lending money." ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Page M14-2 Module 14 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 8 Section 14.2 An Oil Swap Example Example 8.1 deals with a company that plans to buy 100,000 barrels of oil in each of the next two years. The table below shows the forward prices and spot rates that are in place today. Year Forward price of a barrel of oil Spot Rate 1 20 6% 2 21 6.5% The company can guarantee oil for two years by entering into two separate forward contracts. The cost per barrel now to buy oil for 20 in one year and 21 in two years is 20 ■ + -* 37.38277. 1.06 1.0652 The text points out that the company could pay a single supplier 37.38277 per barrel today for a forward agreement to deliver oil at 20 in one year and 21 in two years. Payment in advance for multiple deliveries is called a prepaid swap. A prepaid swap is risky: the company would face the risk that the supplier encountered problems and could not deliver even though they had been paid in advance. A better solution would be to pay separately each year, since then the company would only pay if the supplier was in business and able to deliver at that time. In either case, the company is really buying the physical oil from a single supplier. This is called physical settlement. Note that the above buyer who is doing physical settlement does not have a fixed price. The buyer could determine an appropriate fixed price x by offering to make a level payment that gives the same present value of 37.38277. To find x we solve the following present value equation. : 37.38277 -* x = 20.48309 1.06 1.0652 Cash Settlement of a Swap A simpler solution than physical settlement is to buy at market prices each year but contract for cash settlement payments each year that compensate for price changes. The current market price of oil at time n is referred to as the spot price of oil at time n. We will denote it by Spotn. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 14 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 8 PageM14- 3 The idea behind cash settlement is to find a counterparty who will make an adjusting payment to the buyer after the buyer has paid the spot price. The adjusting payment that would take the company back to the desired fixed price is Spotn- 20.48309. If spot prices went up in one year to 21.48309, the company would pay that amount but receive +$1 per barrel from the counterparty to reduce the net expenditure to 20.48309. If spot prices went down in one year to 19.48309, the company would pay that amount but would be required to pay -$1 to the counterparty to bring the net expenditure to 20.48309. If we denote the level swap price by Swpr and the buyer's swap payment at time n by Swpmtn, the general expression for the swap payment received by the buyer at time n is (14.1) Buyer payment = Swpmtn =Spotn -Swpr If we denote the net cost to the company at time n by Netn, we have (14.2) , _ Net to buyer = Netn = Swpmtn - Spotn = (Spotn - Swpr) - Spotn = -Swpr The company always ends up with a net payment equal to the swap price. This is derived as a word equation on page 249 of Derivatives Markets. The text points out that the same level price of 20.48309 applies whether the swap is structured using physical settlement or financial settlement. Note that the seller or counterparty to the buyer has a payment equal to the negative of the buyer's payment. (14.3) Counterparty payment = -Swpmtn = Swpr - Spotn The next section examines the position of the counterparty in more detail. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M14-4 Module 14 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 8 The Dealer as Counterparty The textbook Analysis of Derivatives for the CFA Program states (page 271) that: "The swap market is almost exclusively an over-the-counter market, so swaps contracts are customized to the parties' specific needs." Thus the buyer of a swap is most likely to have a dealer as counterparty. (The dealer will most likely be associated with a large bank or a major investment bank.) Derivatives Markets analyzes the dealer's role as counterparty on page 250. There are two ways that the dealer can function as a swap counterparty. 1) The dealer can find a seller to match with the buyer and simply act as a go-between. The dealer will make his money by charging the buyer a higher price than the seller gets. This creates a bid-ask spread that serves as the dealer's fee. This kind of transaction is referred to as a back-to-back or a matched book transaction. The structure is diagrammed in Figure 8.3 on page 251. The swap counterparty in the middle of Figure 8.3 is the dealer. In that diagram the swap price is the same for buyer and seller, so there is no spread. Spread is apparently not included to keep the example simple. 2) The dealer can provide the swap to the buyer and hedge it using long forward or futures contracts. This is illustrated by reference to the original example of oil forward prices over 2 years. Year Forward price of a barrel of oil Spot Rate 1 20 6% 2 21 6.5% If the dealer provides the two year swap with Swpr = 20.48309, here is what the dealer gets per barrel: Yearl. Counterparty payment 20.48309 - Spotn Forward profit Spotn - 20 Total 0.48309 Year 2. Counterparty payment 20.48309 - Spotn Forward profit Spotn - 21 Total -0.51691 Thus the dealer ultimately gets .48309 at time 1 but must pay back - .51691 at time 2. This is a loan. The rate on it is — -1 = .07 \ .48309 1 The loan rate is 7.00%, and it is actually the implied forward rate for the time interval (1,2) , . P(0,1) 1.06"1 which we denoted in the previous chapter as 1 + r0 (1,2) = = = 1.07 P(0,2) 1.065"2 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby^
Module 14 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 8 PageM14- 5 This example illustrates two important points. 1) The commodity swap is a combination of a loan and a series of forwards. That is exactly how it played out for the dealer. 2) The dealer still has interest rate risk. The dealer has a 7% loan, and will invest the amount loaned for a year to accumulate an amount to repay the loan. If interest rates are above 7% in that year, he makes a profit. If interest rates are below 7% in that year, he loses money. The text points out that he will probably hedge his interest rate risk using an FRA. Remember that the dealer really makes his money as a fee obtained from a bid-ask spread -even though the example here does not include that spread in order to keep things simple. So the dealer's strategy is to hedge all risks and collect the fee income. The Market Value of a Swap A swap contract is like a forward contract. The forward agreement is made, but no money changes hands when this happens. The initial value of the swap is 0. However conditions can change. Suppose that you have the previous swap which entitles you to buy oil for 20. 43809 in each of the next two years, and that oil prices suddenly rise. Then you have the right to buy oil below market, and someone will pay for that. We review these important points below. 1) The initial value of a swap is 0. 2) A swap can have a non-zero market value if market conditions change. The text gives a simple example to illustrate this. In this example, as soon as the swap contract is made forward prices go up by $2 for each of year 1 and year 2. Thus we have Year Original Forward price of a barrel of oil New Forward price of a barrel of oil 1 20 22 2 21 23 The text assumes that the interest rate yield curve does not change. Year Spot Rate 1 6% 2 6.5% The new price for a two year swap can be calculated using the new forward prices. The present value of a prepaid forward is now 22 23 = 41.03288 1.06 1.0652 The level swap payment x is found from the present value equation x x 1.06 1.0652 : 41.03288 x = 22.48309 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M14-6 Module 14 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 8 Then the buyer in the original swap with price of 20.48309 could become a counterparty and sell a swap at the price of 22.48309. The result for any year is given below. Buyer payment Spotn - 20.48309 Counterparty payment 22.48309 - Spotn Total 2.00 The buyer of the original swap can net a total of $2 per year with this strategy. The present value of these payments of $2 is : 3.65011 1.06 1.0652 Thus the market value of the swap is 3.65011, the present value of the payments you can net if you have that swap. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 14 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 8 Page M14- 7 Section 14.3 Interest Rate Swaps Section 7.2 of Derivatives Markets shows how to guarantee an interest rate in the future using a forward rate agreement (FRA). We reviewed that section in Module 13 of this guide because it was needed as a prerequisite for interest rate swaps. Section 8.2 of Derivatives Markets discusses interest rate swaps, which are like a series of FRAs extending over a number of periods. An interest rate swap might be entered by a company that has floating rate debt for a number of years and would like the floating rate debt to be converted to fixed rate debt. We will discuss how this works in the next section. An Example of an Interest Rate Swap On page 254, Derivatives Markets looks at the example of an interest rate swap for XYZ company, which will borrow 200 million dollars at LIBOR for the next three years, starting now. The example assumes the same yield curve that we studied in the previous module. It is useful to have the table of information that was presented there in Table 7.1. Note that the text takes this to be a LIBOR based yield curve, so that the year one spot rate of 6% is the one year LIBOR rate and the implied forward rates for years 2 and 3 are the implied one year LIBOR forward values. Zero- coupon Zero- One Year Continuously Years to Bond coupon Implied Par Compounded Maturity Yield Bond Price Forward Rate Coupon Zero Yield 1 2 3 6.00% 6.50% 7.00% 0.943396 0.881659 0.816298 6.00000% 7.00236% 8.00705% 6.00000% 6.48423% 6.95485% 5.82689% 6.29748% 6.76586% The XYZ company would like to pay a fixed rate instead of a floating rate. The company could pay off the floating rate debt and issue fixed rate debt (a bond) in its place. This would have transaction costs, and the company does not want to do that. Instead the company enters into an interest rate swap contract with a notional amount of 200 million. The contract is based on a fixed interest rate of 6.95485%. Note that the fixed swap rate is the par coupon for the full term of the swap. (This is derived in Derivative Markets immediately following the example.) The term of the swap is called the swap term or swap tenor. Under the swap contract XYZ is guaranteed a payment with the counterparty at the rate of LIBOR - 6.95485% applied to the notional amount, where the payment is made: a) by the counterparty to XYZ if LIBOR - 6.95485% > 0, b) by XYZ to the counterparty if LIBOR - 6.95485% < 0. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M14-8 Module 14 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 8 Then XYZ will borrow at LIBOR each year, and have a net interest payment at a rate of -LIBOR + (LIBOR - 6.95485%) = - 6.95485%. Note that although XYZ obtains a fixed rate with the swap, the counterparty's payments of LIBOR - 6.95485% are floating, since they depend on LIBOR each year. Finding the Swap Rate R On page 255 the text continues the example to show how the swap rate is determined and illustrate why it turns out to be equal to the par bond coupon. This is done by looking at how the counterparty to the swap will hedge his interest rate risk. The counterparty is described as a market maker (dealer), and has the risk of payments that vary (float) with LIBOR. Suppose that R is the unknown fixed swap rate. The market maker has a (positive or negative) payment each year of LIBOR-R. The text takes the one year spot rate in the yield curve table to be one year LIBOR. Thus in year one LIBOR = 6% and the payment is 6% - R. In the remaining two years the future realized values of LIBOR , n and f2, are currently uncertain. Thus the market maker faces payments at the rates in the table below. Here a positive value means that the market maker receives a payment and a negative value means that he makes one. Year 1 2 3 Swap Payment Rate R-6% R-n R-f2 Status Certain Uncertain Uncertain We know from the previous chapter that an uncertain future rate can be hedged using an FRA. The market maker will then enter into FRAs for year 2 and year 3 to fix those rates. The text takes the FRA rate for a year to be the implied forward rate for that year. Thus the market maker has hedge positions with the FRA payments given below. Year Forward Rate FRA Payment Rate 2 3 7.0024% 8.0071% fx- 7.0024% f2-8.0071% ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Module 14 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 8 PageM14- 9 Table 8.2 of Derivatives Markets shows the final position of the market maker after swap payments and FRA hedging payments are made. Year FRA Payment Rate Swap Payment Rate Net Rate 1 2 3 h -7.0024% f2-8.0071% R-6% R-h R-f2 R-6% R-7.0024% R-8.0071% Now the uncertainty of fx and f2 has been eliminated. The final question is how to set the value of R . The answer to this is that the market maker should set his rate R so that the present value of all net payments made is 0. Each net payment is discounted at the zero-coupon bond yield for its year. Thus we have R-.06 R-.070024 R-.080071 A • + — „— + ; = 0 1.06 R 1.0652 1 1.073 .1.06 1.0652 1.073 R = .069548 .06 .070024 .080071 ■ + =- + ■ 1.06 1.0652 1.073 The final value of R above was found using forward rates calculated to full precision, and rounded answers may vary slightly. The point the example attempts to make is that when you solve for R, you find that the theoretically correct value of R is the par coupon bond rate as we predicted. The text works to derive this on page 257 in a section entitled Computing the Swap Rate in General. We can see the reasoning behind this derivation concretely if we rewrite the right side of the second equation above with the implied forward rates written using their exact definition. .06 1.06 1.0652 .070024 .080071 ■ + • 1.0652 1.06 1.073 .06 1.06 .06 1.06 + 1.06 1 -1 1.0652 1 1.073 1.0652 -1 1.073 1 1 1.0652 1.0652 1.073 = 1- 1.073 Thus the equation that we solved for R is equivalent to R 1.06 1.0652 1.073 = 1 — 1 1.073 1- This gives R = - 1.073 1-P(0,3) 111 ■+ . „ +- 1.06 1.0652 1.073 P(0,l) + P(0,2) + P(0,3) This is the formula for a par bond coupon given in Chapter 7 of Derivatives Markets. ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Page M14-10 Module 14 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 8 Some Observations about the Swap It is instructive to take a further look at the preceding swap from the point of view of the market maker. Once we know that the correct swap rate is 6.9548%, we can look at his specific net payments after hedging. Year Net Rate 1 2 3 R-6% = 0.9548% R-7.0024% = -0.0476% R-8.0071% = -1.0523% With an upward sloping yield curve, the market maker will be paid money in year 1 and then begin paying money later. This is really a loan. The market maker gets money in early years and pays it back later. Remember that the same thing held for the oil swap in the previous section. The hedged dealer still had cash flows that amounted to a loan. See the solution to question 8.9 for the analysis of the loan and its implicit balance at each period. Note that the value of the market maker's position changes over time. After year one there is no further payment to the market maker, since all subsequent cash flows are negative. Derivatives Markets notes that if the XYZ company did not care about having a fixed rate, it could have done what the dealer did and used FRA agreements to lock in separate forward rates. The Swap Curve To find the swap rate in practice, we need to have a real LIBOR yield curve which can be used to create LIBOR forward rates and par bond coupons for R. On page 258 in the section entitled The Swap Curve Derivatives Markets illustrates how implied forward quarterly rates can be obtained from published prices of 90 day Eurodollar futures and then used to find the par bond rate that will be the swap rate R. We have reviewed the Eurodollar basics in the previous chapter of this guide. The steps in the swap curve calculations are clearly outlined on page 259, and we will not repeat them. However they should be reviewed. It is worth looking again at the 3 year example yield curve from Table 7.1 to note relationships among the rates in the table. With an upward sloping yield curve, the forward rate for each year is greater than the spot rate for the same year. Note also that the 3-year swap rate is less than the forward rate for year 3 but greater than the spot rate for year 3. For an upward sloping yield curve we would expect Spot rate for year n < Swap rate for n years < Forward rate for year n.. In a graph on page 260 the text shows a 10 year graph of the spot rate on Treasuries, the swap rate and the forward rate by year for values computed using Eurodollar futures prices. Not surprisingly, the spot rate curve is below the swap curve, which is in turn below the forward curve. The difference between the swap rate and the spot rate is called the swap spread. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 14 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 8 Page M14-11 Deferred Swaps There are also swap contracts that start at some time in the future. These are called deferred swaps, and their swap rate is also set using the same present value reasoning. Derivatives Markets looks at a one year deferred swap lasting for two subsequent years, again based on the yield curve in Table 7.1. The equation to solve for R here is R-.070024 [ R-.080071 1.0652 + 1.073 This equation contains terms for the final two hedged years of the full three year swap that we previously analyzed. The answer is R = 7.4854%. Reasons to enter into a swap On page 262 of Derivatives Markets there is section entitled "Why Swap Interest Rates?". The reasoning outlined here is: a) Some companies would like to borrow at short term rates which are typically lower. b) Short term lenders dislike lending very large amounts to one borrower, since they would rather diversify. c) Long term lenders are willing to issue large amounts of fixed rate debt. d) Thus companies may borrow long term at a fixed rate and swap into the short term rate they desire. Other texts give additional reasons that firms might wish to swap, but only this text is required for exam FM/2. Amortizing and Accreting Swaps In our previous examples the notional amount of the swap was fixed through the swap term. It is possible to set up a swap in which the notional amount changes over time. If the notional amount increases over time the swap is called an accreting swap. If the notional amount decreases over time the swap is called an amortizing swap. On page 263 of Derivatives Markets there is the formula for the swap price of a swap with varying notional amounts. We will go over that in the next section. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M14-12 Module 14 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 8 Section 14.4 A General Formula for All Swaps The reasoning used for oil swaps and interest rate swaps can be handled by a single general formula, which is given as equation 8.13 in Derivatives Markets. If you use the notation f0 (ti) to stand for the forward price at time U, the swap price is given by (14.4) £p(0,tt)/o(ti) R = ^-n lP(0,t.) i=l We can see this concretely by reviewing our swap examples. For the oil swap we solved the present value equation X - + -^- = 30.38277 = — + - 21 1.06 1.0652 "" 1.06 ' 1.0652 Note that the forward prices were 20 and 21, so that the equation is of the form x[P(0,l) + P(0,2)] = /0(l)P(0,l) + /o(2)P(0,2) This follows (14.4) For the interest swap we solved the equation R\ + =- + ■ .06 .070024 .080071 + =- + ■ 1.06 1.0652 1.073J 1.06 1.0652 1.073 ' The rate for year 1 is the known rate of 6%, and the rates Of 7.0024% and 8.0071% are the forward rates for years 2 and 3. This is also of the form of 14.4 x[P(04) + P(0,2) + P(0,3)] = /o(l)P(0,l) + /o(2)P(0,2) + /o(3)P(0,3). When the text analyzes interest rate swaps the above equation is modified to read x [P (0,1) + P (0,2) + P (0,3)] = r(0,1)P (0,1) + r(l, 2)P (0,2) + r(2,3)P (0,3). In the discussion on page 257 Derivatives Markets uses the expression R _ i=l Ii»(o,t«) i=l ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Module 14 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 8 Page M14-13 This is just another way to write (14.4). However, familiarity with this notation is very helpful in understanding formula (8.7) of Derivatives Markets. That formula gives the swap price of an interest rate swap with varying notional amounts. If Qt is the notional amount at time t, the swap price is given by XQt«P(0,ti)r(tw,ti) R=^—n • ZQt,P(0,t,) i=l This is the basic formula modified by multiplying each term of the numerator and denominator by the corresponding notional amount. This is used in textbook problem 8.10. There is also a nice formula for a deferred swap price. If a deferred swap starts in period j and ends in period fc, the swap price is the usual formula but with only the time periods from j to k included. £p(0,ti)r(ti-i,ti) g -hi £p(o,t«) ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M14-14 Module 14 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 8 Section 14.5 Module 14 Summary An agreement covering forward sales over multiple time periods is called a swap. Payment in advance for multiple deliveries is called a prepaid swap. Commodity Swap If the buyer is really buying the swapped commodity from a single supplier, the swap has a physical settlement. The idea behind cash settlement is to find a counterparty who will make an adjusting payment to the buyer after the buyer has paid the spot price. Denote the level swap price by Swpr and the buyer's swap payment at time n by Swpmtn. Buyer payment = Swpmtn = Spotn -Swpr. Denote the net cost to the company at time n by Netn. Net to buyer = Netn = Swpmtn - Spotn = (Spotn - Swpr) - Spotn = -Swpr Counterparty payment = -Swpmtn = Swpr - Spotn. Two ways that the dealer can function as a swap counterparty. The dealer can find a seller to match with the buyer and simply act as a go- between: back-to-back or a matched book transaction. The dealer can provide the swap to the buyer and hedge it using long forward or futures contracts. Then • The commodity swap is a combination of a loan and a series of forwards. • The dealer still has interest rate risk due to the loan. Interest Rate Swap A floating rate loan can be converted to a fixed rate loan by a series of counterparty payments. Theoretically correct value of the fixed swap interest rate R is the par coupon bond rate. If the floating rate is LIBOR, the payment is LIBOR - R. It is made: a) by the counterparty to the floating rate borrower if LIBOR - R > 0, b) by the floating rate borrower to the counterparty if LIBOR - R < 0. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 14 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 8 Page M14-15 The market maker should set his rate R so that the present value of all net payments from the swap and forward hedges is 0. This will lead to the fixed rate R being the par coupon bond rate. Implied forward quarterly rates can be obtained from published prices of 90 day Eurodollar futures and then used to find the par bond rate that will be the swap rate R.. The difference between the swap rate and the spot rate is called the swap spread. Deferred swap contracts start at some time in the future. Their swap rate is also set using present value reasoning. Companies may enter into swaps to avoid restrictions by short term floating lenders. • If the notional amount increases over time the swap is called an accreting swap. • If the notional amount decreases over time the swap is called an amortizing swap. If you use the notation f0 (ti) to stand for the forward price at time tiy the swap price is given by £p(o,tO/o(ti) ZP(0,ti) If Qt is the notional amount at time t for a variable notional amount swap, the swap price is given by £Q«.P(0,t.)r(ti-i,ti) K = ^ • £Q.,P(o,t«) i=l If a deferred swap starts in period j and ends in period k, the swap price is the usual formula but with only the time periods from j to k included. J^P(09ti)r(ti.uti) £p(o)tj) ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M14-16 Module 14 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 8 Section 14.6 Solutions to Odd-Numbered Problems 8.1 The present value of forward payments for the individual years is 22 23 1.06 + 1.0652 = 41.03288 The level swap payment x should satisfy the present value equation X ■+ , _*_, =41.03288 -♦ x = 22.483086 8.3 1.06 1.0652 The dealer will hedge his fixed price of 20.9519 with separate oil forwards for years 1, 2 and 3 at the forward prices of 20, 21 and 22. The dealer's position is summarized in the following table. Year Swap Payment Short Oil Forward payment Net payment 1 2 3 Spotj-20.9519 Spot2 -20.9519 Spot3-20.9519 20-Spoti 21 -Spot 2 22-Spots -0.9519 0.0481 1.0481 The present value of net cash flows is -0.9519 .0481 1.0481 1.06 1.0652 1.073 :0.00 8.5 The dealer gets the same cash flows as shown in Problem 8.3 in any case, since his payments are contracted by the swap and do not change. The present value of his payments changes if the yield curve changes. Rates up 0.5%. The present value of swap payments is -0.9519 .0481 1.0481 nAOi + T + r- = -.0081 1.065 1.072 1.0753 Rates down 0.5%. The present value of swap payments is -0.9519 .0481 1.0481 1.055 1.062 1.0653 = .008203 ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Module 14 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 8 Page M14-17 This is really a spreadsheet problem, where you apply the pricing formula 8 times, once for each quarter. Our spreadsheet for this is below. Quartern P(0, n) Forward/0(n) P(0, n)/0(n) Price R 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 0.9852 0.9701 0.9546 0.9388 0.9231 0.9075 0.8910 0.8763 21.0 21.1 20.8 20.5 20.2 20.0 19.9 19.8 20.6892 20.4691 19.8557 19.2454 18.6466 18.1500 17.7309 17.3507 21.0000 21.0496 20.9677 20.8536 20.7272 20.6110 20.5146 20.4305 The pricing formula applied is £p(o,tO/o(*0 i=l JTP(0,tO ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M14-18 Module 14 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 8 8.9 This problem covers the dealer's implicit loan and its balance at each quarter. Recall that because of his forward hedging, the dealer's payment rate is R - /0 (n), the difference between the swap price and the forward rate applied in the FRA. Our spreadsheet for the problem is below. We will explain the remaining steps in it below the spreadsheet. Quarter n 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 P(0, n) 0.9852 0.9701 0.9546 0.9388 0.9231 0.9075 0.8919 0.8763 1+r (n-1, n) 1.0150 1.0156 1.0162 1.0168 1.0170 1.0172 1.0175 1.0178 R= Mn) 21.0 21.1 20.8 20.5 20.2 20.0 19.9 19.8 20.4304 fo(n)-R 0.5696 0.6696 0.3696 0.0696 -0.2304 -0.4304 -0.5304 -0.6304 Balance 0.5696 1.2477 1.6367 1.7329 1.5316 1.1272 0.6162 -0.0034 In periods 1-4 the dealer collects positive amounts of cash. In periods 5-8 the dealer must pay cash out. Thus he must earn interest on the cash from periods 1-4 to accumulate funds to cover his negatives in periods 5-8. The assumption is that he will invest at the implied forward rate in each period. Recall that P(0,1) = \—7 and P^°;n"1^l + r(n-l,n) forn>l. v ; l + r(0,l) P(0,n) V ; Thus we can find the rates r(n-l,n) for reinvestment from the given values of P(0,n). The balance on the loan at time n will be the prior period balance increased by interest earned plus the payment for the dealer Balancen = Balancen-i (l + r (n - l,n)) + (/0 (n) - R). For example Balance2 = .5696 (1.015) + .6696 = 1.248 The final balance should be 0 with a full precision calculation, but shows a small non-zero value due to rounding. Note that this theoretical calculation assumes that the dealer can actually earn at today's implied forward rate in the future. There is actually a risk here, and the dealer may hedge that too. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 14 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 8 Page M14-19 8.11 This problem reverses the order of questioning and asks you to find the forward price if you are given the swap price. Recall that the general formula for the price is SP(0,t,)/o(ti) This gives us a starting point for n=l, since in that case R = /0P(M),1)=/O^sothat/0^ = 2-25 Now we can find an equation that will take us recursively to find the remaining f0 (n). Note that R Zp(°>0 =ZP(0,i)/o(i) + P(0,n)/o(n) 1 ■ - J t=i fo(n) R Vi=l i=l P(0,n) This is again a spreadsheet problem, and our spreadsheet for it is below. Quartern P(0, n) R f„(n) P(0,n)f0(n) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 0.9852 0.9701 0.9546 0.9388 0.9231 0.9075 0.8919 0.8763 2.2500 2.4236 2.3503 2.2404 2.2326 2.2753 2.2583 2.2044 2.2500 2.5999 2.2002 1.8998 2.2001 2.4998 2.1501 1.8002 2.2167 2.5222 2.1003 1.7835 2.0309 2.2686 1.9176 1.5775 ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Page M14-20 Module 14 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 8 8.13 Recall that there is a simple way to find the swap price for a deferred swap. If a deferred swap starts in period j and ends in period k, the swap price is the usual formula but with only the time periods from j to k included. XP(0,ti)r(ti_1,ti) ip(°»*') Below we give the spreadsheet that would be used to find R for a full 8 period swap. Quarter n P(0, n) r(n-l, n) P(0, n) r (n-1, ri) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 0.9852 0.9701 0.9546 0.9388 0.9231 0.9075 0.8919 0.8763 0.0150 0.0156 0.0162 0.0168 0.0170 0.0172 0.0175 0.0178 0.0148 0.0151 0.0155 0.0158 0.0157 0.0156 0.0156 0.0156 A 5 quarter swap starting with first settlement in quarter 2 starts in quarter j=2 and ends in quarter k=6. Thus we have £p(0,i)r(i-l,i) R = M—_ = .0166. ZP(<M) Problems 8.15 and 8.17 rely on sections that are not in the syllabus for Exam FM, so they are omitted here. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 14 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 8 Page M14- Section 14.7 Module 14 Computational Review Problems 1. (1 pt) Consider the oil swap example in Section 8.1 of Derivative Markets, by McDonald, with the 1- and 2- year forward prices of $ 24.5 / barrel and $ 25.5 /barrel. The 1- and 2- year interest rates are 11 % and 11.5 %, respectively. Determine the 2-year swap price $ ? ANSWER1: 24.972 2. (1 pt) Suppose the oil forward prices for 1 year, 2 years, and 3 years are $ 22 / ban-el, $ 23 /barrel, and $ 24 /barrel. The 1- year effective annual interest rate is 11 %, the 2- year interest rate is 11.5 %, and the 3- year interest rate is 12 %. a) Determine the 3-year swap price $ ? b) What is the price of a 2 - year swap beginning in one year $ ? ANSWER1: 22.922 ANSWER2: 23.469 3. (1 pt) Quarter-by-quarter zero-coupon bond prices and oil forward prices. Quarter 1 • 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Zero-bond 0.9852 0.9701 0.9546 0.9388 0.9231 0.9075 0.8919 0.8732 Oil forward 21 21.1 20.8 20.5 20.2 20 19.9 19.8 Using the information about zero-coupon bond prices and oil forward prices given in the table above, construct the set of oil swap prices for quarters 1 through 8. Oil swap price for quarter 1 is $ ? Oil swap price for quarter 2 is $ ? Oil swap price for quarter 3 is $ ? Oil swap price for quarter 4 is $ ? Oil swap price for quarter 5 is $ ? Oil swap price for quarter 6 is $ ? Oil swap price for quarter 7 is $ ? Oil swap price for quarter 8 is $ ? ANSWER1:21 ANSWER2: 21.0496 ANSWER3: 20.9677 ANSWER4: 20.8536 ANSWER5: 20.7272 ANSWER6: 20.611 ANSWER7: 20.5146 ANSWER8: 20.4305 4. (1 pt) Quarter-by-quarter zero-coupon bond prices and oil forward prices. Quarter 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Zero-bond 0.9852 0.9701 0.9546 0.9388 0.9231 0.9075 0.8919 0.8732 Oil forward 21 21.1 20.8 20.5 20.2 20 19.9 19.8 Using the information about zero-coupon bond prices and oil forward prices given in the table above, what is the price of an 8-period swap for which the number of barrels of oil delivered in quarter j is 17-2j barrels. Price of this special oil swap is $ ? ANSWER1: 20.69185 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page M14-22 Module 14 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 8 Section 14.8 Supplemental Exercises In Problems 1-5, use the following table of quarterly oil forward prices and zero-coupon bond prices. Quarter Oil Forward Price Zero-coupon bond price 1 21 .985 2 21.2 .971 3 20.9 .954 4 20.7 .933 1. Find the price of a four quarter oil swap. A) 21.15 B) 21.12 C) 20.95 D) 20.83 E) 20.78 2. Suppose you enter a three quarter oil swap. What payment per barrel will be made to you in the second quarter if the spot rate for the second quarter is 21.1 A) .15 B).l Q.07 D).05 E) .01 3. What is the guaranteed quarterly rate on a four quarter interest rate swap? A) .011 B).013 Q.015 D).017 E) .019 4. Suppose you enter a three quarter interest rate swap. What net interest payment will be made to you in the second quarter if the spot interest rate for the second quarter is .017? A) .0010 B) .0012 C) .0015 D) .0017 E) .0019 5. Suppose the forward oil price increases immediately by 1 for each of the four quarters, but the zero-coupon bond values are unchanged. What is the market value of a four quarter oil swap? A) 1.00 B)1.72 C)2.95 D) 3.27 E) 3.84 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 14 - Review of Derivatives Markets, Chapter 8 Page M14- 23 Section 14.9 Supplemental Exercise Solutions 1. We will use the general formula n „ _Zp(°»t')^'(t0 21(.985) + 21.2(.971) + 20.9(.954) + 20.7(.933) ±P(0,ti) .985+ .971+ .954+ .933 = i=l Answer C 2. This is a longer problem, since we need to find the swap price first and then find the payment. The swap price is n gP(0,tt)/0(t,) 21 (.985) + 21.2 (.971) + 20.9 (.954) ±P(Q,tl) -985+ .971+ .954 = i=l The spot price in the second quarter is 21.1, and the payment is 21.1-21.03 = .07 Answer C 3. The guaranteed interest rate is the four year par coupon bond rate. i-Pfr4) - 1-M3 0174 P(0,l) + P(0,2) + P(0,3) + P(0,4) .985+ .971+ .954+ .933 ' Answer D 4. The guaranteed interest rate is the three year par coupon bond rate. ^P(°>3) 1-954 _ 015g P(0,l) + P(0,2) + P(0,3) .985+ .971+ .954 The net rate paid to you will be .017 - .0158 = .0012 Answer B 5. The new swap price is 21.95, so you could sell a new swap, hold the old one and net 1 per quarter. The present value of this series of payments of 1 is 1 (.985 + .971 + .954 + .933) = 3.84 (This is just like the example on the bottom of page 253 in the text.) Answer E ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Module 15 - Currency Forward Contracts Page M15- 1 This brief chapter introduces currency forward agreements as covered in section 5.6 of Derivatives Markets. This material is not included in the exam FM/2 syllabus, but it is a prerequisite for exam MFE. The chapters required for exam MFE often have sections with applications to currencies. You can read this material after you have take exam FM/2 and are preparing for MFE. It will only take a few minutes. The test motivates the need for currency futures with the example of a United States company that imports consumer electronic products purchased from a manufacturer in Japan for sale in the United States. The importer must pay the manufacturer 150 million yen in one year. The current exchange rate is .009 dollar One yen can be purchased today for $.009. If the importer buys yen today he can reinvest at the current Japanese interest rate. That rate is 2% annually. To have 1 yen in one year the importer needs only the present value of one yen today. Thus, today he will pay .009e"02. The amount invested today is the price of a prepaid forward. The example illustrates the reasoning to apply to get the general formula for the prepaid forward price. If the yen interest rate is ry, the price of a prepaid forward purchase of 1 yen for time T will be F0Pr = x0e~ryT. As before, the price of a forward contract for one yen will be the future value of the prepaid forward price. This future value is taken at the dollar interest rate r. Thus the forward price is F0,t = x0eir~ry)T This reasoning can be used for forward currency agreements between any two currencies. Suppose that you will use the currency of country A to make a forward purchase of the currency of country B for time T. If the interest rates of the two countries are rA and rB and the current exchange rate is x0 then the prepaid forward price and the forward price per unit of the currency of country B are given by FoPT=x0e-rBT o,t - Xoe ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 1 - Exam FM / Exam 2 PagePEl- 1 Exam FM Questions 1. Consider the following yield curve: Year 1 2 3 4 c/i Spot Rate 5.5% 5.0% 5.0% 4.5% 4.0% Find the four year forward rate. A) 1.8% B) 1.9% C) 2.0% D) 2.1% E) 2.2% 2. Find the Macaulay duration of a 10-year 1000 par value bond with 8% annual coupons and an effective annual interest rate of 6.5%. A) 7.2 B) 7.4 C) 7.6 D) 7.8 E) 8.0 3. At an effective annual rate of interest i, a person can pay off a loan of K in two ways: 1) 475 now and 475 in 1 year, or 2) 570 in 2 years and 570 in 3 years. Calculate K A) 893 B) 901 C) 909 D) 917 E) 925 4. A 10-year annuity-immediate pays 100 quarterly for the first year. In each subsequent year, each payment is increased by 5% over the payment for the previous year. There is a nominal annual interest of 8% convertible quarterly. Find the present value of this annuity. A) 2997 B) 3075 C) 3108 D) .3225 E) 3333 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE1-2 Practice Exam 1 - Exam FM / Exam 2 5. The present value of a 10-year annuity-immediate with level annual payments and interest rate i is X. The present value of a 20-year annuity- immediate with the same payments and interest rate is 1.5X. Find i. A) 7.2% B) 7.4% C) 7.6% D) 7.8% E) 8.0% For Problems 6 and 7 use the following account summary: Date January 1 March 1 September 1 December 31 Balance Before Activity 100,000 105,000 112,000 95,000 Deposits 10,000 Withdrawals 30,000 6. Find the time-weighted yield for this account. A) 17.2% B) 17.5% C) 17.9% D) 18.1% E) 18.5% 7. Find the dollar-weighted yield for this account. A) 14.9% B) 15.3% C) 15.6% D) 16.1% E) 16.4% 8. An investor has 3000 worth of 5-year bonds with a modified duration of 4.615, 7000 worth of 10-year bonds with a modified duration of 9.323 and 10,000 worth of 20-year bonds with a modified duration of 19.085. What is the modified duration of this entire portfolio? A) 13.5 B) 13.7 C) 13.9 D) 14.1 E) 14.3 9. A company has liabilities of 1000, 3000 and 5000 payable at the end of years 1, 2 and 3 respectively. The investments available to the company are the following zero-coupon bonds: Maturity (years) 1 2 3 Effective Annual Yield 7% 8% 9% Par 1000 1000 1000 Determine the cost for matching these liabilities exactly. A) 6918 B) 7024 C) 7165 D) 7368 E) 7522 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 1 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PE1- 3 10. A man creates a retirement fund by depositing payments at the end of each month for 20 years. For the first 10 years the deposits are 100 per month and for the last 10 years the deposits are 200 per month. The fund earns interest at a nominal rate of 6% per year converted monthly. Upon retirement he uses the proceeds to purchase a 30-year annuity-immediate with monthly payments. The annuity earns at a nominal rate of 8% converted monthly. What are monthly payments from this annuity? A) 408 B) 425 C) 437 D) 441 E) 459 11. An annuity pays annual payments at the beginning of each year for 20 years. For the first 10 years the payments are 100. Starting with payment 11 each payment is increased by 6% over the previous payment. The annuity earns at an annual effective rate of 8%. Find the present value of this annuity. A) 1177 B) 1190 C) 1202 D) 1213 E) 1225 12. A corporate bond is priced to yield 7.2% and has a price of 972.48. The Macaulay duration is D = 7.1245. Estimate the change in price if rates increase by 0.10%. A) -6.463 B) -6.685 C) -6.814 D) -7.012 E) -7.163 13. A 40-year loan is paid with level annual payments at the end of each year. The principal paid in the 20th payment is 166.59 and the principal paid in the 25th payment is 244.78. Find the interest rate for this loan. A) 7.7% B) 8.0% C) 8.2% D) 8.5% E) 8.8% 14. Linus deposits 100 into an account at the end of each year for 20 years. This account earns interest at an annual effective rate of 5%. Lucy deposits money into an account at the end of each year for 20 years. Her account also earns interest at an annual effective rate of 5%. Her deposits are: P, 2P,...., 20P. At the end of 20 years the accumulated amounts are the same. Find P. A) 10.93 B) 11.05 C) 11.12 D) 11.23 E) 11.35 15. Schroeder borrows money to buy a new piano. He agrees to pay back the loan with level annual payments at the end of each year for 30 years. The annual interest rate is 7%. The interest in his 10th payment is 366.74. What is the interest in his 20th payment? A) 221.86 B) 229.64 C) 244.18 D) 250.72 E) 253.80 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE1-4 Practice Exam 1 - Exam FM / Exam 2 16. A woman makes a deposit into an account. For the first 5 years the account accumulates with a force of interest of 0.05. For the next 10 years the fund accumulates with an annual nominal discount rate of 6% convertible quarterly. For the 15 year period, what is the annual nominal interest rate convertible monthly? A) 5.59% B) 5.71% C) 5.83% D) 5.96% E) 6.04% 17. Violet purchases a 10-year 1000 par bond with 8% semiannual coupons. The bond is priced to yield 7.5% convertible semiannually. She reinvests the coupon payments in a fund that pays a nominal rate of 7% convertible semiannually. What is her nominal annual yield convertible semiannually? A) 7.36% B) 7.41% C) 7.48% D) 7.56% E) 7.63% 18. You are given the following yield curve: Year 1 2 3 4 5 Spot Rate 4.0% 4.2% 4.6% — 5.1% If i4,5 = 6.1%, find s4. A) 4.81% B) 4.83 C) 4.85% D) 4.87% E) 4.89% 19. A 20-year annuity-immediate has annual payments. The first payment is 100 and subsequent payments are increase by 100 until they reach 1000. The remaining payments stay at 1000. The annual effective interest rate is 7.5%. What is the cost of this annuity? A) 6201 B) 6372 C) 6413 D) 6584 E) 6700 20. A woman buys a 1000 par 5-year zero coupon priced to yield 6%. At the same time she buys a 5-year 1000 par bond with 8% semiannual coupons which is priced to yield 7% convertible semiannually. The coupon payments are reinvested at 6.5% convertible semiannually. What is her annual effective yield for the combined investment? A) 6.0% B) 6.2% C) 6.4% D) 6.6% E) 6.8% ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Has sett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 1 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PE1- 5 21. The S&R index currently has a price of 1300. The price of a six month forward contract is 1320. What annual interest rate (compounded continuously) is implied by this forward price? Note that the S&R has no dividend. A) .02481 B) .02500 C) .0305 D) .0355 E) .0411 22. The S&R index currently has a price of 1300. The price of a three month 1320-strike put is 81.41. The annual interest rate is 4% compounded continuously. A buys this put, and B enters into a long forward contract. In three months A and B have the same profit. What is the price of the index in three months? A) 1310 B) 1297 C) 1289 D) 1291 E) 1275 23. The current value of the a stock isS0 = 25, and the continuously compounded risk free rate is r = .04. The price of a six month (T = .5) 26-strike call is 1.7152 and the price of a six month (T = .5) 26-strike put is 2.5726. Find the continuously compounded dividend yield 8. A) 1% B) 2% C) 3% D) 4% E) 5% 24. Investor C buys the S&R index at time 0 for 1100 and buys an 1100-strike put with T = .25 for a price of 81.51.If the interest rate is r=.04, what is his minimum profit (loss)? A) -93.38 B) -63.015 C) -57.64 D) -48.50 E) There is no minimum 25. The current (spot) rate for corn is 1.60 per bushel. The 6 month forward price is $1.50 per bushel. The continuously compounded annual rate is r = .035. Farmer Brown, has total fixed and variable costs of 1.44 per bushel, and plans to produce 100,000 bushels for $144,000. A six month (T = .5) put with a strike price of 1.52 per bushel is available at a price of 0.12. What are the minimum and maximum profits for Farmer Brown in six months if he is hedged with a purchase of this put? A) minimum = -4,212, maximum = 19,678 B) minimum =-6222, maximum = 19,678 C) minimum= -4,212, no maximum D) minimum = -6,242, no maximum E) none of the above ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE1-6 Practice Exam 1 - Exam FM / Exam 2 26. Company XYZ makes an aircraft which costs 80,000,000 to manufacture. It will be completed in six months. At that time it will sell either for 90,000,000 with probability .5 or 74,000,000 with probability .5. The company decides to enter into a forward contract to sell the unit for 85,000,000 in six months The company has a 40% tax rate, and has no tax benefit for losses. What is the company's expected profit after tax? A) -1,000,000 B) 0 C) 1,000,000 D) 2,000,000 E) 3,000,000 27. A stock has current price. S0 = 25 The annual continuous interest rate is r = .03. If the expiration time for a forward contract is T = .25 and the forward price is 25.15, what is the continuous dividend yield 81 A) 0.003 B) 0.006 C) 0.010 D) 0.015 E) 0.018 28. The S&R index has a spot price of S0 = 1100. The continuous interest rate is r = .03 and the continuous dividend yield is 8 = 0 The one year forward price is 1133.50. Which of the following positions results in a synthetic long forward contract? A) Sell the index short for 1100 and lend the proceeds at r = .03 B) Sell the index short for 1100 and borrow 1000 at r = .03 C) Borrow 1100 at r = .03 and buy the index. D) Borrow 1000 at r = .03 and sell the index short E) None of these. In Problems 29-30, use the following table of quarterly oil forward prices and zero-coupon bond prices. Quarter Oil Forward Price Zero-coupon bond price 1 20.9 .984 2 21.2 .969 3 20.8 .953 4 20.7 .935 29. Find the price of a four quarter oil swap. A) 21.18 B) 21.62 C) 20.90 D) 20.83 E) 20.78 30. Suppose you enter a three quarter interest rate swap. What net interest payment will be made to you in the second quarter if the spot interest rate for the second quarter is .018? A) .0010 B) .0012 C) .0016 D) .0018 E) .002 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 1 - Exam FM / Exam 2 PagePEl- 7 Solutions 1. The four year forward rate i4,s is given by 1 + 14,5= (1 + s5)s/(l + s4)4 = 1.0471.045" = 1.020 i4,s = .02 Answer C 2. D_[80(Ia)m+10q000)v10] Bond Price v10 = 1.065-10 = 0.532726 cijoi = 7.6561 (be sure calculator is in BGN mode) (Ha =35.8284 Bond prices 1,107.83 (Reset calculator to END mode. N = 10, PMT = 80,1/Y =6.5, FV = 1000. CPT PV = -1.107.83) D = [80(35.8284) + 5,327.26]/l,107.83 = 7.396 Answer B 3. K = 475 + 475v = 570v2 + 5703 v2= [475(1+ v)]/[570(l + v)] = 0.8333 => v = 0.91287 K = 475(1.91287) = 908.61 Answer C ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE1-8 Practice Exam 1 - Exam FM / Exam 2 4. The accumulated amount at the end of year one is 412.16. (N = 4,1/Y = 2, PMT = 100, PV =0. CPT FV = - 412.16) We can view the annuity as a 10-year annuity-immediate with annual payments, the first being 412.16 and subsequent payments are increase by 5% each year. The effective annual rate is i = (1.02)4 - 1 = 0.08243. The present value of this annuity is (412.16/1.08243)[1 + (1.05/1.08243) + ... + (1.05/1.08243)9] = 412.16[1 - (1.05/1.08243)10]/(1.08243 - 1.05) = 3333.30 Answer E 5. X = (l-v10)/i, 1.5X = (l-v20)/i Hence 1 + v10 = 1.5, v10 = 0.5, i = 0.072 Answer A 6. For the time-weighted yield 1 + j = (105,000/100,000)(112,000/115,000)(95,000/82,000) = 1.185 j = 0.185 Answer E 7. For the dollar-weighted yield, J = 95,000 - 100,000 - (10,000 - 30,000) = 15,000 i = 15,000/[100,000 + (1 - 1/6)(10,000) - (1 - 2/3)(30,000)] = 0.153 Answer B 8. The weights are 3/20, 7/20 and 1/2 respectively for the 5-year, 10-year and the 20-year bonds. The modified duration is DM = (3/20)(4.615) + (7/20)(9.323) + (1/2)(19.085) = 13.498 Answer A 9. The company must invest the present values of 1000 in one year at 7%, 3000 in 2 years at 8% and 5000 in 3 years at 9%. The cost is 1000/1.07 + 3000/1.082 + 5000/1.093 = 7367.51 Answer D ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 1 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PE1- 9 10. The deposits can be viewed as payments of 100 into a 20-year annuity- immediate and 100 into a 10-year deferred 10-year annuity-immediate. The accumulated amount in the first annuity is 46,204.09. (N = 240,1/Y = 0.5, PMT = -100, PV = 0. CPT FV = 46,204.09) The accumulated amount in the second annuity is 16,387.94. (Reset N = 120. CPT FV = 16,387.94) Total accumulation is 62,592.02. The monthly payments from the 30-year annuity are 459.30. (N = 360,1/Y =0.6667, PV = - 62,592.02, FV = 0. CPT PMT = 459.30) Answer E 11. The present value of this annuity is 100a^ + (106/1.0810)[1 + (1.06/1.08) + ... + (1.06/1.08)9] To get the value of the first term set the BA II Plus to BGN mode. Set N = 10,1/Y = 8, PMT = -100, and FV = 0. CPT PV = 724.69. The value of the second expression is (106/1.0810)[1 - (1.06/1.08)10]/[1- (1.06/1.08)] = 452.03 Present value is 724.69 + 452.03 = 1,176.72 Answer A 12. The change is AP = - (D)P(i)Ai/(l + i) = - (7.1245)(972.48)(0.001)/(1.072) = - 6.463 Answer A 13. PRinfc is the amount of principal repaid in the fcth period. Prinfc+n = (l + i)nPRinfc. Let k = 20 and n = 5. 244.78 = (1 + i)5 (166.59). i = (244.78/166.59)1/5 - 1 => i = .08 Answer B ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE1-10 Practice Exam 1 - Exam FM / Exam 2 14. The accumulation in Linus's account is lOOs^i = 3,306.60. (N = 20,1/Y = 5, PV = 0, PMT = -100. CPT FV = 3,306.60) 20l ' The accumulation is Lucy's account is P(Is) ^s^=1%ol2l=294-385 p_ 3,306.60 _n23 294.385 Answer D 15. Let P be the annual payment. The interest paid in the 10th payment is P(l _ v3o-io+i) = p(1 _ V2i) = p(1 _ 0.24151) = 366.74 P = 483.51 For the 20th payment the interest is 483.51(1 - v") = 483.51(0.52491)= 253.80 Answer E 16. If Y is the amount deposited, then the accumulation is A = Ye00S(S)(l - 0.015)"40 = 2.3503Y. There are 180 months in the 15 year period. If j is the monthly interest then j = 2.35031/18°-1 = 0.00476 i = 12(0.00476) = 0.0571 Answer B 17. The price of the bond is 1034.74. (N = 20,1/Y = 0.375, PMT = 40 and FV = 1000. CPT PMT = -1034.74) The accumulated amount of reinvested coupon payments is 4OS251 -1131.19. The total accumulation is 2131.19. The semiannual yield on the investment is j = (2131.19/1034.74)1'20 - 1 = .0368. The annual yield is 2(.0368) = 0.0736. Answer A ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 1 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PE1-11 18. 1 + i4,5 = (1 + S5)5/(l + S4)4 (1 + s4)4 = (1 + s5)5/(l + ks) = (1.051)5/(1.061) = 1.20864 1 + s4 = 1.0485, s4 = 0.0485 Answer C 19. This can be viewed as a 10-year increasing annuity and a 10-year deferred 10-year annuity. The present value of the 10-year deferred annuity is lOOOv10 a^ = 1000 (0.48519) (6.8641) = 3,330.39. The present value of the increasing annuity is 100 (Ia)^. (J v (<^-10v10) 7.3789-4.8519 „ ,Q„ (la)-, = -^ '- = = 33.6933 v m i 0.075 Total cost is 3,330.39 + 3,369.33 = 6,699.72 Answer E 20. The price of the zero-coupon bond is 1000/1.065 = 747.26. To find the price of the second bond with the BA II Plus set N = 10,1/Y = 3.5, PMT = - 40 and FV = -1000. CPT PV = 1041.58. The accumulation of the reinvested coupon payments is 463.87. (N = 10,1/Y =3.25, PMT = -40 and PV =0. CPT FV = 463.87) Total investment is 747.26 + 1041.58 = 1788.84. Total accumulation is 1000 + 1000 + 463.87 = 2463.87. Annual effective yield is f2463.87^ 5 U788.84, Answer D 21. Fo,T = S0erT -> 1320 = 1300e5r -> r = .0305 Answer C -1 = 0.066. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE1-12 Practice Exam 1 - Exam FM / Exam 2 22. The forward price is F0,T = S0erT = 1300e25(04) = 1313.07. The long forward profit is ST - F0,T = ST-1313.07. The put profit is max(0,1320 -ST) - 81.41e04{25) = max(0,1320 -ST) - 82.23. Assume that ST < 1320. Then the equality of prices implies that ST -1313.07 = 1320 - ST - 82.23 -> ST = 1275.42 Answer E 23. By put-call parity C-P = S0e-*T-Ke-rT 1.7152 - 2.5726 = 25e"5* - 26e"04{ 5) -> r = .03 Answer C 24. Buying the index and buying a put with strike 1100 creates a floor. The floor has the same profit function as a long call with strike 1100. The minimum profit on the floor is the (negative) loss of the future value of the call premium when the call expires unexercised. By parity the value of the call premium is 92.4554. The minimum profit is -92.4554 e01 =-93.38 Answer A 25. The profit from the put option is 100,000[max(0,1.52-jc)-.12e035(5)] = 100,000max(0,1.52-x)-12,211.85. The total profit for the hedged position is 100,000x-144,000 + (100,000 max(0,1.52-*)-12,211.85) _ J-4,211.85, jc<1.52 ~ [100,OOOjc-156,211.85, x>1.5 Answer C ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 1 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PE1-13 26. The calculations are in the table below. Values are given in millions. [With Short Forward at [Pre-tax op income Income from Forward Taxable Income Tax @ 40% After Tax Income 85 Price 90 10 -5 5 2 3 Price 74 -6 11 5 2 3 Answer E 27. Fo.r = S0e(r-')T -> 25.15 = 25e(03^-2S lnf^^l = .0075 -.255 25 8 = .006 Answer B 28. STOCK - ZERO COUPON BOND = LONG FORWARD Thus you buy the index for 1000 and sell a zero coupon bond for 1000 (borrow the money to buy the stock.). Answer C 29. We will use the general formula £p(<Mi)/o(t«) P = i=l lP(o,t.) i=l Answer C _ 20.9(.984) + 21.2(.969) + 20.8 (.953) + 20.7(.935) " .984 + .969 + .953 + .935 : 20.90 30. The guaranteed interest rate is the three year par coupon bond rate. 1-P(0,3) _ 1-.953 c = P(0,l) + P(0,2) + P(0,3) .984+ .969+ .953 The net rate paid to you will be .018- .0162 = .0018 Answer D 0162 ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Practice Exam 2 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PE2- 1 Exam FM Questions 1. A man borrows 1000 for 2 years at an annual effective rate of i. He has two payment options: 1. Pay 560 at the end of each year, or 2. Pay K at the end of year 1 and 800 at the end of year 2. Find K A) 329.42 B) 331.66 C) 334.82 D) 337.57 E) 341.65 2. A company has liabilities of 2000 payable in 1 year and 5000 payable in 3 years. The investments available to the company are the following zero- coupon bonds: Maturity (years) 1 3 Effective Annual Rate 6.5% 7.5% Par 1000 1000 Determine the cost for matching liabilities exactly. A) 5903 B) 5935 C) 5952 D) 5970 E) 5988 3. A woman has a fixed rate mortgage on her home. Her payments are level and made at the end of the month. The principal repaid in the 20th payment is 3 times the principal repaid in the 5th payment. Find the rate of interest on this mortgage. A) 6.8% B) 7.0% C) 7.2% D) 7.4% E) 7.6% ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE2-2 Practice Exam 2 - Exam FM / Exam 2 4. You are given the following n-year forward rates: Year 0 1 2 3 Forward Rate 2.9% 3.7% 4.4% 5.2% Find s4. A) 3.92% B) 4.05% C) 4.17% D) 4.31% E 4.46% 5. A man buys a 20-year annuity-immediate for 10,000. He receives annual payments of 910. He invests these payments in a fund that earns 7.5% annually. What is his annual yield on this investment? A) 6.5% B) 6.7 C) 6.9% D) 7.1% E) 7.3% 6. An investment pays 2000 at the end of year one and 4000 at the end of year three. It is purchased to yield 7.2% annual effective rate. What is the Macaulay duration for this investment? A) 2.270 B) 2.301 C) 2.334 D) 2.358 E) 2.515 7. A woman buys two 5-year 1000 par bonds. The first has 7.5% semiannual coupons and is priced to yield 8% convertible semiannually. The second has 6% semiannual coupons and is priced to yield 7% convertible semiannually. The coupon payments from the two bonds are deposited in a fund that pays 6.8% convertible semiannually. What is her annual effective yield for this combined investment? A) 7.3% B) 7.5% C) 7.7% D) 7.9% E) 8.1% 8. The spot rate for year k is given by the equation sk = 0.08 + 0.003k - 0.0015k2. Find the three-year forward rate implied by this yield curve. A) 4.36% B) 4.41% C) 4.58% D) 4.65% E) 4.74% ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 2 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PE2- 3 9. A 10-year annuity-due pays 50 quarterly for the first 5 years and 100 quarterly for the last 5 years. The annuity earns at a nominal rate of 6% convertible quarterly. What is the present value of this annuity? A) 1978 B) 2034 C) 2077 D) 2119 E) 2165 10. A 20-year annuity-immediate pays 100 a year for the first 10 years. Starting with the 11th payment, each payment is increased by 6% over the previous one. The annuity earns at an annual effective rate of 7%. Find the present value of this annuity. A) 1150 B) 1185 C) 1235 D) 1262 E) 1288 11. A special 3-year 1000 par bond has 8% annual coupons and has an effective annual interest rate of 7%. Find the Macaulay duration of this bond. A) 2.5 B) 2.6 C) 2.7 D) 2.8 E) 2.9 12. A new company expects the dividends on its common stock to be 1 the first year and increase by 1 each year until it reaches 10. Thereafter it expects the dividend to grow by 3% each year. Assume an annual interest rate of 5%. Calculate the price of this stock using the dividend discount model. A) 344 B) 351 C) 356 D) 365 E) 372 13. A company has a loan of 100,000 to be repaid with 30 annual end of year level payments. The principal and the interest in the 21st payment are the same. Find the principal repaid in the 10th payment. A) 1862 B) 1871 C) 1884 D) 1901 E) 1913 14. A man deposits money into a fund. For the first four years the fund accumulates at a nominal interest rate of 6% convertible quarterly. For the next six years the fund accumulates at a nominal discount 8% convertible semiannually. For the 10 year period what is the equivalent force of interest? A) 0.0719 B) 0.0728 C) 0.0731 D) 0.0737 E) 0.0742 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE2-4 Practice Exam 2 - Exam FM / Exam 2 IS. A 20-year annuity-immediate has annual payments. The first payment is 1000. Subsequent payments decrease by 100 each year until they reach 100. The remaining payments stay at 100. The annual effective interest rate is 6.5%. Find the present value of this annuity. A) 4708 B) 4765 C) 4815 D) 4853 E) 4894 16. A man buys a house for 100,000. He finances it for 30 years with level monthly payments made at the end of each month at a fixed interest rate of 7.5% convertible monthly. After 10 years he refinances the outstanding balance principal for 15 years at 6% convertible monthly. Calculate his new monthly payments. A) 702.45 B) 717.68 C) 732.43 D) 750.65 E) 762.38 17. A woman is asked to invest 20,000 in a project. She is promised returns of 5,000 in one year, 6,000 in two years, 7,000 in three years and 10,000 in four years. Find the IRR for this investment. A) 12.71% B) 12.84% C) 12.96% D) 13.11% E) 13.23% 18. Consider the following yield curve: Year 1 2 3 4 Spot Rate 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 4.0% A 4-year 1000 par bond has an annual coupon rate of 3.5%. Use the yield curve to find the price of this bond. A) 980 B) 984 C) 989 D) 994 E0 999 19. A man buys a 10-year 1000 par bond with 7% semiannual coupons. The bond is priced to yield 6.5% convertible semiannually. The coupon payments are invested in a fund that earns 6% convertible semiannually. His wife makes annual end of year payments of K into a fund that earns 6.5% annually. At the end of 10 years their accumulated funds are the same. Find K. A) 126.28 B) 131.45 C) 139.25 D) 143.80 E) 151.38 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 2 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PE2- 5 20. For an unknown interest rate i, the following payments have the same present value: 1. 675 at the end of two years. 2. 200 at the end of one year and 500 at the end of three years. Find the value of i. (Assume i < 100%) A) 9.0% B) 9.2% C) 9.4% D) 9.6% E) 9.8% 21. The S&R index currently has a price of 1100. The price of a three month 1120-strike put is 71.32. The annual interest rate is 3.5% compounded continuously. What is the profit on this put in three months if the spot price then is 1080? A) -84.35 B) -31.95 C) 0 D) 30.95 E) 83.52 22. Your home has a value of 340,000. Your annual insurance premium is 6,000 and your deductible is 25,000. If you look at your insurance as a put option, what is the strike price? A) 315,000 B) 295,000 C) 280,000 D) 275,000 E) 270,000 23. An insurance company sells single premium deferred annuity contracts with return linked to a stock index, the time-t value of one unit of which is denoted by S(t). The contracts offer a minimum guarantee return rate of g=2.0%. At time 0, a single premium of amount n is paid by the policyholder, and n xy% is deducted by the insurance company. In one year the insurance company will pay the policyholder n x (1 - y%) x Max[S(T)/S(0), (1 + g%)]., where ) S(0) =100 You are given the following information: i) Dividends are incorporated in the stock index. That is, the stock index is constructed with all stock dividends reinvested, ii) The price of a one-year European put option, with strike price of $102, on the stock index is $15.80. Determine y%, so that the insurance company does not make or lose money on this contract. A) 13.2% B) 13.35% C) 13.5% D) 13.64% E) 13.80% ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE2-6 Practice Exam 2 - Exam FM / Exam 2 24. Investor C buys the S&R index at time 0 for 1300 and buys a 1300-strike put with T = .25 for a price of 71.85. If the interest rate is r=.035, what is his minimum profit (loss)? A) -82.33 B) -63.015 C) -57.64 D) -83.91 E) There is no minimum 25. Near market closing time on a given day, the European call and put prices for a stock are available as follows: Strike Price 40 50 55- Call Price 11 6 3 Put Price 3 8 11 The options have expiration time T = .5. The continuously compounded annual interest rate is r = .04. Mary constructs the following portfolio: Long two call options with strike price 40; short six call options with strike price 50; lend $2; and long some calls with strike price 55. The $2 she lends is obtained from the sale and purchase of the options. What is her profit at T = .5 if the price of the stock is 52 at that time? A) 2 B) 5.02 C) 4 D) 6.08 E) 14.04 26. Investor F sells a 1300-strike S&R put for 71.85 and a 1300-strike S&R call for 83.18. The interest rate is r = .035 and T = .25. What is his maximum profit? A) 71.85 B) 83.18 C) 155.03 D) 156.39 E) There is no maximum 27. A stock has current price S0 = 40. The annual continuous interest rate is r = .03 and the continuous dividend yield is S = .01. You observe a one year prepaid forward price of 39.60. Which of the following is true? A) No arbitrage is possible. B) You can create an arbitrage by buying one prepaid forward and selling one share of the stock short C) You can create an arbitrage by selling the prepaid forward and buying one share of the stock. D) You can create an arbitrage by buying the prepaid forward and selling e"01 shares of the stock short E) You can create an arbitrage by selling the prepaid forward and buying e~m shares of the stock ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 2 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PE2- 7 28. The S&R index has a spot price of S0 = 1300. The continuous interest rate is r = .03 and the continuous dividend yield is 5 = 0 The one year forward price is 1339.59. You enter into a forward sale contract and buy the index. Which of the following positions is this equivalent to: A) A short sale of the index. B) Purchase of a one year zero-coupon bond with r = .03 C) A reverse cash and carry hedge. D) A cash and carry arbitrage E) None of these. In Problems 29-30, use the following table of quarterly oil forward prices and zero-coupon bond prices. Quarter Oil Forward Price Zero-coupon bond price 1 20.9 .984 2 21.2 .969 3 20.8 .953 4 20.7 .935; 29. Suppose you enter a three quarter oil swap. What payment per barrel will be made to you in the second quarter if the spot rate for the second quarter is 21.25? A) .28 B) .22 C) .18 D) .12 E) .08 30. What is the guaranteed quarterly rate on a four quarter interest rate swap? A) .0118 B) .0137 C) .0158 D) .0169 E) .0195 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE2-8 Practice Exam 2 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Solutions 1. We first need to find i. We can use the BA II Plus and set N = 2, PMT = 560, PV = -1000 and FV =0. CPT I/Y = 7.9 To find K set 1000 = K/1.079 + 800/1.0792. K = 337.57 Answer D 2. The company must invest the present value of 2000 in 1 year at 6.5% plus the present value of 5000 in 3 years at 7.5% The cost is 2000/1.065 + 5000/1.0753 = 1877.93 + 4024.80 = 5902.73 Answer A 3. If P is the annual payment then the principal repaid in the 20th payment is pvn-2o+i ^he p^Qipai repaid in the 5th payment is Pvn"5+1. Dividing these we get v"15 = (1 + i)15 = 3. Then i = 3ms - 1 = 0.076. Answer E 4. (1 + s4)4 = (1 + io,i)Q + ii,2)(l + i2,3)(l + i3,4) = (1.029)(1.037)(1.044)(1.052) = 1.17195 s4 =1.171951/4-1 = 0.0405 Answer B 5. To get the accumulated amount of fund using the BA II Plus, set N = 20, I/Y = 7.5, PV = 0, PMT = -910. CPT FV = 39,407.26 The annual yield rate is r = (39,407.26/10,000)1/20 - 1 = 0.071. Answer D ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 2 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PE2- 9 6. The present values of these investments are 2000/1.072 = 1865.67 and 4000/1.0723 = 3246.95. The total is 5112.62. The weights for the Macaulay duration are Wi = 1865.67/5112.62 = 0.3649 and w2 = 3246.95/5112.62 = 0.6351. D = (1)(0.3649) + (3)(0.6351) = 2.270 Answer A 7. Using the BA II Plus to get the price of the first bond, set N = 10,1/Y = 4, PMT = 37.5, FV = 1000. CPT PV = -979.72. To get the price of the second bond, set N = 10,1/Y = 3.5, PMT = 30, FV = 1000. CPT PV = -958.42 The total price of the bonds is 1938.14. To get the accumulation of the deposited coupon payments set N = 10,1/Y = 3.4, PMT= -67.5, PV =0. CPT FV = 788.22. Accumulation plus redemption values is 2788.22. (1 + r)5 = 2788.22/1938.14 = 1.4386 r = 1.43861/5-1 = 0.075 Answer B 8. We need to find i3,4. 1 + i3.4 = (1 + s4)4/(l + s3)3 s3= 0.08 + 0.003(3) - 0.0015(9) = 0.0755 s4= 0.08 + 0.003(4) - 0.0015(16) = 0.068 i3f4 = (1.068)4/(1.0755)3 - 1 = 0.0458 Answer C ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE2-10 Practice Exam 2 - Exam FM / Exam 2 9. This annuity can be viewed as the difference between a 10-year annuity-due with payments of 100 and a 5-year annuity-due with payments of 50. To get the present values of these annuities using the BA II Plus, first set the mode to BGN. For the 10-year annuity, set N = 40,1/Y = 1.5, PMT = -100, FV = 0. CPT PV = 3036.46 For the 5-year annuity set N = 20,1/Y =1.5, PMT = -50, FV = 0. CPT PV = 871.31 Present value of difference is 3036.46 - 871.31 = 2165.15. Answer E 10. The present value of the annuity is lOOa^ + 106 1.07 ii , 1.06 Tl.06 1.07 1.07 lOOajoi = 702.36 106 1.0711 , 1.06 Tl.06 1 + + ...+ 1.07 1.07 = f 106 )[ a.07nJ~ H i- 1.06N 1.07, '1.06 ,1.07 10 ~i )) = 482.94 The present value is 702.36 + 482.94 = 1185.30 Answer B 11. The Macaulay duration is D = [80v + 2(80)v2 +3(1080)v3]/(80v + 80v2 + 1080v3) v = 1/1.07 = .93458 D = 2859.32/1026.24 = 2.786 Answer D ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Practice Exam 2 - Exam FM / Exam 2 PagePE2-ll 12. The dividends for the first 10 years form an increasing arithmetic sequence. The present value of these dividends is _ (a, - 10v'°) _ [8.X078 -10(0.6139)] _ v m i 0.05 The dividends thereafter form a constant growth perpetuity. The present value of these dividends at time t = 10 years is P = D/(i - r) = 10(1.03)/(0.05-0.03) = 515 This is deferred for 10 years so the stock price is 39.376 + 515/1.0510 = 355.54 Answer C 13. If P is the annual payment, the amount of principal repaid in the 21st is Pu3o-2i+i _ Pvio = p/2 Hence v10 = V2. So (1 + i)10 = 2. The i = 2mo - 1 = .0718. Using the BAII Plus to get the payment, set N = 30,1/Y = 7.18, PV = -100,000, FV = 0. CPT PMT = 8,204.84 The principal repaid in the 10th payment is 8,204.84v3010+1 = 8,204.84(1.0718)-21 = 1,912.85 Answer E 14. If D is the amount deposited into the fund, the accumulation at the end of ten years is D(1.015)16/(0.96)12 = D(2.0711). To get the force of interest, set e10<?= 2.0711. Then 5= (l/10)ln(2.0711) = 0.0728 Answer B 15. The present value of this annuity is 100(00)^ + 100v10 am. Then am = 7.189 and v10 = 0.5327. (Da)mJ10-amK 43.246 v m 0.065 Present value of annuity is 4,324.60 + 100(7.189X0.5327) = 4,707.56. Answer A ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE2-12 Practice Exam 2 - Exam FM / Exam 2 16. To compute the payment with the BA II Plus set N = 360, I/Y = 0.625, PV = 100,00, FV = 0. CPT PMT = -699.215. To get outstanding principal after 10 years, reset N = 240. Then CPT PV = 86,794.987. To get new payment, reset N = 180 and I/Y = 0.5. CPT PMT = - 732.425. Answer C 17. To find the IRR put the BA II Plus in CF mode. Then enter the following cash flows: C0 = -20,000, Ci = 5,000, C2 = 6,000, C3 = 7,000 and C4 = 10,000. Then IRR CPT = 13.23 Answer E 18. The price of the bond is P = 35/1.02 + 35/1.0252 + 35/1.033 + 1035/1.044 = 984.38. Answer B 19. The man's accumulation (using I/Y = 3.0) is 35s2oi +1000 = 1940.46. The wife's accumulation (using I/Y = 6.5) is Ksm=K (13.4944) Therefore K= 1,940.46/13.4944 = 143.797 Answer D 20. Equating the present values of the two payments we get 675v2 = 200v + 500v3. Dividing by v we get the following quadratic equation: 500v2 - 675v + 200 = 0. Using the quadratic formula we get 2 positive values for v, 0.911 and 0.439. The only meaningful root is v = 0.911, or i = .098. Answer E 21. The put profit is max(0,1120-ST)-71.32e035(25)=max(0,1120-1080)-71.95 = -31.95 Answer B ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 2 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PE2-13 22. Let VT be the value of the house at time T. The payoff has value max(0,340,000-25,000-Vr) = max(0,315,000-VT) This is the payoff of a put with K = 315,000. Answer A 23. Using g = .02, T = 1,S0 = 100, the total payoff is = ioV1"y)[Sl+max(102"Sl,0)] The expression in square brackets is the payoff of a single share of the index and a put, while the two lead terms give the number of units of this combination the company needs to buy to pay off the single premium deferred annuity. The company wants to use the premium n to buy the shares and the options needed. The cost of those shares and options today is ^(l-y^So* put cost] = -^-(l-y)115.80 = 1.158^(1 -y) To break even this cost must equal the premium collected. 1.158;r(l-y) = ;r->y = .1364 The required percentage is 13.64% Answer D 24. Buying the index and buying a put with strike 1300 creates a floor. The floor has the same profit function as a long call with strike 1300. The minimum profit on the floor is the (negative) loss of the future value of the call premium when the call expires unexercised. By parity, the value of the call is 83.18. The minimum profit is -83.18e035(25) = -83.91 Alternatively, we could write the profit for stock prices less than 1300 as the put strike payoff less the future value cost of the put premium and repayment of a loan of 1300 to buy the stock 1300- 71.85e035(25) - 1300e035(25) = -83.91 Answer D ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE2-14 Practice Exam 2 - Exam FM / Exam 2 25. For Mary's portfolio the number of long calls at K = 55 is not given. However you can quickly figure out what it is. The arbitrage lends $2, so in order to have 0 outlay at the beginning there must be $2 of excess cash obtained from the sale and purchase of calls. If there are n long calls at K = 55 we have the following proceeds from options. Strike Position Proceeds 40 Long 2 -22 50 Short 6 +36 55 Long n -3n Since total proceeds are 2 to lend, we have -22 + 36 - 3n = 2 -> n = 4 Mary has no out-of-pocket cost at time 0. She earns $2 and invests it at the continuous rate r = .04. Her profit at time .5 is the future value of the invested $2 + the sum of the payoffs of the options in the portfolio. 2e02+2(52-40)-6 (52-50)+ 4(0) = 14.04 Answer E 26. This is a written straddle. It assumes its maximum profit value at the strike price of 1300, where both sold options expire worthless and the writer retains the future value of the two premiums. (71.85 + 83.18) e035(25) =156.39 Answer D 27. The correct forward price is S0e"^ = 40e"01 = 39.60. Thus the market price is correct and there is no arbitrage. Answer A 28. Your position is - LONG FORWARD + STOCK. This is equivalent to BOND, or purchase of a zero coupon bond at the interest rate r = .03 The forward price is the correct theoretical price. Answer B ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 2 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PE2-15 29. The swap price is n gP(0.*Q/o(*t) 20.9 (.984)+ 21.2 (.969)+ 20.8 (.953) lP(0,t,) -984+ .969+ .953 = The spot price in the second quarter is 21.25, and the payment is 21.25 - 20.97 = .28 Answer A 30. The guaranteed interest rate is the four year par coupon bond rate. 1-P(0,4) c = P(0,l) + P(0,2) + P(0,3) + P(0,4) 1-.935 .984+ .969+ .953+ .935 = .0169 Answer D ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 3 - Exam FM / Exam 2 PagePE3- 1 Exam FM Questions 1. A man has two annuities-immediate with the same interest rate and the same level payments. The first is a 30-year annuity and the second one is a 15-year deferred 15-year annuity. The present value of the first is 4 times the present value of the second. Find the interest rate. A) 7.3% B) 7.4% C) 7.5% D) 7.6% E) 7.7% 2. A 10-year 1000 par bond has 6% semi-annual coupons. The bond is sold at a premium of 35. What is the bond's nominal annual yield convertible semiannually? A) 5.48% B) 5.54% C) 5.62% D) 5.71% E) 5.79% 3. A company has liabilities of 2000 and 5000 due at the end of years one and three respectively. The investments available to the company are two zero coupon bonds. The first is a one-year 1000 par value bond with an annual effective rate of 5.6%. The second is a three-year 1000 par bond. If the cost of exactly matching liabilities is 6068.36, what in the annual effective yield on the second bond? A) 5.2% B) 5.5% C) 5.8% D) 6.0% E) 6.2% 4. An investment pays 2000 at the end of year one, 4000 at the end of year 3 and 6000 at the end of year 5. It was purchased to yield an annual rate of 6.2%. Find the Macaulay duration of this investment. A) 3.28 B) 3.44 C) 3.49 D) 3.53 E) 3.56 5. A 10-year 1000 par bond with 6.5% semi-annual coupons is priced to yield at an annual rate of j convertible semi-annually. The amount of premium amortized in period 7 is 2.346, and the amount amortized in period 12 is 2.706. Findj. A) 5.8% B) 6.0% C) 6.2% D) 6.4% E) 6.6% ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE3-2 Practice Exam 3 - Exam FM / Exam 2 6. Money is deposited in a bank. For the first 4 years interest accumulates at annual nominal rate of 6% convertible monthly. For the next 6 years it accumulates at a force of interest of 5%. For the 10-year period what is the equivalent nominal discount rate convertible quarterly? A) 4.9% B) 5.2% C) 5.4% D) 5.7% E) 5.9% 7. A man planning to work for the next 30 years sets up a retirement account by making monthly end of the month payments in to a fund. The first payment is 100 and each subsequent payment is 1 more that the previous one. The fund earns at a nominal rate of 7.2% convertible monthly. At the end of the 30 years he plans to make end of month withdrawals of 2000 per month. If interest rates stay the same, how many payments will he expect to receive? A) 292 B) 302 C) 312 D) 322 E) 332 8. For a given yield curve the implied forward rates are i0,i = 0.030 and ii,2 = 0.032. The spot rate i3 = 0.04. Find i2,3. A) 0.0542 B) 0.0547 C) 0.0553 D) 0.0561 E) 0.0582 9. Consider the following account summary: Balance Date Before Activity Deposits Withdrawals January 1 10,000 April 1 10,500 2000 September 1 12,800 2600 December 31 X If the time weighted yield is 6.466%, what is the dollar weighted yield? A) 6.58% B) 6.62% C) 6.65% D) 6.71% E) 6.74% 10. A man buys a home for 200,000 and takes out a 30-year mortgage with monthly payments. The interest rate is 5.4% convertible monthly. At the end of 15 years he decides to add 500 a month to each subsequent payment. Assuming there are no penalties, how many more payments, including the final partial payment, are there? A) 102 B) 108 C) 111 D) 115 E) 120 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 3 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PE3- 3 11. A woman buys a 10-year 1000 par bond with 7.0% semi-annual coupons. The coupon payments are deposited into an account that pays 6.6% convertible semi-annually. After the 10th deposit the bank drops its rate to 5.8% convertible semi-annually. At the end of the 10 years period what is her annual yield for this investment? A) 6.5% B) 6.7% C) 6.9% D) 7.1% E) 7.3% 12. A man has a 30-year loan with level annual end of year payments. The principal repaid in the 10th payment is 408.12, and the principal in the 20th payment is 766.10. What is the principal repaid in the 15th payment? A) 540.33 B) 544.02 C) 548.65 D) 552.25 E) 559.16 13. Tom has a 10-year increasing annuity-immediate that pays 100 for the first year and increases by 100 each year thereafter. Jerry has a 10-year decreasing annuity-immediate that pays X the first year and decreases by X/10 each year thereafter. Each has an annual interest rate of 6.5%, and they have the same present value. Find X. A) 821 B) 828 C) 835 D) 842 E) 849 14. Sally and Linus each make annual end of year deposits into a savings accounts that have the same annual interest rate. Sally's annual deposits are 100. Linus deposits 100 per year for the first 10 years and 200 per year thereafter. At the end of 20 years Linus has accumulated 4/3 the amount that Sally has. What is their common, nonzero, interest rate? A) 6.0% B) 6.5% C) 6.9% D) 7.2% E) 7.5% 15. You are given the following yield curve: Year Spot Rate 1 4.5% 2 4.0% 3 3.8% 4 3.6% A 3-year 1000 par bond has a 5% annual coupon rate. Use the yield curve to find the price of the bond. A) 1033 B) 1038 C) 1042 D) 1046 E) 1051 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE3-4 Practice Exam 3 - Exam FM / Exam 2 16. A 3-year 1000 par bond with 5.8% annual coupons is priced to yield 6.4%. What is the Macaulay duration for the bond? A) 2.795 B) 2.801 C) 2.837 D) 2.862 E) 2.890 17. A man invests 1000 at the beginning of each year into a fund that pays an annual interest of 5.6%. The annual interest payments are deposited into a fund that that pays 6.2% annually. What is his total accumulation at the end of 10 years? A) 13,261 B) 13,585 C) 13,730 D) 14,020 E) 14,318 18. A perpetuity immediate pays 100 a year for the first 10 years. Starting with year 11, each payment is 3% more than the previous one. The annual yield is 4.5%. Find the present value of this perpetuity. A) 5213 B) 5324 C) 5375 D) 5431 E) 5486 19. Lucy deposits 1000 into an account and makes an additional deposit of 2000 two years later. The account accumulates at a constant force of interest. At the end of 4 years the accumulation is 3431.75. Find the force of interest. A) 0.035 B) 0.040 C) 0.045 D) 0.050 E) 0.055 20. A man buys a house using a thirty year mortgage loan for 300,000. The loan has an interest rate of 6% convertible monthly. He also owns a fifteen year zero-coupon bond which will make a payment of 100,000 to him on the same day as he makes the last payment of the fifteenth year of the mortgage. He plans to increase his monthly payment over the first fifteen years so that at the end of year fifteen he can use the 100,000 from the bond to retire the loan. What should his new monthly payment for the first fifteen years be? A) 1798.65 B) 1995.83 C) 2187.71 D) 2297.81 E) 2798.65 21. The current price of a stock that pays no dividends is 40. The continuously compounded risk free rate is 4%. Investor A buys a six month 41-strike put for 3.48. Investor B enters into a six month short forward contract to sell that stock for the forward price 40.81. At what stock price do the two investors have the same profit in six months? A) 40.81 B) 41 C) 44.29 D) 44.36 E) They do not have the same profit at any stock price. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 3 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PE3- 5 22. An investor buys a 30-strike put and a 30-strike call on a stock. Both options have the same expiration date. Which of the following is the most likely reason for taking this position? A) To profit from an expected increase in the stock price. B) To profit from an expected decrease in the stock price. C) To profit from high volatility in the stock price. D) To profit from low volatility in the stock. E) To create a synthetic forward sale. 23. You buy a 35-strike put and write a 45-strike call on a stock. The options have the same expiration date. Which of the following can be the graph of your profit? A) D) E) None of these 24. The current price of a stock is 40. The price of a 35-strike call is 6.13 and the price of a 45 strike call is 0.97. Consider buying n 35-strike calls and selling m 45-strike calls. What ratio n/m gives you a zero premium for this position? A) .158 B) .172 C) .567 D) 5.814 E) 6.320 ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Page PE3-6 Practice Exam 3 - Exam FM / Exam 2 25. You write a 35-strike put and a 45-strike call on a stock. The options both expire in three months. The price of the put is 0.44 and the price of the call is 0.97. The continuous risk free rate is 4%. What is your maximum profit? A) 0.53 B) 0.535 C) 1.41 D) 1.424 E) There is no maximum 26. Which of the following are true? I. Future and forward prices at expiration for otherwise identical contracts must be the same, since futures are standardized forwards. II. When the interest rate is positively correlated with the futures price, the futures price will exceed the forward price for an otherwise identical contract. III.All forward and futures contracts will require a maintenance margin account which is marked to market on a regular basis. A) I only B) II only C) III only D) I and III E) II and III 27. The price of an S&P 500 Index futures contract is 1520. An investor enters a short forward position. When the position is closed the futures price is 1540. If there is no settlement requirement, what is the dollar gain or loss? A) $20 gain B) $20 loss C) $5000 gain D) $5000 loss E) None of these 28. A stock has current price S0 = 35. The annual continuous interest rate is r = .04 and the continuous dividend yield is 8 = .02 . You observe a one year prepaid forward price of 34.20. Which of the following is true? A) No arbitrage is possible. B) You can create an arbitrage by buying one prepaid forward and selling one share of the stock short C) You can create an arbitrage by selling the prepaid forward and buying one share of the stock. D) You can create an arbitrage by buying the prepaid forward and selling e"02 shares of the stock short E) You can create an arbitrage by selling the prepaid forward and buying e"02 shares of the stock. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 3 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PE3- 7 29. The zero-coupon bond prices for the next 3 quarters are Quarter Zero-coupon bond price 1 .985 2 .971 3 .954 The guaranteed rate on a four quarter interest rate swap is 1.74%. Find the zero coupon bond rate for the fourth quarter. A) .929 B).933 C) .935 D) .937 E) .939 30. Zero coupon bond yields and oil forward prices for the next three years are Year Oil Forward Price Zero-coupon bond yield 1 60 5% 2 62 6% 3 64 7% What is the level swap payment for a three year oil price swap? A) 61.90 B) 62.13 C) 62.27 D) 62.38 E) 62.43 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE3-8 Practice Exam 3 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Solutions 1. We may assume the payments are 1. Relating the present values we get (1 - v30)/i = 4vls(l - v15)/i. Dividing by (1 - v15) yields 1 + v15 = 4v15 ^ (1 + i)15 = 3 => i = 0.076. Answer D 2. The price of this bond is 1035. To get the yield using the BA II Plus calculator set N = 20, PV = -1035, PMT = 30 and FV = 1000. Then CPT I/Y = 2.770. Yield is 5.54%. Answer B 3. We have 2000/1.056 + 5000/(1 + i)3 = 6068.36. Hence (1 + i)3 = 5000/4174.42 = 1.1978 ^ 1 + i = 1.062 =* i = .062 Answer E 4. The present values of the payments are 2000/1.062 + 4000/1.0623 + 6000/1.0625 = 1883.24 + 3339.54 + 4441.49 = 9664.27 The weights for the Macaulay duration are wi = 1883.24/9664.27 = 0.1949 w2 = 3339.54/9664.27 = 0.3456 w3 = 4441.49/9664.27 = 0.4596 D = 0.1949(1) + 0.3456(3) + 0.4596(5) = 3.5297 Answer D 5. The amount of premium amortized in period k is 1000(0.0325 -j/2)v20fc+1 where v = 1/(1 + j/2). For period 7 we have 2.346 = 1000(0.0325 - j/2)(l + j/2)14. For period 12 we have 2.706 = 1000(0.0325-j/2)(l +j/2)9 So (l+j/2)5 = 2.706/2.346 = 1.1535 => j/2 = 0.029 Thus; = 0.058 Answer A ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 3 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PE3- 9 6. The accumulation factor for the 10 year period is (1.005)48e005(6) = 1.7150. Then (l-d(4)/4)-40 = 1.7150 And 1 - d(4)/4 = 0.9866 => d(4) = 0.054 Answer C 7. The total accumulation is given by the future value version of the P-Q present value formula (2.53) in module 2 of the study guide. A =100s3-^+(s3-^-360)/i = 100(1,269.225) + (1,269.225 - 360)/0.006 = 126,922.50 + 151,537.50 = 278,460 For withdrawals using the BA II Plus calculator set I/Y = 0.6, PV = 278,460, PMT = -2000 and FV = 0. Then CPT N = 301.59. Answer B 8. (1 + s3)3 = (1 + io,i)(l + iu)(l + 12.3) (1 + i2,3) = (1.04)3/[(1.03)(1.032)] = 1.0582 Answer E 9. Using the time weighted yield to get X we have (10,500/10,000)(12,800/12,500)(X/10,200) = 1.06466 X = 10,100 The amount of interest earned is found from 10,000 + 2000 - 2600 + J = 10,100 => J = 700 To get the dollar weighted yield set j = 700/[10,000 + (3/4)2000 -(1/3)2600] = 0.0658 Answer A 10. First find the monthly payments using the calculator. Set N = 360, I/Y = 0.45, PV = -200,000 and FV =0. Then CPT PMT = 1123.06. Reset N = 180, then CPT PV = -138,344.43 Reset PMT = 1623.06 and CPT N = 107.75 Answer B ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE3-10 Practice Exam 3 - Exam FM / Exam 2 11. The accumulation of deposits is A = 35 s^ o.o33(1.029)10 +35 s^ 0.029 = (406.82)(1.3309) + 399.39 = 940.83 Total return is 1940.83 Annual yield is (1940.83/1000)1'10 - 1 = 0.069 Answer C 12. The amount of principal repaid in the fcth period is PMTv3o-k+i For the 10th period, PMTv21 = 408.12 For the 20th period, PMTv11 = 766.10 v10 = 408.12/766.10 = 0.53272 Principal repaid in the 15th period is PMTv16 = (PMTvn)v5 = 766.10(0.53272)1/2 = 559.16 Answer E 13. The present value of Tom's annuity is lOOda)^ = lOOKfiioi- 10v10)/i] =3582.84 The present value of Jerry's annuity is (X/lOXDa) m = (X/10)[(n-amW] = 4.325X X = 3582.84/4.325 = 828.40 Answer B 14. Sally's accumulation is A = 100[(1 + i)20 - l]/i Linus's accumulation is B = 100[(1 + i)20 - l]/i + 100[(1+ i)10 - l]/i. B = (4/3) A, or 4A = 3B. Let x = (1 + i)10. Then 4jc2 - 4 = 3jc2 - 3 + 3x - 3 or x2 -3x + 2 = 0. The roots are x = 1, 2 (x = 1 yields i = 0.) Hence (1 + i)10 = 2 => i = 0.072 Answer D 15. The price of the bond is P = 50/1.045 + 50/1.0402 + 1050/1.0383 = 1032.93 Answer A ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 3 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PE3-11 16. To get the price of the bond using the calculator, set N = 3,1/Y = 6.4, PMT = 58 and FV = 1000. Then CPT PV = -984.08. The price is 984.08 The Macaulay duration is D = [(58/1.064) + (58)(2)/1.0642 + (1058)(3)/1.0643]/984.08 = 2.837 Answer C 17. The amount of interest for year k is 1000k(0.056) = 56k. The accumulation of these payments plus interest is 56(18)^= 3730.48. Total accumulation is 13,730.48. Answer C 18. This can be visualized as a 10-year annuity immediate plus a 10-year deferred geometrically increasing perpetuity. The present value is 100a m + [103/(0.045 - 0.03)](1.045)10 = 791.27 + 6866.67(0.6439) = 5212.72 Answer A 19.The accumulation is A = lOOOe45 + 2000e25 = 3431.75. Let x = e25. Then we have 1000*2 + 2000* - 3431.75 = 0 The positive root of this equation is x = e25 = 1.1052. 5 = 0.05 Answer D 20. The normal monthly payment would be 1798.65. The man wants to make a larger payment that would leave a balance of 100,000 at the end of fifteen years so that he can pay the 100,000 from the bond and retire the loan. Use the calculator. 300,000 PV .5 I/Y 180 N 100,000 ±_ FV CPT PMT The payment is 2187.71. Answer C ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE3-12 Practice Exam 3 - Exam FM / Exam 2 21. Let S be the stock price in six months. The profit function of the forward is 40.81 - S. The profit function of the put is Max (41 - S, 0) - 3.48e04( 5) = Max (41 - S, 0) - 3.55 [37.45 -S, S<41 1-3.55 S>41 If you think graphically, it is clear that the intersection occurs when S > 41. 3.00 - 1.00 £ -1.00 - Q_ -3.00 - -5.00 - .7 nn - \. ^\ •>, ^s. 37 39 41 43 Stock Price 45 i orwara Put | 47 To find the intersection point we solve the equation 40.81 - S = -3.55 -> S = 44.36 Answer D 22. This position is a straddle, which is designed to capture returns from high volatility. Answer C 23. This is a collar. Answer A 24. We need 6.13n = .97m -> — = .158. m Answer A ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 3 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PE3-13 25. This is a written strangle. The maximum value occurs for stock prices between 35 and 45 where the options expire worthless and you pocket the total call premiums. (.44 + .97)e04(-25)= 1.424 Answer D 26. I) is false. Final prices can differ since margin is required for futures but not necessarily for forwards. II) is true. It is taken from page 147 of Derivatives Markets. III) is false, as we see from I) above. Answer B 27. The notional value of the contract is 250 times the index contract price. Thus the short loses 20(250) = 5000. Answer D 28. The correct prepaid forward price is S0e~ST = 35e"02 = 34.31. Thus the forward price of 34.20 is too low. You can buy the forward for 34.20 and sell short a tailed position in the stock for a price of S0e~ST = 35e"02 = 34.31. This gives a profit of .11 at time 0. In one year the prepaid forward will deliver a share of stock which can be used to cover the short sale. Answer D 29. The guaranteed interest rate is the four year par coupon bond rate. 1-P(0,4) c = P(0,l) + P(0,2) + P(0,3) + P(0,4) It follows that 1-P(0,4) .985 + .971 + .954 + P(0,4) Answer B = .0174->P (0,4) = .933 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE3-14 Practice Exam 3 - Exam FM / Exam 2 30. We will use the general formula £p(o,to/0(tO p=^—„ The required zero-coupon bond prices are p(0'1)=n>5=-952' p(a2)=r^=-890' p(°'3)=ii^=-816 The swap payment is 60 (-952)+ 62 (,890) + 64 (-816) _ .952+ .890+ .816 Answer A ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 4 - Exam FM / Exam 2 PagePE4- 1 Exam FM Questions 1. If 5 = 0.08, find i(6) + d(4). A) 0.1591 B) 0.1597 C) 0.1608 D) 0.1615 E) 0.1621 2. A man has children aged 15,18 and 20. He purchases annuities for each one that pay 5000 a year beginning now and continuing as long as the recipient is under 30. The annual interest rate is 5.5%. What is the total cost of these annuities? A) 131,000 B) 135,000 C) 138,000 D) 142,000 E) 147,000 3. A company has liabilities of 5,000 and 2,000 due at the end of years 2 and 4 respectively. It purchases zero coupon bonds maturing in 2 and 4 years, both earning the same interest rate. The cost of matching liabilities exactly is 6000. What is the common interest rate for these bonds? A) 5.4% B) 5.6% C) 5.8% D) 6.0% E) 6.2% 4. A man buys a house for with a 30-year 6.4% monthly payment mortgage for 150,00. After 12 years he refinances the house at a new rate of 5.8% and a new term of 10 years. What are his new monthly payments? A) 1322 B) 1330 C) 1337 D) 1342 E) 1349 5. A woman buys a 20-year 1000 par bond with 6% semiannual coupons. The bond is priced to yield 5.6% convertible semiannually. The coupon payments are deposited into a fund that earns 5% convertible semiannually for the first 10 years and 5.4% convertible semiannually for the last 10 years. What is her annual yield on this investment? A) 5.2% B) 5.4% C) 5.6% D) 5.8% E) 6.0% ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE4-2 Practice Exam 4 - Exam FM / Exam 2 6. Given the spot rate of s2 = 0.046 and the forward rates i2,3= 0.037 and i3,4 = 0.039, find s4. A) 0.036 B) 0.038 C) 0.040 D) 0.042 (D) 0.044 7. A man purchases a 30-year annuity immediate that makes annual payments. The first 10 payments are 200, the next 10 are 400 and the last 10 are 300. The annuity earns 6.5% annually. What is the present value of this annuity? A) 3582 B) 3617 C) 3675 D) 3713 E) 3753 8. A man has 30-year 6.6% home mortgage with monthly end of month payments of 766.39. What is the first period in which the principal repaid is over 500? A) 269 B) 274 C) 278 D) 281 E) 284 9. An annual corporate bond is priced to yield 6.7% annually and has a price of 1023.68. Its Macaulay duration is D = 8.2135. Estimate the change in price if rates decrease by 0.10%. A) 7.880 B) 7.893 C) 8.010 D) 8.018 E) 8.023 10. A woman has a 20-year annuity immediate with annual payments and an annual interest rate of 6.3%. The annuity pays 1000 the first year. Subsequent payments decrease by 100 per year until they reach 100. The remaining payments stay at 100 per year. Find the present value of this annuity. A) 4695 B) 4723 C) 4749 D) 4801 E) 4862 11. A man borrows 50,000 for 10 years at 7.6% annual interest. For the first 3 years he makes payments of only 3000. What will his payments need to be for the final 7 years? A) 9,876 B) 9,915 C) 9,963 D) 10,020 E) 10,088 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 4 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PE4- 3 12. An investor has a portfolio consisting 20,000 worth of a 2-year bond with a modified duration of 1.92, 35,000 worth of a 3-year bond with a modified duration of 2.84 and 45,000 worth of a 5-year bond with a modified duration of 4.79. Find the modified duration for the entire portfolio. A) 3.49 B) 3.53 C) 3.57 D) 3.61 E) 3.65 13. A woman invests 12,000 in a project. She is promised returns of 4,000 in 2 years, 6,000 in 3 years and 8,000 in 4 years. Find the IRR for this investment. A) 13.05% B) 13.27% C) 13.44% D) 13.59% E) 13.71% 14. A three-year $1000 par value bond with 4.5% annual coupons is priced using the spot rates implied by the forward rates i0,i = 0.051, ii,2 = 0.047 and i2,3 = 0.043. Find the price of the bond. A) 964 B) 974 C) 984 D) 994 E) 1004 15. A woman deposits 1000 into a savings account. For the first 5 years the money accumulates with a force of interest of 5 = 0.04. For the nest 3 years the money accumulates at a nominal discount rate of 0.06 convertible semiannually. At the end of 10 years the money has earned at an annual effective rate of 5.2%. What was the nominal annual interest rate convertible quarterly for the last 2 years? A) 5.5% B) 5.7% C) 5.9% D) 6.1% E) 6.3% 16. You begin the year with 8000 in an account. You make deposits of 2000 on March 1 and 1000 on November 1. You withdraw 500 on July 1. Your dollar- weighted yield for the year is 8.87%. How much interest did you earn? A) 850 B) 861 C) 869 D) 873 E) 882 17. A 20-year annuity immediate pays 100 the first year and increases by 100 a year through year 10. Starting in year 11 each yearly payment is 5% greater than the previous payment. The annuity earns 6.8% annually. What is the present value of this annuity? A) 8175 B) 8239 C) 8290 D) 8344 E) 8395 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE4-4 Practice Exam 4 - Exam FM / Exam 2 18. A 3-year 1000 par bond with 4.8% annual coupons is priced to yield 5.5%. What is the Macaulay duration of the bond? A) 2.836 B) 2.844 C) 2.851 D) 2.863 E) 2.875 19. A man borrows 65,000 for 20 years and makes the annual interest payments to the lender. He makes annual contributions to a sinking fund to raise money to pay off the principal. He makes payments to the sinking fund of X for the first 10 years and 2X for the last 10 years. The fund earns 6.5%. Find X. A) 1232 B) 1237 C) 1242 D) 1247 E) 1252 20. You are given the yield curve sk = 0.068 + 0.002k - 0.001/c2. Find the 3 year forward rate implied by this yield curve. A) 3.9% B) 4.1% C) 4.3% D) 4.5% E) 4.7% 21. The current price of a stock that pays no dividends is 40. The continuously compounded risk free rate is 4%. Investor A buys a six month 41-strike put for 3.48. Investor B enters into a six month short forward contract to sell that stock for the forward price 40.81. At what stock price do the two investors have the same payoff in six months? A) 40.81 B) 41 C) 44.29 D) 44.36 E) They do not have the same profit at any stock price. 22. An investor buys a 30-strike call and a sells a 35-strike call on a stock. Both options have the same expiration date. Which of the following is the most likely reason for taking this position? A) To profit from an expected increase in the stock price. B) To profit from an expected decrease in the stock price. C) To profit from high volatility in the stock price. D) To profit from low volatility in the stock. E) To create a synthetic forward sale. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 4 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PE4- 5 23. You buy a 35-strike put and a 45-strike call on a stock. The options have the same expiration date. Which of the following can be the graph of your profit? A) C) D) E) None of these 24. The current price of a stock is 40. The price of a 35-strike three month call is 6.13 and the price of a 35 strike three month put is 0.44. The continuous risk-free rate is 4%. What is the price of a forward contract to buy the stock in three months for 35? A) 5.69 B) 5.75 C) 6.77 D) 6.84 E)0 25. The Wiresguys Company manufactures wire, for which it must buy copper. Two pounds of copper will produce one unit of wire, which sells for the price of the two pounds of copper plus $8. The fixed cost of the unit of wire is $4 and the variable cost is $3. The current cost of copper is 1.10 per pound. Which of the following might be advisable for Wiresguys? A) Hedge by buying a .90 strike call for copper. B) Hedge by designing a paylater option strategy for copper. C) Hedge with a collar for copper. D) It is not necessary to hedge the cost of copper E) None of the above. ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Page PE4-6 Practice Exam 4 - Exam FM / Exam 2 26. Which of the following are true for forward price arbitrages when transaction costs and differences between borrowing and lending rates are taken into account? I) The no-arbitrage region becomes wider when transaction costs increase. II) The no-arbitrage region becomes narrower if the borrowing rate increases and the lending rate decreases. III) It is likely that the no-arbitrage region will be different for different arbitragers. A) I only B) II only C) III only D) I and III E) II and III 27. A stock has current price S0 = 40. The annual continuous interest rate and dividend yield are r = .025 and 8 = .01. If the expiration time for a forward contract is T = .5, what is the difference between the forward price and the prepaid forward price? A) 0.10 B)0.20 C)0.30 D) 0.40 E) 0.50 28. The S&R index has a spot price of S0 = 1300. The continuous interest rate is . r = .05 and the continuous dividend yield is 8 - 0 You observe a six month forward price of 1340. What arbitrage profit can be made in 6 months? A)0 B)5.23 Q7.09 D) 9.80 E) 10.17 29. Zero coupon bond yields and oil forward prices for the next two years are Year Oil Forward Price Zero-coupon bond yield 1 60 5% 2 62 6% A dealer provides a two year fixed price oil swap to a client and hedges it with forward contracts. Which of the following best describes the dealer's position after hedging? A) Between year 1 and 2 he will be borrowing at a rate of 5.5%. B) Between year 1 and 2 he will be lending at a rate of 5.5%. C) Between year 1 and 2 he will be borrowing at a rate of 7%. D) Between year 1 and 2 he will be lending at a rate of 7%. E) None of the above. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 4 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PE4- 7 30. Zero coupon bond yields for the next three years are Year Zero-coupon bond yield 1 5% 2 6% 3 7% What is the level swap rate for a three year interest swap? A) 5.8% B) 6.1% C) 6.7% D) 6.8% E) 6.9% ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE4-8 Practice Exam 4 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Solutions 1. The relations are e5 = (1 + i{6)l6f = (1 - d(4)/4)^ So i(6) = (e5/6 - 1)16 = 0.0805 and d(4) = (1 - e-5/4)/4 = 0.0792. Thus i(6) + d(4) = 0.1597 Answer B 2. The children will receive 15,12 and 10 payments respectively. The annuities are annuities due. The sum of the present values is 5000(6^ +d^ + am) = 5000(10.590 + 9.093 + 7.952) = 138,175. Answer C 3. We have 5000/(1 + i)2 + 2000/(1 + i)4 = 6000. Letting x = (1 + i)2, we have 5000/x + 2000/x2 = 6000. This reduces to 6x2 - 5x - 2 = 0. The positive root is x = (1 + i)2 = 1.1287 => i = 0.062 Answer E 4. To find the payment using the calculator set N =360,1/Y = 6.4/12, PV = -150,000 and FV = 0. Then CPT PMT = 938.26. To find the balance after 12 years, reset N = 144 and CPT FV = 120,160.54. Now reset I/Y = 5.8/12, N= 120, PV= -120,160.54 and FV = 0. Then CPT PMT = 1321.99. Answer A 5. To find the price of the bond with the calculator set N = 40, I/Y = 2.8, PMT = 30 and FV = 1000. Then CPT PV = -1047.76. The accumulation of coupon payments plus interest is A = 30[s^ o.o25 (1.027)20 + S2010.027] = 2087.66. Total accumulation is 3087.66. Annual yield = (3087.66/1047.76)1/20 - 1 = 0.056 Answer C ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 4 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PE4- 9 6. The basic formula is (1 + sn)n = (1 + sn-i)nl(l + in-i,n). (1 + s3)3 = (1.046)2(1.037) = 1.1346 (1 + s4)4 = 1.1346(1.039) = 1.788 Then s4 = 0.042 Answer D 7. The present value of this annuity is A =300a^ +100 a^ -200aioi = 300(13.059) + 100(11.019) - 200(7.189) = 3581.80 Answer A 8. The amount of principal repaid in period k is PMTv360"^1. Set 766.39v361-* = 500. Then (1 + i)361fc = 1.0055361fc = 766.39/500 = 1.5328. 361 - k = ln(1.5328)/ln(1.0055) = 77.867 => k = 283.135 The first period in which principal repaid is over 500 is the 284th. Answer E 9. AP = -(D)P(i)(Ai)/(l + i) = -(8.2135)(1023.68)(-0.001)/1.067 = 7.880 Answer A 10. The present value of this annuity is A =100(Da)^ +100v10a^ = 100(10 - am)/i + 100(1.063)10a^ a^= 7.2566. Hence A = 4748.52 Answer C 11. We first need to find the principal balance due after the third payment. Using the calculator set N= 3,1/Y = 7.6, PV = 50,000 and PMT = -3000. Then CPT FV = -52,587.02. The new balance is 52,587.02. To get the new payments set N = 7,1/Y = 7.6, PV = -52,587.02 and FV = 0. Then CPT PMT = 9962.76 Answer C ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE4-10 Practice Exam 4 - Exam FM / Exam 2 12. The weights for the individual bonds are wi = 20,000/100,000 = 0.2, w2 = 35,000/100,000 = 0.35 and w3 = 45,000/100/000 = 0.45. The duration of the portfolio is 0.2(1.92) + 0.35(2.84) + 0.45(4.79) = 3.534 Answer B 13. Using the CF worksheet on the calculator set CF0 = -12,000, C01 = 0, C02 = 4,000, C03 = 6,000 and C04 = 8,000. Then key IRR CPT. The yield is 13.59%. Answer D 14. We need to find (1 + s„)n for n = 1, 2 and 3. (1 + si) = 1 + io.i = 1.051 (1 + s2)2 = (1 + si)(l + iu) = (1.0S1)(1.047) = 1.1004 (1 + s3)3 = (1+ s2)2(l + i2,3) = (1.1004X1.043) = 1.1477 P = 45/1.051 + 45/1.1004 + 1045/1.1477 = 994.23 Answer D 15. The accumulation is A = e004(5)(l - 0.06/2)6(l + i(4)/4)8 = (1.052)10. (1 + i(4)/4)8 = 1.6602(e02)(0.97)6 = 1.1322 Then i(4> = 0.063 Answer E 16. The amount interest can be found using the formula I/[8,000 + 2000(5/6) + 1000(1/6) - 500(1/2)] = j = 0.0887 I = 0.0887(9583.33) = 850.04 Answer A 17. The present value of the annuity is PV = 100(Ia) m + 1050v:0 1-11±« 1 + i '(*-*) where i = 0.068 and g = 0.05 (la) ^=(a^-10v10)/i = 35.170 PV = 100(35.17) + 1050(0.5179X8.684) = 8239.4 Answer B ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 4 - Exam FM / Exam 2 PagePE4-ll 18. The Macaulay duration is D = [48/1.055 + 2(48)/1.0552 + 3(1048)/1.0553]/(Bond Price) To find the bond price set N = 3,1/Y= 5.5, PMT = 48 and FV = 1000. Then CPT PV = -981.11. So bond price is 981.11. D = 2809.22/981.11 = 2.863 Answer D 19. The accumulation in the sinking fund is Xs^ + Xs^ = X(38.825 + 13.494) = 52.319X Hence X = 65,000/52.319 = 1242.38 Answer C 20. The 3-year forward rate is i3>4 = (s4)4/(s3)3 s4= 0.068 + 0.002(4) - 0.001(16) = 0.060 s3 = 0.068 + 0.002(3) - 0.001(9) = 0.065 i3,4 = 1.060V1.0653 = 1.045 Answer D 21. Let S be the stock price in six months. The payoff function of the forward is 40.81 - S. The payoff function of the put is ,„ /„, n^ f41-S, S<41 Max(41-S,0) = ^ v ; [0 S>41 The put payoff is greater than the forward payoff for all values of S. Answer E 22. This position is a bull spread, which is designed to capture returns from an increase in stock price while costing less than the purchase of the call only. Answer A 23. This is a strangle. Answer B 24. You create a synthetic forward purchase for 35 by buying the 35-strike call and selling the 35-strike put. The cost is 6.13 - 0.44 = 5.69. Answer A ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE4-12 Practice Exam 4 - Exam FM / Exam 2 25. The profit of Wiresguys does not depend on the cost of copper. If C is the cost of copper, we have: Revenue per unit of wire = 2C + 8 Cost per unit of wire = 2C + 4 + 3 Profit per unit of wire = 1 Attempts to hedge the cost of copper are not needed. (This is based on problem 4.13 in the text.) Answer D 26. The no-arbitrage region has bounds F-=(S0b-2/c)er'T and F+ = (S0a +2fc)er"T. The changes described in I) and II) decrease F" and increase F+. Thus I) is true and II) is false. Ill) is true, since different arbitragers can have cost and rate differences due to discounts, special agreements with banks or the ability to process transactions in house. Answer D 27. The forward price and prepaid forward price are Fo.o.5 =40e('025-01)'5 =40.30 , F0Po.5 = 40e("01)"5 =39.80 The difference is 40.30 - 39.80 = 0.50. Answer E 28. The forward price should be 1300e05( 5) = 1332.91. Thus you can create an arbitrage by entering a forward sale contract at the price of 1320, and borrowing 1300 to buy the stock today. In six months you will deliver the share of stock and receive the forward price of 1340. The loan repayment due is 1300e05(5) =1332.91. Thus there is a profit of 1340 - 1332.91 = 7.09 Answer C ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 4 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PE4-13 29. The fixed swap payment x is given by 60 62 ( 1 1 1 *no^ - + t = x + =- -> x = 60.966 1.05 1.062 11.05 1.06 The dealer's payments after hedging are Year Payment 1 60.966 -60 = .966 2 60.966-62 = -1.034 Thus his position is equivalent to borrowing .966 and paying back 1.034 in „. . . 1.034 i n_ one year. His rate is 1 = .07. .966 Answer C Note: the text pointed out in its similar example for an upward sloping yield curve that the dealer was borrowing at the implied forward rate. The answer of 7% is the implied forward rate here. 30. The guaranteed interest rate is the three year par coupon bond rate. 1-P(0,3) c = P(0,l) + P(0,2) + P(0,3) The required zero-coupon bond prices are P(0,1) = —!- = .952, p (0,2) = -i—= .890, P(0,3) = —^ = .816 v ; 1.05 v ; 1.062 v ; 1.073 The swap rate is 1-.816 .952+ .890+ .816 Answer E = .069 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 5 - Exam FM / Exam 2 PagePE5- 1 Exam FM Questions 1. A man wishes to accumulate 100,000 by making monthly end of month contributions for 30 years into an account that earns 5.4% interest convertible monthly. After 10 years the interest rate increases to 6.6% convertible monthly. What should his new contributions be if he still wishes to accumulate 100,000? A) 60.70 B) 63.85 C) 68.50 D) 71.25 E) 74.65 2. Charlie deposits 5000 into an account that earns an annual rate of i. Lucy buys a 25-year annuity-immediate for 5000. The annuity has annual payments and earns 7% annually. She deposits her annual payments into a fund that pays 6.5% annually. After 25 years Charlie and Lucy have accumulated the same amount. Find i. A) 6.7% B) 6.9% C) 7.1% D) 7.3% E) 7.5% 3. An investor buys a 10-year 1000 par bond that has 7.5% semiannual coupons and is priced to yield 6.8% convertible semiannually. The bond is called at the end of 6 years with a redemption value of X. The yield to the investor is still 6.8% convertible semiannually. Find X. A) 1009 B) 1014 C) 1019 D) 1024 (E) 1029 4. A man borrows 10,000 to be paid back in 30 years with level end of year payments at an annual interest rate of i. The sum of principal repayments in years 5 and 10 is equal to the principal repaid in year 15. Find i. A) 8.9% B) 9.2% C) 9.5% D) 9.8% E) 10.1% ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE5-2 Practice Exam 5 - Exam FM / Exam 2 S. A man has two 20-year annuities-immediate. Each has a present value of 1000. The first has annual payments and earns 5.8% annually. The second earns 5.4% convertible semiannually with semiannual payments. All payments are deposited into a fund that pays an annual effective rate of 6%. What is his accumulation at the end of 20 years? A) 6170 B) 6190 C) 6210 D) 6230 E) 6250 6. A woman has 10,000 in an account on January 1. She makes withdrawals of 400 on April 1 and 600 on November 1. Her dollar-weighted return for the year is 12.77%. What is her balance on December 31? A) 10,123 B) 10,226 C) 10,317 D) 10,437 E) 10,501 7. Given s2 = 0.053, s4 = 0.0575 and i2>3 = 0.058, find i3>4. A) 0.066 B) 0.067 C) 0.068 D) 0.069 E) 0.070 8. A 3-year 1000 par bond has 4.5% annual coupons. The forward rates implied by the yield curve are i0>i = 0.033, ili2 = 0.038 and i2>3 = 0.042. Find the price of the bond using the spot rates from the yield curve. A) 1011 B) 1016 C) 1021 D) 1026 E) 1031 9. Given d(4) = 0.064, find 5 + i(6). A) 0.123 B) 0.125 C) 0.127 D) 0.129 E) 0.131 10. A company has liabilities of 3000, 5000 and 2000 due at the end of years 1, 2 and 3 respectively. It can purchase zero-coupon bonds to match its liabilities. Each bond has a par value of 1000. The first ones mature in one year with a rate of 5%, the second ones in two years with a rate of i, and the third ones in three years with a rate of 6%. The cost of matching its liabilities is 9028.64. Find i. A) 5.1% B) 5.3% C) 5.5% D) 5.7% E) 5.9% ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 5 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PES- 3 11. A woman buys a 30-year annuity-immediate with monthly payments that earns 5.4% convertible monthly. The present value of the annuity is 10,000. At the end of 15 years the interest rate is increased to 6.3% convertible monthly. What will her new monthly payments be? A) 57.50 B) 58.00 C) 58.50 D) 59.00 E) 59.50 12. Jack deposits 1000 into an account on 01/01/03. Jill deposits 500 into an account on 01/01/04, and another 600 into the account on 01/01/05. On 01/01/07 the accounts have the same amount in them. The accounts earned the same annual interest. What was the interest rate? A) 6.2% B) 6.4% C) 6.6% D) 6.8% E) 7.0% 13. An investment pays 2000 at the end of year 1, 2500 at the end of year 2 and X at the end of year 3. The investment earns 8% annually. The present value of the investment is 6773.60. What is the Macaulay duration of the investment? A) 2.137 B) 2.175 C) 2.204 D) 2.229 E) 2.253 14. A man wants to accumulate 250,000 in 25 years by making monthly end of month payments into a fund that earns 6.3% convertible monthly. His first payment is 100 and each subsequent payment is increased by X over the previous one. What must X be to achieve his goal? A) 2.04 B) 2.09 C) 2.14 D) 2.19 E) 2.24 IS. A 10-year 1000 par bond with 6% semiannual coupons is purchased to yield 5.6% convertible semiannually. How much of the premium is amortized in the seventh period? A) 1.33 B) 1.36 C) 1.39 D) 1.42 E) 1.45 16. A 10-year 1000 par bond with 6% annual coupons is priced to yield 5.5%. Find the Macaulay duration of this bond. A) 7.847 B) 7.898 C) 7.937 D) 7.962 E) 7.995 17. Money in an account earns 7% simple interest per year. What is the effective rate of interest for the time interval [3,4]? A) 5.61% B) 5.66% C) 5.71% D) 5.75% E) 5.79% ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE5-4 Practice Exam 5 - Exam FM / Exam 2 18. A man wants to retire in 25 years. He sets up an account by making monthly end of month payments of X. The account earns 6% convertible monthly. When he retires he wants to be able to make annual end of year withdrawals for 25 years. He wants the first to be 10,000 and each subsequent one to be 3% more than the previous one. What should X be if interest rates stay the same? A) 236 B) 239 C) 242 D) 245 E) 248 19. A man has a 30-year loan with level end of year payments. The principal repaid in year 5 is 159.68 and in year 10 it is 213.73. What is the payment? A) 706 B) 711 C) 716 D) 721 E) 726 20. A man receives an inheritance of X which he uses to buy a 30-year annuity immediate. The annuity will have monthly payments of 100 for the first 10 years, 300 for the next ten years and 1000 for the final 10 years. The annuity earns 5.7% convertible monthly. Find X. A) 53,750 B) 53,925 C) 54,175 D) 54,350 E) 54,525 21. The current price of a stock that pays no dividends is 40. The continuously compounded risk free rate is 4%. A six month short forward contract to sell the stock at the forward price 42 is offered to you. A) You should be paid 1.214 for entering the contract B) You should pay 1.214 for entering the contract C) You should be paid 1.166 for entering the contract D) You should pay 1.166 for entering the contract E) No payment is needed. 22. Which of the following can have a net premium of 0? All options below are for the same stock and have the same expiration date. A) Buy a 30 strike put and write a higher strike call. B) Buy a call and a put with the same strike price. C) Buy an out of the money put and in the money call. D) Buy the stock for S0 and sell a call with K = S0 E) None of these ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 5 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PES- 5 23. You enter a position based on options on the same stock. It has the following profit function graph. A Which of the following could have that graph? A) Buy a 35-strike call and sell a 40-strike put. B) Sell a 35-strike put and buy a 40-strike call. C) Sell a 40-strike put and a 40-strike call, and buy a 35-strike put and a 45-strike call. D) Buy a 40-strike put and a 40-strike call, and sell a 35-strike put and a 45-strike call. E) None of these 24. The current price of a stock is 40. The price of a 35-strike three month call is 6.13 and the price of a 35 strike three month put is 0.44. The continuous risk-free rate is 4%. What payment should be made for you to enter into a short forward contract to sell the stock for 35 in 3 months? A) You should be paid 5.69 B) You should pay 5.69 C) You should be paid 5.75 D) You should pay 5.75 E) No payment is needed on a forward contract. 25. Which of the following are reasons that a firm might decide not to hedge? 1. The option prices and other associated costs appear to be too high. 2. The necessary accounting and financial management skills require expertise that the company does not have. 3. The firm fears that a hedging operation will reduce its debt capacity. A) 2 B)l,2 C)l,3 D)2,3 E) 1,2,3 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE5-6 Practice Exam 5 - Exam FM / Exam 2 26. Which of the following are true of futures and forwards contracts? I) Both forward and futures contracts can be settled on any day up to expiration. II) The credit risk is always the same for futures and forwards. III) Futures contract trading is never halted, so you can trade them on the exchanges at any time. A) I only B) II only C) III only D) All E) None 27. A stock has current price S0 = 30. The annual continuous dividend rate is 8 = .02. If the expiration time for a forward contract is T = .5 and the correct forward price is 30.15 , what is the continuous interest rate r? A) 0.01 B) 0.016 C) 0.020 D) 0.025 E) 0.03 28. The S&R index has a spot price of S0 = 1300. The continuous interest rate is r = .025 and the continuous dividend yield is 8 = 0 The one year forward price is 1332.91. You enter into a forward sale contract and buy the index. Which of the following positions is this equivalent to: A) A short sale of the index. B) Purchase of a one year zero-coupon bond with r = .025 C) A reverse cash and carry hedge. D) A cash and carry arbitrage E) None of these. 29. Zero coupon bond yields and oil forward prices for the next two years are Year Oil Forward Price Zero-coupon bond yield 1 60 5% 2 62 6% What is the market value of a two year oil swap contract based on these forward prices if the forward prices for the next two years go up to 61 and 64 respectively on the same day but the yield curve does not change? A) 0 B) 1.483 C) 1.557 D) 2.073 E) 2.733 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 5 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PES- 7 30. Zero coupon bond yields for the next three years are Year Zero-coupon bond yield 1 5.2% 2 ? 3 7.1% The level swap rate for a three year interest swap is 7% What is the zero coupon yield for two years? A) 5.9% B) 6.0% C) 6.1% D) 6.2% E) 6.3% ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE5-8 Practice Exam 5 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Solutions 1. To get the original payments set N = 360,1/Y = 0.45, FV = 100,000 and PV = 0. Then CPT PMT = -111.53. To get the accumulation after 10 years reset N = 120 and CPT FV = 17,694.47. Now set N = 240,1/Y = 0.55, PV = -17,694.47 and FV = 100,000. Then CPT PMT = -68.50 Answer C 2. To get Lucy's payments set N = 25,1/Y = 7, PV = -5000 and FV = 0. Then CPT PMT = 429.05. Her accumulation in the fund is 429.05s^= 25,265.91. To find i set 5000(1 + i)25 = 25,265.91. Then i = 0.067. Answer A 3. To find the price of the bond set N = 20,1/Y = 3.4, PMT = 37.5 and FV = 1000. Then CPT PV = -1050.20. To find X reset N = 12. Then CPT FV = 1024.16. Answer D 4. The principal repaid in year k is PMTv3"*1. So we have PMTv26 + PMTv21 = PMTv16, or v10 + vs = 1. If we let x = v5 we get x2 + x = 1. So x = 0.6180, and i = (0.6180)1'5 - 1 = 0.101. Answer E 5. The annual payments from the first annuity are 85.77 The semiannual payments from the second annuity are 41.19. For each year the accumulation of deposits plus interest for the year is 85.77 + 41.19U.06)1'2 + 41.19 = 169.37. The total accumulation is 169.37s Mo6 = 6,230.38. Answer D ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 5 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PE5- 9 6. The denominator for the dollar-weighted interest rate is 10,000 - 400(3/4) - 600(1/6) = 9600. The interest amount I is 9600(0.1277) = 1225.92. The balance on December 31 is 10,000 - 1000 + 1225.92 = 10,225.92. Answer B 7. (1 + s3)3 = (1 + s2)2(l + i2,3) = (1.053)2(1.058) = 1.1731 1 + i3,4 = (1 + s4)4/(l + S3)3 = 1.05754/1.1731 = 1.066 Answer A 8. The bond price is P = 45/(1 + sO +45/(1 + s2)2 + 1045/(1 + s3)3. 1 + Si = 1 + io.i = 1.033. (1 + s2)2 = (1 + Si)(l + ii,2) = 1.0723 (1 + S3)3 = (1 + s2)2(l + i2,3) = (1.0723X1.042) = 1.1173 P = 45/1.033 + 45/1.0723 + 1045/1.1173 = 1020.82. Answer C 9. The fundamental relations are e8 = (1 + i<-6)/6)6 = (1 - d(4)/4)^. (1 - d^M)"4 = 0.984"4 = 1.0666. Hence 6 = ln(1.0666) = 0.0645. Then i(6) = (1.06661'6 - 1)(6) = 0.0648. Thus 8 + i(6) = 0.0645 + 0.0648 = 0.1293 Answer D 10. To match liabilities we need 3000/1.05 + 5000/(1 + if + 2000/1.063 = 9028.64 5000/(1 + i)2 = 4492.26 => 1 + i = 1.055 Answer C 11. To get the original payments set N = 360,1/Y = 0.45, PV = 10,000 and FV = 0. The CPT PMT = 56.15. The reset N = 180 and CPT FV = 6,917.22 gives the balance after 15 years. Then reset I/Y = 0.525. PV = -6917.77 and FV = 0. Then CPT PMT = 59.50. Answer E ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE5-10 Practice Exam 5 - Exam FM / Exam 2 12. Let r be the rate earned. The total in Jack's account is 1000(1 + r)4. The amount in JilPs account is 500(1 + r)3 + 600(1 + r)2. Equating these values and setting 1 + r = x, the equation reduces to 10x2 - 5x - 6 = 0. The positive root is x = 1 + i = 1.064. Hence r = 0.064. Answer B 13. The present values of the first two payments are 2000/1.08 = 1,851.85 and 2500/1.082 = 2,143.35. The corresponding weights are wi = 1,851.85/6.773.6 = 0.2734 and w2 = 2,143.35/6,773.6 = 0.3164. Then w3 = 1 - 0.2734 - 0.3164 = 0.4102. The Macaulay duration is D = 0.2734(1) + 0.3164(2) + 0.4102(3) = 2.1368 Answer A 14. The accumulation can be written as A = 100s 3ooi+X(s 3001 - 300)/i , i = 0.525% 250,000= 100(725.88) + X(725.88 - 300)/0.00525 X = 177,412/81,120 = 2.187 Answer D 15. The amount of the premium amortized in the fcth period is (r- i)(1000)v20fc+1 = 1000(0.002)(1.028)(21fc) For the 7th period the amount is 2(1.028)14 = 1.359 Answer B 16. The price of the bond is P = 1037.69. The Macaulay duration is [60(Ia) m + 10(1000)v10]/P for I =5.5%. (la) ^=38.143, so D = (2288.60 + 5854.30)/1037.69 = 7.847 Answer A 17. The effective interest rate U is [a(4) - a(3)]/a(3). So U = (1.28 - 1.21)/1.21 = 0.0579 Answer E ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 5 - Exam FM / Exam 2 PagePE5-ll 18. For retirement years the annual effective interest rate will be g = (1.005)12 - 1 = 0.06168. The present value of withdrawals is 10,000[1 - (1.03/1.06168)25]/0.03168 = 167,642. To find the monthly deposits set N = 300,1/Y = 0.5, PV = 0 and FV = 167,642. Then CPT PMT = -241.91 Answer C 19. The principal repaid in the repaid year k is PMTv30fc+1. For year 5, PMTv26 = 159.68. For year 10, PMTv21 = 213.73. Then v5 = (1 + i)s = 213.73/159.68 = 1.3385 => 1 + i = 1.060. Then PMT = 159.68(1.06)26 = 726.45 Answer E 20. This can be viewed as the sum of 3 annuities-immediate. The first is a 30- year annuity with monthly payments of 100, the second a 10-year deferred 20-year annuity with monthly payments of 200, and the third a 20-year deferred 10-year annuity with monthly payments of 700. The present value of this annuity is PV= 100a 3^ + 200v120a^+ 700v240aI2oi = 100(172.295) + 200(0.5663X143.014) + 700(0.3207)(91.308) = 53,925 Answer B 21. The forward price should be 40e04(5) = 40.81 Thus the futures price is priced too high by 42-40.81 = 1.19. Since the short position will pay an extra 1.19 in six months, you must pay the present value of that amount today. You pay 1.19e"02 = 1.166. Answer D 22. A) is a collar, which can have a 0-cost. Answer A ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE5-12 Practice Exam 5 - Exam FM / Exam 2 23. This is the graph of a butterfly spread in which you write a straddle and buy a strangle. Answer C 24. You create a synthetic forward sale for 35 by selling the 35-strike call and buying the 35-strike put. The net to you is 6.13 - 0.44 = 5.69. Answer A 25.1) and 2) are given in the text as reasons not to hedge on page 106. However hedging is regarded as a tool to protect and increase debt capacity, so that 3) is not a valid reason to avoid hedging. Answer B 26. The answers are based on text quoted below from the text on page 142. I) False. "Whereas forward contracts are settled at expiration, futures contracts are settled daily." II) False. "Because of daily settlement, the nature of the credit risk is different with the futures contract. In fact, futures contracts are structured so as to minimize the effects of credit risk. III) False. "A price limit is a move in the futures price that triggers a temporary halt in trading." Answer E) 27. F0 T = S0e{T~s)T -* 30.15 = 30e(r-02)-s In 30.15^ 30 , Answer E = .5r-.01->r = .03 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 5 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PE5-13 28. Apply the basic identity STOCK = LONG FORWARD + ZERO COUPON BOND. Your position is - LONG FORWARD + STOCK. This is equivalent to BOND, or purchase of a zero coupon bond at the interest rate r = .025 The forward price is the correct theoretical price. Answer B 29. The level swap payments before and after the change are given by 60 62 ( 1 1 ^ ,no,. 1.05 1.062 7 11.05 1.062 61 64 ( 1 1 ■ + . , -o = Xnfter . _ _ + 1.05 'l.062""fier{l.0S 1.062 \ Xafter = 62.449 J The holder of the original swap can sell a swap under the new forward prices. Then in each of the next two years he will have payments of Spot - 60.966 and 62.449-Spot, and get a net payment of 1.483. The market value of the swap is the present value M83+M83 = 2733 1.05 1.062 Answer E 30. The guaranteed interest rate is the three year par coupon bond rate. 1-P(0,3) C P(0,l) + P(0,2) + P(0,3) The known zero-coupon bond prices are P(0,1) = —— = .951, P(0,3) = —^- = .814 1 ; 1.052 K ' 1.0713 Thus .07 = 1"/81f ► P (0,2) = .892 -► r (0,2) = 5.9%. .951+ P (0,2)+ .814 K ' v ; Answer A ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 6 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PE6- 1 Exam FM Questions 1. An 8 year par value bond with semiannual coupons at 6% convertible semiannual has a price of 1050. The bond can be called at par value of X on any coupon date starting at the end of year 6. The price guarantees that Sue will receive a yield of at least 5% convertible semiannually. Calculate X. A) 986 B)721 C) 999 D) 944 E) 1,276 2. A stock currently is priced at 50. It does not pay dividends. The risk-free rate is r - .02. You sell short one share of the stock for three months and enter into a three month long forward purchase contract. Which of the following is equivalent to this position? A) Borrowing 50.25 at the risk free rate. B) Borrowing 50 at the risk-free rate C) Lending 50.25 at the risk free rate. D) Lending 50 at the risk-free rate E) None of these 3. Terry purchases an annuity with payments made at the beginning of each month for 36 payments. The monthly payments are a constant amount of 15 for the first 24 payments, however the 25th payment is 20, the 26th payment is 25, the 27th payment is 30, and this arithmetic sequence continues until the 36th payment. The nominal interest rate is 6% convertible monthly. What is the present value of this annuity? A) 823.1 B) 764.0 C) 829.1 D) 827.5 E) 871.6 4. The price of a stock is currently selling for 39.35. The next dividend payable one year from today is expected to be 1.00. Suppose the price included a forecasted future growth rate of 6% for the dividends. What is the annual effective interest rate, i? A) 2.54% B) 3.15% C) 3.46% D) 6.00% E) 8.54% ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE6-2 Practice Exam 6 - Exam FM / Exam 2 5. Paul pays $100,000 today for a 4-year investment that returns cash flows of $60,000 and the end of each of years 3 and 4. Suppose, at 15%, the net present value of Paul's cash flows is equal to the net present value of Kelly's cash flows, where Kelly makes an investment of X one year from today that returns cash flows of $60,000 at the end of each of years 4 and 5. Calculate X. A) 94,316 B) 98,503 C) 105,380 D) 103,937 E) 90,379 6. An appliance store offers to sell a television for $5000. Suppose the current market loan rate is a nominal rate of 10% convertible monthly. As an inducement, the dealer offers 100% financing at an effective annual interest rate of 6%. The loan is to be repaid in equal installments at the end of each month for a 3 year period. If the dealer himself is paying monthly payments on the market loan, but finances his customer with the inducement loan, what is the final cost to the dealer, in terms of total paid, for the inducement? A) 311 B)420 C)175 D) 332 E) 308 7. A fund earned investment income of 8,000 during 2004. The beginning and ending balances of the fund were 95,000 and 120,000 respectively. A deposit was made at time K during the year. No other deposits or withdrawals were made. The fund earned 7.5235% in 2004 using the dollar-weighted method. Determine K. A) Feb 1 B) Mar 1 C) May 1 D) July 1 E) October 1 8. Andy purchases a 16 year annuity immediate paying 100 the first year and increasing by 4% each year thereafter. Rick purchases a 16 year annuity immediate paying X the first year and decreasing by 2% each year thereafter. At an effective annual rate of 5%, both annuities have the same present value. Calculate X. A) 148.7 B) 145.2 C) 124.5 D) 123.2 E) 120.0 9. Katie purchases a 15 year par value bond with 5% semiannual coupons at a price of 2345. The bond can be called at par value X on any coupon date starting at the end of year 10. The price guarantees that Katie will receive a nominal semiannual yield of at least 4%. Mark purchases a 15 year par value bond identical to Katie's except it is not callable. Assuming the same yield, what is the price of Mark's bond? A) 2,168 B) 2,170 C) 2,405 D) 2,300 E) 2,411 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 6 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PE6- 3 10. A trader is dealing in three month S&R index options. He writes a straddle by selling a 1000 strike call and a 1000 strike put, and buys a strangle by buying a 975 strike put and a 1025 strike call. Which of the following could be the graph of his profit function? A) i ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE6-4 Practice Exam 6 - Exam FM / Exam 2 11. Suppose the amount in a fund one and a half years from today is 100. Find the present value of the fund if the nominal rate of discount is 5% convertible quarterly. A) 86.8 B)96.4 C) 92.7 D) 92.9 E) 92.2 12. An annuity due pays an initial benefit of 1 per year, with the benefit increasing by 10.25% every four years. The annuity is payable for 40 annual payments. Using an annual effective rate of 2%, calculate the future value of this annuity. A) 42 B)69 C)83 D) 59 E) 93 13. A stock has current price 50. It pays no dividends. The risk-free rate is r = .025. You observe an actual six month forward price of 50.68. Which of the following describes a possible arbitrage of the forward price? A) You can arbitrage this price by selling the forward at 50.68, buying the stock at 50 and borrowing 50 for 6 months at the risk-free rate. B) You can arbitrage this price by selling the forward at 50.68, buying the stock at 50 and borrowing 49.48 for six months at the risk-free rate. C) You can arbitrage this price by selling the stock forward at 50.68, selling the stock short at 50 and borrowing 50 for six months at the risk-free rate. D) You can arbitrage this price by buying the stock at 50 and lending 49.38 for six months at the risk-free rate. E) You can arbitrage this price by selling the stock short at 50 and lending 50 for six months at the risk-free rate. 14. A stock currently is priced at 85. The continuous dividend rate is S = .02. The risk-free rate is r = .04. A call and a put with the same strike price and T=.5 have premiums 4.91 and 4.56 respectively. Find the strike price. A)84.51 B) 84.95 C) 85 D) 85.50 E) 85.93 15. A 20 year 5,000 bond that pays 4% annual coupons matures at par. It is purchased to yield 5% annual for the first 12 years and 6% annual thereafter. Calculate the amount for accumulation of discount for the 8th coupon. A)-15 B)+25 C)-9 D)-58 E)-160 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 6 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PE6- 5 16. Todd borrows X for nine years at an annual effective interest rate of 8%, to be paid with equal payments at the end of each year. The outstanding balance immediately after the fifth payment is 4,506.74. Calculate the principal repaid in the first payment. A) 551 B)565 C) 681 D) 574 E) 384 17. Suppose a yield curve for spot rates is given by the following equation: st = 0.08 -0.001t + 0.002t2 What would be the effective annual forward interest rate for a loan originating at time t=4, with a term of 3 years? A) 0.3603 B) 0.0569 C) 0.0033 D) 0.2606 E) 0.1805 18. Ken purchases a $200,000 home. Mortgage payments are to be made monthly for 30 years with the first payment to be made one month from now. The annual effective rate of interest is 5%. Starting with the 100th payment, each monthly payment is increased by $400 in order to repay the mortgage more quickly. Calculate the total amount of interest paid during the duration of the loan. A) 136,216 B) 136,215 C) 135,648 D) 136,558 E) 136,159 19. SeventiesCo sells gold chains. Each chain sells at a price equal to the cost of gold used to make the chain plus $20. The fixed cost per chain is $10. Forward contracts and put and call options on gold are available. What should SeventiesCo do to control risk ? A) Enter into long forward contracts to purchase gold at the forward price. B) Buy calls on gold to assure that gold can be obtained at a set price. C) Create a straddle using purchased calls and puts at the same strike to combat volatility D) Hedge with s zero-cost collar E) None of these ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE6-6 Practice Exam 6 - Exam FM / Exam 2 20. A company has two traders. Trader A buys the stock of MegaFirm at its current price S0 and buys a call with strike price K. Trader B sells short the stock of MegaFirm at its current price S0 and buys a put with strike price K. Which of the following graphs describes the combined position of the two traders? A) t C) D) E) None of these 21. An annuity immediate has 32 initial quarterly payments of 20 followed by a perpetuity of quarterly payments of 25 starting in the 9th year. Find the present value at a nominal rate of 16% convertible quarterly. A) 510 B)165 C)814 D) 536 E) 506 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 6 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PE6- 7 22. A buys the S&R index and a K-strike put. B lends 1014.80 and buys a It- strike call, r = .04 and T = .25 for the put, the call and the loan. The index does not pay dividends. A and B have the same payoff function. Find K. A)1000 B)1012 C)1018 D)1020 E) 1025 23. Brent would like to accumulate $100,000 at the end of 17 years to pay college expenses for his daughter. If the effective annual rate is 6% and Brent will be making monthly payments, how much does he need to deposit each month if his first payment is today and he makes a total of 204 payments? A) 286 B)288 C) 283 D) 282 E) 285 24. Below is a 4 year yield curve with one missing entry. Years to maturity Zero Coupon Bond Yield 1 3.0% 2 4.0% 3 4 5% The theoretically correct yield for a 4 year fixed interest rate swap is 4.94%. Find the range for the missing spot rate in the table above. A) 4.0%-4.15% B) 4.16%-4.3% C) 4.31% - 4.45% D) 4.46% - 4.6% E) 4.61% - 4.75% 25. Suppose Chris takes out a loan of amount X and makes annual payments of 2000 at the end of each year for 15 years. The total amount of interest paid towards the loan is 6,124. Calculate the interest paid in the first payment. A) 408 B)60 C)716 D) 672 E) 464 26. You are given an annuity-immediate paying 10 annually for twenty years. After the twenty years, the payments decrease by one per year until it reaches a payment of 1. The payments of one continue forever. The annual effective rate of interest is 6%. Calculate the present value of this annuity. A) 129 B)133 C)132 D) 131 E) 134 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE6-8 Practice Exam 6 - Exam FM / Exam 2 27. The non-dividend paying S&R index is currently at 1350. The risk-free rate is r = .04. You are offered a six-month long forward on the index with a forward price for purchase in six months quoted at 1410. Which of the following applies if you enter into this forward contract? A) You should be paid 32.73. B) You should pay 32.73. C) You should be paid 32.08. D) You should pay 32.08 E) You do not pay or receive anything. 28. What is the modified duration of a five year 2000 par value bond with 8% annual coupons and an effective rate of interest equal to 7%? A) 4.327 B) 4.004 C) 3.550 D) 3.802 E) 3.287 29. The present value of a perpetuity of 6,000 paid at the end of each year plus the present value of a perpetuity of 8,000 paid at the end of every 4 years is equal to the present value of an annuity of X paid at the end of each year for 30 years. Interest is 6% convertible quarterly. Calculate X. A) 9,479 B) 9,400 C) 9,475 D) 9,410 E) 9,264 30. The following are the prices of $100 zero-coupon bonds redeemable at par Term to Maturity Price 1 96.23 2 94.12 3 89.23 4 84.59 5 82.48 Determine the forward rate for year 4. A) 2.55% B) 5.20% C) 5.49% D) 12.10% E) 13.76% ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 6 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PE6- 9 Solutions 1. Since this is a callable bond that is also a premium bond, we want to price it at the term that is the worst case situation for the investor. Therefore, it should be priced at the earliest call date. So, n = 12. 1050 = X(0.03)aI2|0.02S + Xv12 X = *°^ = 998.7741 (0.03)anio.o25 + v12 Answer C 2. The correct forward price is 50e02( 25) = 50.25. Thus you have a correctly priced forward contract. You also have a short position in the stock. Thus the word equation STOCK = FORWARD + BOND applies in the form -STOCK + FORWARD = -BOND The left hand side above describes your combination of a short position in the stock and a long forward contract. The right side describes the sale of a three month zero coupon bond, which is a borrowing. In your actual position you will receive 50 in cash, as a borrower would. If you invest this cash at the risk-free rate, in three months it will grow to 50e02( 25) = 50.25. You will then pay 50.25 for the forward purchase of the stock and deliver it against the short, just as a borrower would pay 50.25 to pay off a loan of 50. Answer B 3. You could approach this problem many different ways. One way is to think of a 36 month annuity due with payments of 15 and then on top of that a deferred geometrically Increasing annuity with a constant difference of 5, starting with the 25th payment. i = °^ = 0.005 12 PV = 15daa +vM5(/d)m =495.5305698 + 333.6115032 = 829.1421 Answer C ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE6-10 Practice Exam 6 - Exam FM / Exam 2 4. To price a stock using the dividend growth model: P = , where g is the constant percentage growth rate. (i-g) 39.35 = -> 1 = 0.085413 (i-0.06) Answer E 5. First, calculate the net present value of Paul's cash flows. There is a cash flow of -100,000 at time 0, and cash flows of 60,000 at time 3 and 4. So, NPV = -100,000 + ^0 + 6010^ = _26,243.83132 1.153 1.154 Now set this net present value equal to Kelly's cash flows, which consists of a value of -X at time 1, and cash flows of 60,000 at time 4 and 5. -X 60,000 60,000 1.15+ 1.154 + 1.15s -26,243.83132 = ^ + ^^ + ^^ -> X = 103,936.5747 Answer D 6. First, calculate the payments towards both loans, then compare the total out of pocket costs for both loans and subtract the difference. For the market loan you can use TVM on the BAII Plus or the logic below to get the payment and total payments: 5000 = (Pmt)ami0/12 Pmt = 161.34 Total payment = 161.34*36=5,808.24 For the inducement loan you can use TVM on the BAII Plus or the logic below to get the payment and total payments: 5000 = (Pmt)a^006/12 Pmt = 152.11 Total payment = 152.11*36=5,475.96 The cost to the dealer for the inducement, in terms of total paid, is 5,808.24 - 5,475.96 = 332.28 Answer D ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 6 - Exam FM / Exam 2 PagePE6-ll 7. You know the beginning and ending balances of 95,000 and 120,000. You also know that the investment income was 8,000. Therefore, you know that the deposit must have been 17,000. The dollar-weighted method implies that 8000 =0.075235 95000 +17000(1-K) This leads to K=0.3333, so the deposit is made after 4 months. The best answer is May 1. Answer C 8. First, calculate the present value of Andy's annuity. PV = lOOvoos + 100(1.04)v£o5 +100(1.042)Vo3.os + ...100(1.0415)vJ6os = 100vo.oS[l + 1.04vo.o5 + 1.042v02os +... + 1.0415vJ50S) = lOOvoosC1,"1,'0^6^] = 1419.6571 1 - 1.04V0.05 Then, set this present value equal to Rick's annuity. 1419.6571 = Xv00S +X(0.98)v2.os +X(0.982)v030S + ...X(0.9815)vJ60S 1419.6571 = Xvoostl + 0.98vo.os + 0.982 v2.0S +... + 0.9815 vj50s) X = 148.67 Answer A Since the coupon rate is higher than the yield rate, this is a premium bond and therefore should be priced at the earliest possible call date, or after 10 years. The price of the bond equation would be set up as follows to solve for the par value: 2345 = X(0.025)a^a02 + Xv02002 2345 = X[0.025a^0.02+Vo20o2] 2345 = X(1.081757) X = 2,167.7693 For Mark's bond, you would price this par value at the full term of 15 years. P = 2167.77(0.025)a3«^02 + 2167.77v030o2 P = 2410.52 Answer E ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE6-12 Practice Exam 6 - Exam FM / Exam 2 10. This is a butterfly spread. Answer B 11. We are given that d(4) = 0.05. We need to solve for an interest rate. You could solve for the quarterly rate or the semiannual rate. I will solve for i(2). (l+i^)2=(l_£^5)-4 2 4 i(2) = 0.05095337286, and the effective semiannual rate = 0.02547668643 Therefore, the present value is PV = lOOvf =92.73 Answer C 12.1 will solve first for the present value and then find the future value. You will end up needed to use a geometric series to solve this present value calculation. PV = a4-lo.o2 + v4(1.1025)a^02 + v8(1.1025)2d^02 + ■.. + v36(1.1025)9d^0 PV = <^o.o2[l + v4(1.1025) + v8(1.1025)2 + • • ■ + v36(1.1025)9] PV^aj0,[1-(l',4(11025))"l = 42.2448 41002 l-v4(1.1025) FV = 42.2448(1.02)40 = 93.2782 .02 Answer E 13. The correct forward price is S0e{r~s)T = 50e025( 5) = 50.629. Thus the actual price of 50.68 is too high and there is an arbitrage. You can sell the stock forward at the higher price of 50.68 and offset this with a synthetic forward with the correct price of 50.629. The synthetic forward is constructed using the relation FORWARD = STOCK - BOND. This implies that you will buy the stock and sell a zero coupon bond that gives you 50 today to pay for that purchase. Answer A ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 6 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PE6-13 14. Use parity. C-P = S0e-5T-Ke-rT 4.91-4.56 = 85e-02(5)-Ke-04(5) K = 85.50 Answer D 15. We need to price the bond first. Instead of pricing the bond at time zero, I would price the bond at time 7 and then use amortization techniques to calculate the principal portion for the next coupon. To price at time 7, we need the present value of the remaining coupons and also the present value of the redemption value. P = 200^05 + Vo5 os 200^.06 + v05o5Vo8o6 5000 = 4296.9726 This is the book value of the bond immediately before the 8th coupon. The interest portion of the 8th coupon will be: 4296.9726*0.05=214.8486. Since each coupon is 200, the principal portion of the 8th coupon will be: 200-214.8486=-14.8486. Answer A 16. First, we know that the outstanding balance after the fifth payment is 4506.74. We could use this to find the payment amount by treating it as a four year loan amount. 4506.74 = Pmt(a4io.o8) Pmt = 1360.6786 Now that we know the payment amount, we could solve for the initial loan amount by solving for a present value: py = 1360.68(a9,0.08) PV = 8,500.02 Now we can solve for the interest portion of the first payment: h= 8500.02* 0.08 = 680.00 If the interest portion of the payment is 680, the principal portion must be 680.68. Note: the solutions for Pmt and PV above can be done entirely on the BA II Plus to save time. Answer C ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE6-14 Practice Exam 6 - Exam FM / Exam 2 17. We need to calculate (1 + s4>7)3 = ,„ ,4 (l + s4) First, we need s7 and s4 From the curve: s7 = 0.08 - 0.001 * 7 + 0.002 * 7 A 2 = 0.171 s4 = 0.08 - 0.001 * 4 + 0.002 * 4 A 2 = 0.108 From the first equation, (1 + S4 7)3 = (1±£t)1 = 1^71^ = 2.0032688 ' (l + s4)4 1.1084 (l + s4|7) = 1.2606071 Answer D 18. First, calculate the monthly payment amount for a 30 year 200,000 loan at 5% annual effective interest using the BA II Plus or the math below. i = (1.05)1/12-l = .00407 200,000 ^a^ K = 1060.11 Then, we need to know the outstanding balance after the 99th payment: OB99 =200,000(1 + 0" -1060.11s99ii =170,162.81 Now, we add the extra $400 to the payment amount and see when the loan would be paid off. 170,162.81 = 1460.11a^ n = 158.3880 So, there would be 158 MORE payments of 1460.11 and one last partial payment. To figure out the amount of the last partial payment, we need the OB at time after the 158th payment. OB15S = 170162.81(1 + i)158 - 1460.11s158ii = 564.98 The last payment includes this outstanding balance plus interest. So, the last payment is: 564.98(1 + i) = 567.28 So, there are 99 payments of 1060.11,158 payments of 1460.11, and a final payment of 567.27. Therefore, the out of pocket contribution is 336,215.55, and the interest paid towards the loan is 136,215.55 This question can also be done entirely on the BA II Plus. Answer A ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 6 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PE6-15 19. Seventies Co has no risk since they include the price of gold in the price they charge. They do not need to do anything. (This is based on problem 4.12 in the text). Answer E 20. The purchase of the stock by trader A is offset by the sale by trader B. The resulting position is the purchase of a put and a call at the same strike price, which is a straddle. Answer B 21. Think of this as a 32 payment annuity with a payment amount of 20, followed by deferred perpetuity with a payment amount of 25. PV = 20a32io.o4 + — v32 = 357.4710 +178.1612 = 535.6322. 0.04 Answer D 22. We use the relation Payoff [Index + Put with strike K] = Payoff [Call with strike K + Zero-coupon bond for K] The first payoff is for A's position and the second is for B's position. Thus B's lending is a zero-coupon bond for K and 1014.80 = Ke"04(2S) -> K = 1025. Answer E 23. Solve for the payment amount of an annuity due using the BA II Plus or the math below. i = (1.06)1/12-l = .00487 100,000 = Pmt(s"204t) Pmt = 286.1561 Answer A ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE6-16 Practice Exam 6 - Exam FM / Exam 2 24. The theoretically correct yield for such a swap is R_ 1-P(0,4) P(0,l) + P(0,2) + P(0,3) + P(0,4) Thus we have l-d.05)-4 .0494 = 1.03"1 + 1.04"2 +(l + r(0,3)r3 +1.05 -4 This gives (1 + r (0,3))"3 = .872534 -> r (0,3) » 4.65% Answer E Note: Answers will vary according to the degree of precision used. That is why the choices were given in ranges. 25. First, let's calculate the loan amount. You know that the total interest is 6,124 and that 15 payments of 2000 were made. So, the loan amount would be the difference of 15*2000 and 6,124 15 * 2000 -X = 6,124 X = 23,876 Now, solve for the interest rate. I would use my calculator, setting PV to 23,876, Pmt to -2000, n to 15, FV to 0, and solving for I/Y. You should get I/Y=2.99992482% The interest owed on the first payment would be : 23,876*0.0299992482=716.2621. Answer C 26. This consists of a 20 year annuity immediate paying 10, a deferred nine year decreasing annuity due, and then a deferred perpetuity. PV = 10a^0M + v2\Da)^06 + *>29(^) PV = 114.6992 + 11.4240 + 3.0759 = 129.1991 Answer A ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 6 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PE6-17 27. The correct forward price is 1350e04/2 = 1377.27. The contract requires you to buy in six months at the higher price of 1410, which is too high by 1410 -1377.27 = 32.73. You should be paid the present value of 32.73 which is 32.73e"04/2 = 32.08 Answer C 28. Use the Macaulay duration formula for a bond, and then transform the Macaulay duration to the modified duration. First, price the bond P = 160(a5io.o7) + 2000v5 = 2082.0039 D = 160(Ia)5.o,o7+5(2000)v5 = 4 327254 DM = ^= 4.327254 = 1 + i 1.07 Answer B 29. The present value of the two perpetuities is _6000_ + _8000_ 1.0154-1 1.01516-1 We can use this as the present value of the 30 year annuity with i = 1.0154 -1 127,519.2892 = Pmt(a30U) Pmt = 9,399.70 Answer B ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE6-18 Practice Exam 6 - Exam FM / Exam 2 30. The four year forward rate would be UtS. (1 + Ss)5 (1 + 14.5) = (1 + S4)4 To solve for the spot rates: 84.59 = ^^ (I + S4)4 (I + S4)4 =1.1822 and 100 82.48 = - (l + Ss)S (l + ss)s =1.2124 Then, (1 + i ,_d + s5)5_ 1.2124 (1+k5)-a^4y-n822-1-0255 Answer A ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 7 - Exam FM / Exam 2 PagePE7- 1 Exam FM Questions 1. For call and put options on a stock with price S0 and strike price K, you are given information on the difference between C-Pcall and put prices. For T = .5, C-P = 2.99.For T = .25, C-P = 2.50. You are give r = .04 and S = 0. Find K. A) 48.52 B) 49.74 C) 50.82 D) 51.70 E) 52.95 2. A 30 year 10,000 bond pays 3% annual coupons and matures at par. It is purchased to yield 5% for the first 15 years and 7% thereafter. Calculate the price of the bond. A) 5,848 B) 6,172 C) 5,637 D) 6,418 E) 4,862 3. George borrows X for 20 years at a nominal rate of 12% convertible monthly, to be repaid with equal payments at the end of each month. The outstanding balance immediately after the 10th payment is 297,000. How much total interest will George pay for this loan? A) 793,243 B) 658,660 C) 300,175 D) 487,854 E) 493,069 4. Suppose a total of 30 semiannual payments of amount 5 are made starting exactly six years from today. Assuming an annual effective rate of 6%, what is the future value at a time 30 years from today? Assume that after the payments are complete, the investment is left in the same account earning interest. A) 708 B) 411 C) 243 D) 399 E) 450 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE7-2 Practice Exam 7 - Exam FM / Exam 2 5. The table below gives the prices of puts and calls on a stock at two different strike prices. Strike Call Put 35.00 6.13 0.44 40.00 2.78 1.99 The current price of the stock is 40. A trader buys a 40-strike call, sells a 40- strike put, sells a 45-strike call and buys a 45-strike put. All options are 6- month European. What is his maximum profit? A)0 B).90 Q1.90 D)2.90 E) 3.90 6. Andy deposits X into an account that earns 10% annual effective interest for 3 years and then a nominal interest rate of 5% convertible semiannual for the 3 years after that. If, after the 6 years, his future value is 200,000, how much interest did he earn during the 3rd year? A) 15,678 B) 18,750 C) 129,571 D) 24,200 E) 56,130 7. An association had an initial balance of 200 on Jan 1 and also had deposits of 25 on March 31st, June 30th, and Sep 30th. The association had a withdrawal of 30 on Feb 28th, a withdrawal of 60 on June 30th, and ended with a balance of 250 on Dec 31st. Calculate their dollar weighted rate of return. A) 32.10% B) 42.99% C) 35.62% D) 19.18% E) 23.34% 8. A two year oil swap will enable you to assure a level price of 20.80 per barrel for each of the next two years. If you had instead decided to enter into two separate forward agreements and invest the present value of the two forward prices today to assure the purchase, you would have had to invest $38. The one year spot rate is 6% and the two year spot rate is i. Find i. A) 6.21% B) 6.32% C) 6.39% D) 6.44% E) 6.50% ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 7 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PE7- 3 9. At time t=0, Mark puts a one-time deposit of 1,000 into a fund crediting interest at an annual effective rate of i. At time t=2, Lewis puts a one-time deposit of 1,000 into a different fund crediting interest at a force St = . 3 + t At time t=18, the amounts in each fund will be equal. Calculate i. A) 2.9% B) 5.3% C) 8.3% D) 9.4% E) 10.5% 10. Money accumulates in a fund at an effect annual interest rate of i during the first 6 years and at an annual interest rate of 3i thereafter. A deposit of 1 is made into the fund at time zero. It accumulates to 1.84 at the end of 11 years and 2.83 at the end of 16 years. What is the value of the deposit at the end of 9 years? A) 3.43 B)2.17 C) 1.55 D) 1.22 E) 1.65 11. An annuity due has 40 quarterly payments of $50 followed immediately by a perpetuity with quarterly payments of X. Find X, if the present value is 2000, at an annual effective rate of 16%. A) 194 B)151 C)157 D) 179 E) 167 12. A six-month European put on the S&R index has price of 74.20. The strike price is equal to the six month forward price. You are given the continuous interest rate r = .04. The current value of the index is 1000. Find the value S of the index for which the put profit equals the six month short forward profit at expiration. A) 944.50 B) 946.00 C) 1020.20 D) 1094.40 E) 1095.90 13. A n-year 1000 par value bond with 8% annual coupons has an annual effective yield of i, i>0. The book value of the bond at the end of year 3 is 1099.84 and the book value at the end of year 5 is 1087.27. What is the effective yield interest rate? A) 6.7% B) 5.9% C) 7.3% D) 6.2% E) 5.5% ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE7-4 Practice Exam 7 - Exam FM / Exam 2 14. At time zero, Sal makes a deposit of 300 into an account earning nominal annual interest rate of 3% compounded monthly. Also, Rick makes a deposit of 250 into another account earning an annual effective interest rate of i. During the 2nd year, both accounts earn the same amount of interest. Solve for the amount of interest that Rick will make during the 6th year. A) 15.9 B)16.7 Q10.8 D) 11.2 E) 14.5 15. The current price of a stock is 40. Harry sets up a position in six month calls. He buys two 35-strike calls, sells six 40-strike calls and buys four 45 strike calls. Which of the following could be his profit graph? ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 7 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PE7- 5 16. The time weighted return for the fund with the transactions in the table below is 12%. What is the dollar weighted rate of return? Date 1/1/2005 6/1/2005 10/1/2005 12/31/2005 Value before transaction 980 1010 1055 1060 Transaction Deposit 30 Transaction Withdrawal X A) 12.25% B) 1.53% C) 12.00% D) 11.78% E) 5.12% 17 A dealer enters into a long forward agreement to buy 1000 shares of a stock in three months for $51 per share. The stock is currently priced at 50 and pays no dividend. Which of the following strategies would hedge his risk so that his total profit would be zero in all cases? A) Buy 1000 shares of the stock today with $50,000 cash borrowed on a three month loan at the risk free rate. B) Buy 1000 shares of the stock today and invest an amount of $50,000 at the risk free rate for 3 months. C) Sell 1000 shares of the stock short and invest an amount of $50,000 at the risk free rate for 3 months. D) Sell 1000 shares of the stock short and borrow an amount of $50,000 at the risk free rate for 3 months. E) No hedging is necessary. 18. Suppose that Julia finances a $315,000 mortgage for 25 years at a nominal rate of 6.5% convertible monthly. Julia will be making monthly payments with her first payment due one month from receiving the loan. Suppose Julia adds $125 to each financed payment to pay of the loan faster. What is the dollar amount of Julia's last payment? A) 918 B)936 C) 2,252 D) 1,254 E) 923 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE7-6 Practice Exam 7 - Exam FM / Exam 2 19. Suppose a company expects liabilities of 100,000 in one year, 200,000 in two years, 300,000 in three years, and 400,000 in four years. Also, suppose that they want to fund those liabilities by an exact match of investments in the following zero coupon bonds and annual coupon bonds. How many bond A's should they buy, assuming that fractional bonds can be purchased? Bond A B C D Yield Rate - Annual 4.5% 5% 5.5% 6% Coupon Rate - Annual Zero Coupon 6% 6% 6% Par Value 1000 1000 1000 1000 Maturity Term 1 2 3 4 A) 40.7 B)45.6 C) 52.5 D) 89.6 E) 100 20. At the same time, Dan and Darci deposit money into two different funds. Dan deposits 200 and Darci deposits 80. Both accounts earn the same rate of interest. The amount of interest earned in Dan's account during the 10th year is the same as the amount of interest earned in Darci's account during the 20th year. Determine the amount of interest earned in Dan's account during the 13th year. A) 23.1 B)57.6 C) 49.1 D) 63.2 E) 52.6 21. How much should you pay today for an annuity with 30 payments where the initial payment of 500 is three years from today and each subsequent annual payment is 6% greater than the previous payment? Let the annual effective interest rate equal 8%. A) 8,969 B) 11,589 C) 9,426 D) 9,200 E) 9,731 22. The price of a stock is currently 40. A trader buys a 40-strike put and sells a 45-strike put with the same maturity. Which of the following best describes the trader's most likely expectation for the price of the stock? A) It will go down. B) It will go up. C) It will have high volatility. D) It will have low volatility. E) The price is theoretically incorrect and an arbitrage is possible. ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 7 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PE7- 7 23. You are buying a perpetuity with annual payments as follows: i) Payments of X at the end of the first year and every three years thereafter ii) Payments of X+l at the end of the second year and every three years thereafter iii) Payments of X+2 at the end of the third year and every three years thereafter. The interest rate is 5% convertible semiannually. If the present value is 38.86, calculate X. A) 0.98 B)1.00 Q1.20 D) 1.23 E) 1.25 24. Annual payments of 500 are made at the beginning of each year for 30 years to a annuity earning an annual effective rate of 7%. The interest is immediately reinvested into another fund earning 4.5% annual effective interest. At the end of the 30 ears, what is the accumulated value of the 30 payments and the reinvested interest? A) 36,325 B) 47,230 C) 26,300 D) 30,504 E) 41,252 25. The S&R index, which does not pay a dividend, is currently priced at 1000. The 6 month forward price is 1015.11. A 1000-strike 6-month call on the index is priced at 63.71. Find the price of a 1000-strike 6-month put. A) 14.88 B) 15.00 C) 29.88 D) 36.75 E) 48.82 26. The current price of a stock is 50. A trader creates a synthetic three-month forward position for 1000 shares by buying $49,502.5 worth of the stock with an amount of $49,502.50 borrowed at the risk-free rate of r = .04. Find the continuous dividend yield 5 for the stock. A) .01 B).02 Q.03 D).04 E) .05 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE7-8 Practice Exam 7 - Exam FM / Exam 2 27. A 1,000 loan is repaid with equal payments at the end of each quarter for 10 years. The principal portion of the 13th payment is 1.5 times the principal portion of the 5th payment. Calculate the quarterly payment towards the loan. A) 60 B)26 C)57 D) 69 E) 131 28. Michael is the Chief Financial Officer for ABC company. He needs to determine the amount of interest that will be paid at the end of the 5th year of the bank loan for tax purposes. The loan is for 7 years, for $1,000,000, with annual payments at the end of each year, at 10% effective interest rate. Which of the following is closest to the number that he needs? A) 35,650 B) 51,080 C) 65,000 D) 89,450 E) 170,000 29. Use the following table to represent spot rates. Calculate the total future value at time 5 of a payment of $3000 made today and a payment of $3000 made at time 3. Assume that the payment at time 3 will be invested at today's forward rates. Term (years) 1 2 3 4 5 Annual yield 6.00% 6.10% 6.40% 6.80% 7.50% A) 7,684 B) 7,411 C) 7,882 D) 7,566 E) 8,568 30. Amanda receives a 10 annual payment increasing annuity paying 30 at the end of the first year and increasing by 5 each year thereafter. Kevin receives a 10 annual payment decreasing annuity that pays X at the end of the first year and decreases by 2 each year thereafter. At an annual interest rate of 4%, both annuities have the same present value. Calculate X. A) 61.60 B) 42.53 C) 28.60 D) 59.24 E) 47.99 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 7 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PE7- 9 Solutions 1. We use the parity relation C-P = S0e ST -Ke rT. Then we have the two equations 2.99 = S0-e-04(5)K 2.50 = S0-e-04(25)K Subtracting the second from the first, we obtain .49 = (e"01 - e"02) K -> K = 49.74 Answer B 2. The easiest way to solve this problem is to find the present value of the coupons plus the present value of the redemption value. P = 300a^005 + vj505300a^007 + vJ505Vo5o7(10,000) = 6171.64 Answer B 3. First, calculate the payment amount by using the information given regarding the outstanding balance and using the retrospective method. OBt=Ka^ 297,000 = Ka23o^0.oi Using the calculator, K = 3305.1809 Next, calculate the original loan amount with a payment of 3305.1809 and 240 monthly payments with a monthly effective rate of 1%. You can use the calculator to get the original loan amount, X, of 300,174.6003. Next, to calculate the total interest paid, calculate the difference between the out of pocket contribution towards the loan and the loan amount. The contribution is 240 times 3305.1809, or 793,243.416. This gives us a total interest paid amount of 793,243.416 - 300,174.6003 = 493,068.8157. Answer E ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE7-10 Practice Exam 7 - Exam FM / Exam 2 4. This is a deferred annuity due. We will think of the time in terms of semiannual periods. It will take 15 years to make the semiannual payments. The last payment will be made at time 20.5. However, the future value calculation of an annuity due will calculate the value at time 21. Then, the payments will be left in the fund for an additional 9 years. i = (1.06)1/2 -1 = 0.0295630141 FV = 5sm (1 + i)18 =410.85 Answer B 5. This is a box spread, which is equivalent to a zero-coupon bond at the risk- free rate. The profit on such a bond is 0. Answer A 6. This is a lump sum deposit that earns different rates. First, calculate X, the lump sum deposit, by setting up a future value calculation. 200,000 = X(l + 0.10)3[(1 + Mil)2]3 X = 129,571.2796 To calculate the amount of interest earned during the third year we need the difference between the future value at time 2 and time 3. Or, you could multiply the future value at time 2 by 10%. FV3-FV2 =129,571.2976(1 + 0.10)3-129,571.27961 + 0.10)2 =15,678.1270 Answer A ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 7 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PE7-11 7. After organizing the information, we have the following transactions. 1 Date 1/1 2/28 3/31 6/30 9/30 12/31 Value before transaction 200 250 Transaction Deposit 25 25 25 Transaction Withdrawal 30 60 Now, using the dollar-weighted equation: .= 250 - 200 - [-30 + 25 - 35 + 25] 1 "200-30(1-2/12)+ 25(1-3/12)-35(1-6/12)+ 25(1-9/12) 1 = 0.3561644 Answer C 8. The present value of the level payments equals the present value of the two separate forward agreement payments. (See page 248 of the second edition of Derivatives Markets). Thus 20.80 20.80 OQ + T = 38 1.06 (l + i)2 This gives us 1 + i = 1.063874. Answer C 9. The accumulation function for Lewis would be: a(t) = e'>rIdt _ 6ln(3+t)|28 _ 6ln21-ln5 _ 4^ Now, set that amount to Donald's accumulation function and solve for i: (l + i)18 =4.2 1 = 0.08299128 Answer C ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE7-12 Practice Exam 7 - Exam FM / Exam 2 10. Let's set up two equations for the two future values that are given. (l + i)6d + 3i)5=1.84 and (1 +i)6(l + 3i)10 = 2.83 Solve both equations for (1 + i)6 and set them equal to each other. 1.84 _ 2.83 (l + 3i)5 ~(l + 3i)10 (l + 3i)10=2.83 (l + 3i)s ~1.84 i = 0.02997258091 Now, solve for the value in nine years: (l + i)6(l + 3i)3 =1.55 Answer C 11. This is a 40 payment annuity due and a deferred perpetuity due. Set up a present value calculation with the perpetuity payment as X. i = (1 + .16)1/4 -1 = 0.03780198565 2000 = 50(2^+v40Xa^ 2000 = 1061.5174 + v40X(—) i X = 150.8017 Answer B ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 7 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PE7-13 12. The short forward price is lOOOe04( 5) = 1020.20. The future value of the put premium is 74.20e04( 5) = 75.70. The put profit at index price S is Max(1020.20-S,0)-75.70 The short forward profit at index price S is 1020.20 - S The short forward profit function is decreasing, and when S=1020.20, the short forward profit of 0 is greater than the put profit of -75.70. Thus the put and forward profits are equal for some S > 1020.20, and we solve the equation 1020.20 - S = -75.70 -> S = 1095.90 Answer E 13. Some concepts that will simplify this problem is knowing that the principal of one coupon is just a factor of (1 + i)m different from the principal of another coupon. Pr ink+m =Prink(l + i)m Also, using amortization techniques, the principal of a coupon can be found by taking the previous book value, multiplying it by i to get the interest portion, and then subtracting the interest portion from the coupon amount. The principal portion of the 4th coupon is 80-1099.84i The principal portion of the 6th coupon is 80-1087.27i 80 - 1087.27i = (80 - 1099.84i)(l + if 80 - 1087.27i = (80 - 1099.84i)(l + 2i + i2) 1099.84i3 + 2119.68i2 - 147.43i = 0 i(1099.84i2 + 2119.68i -147.43) = 0 Using the quadratic formula, i = 0.06720917418 Answer A ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE7-14 Practice Exam 7 - Exam FM / Exam 2 14. First, we need to solve for i. By finding the future value of both accounts after one year and multiplying that amount by the respective annual effective interest rates of both accounts. 300[(1 + ^)12][(1 + ^)12 -1] = 250(1 + i)(0 300[(1 + ^)12][(1 + ^)12 -1] = 250(i + i2) 0 = 250i2+250i-9.4023 Using the quadratic formula: i= 0.03629208 Now, to figure the amount of interest that Rick will make during the 6th year: 250(1 + i)5i = 10.8433 Answer C 15. The payoff from this position is 0 on the interval (0,35), increasing on the interval (35,40), decreasing on the interval (40,45) and constant for S > 45. Since the expense is a constant, the profit graph will have the same shape as the payoff graph. Thus the only possibility is B. Answer B 16. First, use the given time weighted return to solve for X. Then, once you have X, solve for the time weighted return. (1 + 12) 101° 105S 106° 980 1010 + 30 1055-X X = 65.5308 Now, the dollar weighted equation: 1060 - 980 - [30 - 65.5308] l~ 980+ 30(1-5/12)-65.5308(1-9/12) = 0.1177543195 Answer D ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 7 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PE7-15 17. A long forward can be hedged by a forward sale. The word equation -Forward = -STOCK + Bond shows that a forward sale can be created by selling the stock short and buying a zero-coupon bond (investing the cash at the risk-free rate). Answer C 18. First, calculate the payment amount without the extra money added. ao65=00054166667 12 315,000 = Pmt{a^m) Pmt = 2,126.90 Now, Julia is adding $125 to each payment, so Julia is making a payment of $2,251.90. This will pay off the loan faster, so we need to solve for the new n. 315,000 = 2,251.90(a^) n = 262.4094 That means Julia will make 262 full payments and one partial payment. To calculate the amount of her last partial payment, we need to know the Outstanding Balance after the 262nd payment using the retrospective method. OB262 = 315,000(1 + i)262 - 2,251.902558s262t OB262= 918.33 Her last payment will consist of this balance and interest charged. = 918.3311(1 + 0 = 923.3054 This problem could have been done entirely on a finance calculator. Answer E ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE7-16 Practice Exam 7 - Exam FM / Exam 2 19. To approach this problem, work from the longer term bonds to the shorter term bonds. For bond D, you will receive 1000+60 per bond at maturity. If you need 400,000 in four years, then you will need 400>000 = 377.3584 of bond D. If 1060 you have 377.3584 D bonds, then at time 3, you will get 377.3584*60=22,641.504 in coupons from the D bonds. Your need at time 3 has decreased to 300,000-22,641.504 = 277,358.496. For bond C, you will receive 1000+60 per bond at maturity. If you need 277,358.496 in three years, then you will need 277>358-496 = 261.6590 of 1060 bond C. If you have 377.3584 D bonds and 261.6590 C bonds, then at time 2, you will get 377.3584*60 + 261.6590*60=38,341.044 in coupons. Your need at time 2 has decreased to 200,000-38,341.044 = 161,658.956. For bond B, you will receive 1000+60 per bond at maturity. If you need 161,658.956 in two years, then you will need 161>658-956 = 152.5084 of bond 1060 B. If you have 377.3584 D bonds, 261.6590 C bonds, and 152.5084 B bonds then at time 1, you will get 377.3584*60 + 261.6590*60 + 152.5084*60=47,491.548 in coupons. Your need at time 1 has decreased to 100,000-47,491.548 = 52,508.452 For bond A, you will receive 1000 per bond at maturity. If you need 52 508 452 52,508.452 in one year, then you will need —- = 52.5085 of bond A. 1000 Answer C 20. The tenth year is from time 9 to time 10. The amount of interest that Dan earns during the tenth year is then 200(1 + i)10 - 200(1 + i)9. The twentieth year is from time 19 to time 20. The amount of interest that Darci earns during the twentieth year is then 80(1 + i)20 - 80(1 + i)19. Set these two equations equal to each other to solve for i. 200(1 + i)10 - 200(1 + i)9 = 80(1 + i)20 - 80(1 + i)19 200(1 + i)9[(l + i) -1] = 80(1 + i)19[d + 0-1] 200(1 + i)9= 80(1 + i)19 2.5 = (l + i)10 i = 0.09595822639 The amount of interest earned for Dan during the 13th year is 200(1 + i)ui = 57.6289 Answer B ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 7 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PE7-17 21. The first payment is a deferred payment and the remaining payments are geometric increases of that initial payment. A present value set up would look like the following. PV = 500v3 +500(1.06)v4 +500(1.06)2v5 +.... + 500(1.06)29v32 Use the formula for a geometric series, to get the following. PV = 500v3(l + 1.06v +1.062 v2 +... +1.0629 v29) = 500v31~(1-06y)3° = 9199.8278 l-(1.06v) Answer D 22. The trader's position is a bull spread, which is typically used to profit from a price increase. Answer B 23. This perpetuity would look like the following series of payments: X, X+l, X+2, X, X+l, X+2, etc. Break this perpetuity into three perpetuities due. One perpetuity due that is deferred one year and has payments of X every three years, a second that is deferred two years and has payments of X+l every three years, and a third that is deferred three years and has payments of X+2 every three years. We need a three year effective interest rate: i = (1 + —)6 -1 = 0.15969342 d = —= 0.137703134 1 + i The present values of the three perpetuities are: mr -A. nTr 9 A + 1 nTr -j -A. 4- JL add where j is equal to the one year effective interest rate: j = (l + ®^ly _i = 0.050625 The sum of these three present values should be equal to 38.86 PV1+PV2+PV3 =38.86 VjX + v2(X +1) + v3(X + 2) = 38.86d 2.72006X = 2.7206 -> X = 1.0002 Answer B ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE7-18 Practice Exam 7 - Exam FM / Exam 2 24. The accumulated value of the payments without interest is 300*500=150,000 The accumulated value of the interest is an annuity with geometrically increasing payments. The first payment is 35, the second is 70, and the last payment would be 1050. This is a geometrically increasing annuity with 30 payments at 4.5% effective interest. FV = 300 • 500 + 35(Js)^0045 = 41,251.857 Answer E 25. We do not know the interest rate r, but we can find it using the forward price. 1015.11 = S0e{r-S)T = lOOOe5r -> r = .03 Then we can use the parity equation to find the put price P. C-P = S0e-ST-Ke-rT 63.71 -P = 1000- lOOOe"015 P = 48.82 Answer E 26. When you create a synthetic forward for a single share you buy e~5T units of the stock for a price of S0e~JT . Thus we have 49.5025 = 50e"J( 25) =.04. Answer D ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Practice Exam 7 - Exam FM / Exam 2 Page PE7-19 27. First, we need to solve for i. We know that the principal portion of the 13th payment is 1.5 times the principal portion of the 5th payment. The principal in the tth payment is: PRt = Kvn~t+1 If there are 10 years with quarterly payments, then n equals 40. Now, set the principal portion of the 13th payment equal to 1.5 times the principal portion of the 5th payment 59.87. Kv40-13+1 = l45Kv40-5+l v28=1.5v36 1.5 (1 + i)8 =1.5 i = 0.0519895 Now, that you know i, find the payment required to pay a loan of 1000, with 40 payments and an interest rate i. 1000 = Ka4oi00519895 . K = 59.8742 Answer A 28. First, figure the payment required for a 1,000,000 loan for 7 years with payments made at the end of each year at 10% effective interest. 1,000,000 = Ka7]010 K = 205,405.4997 If you want to know the amount of interest paid in the 5th payment, you need to know the outstanding balance after the 4th payment: OB4 =205,405.4997a^010 =510,813.0759 The amount of interest due in the 5th payment will be 10% of the outstanding balance after the 4th payment, or 51,081.30759 This problem could have been done entirely on a finance calculator. Answer B ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page PE7-20 Practice Exam 7 - Exam FM / Exam 2 29. The trick to this problem is recognizing that you need to calculate a forward rate for the second payment. You will need i3,5. Then, it is a future value calculation. (l + i3,5)2 = 2 (l + ss)5 (L075)5 = 1.191838574 (l + s3)3 (1.064)3 FV = 3000(1 + s5)5 + 3000(1 + Uf5)2 FV = 3000(1.075)5 + 3000(1.191838574)) = 7882.4037 Answer C 30. For both Amanda and Kevin, we can use the formula for a present value of an annuity with payments of P, P+Q, P+2Q, ..., P+(n-l)Q. The formula is: Pa;A+Q(^Ll^L) Substituting in for Amanda, her present value is: 30a^nn. + 5f aioio.o4 ~ 10vl° 1 = 412.7336 0.04 ^1010.04 J Substituting in for Kevin, his present value is: ****-> N^) Set the present value of Kevin's equal to 412.7336, and solve for X. X = 59.2408 Answer D ^ISIcm-IOv 10 A 0.04 = 412.7336 ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Index Page Ind-1 Page Accreting Swap Accrued Interest Accumulation Functions Accumulation Functions, Continuous Interest American Option Amortization Amortization of Discount Amortization of Premium Amortization Table Amortization with Arithmetic Payments Amortization with Geometric Payments Amortization with Level Payments Amortization with Monthly Payments Amortization with Variable Payments Amortizing Swap Amount for Accumulation of Discount Annuities Annuities with Arithmetic Progression Annuities with Geometric Progression Annuities with Level Payments Annuities with Varying Payments Annuity Due Annuity Immediate Arbitrage Pricing Assets At the Money Option M14-11 M4-12 Ml-4 Ml-15 M9-9 M3-1 M4-6 M4-6 M3-2 M3-10 M3-9 M3-6 M3-11 M3-4 M14-11 M4-7 M2-1 M2-19 M2-20 M2-7 M2-15 M2-8 M2-3 M12-3 M7-1 M9-17 B Bear Spread Bermudan Option Bid-ask spread Bond Price Bonds Borrowing Projects Box Spread Bull Spread M10-11 M9-9 M8-3 M4-4 M4-1 M5-6 MlO-12 MlO-10 ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics
Page Ind-2 Index C Call Option M9-9 Call Provisions M4-9 Callable Bond M4-9 Cap Strategy M10-3 Capitalization of Interest M3-19 Cash and Carry Hedge M12-11 Cash Flows M5-1 Cash settlement M9-2 Certificate of Deposit M7-22 Change in Price M7-13 Clearing House M12-18 Collar M10-13 Collar, Hedging with M10-14 Compound Interest Ml-1 Constant Force of Interest Ml-15 Continuous Annuities M2-11 Conversion of Nominal Interest rate to Discount Rate Ml-13 Convertible Interest Ml-8 Convexity M7-12 Cost of Carry M12:17 Coupon Rate M4-1 CoveredCall M10-4 " CoveredPut MlO-5 D Dealer as Swap Counterparty M14-4 Decreasing Annuities M2-18 Deferred Annuities M2-24 Derivative Security M8-1 Discount Bond M4-2 Discount Rate Ml-10 Dividends M7-20 Dollar Weighted Rate M5-7 Duration M7-4 Duration Matching M7-18 Duration of Portfolio M7-14 E Effective Interest Rate Ml-6 Equation of Value Ml-19 Equity Linked CD M9-19 Equity Linked Note, Marshall & Isley M10-21 Eurodollar M13-6 Eurodollar Future M13-6 European Option M9-9 M4-1 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Index Page Ind- 3 iodic j-age F Face Value Flat Price Flat Yield Curve Floor Strategy Force of Interest Forward and Futures Prices Compared Forward Contract Forward Contract on Stock, Pricing Forward Interest Rate Forward Premium Forward Rate FRA (Forward Rate Agreement) Fully Immunized Future Value Future Value of Annuities Futures Contracts G Geometric Series Greater Convexity for Assets H Hedging Hedging with a Collar Hedging with a Synthetic Stock Hedging, Buyer Hedging, Producer-Seller Hedging, Reasons for I Immunization Implied Forward Rate Implied Forward Rate In the Money Option Increasing Annuities Inflation Installment Loan Insurance, Options s Interest Rate Risk Interest Rate Swap Internal Rate of Return Inverted Yield Curve Investment Year Method L Law of One Price Lease Rate M4-11 M6-3 M10-2 Ml-15 M12-22 M9-1 M12-7 M13-2 M12-8 M6-5 M13-4 M7-19 Ml-2 M2-4 M12-18 M2-2 M7-18 M8-2 Mll-9 M12-10 Mll-5 MlT-2 Mll-7 M7-16 M6-5 M13-3 M9-17 M2-16 M2-32 M3-14 M9-18 mm" M14-7 M5-1 M6-3 M5-11 M6-4 M12-17 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page Ind-4 Index ILiUUQl^HII^HHIHHHHHHHiHIHIHHHHHHIIHHH^KjuISS Liabilities M7-1 Liability Management M7-1 Long forward M9-2 Long Position in Stock M8-3 M Macaulay Duration M7-4 Macaulay Duration of Coupon Bond M7-8 Makeham's Formula M4-5 Margin M12-19 Mark to Market M12-19 Market Price M4-12 Matching Assets and Liabilities M7-1 Modified Duration M7-6 Modified Internal Rate of Return M5-5 Money Market Funds M7-22 Mortgage-Backed Securities M7-22 Mutual Funds M7-21 N Negative Amortization M3-19 Negative Amortization of Discount M4-8 Net Interest M3-16 Net Present Value M5-13 New Money Rate M5-12 Nominal Discount Rate Ml-12 Nominal Interest Rate Ml-7 O Open Outcry M12-18 Out of the Money Option M9-17 P Par Value M4-1 Parallel Shift in Yield Curve M7-15 Parity, Put-Call M10-6 Paylater Strategy Ml 1-11 Payoff for Forward M9-3 Periodic Interest Rate Ml-8 Perpetuities M2-6 Portfolio Method M5-11 Premium M9-9 Premium Bond M4-2 Premium-Discount Formula for Bonds M4-5 Prepaid Forward Price M12-3 Present Value Ml-2 Present Value Matching M7-18 Price Function, P(i) M7-10 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Index Page Ind- 5 Price of Stock M7-20 Price-Plus Accrued M4-11 Pricing Bonds between Payment Dates M4-11 Profit for forward M9-3 Prospective Method M3-7 Put Option M9-14 Q Quanto Index Contracts M12-24 Quasi Arbitrage M12-15 R Redemption Value M4-1 Reinvestment Problems M2-31 Relating Interest Rate and Force of Interest Ml-i8 Retrospective Method M3-8 Risk-Free Rates M6-1 S S&P 500 Futures Contract M12-19 Settlement Date M4-11 Short Forward M9-2 Short Sale of Stock M8-3 Simple Interest Ml-1 Sinking Fund M3-15 Sinking Fund Balance M3-17 Sinking Fund Deposit M3-16 Spot price M9-1 Spot Rate M6-2 Spot Rate M13-2 Spread M10-9 Stock index M9-1 Stocks M7-20 Straddle M10-16 Strangle M10-18 Swap, Oil M14-2 Swap Curve M14-10 Swap Payment M14-3 SwapRateR JM14:8 Swap rate, general formula M14-13 Swap, Market Value M14-5 Synthetic Forward M10-6 Synthetic Stock M12-9 T Taylor Series M7-10 Term Structure of Interest Rates M6-1 Time Value of Money Ml-1 ©ACTEX 2009 Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby
Page Ind-6 Index Time Weighted Rate Timelines Treasury STRIP bond True Price M5-7 M2-2 M6-2 M4-12 u Uniqueness of Internal Rate of Return Unit Annuity M5-5 M2-1 Variable Annuities Volatility M2-26 M7-6 w Weighted Average Written Call Option Written Put Option M7-4 M9-12 M9-16 Y Yield Curve M6-2 Zero Cost Collar Zero Coupon Bond Zero Coupon Bond Profit Zero-coupon Bond Price Zero-coupon Bond Yield M10-15 M6-1 M9-7 M13-3 M13-3 ©ACTEX 2009 Hassett, Ratliff, Garcia, & Steeby Exam FM / Exam 2 - Financial Mathematics